Total earnings
$36,344.10
1D
$3.6K
7D
$10.3K
30D
$36.6K
90D
$36.3K
Total volume
$2.07M
Predictions
10,206
Positions value
$38.8K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade−$41.5K
LP+$73.6K
Maker+$4.3K
Taker+$10.00
Fees−$71.39

Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
No 24.4¢533.6 shares
24.4¢→99.3¢
$130.26
$533.56
$529.83
+$399.57 (+306.8%)

Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
No 19.6¢430.2 shares
19.6¢→99.8¢
$84.31
$430.21
$429.35
+$345.04 (+409.3%)

Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
No 27.2¢391.4 shares
27.2¢→99.6¢
$106.51
$391.41
$389.65
+$283.14 (+265.8%)

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on August 5?
No 64.6¢364.9 shares
64.6¢→100.0¢
$235.75
$364.93
$364.75
+$129.00 (+54.7%)

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 6?
No 55.9¢458.1 shares
55.9¢→71.5¢
$256.15
$458.11
$327.55
+$71.40 (+27.9%)

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 5?
No 72.6¢303.4 shares
72.6¢→100.0¢
$220.42
$303.42
$303.27
+$82.85 (+37.6%)

Will Haley Stevens win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
Yes 44.0¢291.7 shares
44.0¢→99.5¢
$128.32
$291.72
$290.26
+$161.94 (+126.2%)

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 75°F or below on August 5?
No 82.4¢287.5 shares
82.4¢→100.0¢
$236.83
$287.50
$287.36
+$50.53 (+21.3%)
Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?
No 47.7¢338.6 shares
47.7¢→75¢
$161.50
$338.58
$253.94
+$92.43 (+57.2%)

Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
No 76.0¢338.1 shares
76.0¢→70¢
$257.08
$338.07
$236.65
−$20.43 (-7.9%)
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?
No 77.6¢274.3 shares
77.6¢→78.7¢
$212.75
$274.29
$215.87
+$3.12 (+1.5%)

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 5?
No 71.5¢214.4 shares
71.5¢→100.0¢
$153.26
$214.40
$214.29
+$61.03 (+39.8%)

Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?
Yes 52.1¢413.1 shares
52.1¢→50¢
$215.28
$413.10
$206.55
−$8.72 (-4.1%)

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 6?
No 67.2¢229.4 shares
67.2¢→86¢
$154.22
$229.40
$197.29
+$43.07 (+27.9%)

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5?
No 85.9¢190.6 shares
85.9¢→100.0¢
$163.80
$190.62
$190.52
+$26.72 (+16.3%)
Will Trump say "Soaking Wet" in August?
No 62.1¢430 shares
62.1¢→44¢
$266.84
$430.00
$189.20
−$77.64 (-29.1%)

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 6?
No 51.5¢410.5 shares
51.5¢→44.5¢
$211.48
$410.53
$182.68
−$28.79 (-13.6%)

Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?
Yes 65.8¢269.6 shares
65.8¢→66¢
$177.47
$269.56
$177.91
+$0.44 (+0.2%)
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No 70.1¢270 shares
70.1¢→65.5¢
$189.20
$270.00
$176.85
−$12.35 (-6.5%)

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 7?
No 55.8¢328.9 shares
55.8¢→53.5¢
$183.54
$328.93
$175.98
−$7.56 (-4.1%)

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 5?
No 84.8¢172 shares
84.8¢→100.0¢
$145.81
$172.00
$171.91
+$26.10 (+17.9%)

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 6?
No 71.4¢262.2 shares
71.4¢→64.5¢
$187.14
$262.24
$169.14
−$17.99 (-9.6%)

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 6?
No 87¢204 shares
87¢→81.5¢
$177.47
$203.99
$166.23
−$11.24 (-6.3%)

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5?
No 70.8¢164.2 shares
70.8¢→100.0¢
$116.20
$164.23
$164.15
+$47.95 (+41.3%)

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 6?
No 71.4¢171.9 shares
71.4¢→91.5¢
$122.74
$171.86
$157.25
+$34.51 (+28.1%)

Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?
No 41.9¢369.1 shares
41.9¢→42¢
$154.84
$369.14
$155.04
+$0.20 (+0.1%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?
No 65.9¢172.6 shares
65.9¢→89.5¢
$113.73
$172.61
$154.49
+$40.76 (+35.8%)
Will The Oscars win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?
No 80.1¢210 shares
80.1¢→72.7¢
$168.17
$210.00
$152.57
−$15.60 (-9.3%)

Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
No 64.5¢183.7 shares
64.5¢→81.5¢
$118.59
$183.70
$149.70
+$31.11 (+26.2%)

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 5?
No 83.0¢149.5 shares
83.0¢→100.0¢
$124.02
$149.51
$149.43
+$25.41 (+20.5%)

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 5?
No 74.4¢149.1 shares
74.4¢→100.0¢
$110.94
$149.06
$148.99
+$38.05 (+34.3%)

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?
No 58.1¢229.2 shares
58.1¢→64.5¢
$133.18
$229.21
$147.84
+$14.66 (+11.0%)

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 5?
No 58.0¢141.7 shares
58.0¢→100.0¢
$82.27
$141.72
$141.65
+$59.38 (+72.2%)
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?
No 66.6¢141.4 shares
66.6¢→99.8¢
$94.13
$141.36
$141.07
+$46.95 (+49.9%)

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 6?
No 50.0¢188.5 shares
50.0¢→72¢
$94.25
$188.52
$135.73
+$41.48 (+44.0%)
Will Leavitt say "Illegal" or "Illegals" during the next White House Press Briefing?
Yes 78.8¢176.7 shares
78.8¢→75.5¢
$139.19
$176.67
$133.39
−$5.80 (-4.2%)

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 5?
No 86.3¢132.5 shares
86.3¢→100.0¢
$114.33
$132.46
$132.40
+$18.07 (+15.8%)
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?
No 69.0¢225 shares
69.0¢→58.5¢
$155.25
$225.00
$131.63
−$23.63 (-15.2%)

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of August 3 2026?
No 68.4¢198.8 shares
68.4¢→65.5¢
$136.11
$198.85
$130.25
−$5.86 (-4.3%)

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 6?
Down 42.1¢335.1 shares
42.1¢→38.5¢
$141.17
$335.14
$129.03
−$12.13 (-8.6%)

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Yes 68.0¢203.2 shares
68.0¢→62.5¢
$138.07
$203.17
$126.98
−$11.09 (-8.0%)
Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?
No 80.0¢150 shares
80.0¢→81¢
$120.01
$149.95
$121.46
+$1.45 (+1.2%)

Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
Yes 66.8¢169.9 shares
66.8¢→71.5¢
$113.54
$169.85
$121.44
+$7.90 (+7.0%)

Will White House post 200+ posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
No 52.4¢212.2 shares
52.4¢→57.0¢
$111.11
$212.18
$120.92
+$9.81 (+8.8%)

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 6?
No 64.9¢249.1 shares
64.9¢→48.5¢
$161.67
$249.05
$120.79
−$40.87 (-25.3%)

Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Yes 42.0¢313 shares
42.0¢→38.5¢
$131.40
$313.03
$120.52
−$10.88 (-8.3%)

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 5?
No 55.5¢120.3 shares
55.5¢→100.0¢
$66.80
$120.34
$120.28
+$53.48 (+80.1%)
Will Lucas Ribeiro win the Governor of Paraíba election?
No 37.2¢434.1 shares
37.2¢→27.5¢
$161.46
$434.09
$119.37
−$42.08 (-26.1%)
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 30,000-40,000?
No 66.1¢153.6 shares
66.1¢→77.5¢
$101.49
$153.58
$119.02
+$17.53 (+17.3%)

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 5?
No 72.2¢118.2 shares
72.2¢→100.0¢
$85.30
$118.17
$118.11
+$32.81 (+38.5%)

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 6?
No 40.4¢323.2 shares
40.4¢→36.5¢
$130.54
$323.23
$117.98
−$12.56 (-9.6%)

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 6?
No 70.3¢173.2 shares
70.3¢→67.5¢
$121.79
$173.24
$116.94
−$4.85 (-4.0%)

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 6?
No 68.5¢177.1 shares
68.5¢→66¢
$121.33
$177.09
$116.88
−$4.45 (-3.7%)
Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
Yes 54.0¢379.1 shares
54.0¢→30.5¢
$204.68
$379.15
$115.64
−$89.04 (-43.5%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?
No 33.0¢448.6 shares
33.0¢→25.5¢
$148.01
$448.56
$114.38
−$33.62 (-22.7%)

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 5?
No 70.0¢114.2 shares
70.0¢→100.0¢
$79.94
$114.20
$114.14
+$34.20 (+42.8%)

Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
No 68.8¢242.7 shares
68.8¢→47¢
$167.03
$242.70
$114.07
−$52.96 (-31.7%)
Will Steve Friess be the WY-AL Republican nominee?
Yes 34.3¢185 shares
34.3¢→61.5¢
$63.44
$185.00
$113.78
+$50.33 (+79.3%)

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 6?
No 78.2¢133.9 shares
78.2¢→84¢
$104.73
$133.93
$112.50
+$7.77 (+7.4%)

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 6?
No 61.4¢181.2 shares
61.4¢→61¢
$111.25
$181.25
$110.56
−$0.68 (-0.6%)

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 6?
No 60.0¢158.8 shares
60.0¢→69.5¢
$95.30
$158.80
$110.35
+$15.05 (+15.8%)

Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?
No 37¢441.3 shares
37¢→24.5¢
$163.33
$441.31
$108.12
−$55.21 (-33.8%)

Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
No 65.8¢164.4 shares
65.8¢→64.5¢
$108.15
$164.41
$106.04
−$2.11 (-1.9%)

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C or higher on August 6?
No 85.9¢107.9 shares
85.9¢→98.2¢
$92.69
$107.91
$105.97
+$13.28 (+14.3%)
Will Jay Schroeder be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?
Yes 61¢148.5 shares
61¢→70.5¢
$90.60
$148.53
$104.71
+$14.11 (+15.6%)

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 6?
No 62.5¢174.5 shares
62.5¢→60¢
$109.11
$174.50
$104.70
−$4.41 (-4.0%)
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?
Yes 41.0¢289 shares
41.0¢→36¢
$118.60
$289.01
$104.04
−$14.55 (-12.3%)
Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?
Yes 62.6¢104.1 shares
62.6¢→99.8¢
$65.19
$104.08
$103.87
+$38.68 (+59.3%)

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 7?
Yes 32.0¢261.2 shares
32.0¢→39.5¢
$83.57
$261.21
$103.18
+$19.61 (+23.5%)

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 6?
No 64.4¢175.7 shares
64.4¢→58.5¢
$113.25
$175.72
$102.80
−$10.45 (-9.2%)

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
No 75.9¢160 shares
75.9¢→64¢
$121.50
$160.00
$102.40
−$19.10 (-15.7%)

Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $124 in August?
No 89.8¢127.3 shares
89.8¢→80¢
$114.27
$127.27
$101.82
−$12.45 (-10.9%)

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 7?
No 71.9¢141 shares
71.9¢→72¢
$101.34
$141.03
$101.54
+$0.20 (+0.2%)

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 6?
No 66.4¢161 shares
66.4¢→62¢
$106.88
$160.97
$99.80
−$7.07 (-6.6%)
Will Shevrin Jones be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?
No 72.3¢161.3 shares
72.3¢→61.5¢
$116.64
$161.27
$99.18
−$17.46 (-15.0%)

Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of August 2026?
No 45.1¢250 shares
45.1¢→39.5¢
$112.70
$250.00
$98.75
−$13.95 (-12.4%)

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6?
No 59.6¢160.2 shares
59.6¢→61.5¢
$95.57
$160.23
$98.54
+$2.97 (+3.1%)

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on August 5?
No 78¢97.3 shares
78¢→100.0¢
$75.87
$97.26
$97.21
+$21.35 (+28.1%)
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?
No 58.9¢150.5 shares
58.9¢→64¢
$88.60
$150.50
$96.32
+$7.72 (+8.7%)
Will Joao Cancelo stay at Al-Hilal?
No 93.0¢100 shares
93.0¢→95.8¢
$93.05
$100.00
$95.80
+$2.75 (+3.0%)

Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Yes 51.6¢155.3 shares
51.6¢→60¢
$80.19
$155.29
$93.17
+$12.98 (+16.2%)

Will Mohamed Salah play in MLS next?
No 77.8¢93.1 shares
77.8¢→99.9¢
$72.44
$93.14
$93.05
+$20.61 (+28.5%)

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 5?
No 78¢92.2 shares
78¢→100.0¢
$71.92
$92.20
$92.15
+$20.24 (+28.1%)

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Norah O'Donnell by August 31, 2026?
No 94¢100 shares
94¢→91.5¢
$94.00
$100.00
$91.50
−$2.50 (-2.7%)

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on August 6?
No 52.0¢198.4 shares
52.0¢→46¢
$103.13
$198.41
$91.27
−$11.86 (-11.5%)

Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?
No 32.8¢334.4 shares
32.8¢→27¢
$109.79
$334.35
$90.28
−$19.52 (-17.8%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?
No 43.4¢225 shares
43.4¢→39.5¢
$97.75
$225.00
$88.88
−$8.87 (-9.1%)
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?
No 24.4¢455.3 shares
24.4¢→19.5¢
$111.36
$455.34
$88.79
−$22.57 (-20.3%)

Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?
No 72¢142 shares
72¢→62.5¢
$102.24
$142.00
$88.75
−$13.49 (-13.2%)
Will CopperTech Metals not IPO before September 2026?
Yes 88.1¢90 shares
88.1¢→98.5¢
$79.29
$90.00
$88.65
+$9.36 (+11.8%)

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 7?
No 55.2¢177.2 shares
55.2¢→49.5¢
$97.87
$177.19
$87.71
−$10.16 (-10.4%)

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 5?
Yes 41.3¢93.7 shares
41.3¢→93¢
$38.75
$93.69
$87.13
+$48.38 (+124.9%)

Will White House post 200+ posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
No 54.3¢164 shares
54.3¢→53¢
$89.04
$163.99
$86.92
−$2.12 (-2.4%)

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Yes 46.9¢155 shares
46.9¢→55.0¢
$72.68
$155.00
$85.25
+$12.57 (+17.3%)

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 6?
No 78.8¢104.1 shares
78.8¢→81.5¢
$82.06
$104.09
$84.83
+$2.77 (+3.4%)
Will Trump say "Moon" this week?
Yes 43.0¢157.1 shares
43.0¢→53¢
$67.55
$157.15
$83.29
+$15.74 (+23.3%)

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 6?
No 59.6¢226.1 shares
59.6¢→36.5¢
$134.66
$226.12
$82.53
−$52.13 (-38.7%)

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 6?
No 68.9¢255.9 shares
68.9¢→32¢
$176.41
$255.91
$81.89
−$94.52 (-53.6%)

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on August 6?
No 45.4¢162 shares
45.4¢→50.5¢
$73.61
$162.04
$81.83
+$8.22 (+11.2%)

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 5?
No 85¢81.6 shares
85¢→100.0¢
$69.36
$81.60
$81.56
+$12.20 (+17.6%)
