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PolyScalping

Verbal-Wren

Joined December 2025

Total earnings

$762.38
1D
$19.96
7D
$21.01
30D
$219.04
90D
$233.91
Total volume
$80.0K
Predictions
574
Positions value
$774.80
Performance
+$769.76
+$4.56
+$0.42
+$0.14
−$12.50
Overall
#102,783
of 3.3M wallets
Volume
#205,525
of 3.3M wallets
Profit
#100,605
of 3.3M wallets
LP Rewards
#71,811
of 189k earners
Maker Rebates
#134,678
of 161k earners
Yield
#148,094
of 352k earners
Fees Paid
#342,150
of 1.5M payers
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
No 97.5¢234.3 shares
$228.35
+$1.60 (+0.7%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 86.5¢110 shares
$95.15
+$6.25 (+7.0%)
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
No 98.0¢80 shares
$78.43
+$1.69 (+2.2%)
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?
No 96.9¢60 shares
$58.10
+$0.33 (+0.6%)
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 97.5¢50 shares
$48.78
+$0.28 (+0.6%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No 96.2¢30 shares
$28.86
+$0.66 (+2.3%)
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?
No 27¢104.7 shares
$28.26
+$8.26 (+41.3%)
Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC after March 2027?
Yes 53.5¢40 shares
$21.40
+$4.60 (+27.4%)
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
No 98.0¢20 shares
$19.59
+$1.39 (+7.6%)
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 96.5¢20 shares
$19.31
+$0.89 (+4.8%)
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
No 95.2¢20 shares
$19.03
+$1.03 (+5.7%)
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
No 94.3¢20 shares
$18.86
−$0.10 (-0.5%)
Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC in March 2027 (ET)?
Yes 17.2¢60 shares
$10.32
−$2.28 (-18.1%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes 100¢10 shares
Won
$10.00
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
No 96.8¢10 shares
$9.68
+$0.06 (+0.6%)
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?
Yes 23.5¢40 shares
$9.40
−$0.60 (-6.0%)
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
No 92.5¢10 shares
$9.25
+$2.05 (+28.5%)
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
No 88¢10 shares
$8.80
+$0.50 (+6.0%)
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
No 78.5¢10 shares
$7.85
+$0.05 (+0.6%)
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
No 77.5¢10 shares
$7.75
−$0.05 (-0.6%)
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?
Yes 11.9¢55.4 shares
$6.62
+$3.62 (+120.6%)
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 54.2¢10 shares
$5.42
+$2.04 (+60.4%)
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
Yes 99.9¢5 shares
$4.99
+$3.28 (+191.1%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Yes 36¢10 shares
$3.60
−$0.20 (-5.3%)
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
Yes 3.2¢70 shares
$2.24
−$4.62 (-67.3%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?
Yes 22¢10 shares
$2.20
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Yes 19¢10 shares
$1.90
+$0.40 (+26.7%)
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Yes 9.5¢20 shares
$1.90
+$0.10 (+5.6%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes 20.5¢5 shares
$1.03
−$0.18 (-14.6%)
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
Yes 3.1¢30 shares
$0.93
−$0.17 (-15.4%)
Another GTA VI trailer released by November 30?
Yes 17¢5 shares
$0.85
−$0.10 (-10.5%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Yes 1.8¢40 shares
$0.74
−$0.14 (-15.9%)
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo
Yes 3.4¢20 shares
$0.68
−$0.12 (-15.0%)
Fed rate cut by March 2027 meeting?
Yes 12¢5 shares
$0.60
+$0.05 (+9.1%)
New pandemic in 2026?
Yes 1.9¢30 shares
$0.57
−$3.03 (-84.2%)
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 4.9¢10 shares
$0.49
−$0.01 (-1.0%)
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Yes 9.5¢5 shares
$0.48
+$0.03 (+5.6%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Yes 9.5¢5 shares
$0.48
+$0.03 (+5.6%)
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Yes 8.5¢5 shares
$0.43
−$0.28 (-39.3%)
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 8.5¢5 shares
$0.43
−$0.43 (-50.0%)
Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC in January 2027 (ET)?
Yes 7.5¢5 shares
$0.38
−$0.13 (-25.0%)
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Yes 1.8¢20 shares
$0.35
−$0.25 (-41.7%)
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Yes 1¢17.5 shares
$0.18
−$1.72 (-90.8%)
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Yes 3.5¢5 shares
$0.17
−$0.12 (-41.5%)
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 0.1¢10 shares
$0.01
−$0.60 (-99.2%)
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
No 0¢20 shares
Lost
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
Yes 0¢20 shares
Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
No 0¢5 shares
Lost
Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?
Yes 0¢50 shares
Lost
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Yes 0¢10 shares
Lost
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?
Yes 0¢10 shares
Lost
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 0¢165.9 shares
Lost
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 0¢20 shares
Lost
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
Yes 0¢20 shares
Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Yes 0¢15 shares
Lost
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
No 0¢10 shares
Lost
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 0¢13.2 shares
Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 0¢80 shares
Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
No 0¢5 shares
Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Yes 0¢15 shares
Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Yes 0¢7 shares
Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Yes 0¢15 shares
Lost
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
No 0¢5 shares
Lost
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Yes 0¢18.2 shares
Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Yes 0¢5 shares
Lost
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Yes 0¢20 shares
Lost
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?
Yes 0¢11.2 shares
Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
Yes 0¢5 shares
Lost
Will Alfonso López Chau finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 0¢10 shares
Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Yes 0¢10 shares
Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
No 0¢5 shares
Lost
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
Yes 0¢20 shares
Lost
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
No 0¢40 shares
Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Yes 0¢15 shares
Lost
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 0¢40 shares
Lost
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Yes 0¢5 shares
Lost
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?
Yes 0¢10 shares
Lost
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Yes 0¢10 shares
Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Yes 0¢10 shares
Lost
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Yes 0¢13 shares
Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?
Yes 0¢10 shares
Lost
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 0¢70 shares
Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?
Yes 0¢5 shares
Lost
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?
Yes 0¢30 shares
Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
No 0¢20 shares
Lost
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Yes 0¢10 shares
Lost
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Yes 0¢20 shares
Lost
Will GERB-SDS (GERB–SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Yes 0¢25 shares
Lost
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Yes 0¢5 shares
Lost
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
Yes 0¢22 shares
Lost
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 0¢100 shares
Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Yes 0¢7 shares
Lost
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?
Yes 0¢43.3 shares
Lost
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 0¢12.7 shares
Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?
Yes 0¢67 shares
Lost
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
Yes 0¢20 shares
Lost
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Yes 0¢10 shares
Lost
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Yes 0¢15 shares
Lost
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 0¢390 shares
Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes 0¢5 shares
Lost