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PolyScalping

Olcan

Joined June 2025

Total earnings

$58,533.59
1D
$992.75
7D
−$1.5K
30D
$1.9K
90D
$17.2K
Total volume
$2.68M
Predictions
4,685
Positions value
$43.7K
Performance
+$54.2K
+$3,312.37
+$603.63
+$4.38
+$454.47
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
No 37¢5.1K shares
$1.9K
−$428.58 (-18.5%)
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?
No 59.5¢3.1K shares
$1.9K
−$91.82 (-4.7%)
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
No 73.5¢2.2K shares
$1.6K
+$163.08 (+11.2%)
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
No 85¢1.5K shares
$1.3K
+$85.87 (+7.2%)
Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?
Yes 97.8¢1.2K shares
$1.2K
+$174.52 (+17.6%)
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?
No 90¢1.3K shares
$1.2K
+$90.37 (+8.5%)
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?
No 90¢1.2K shares
$1.1K
+$190.34 (+20.6%)
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
No 93.6¢1.1K shares
$1.1K
+$14.17 (+1.3%)
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 55.0¢1.9K shares
$1.0K
−$196.53 (-16.1%)
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?
No 92.5¢1.0K shares
$970.60
+$56.90 (+6.2%)
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 88.5¢1.1K shares
$967.93
+$25.49 (+2.7%)
Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?
No 87.5¢1.1K shares
$942.19
+$151.34 (+19.1%)
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 90.5¢1.0K shares
$932.69
+$179.59 (+23.8%)
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher?
No 96.2¢795.2 shares
$764.94
+$47.38 (+6.6%)
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31?
No 71.5¢1.0K shares
$749.76
+$36.35 (+5.1%)
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
No 47.5¢1.5K shares
$693.35
−$305.93 (-30.6%)
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
No 99.2¢682.4 shares
$676.63
+$81.12 (+13.6%)
Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?
No 74.5¢904.3 shares
$673.69
+$381.10 (+130.3%)
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?
No 92¢726.3 shares
$668.18
+$51.68 (+8.4%)
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
No 60¢1.1K shares
$647.72
−$8.40 (-1.3%)
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by December 31?
No 90¢718 shares
$646.20
+$40.33 (+6.7%)
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?
No 83¢766.7 shares
$636.33
+$51.44 (+8.8%)
US x North Korea diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No 80.5¢779.5 shares
$627.47
−$0.87 (-0.1%)
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?
No 91¢680.4 shares
$619.15
+$97.31 (+18.6%)
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
No 91.5¢660.8 shares
$604.68
+$92.90 (+18.2%)
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?
No 49.9¢1.2K shares
$595.51
−$118.45 (-16.6%)
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher?
No 95¢618.6 shares
$587.64
+$41.30 (+7.6%)
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
No 94.1¢616.3 shares
$579.98
+$24.87 (+4.5%)
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 57.5¢1.0K shares
$578.77
−$142.65 (-19.8%)
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 82.5¢665.8 shares
$549.27
+$199.27 (+56.9%)
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 80% or higher?
No 94.7¢576.3 shares
$545.48
+$33.32 (+6.5%)
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 72.8¢728.8 shares
$530.57
+$86.40 (+19.5%)
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 93¢558.7 shares
$519.62
+$27.49 (+5.6%)
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
No 94.8¢546.7 shares
$518.04
+$20.21 (+4.1%)
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?
No 93.8¢552.1 shares
$517.57
+$33.76 (+7.0%)
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?
No 15.5¢3.3K shares
$504.68
−$117.99 (-18.9%)
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
No 93¢540.4 shares
$502.58
+$71.10 (+16.5%)
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?
No 97.2¢491.5 shares
$477.46
+$34.71 (+7.8%)
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
No 93¢511.4 shares
$475.56
+$38.61 (+8.8%)
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
No 92.5¢513.6 shares
$475.07
+$88.98 (+23.0%)
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
No 95.7¢487.2 shares
$466.29
+$69.78 (+17.6%)
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
No 55.5¢817.3 shares
$453.62
+$51.10 (+12.7%)
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Yes 23.1¢1.8K shares
$422.34
−$210.77 (-33.3%)
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $700B by December 31?
No 84¢455.8 shares
$382.91
+$7.39 (+2.0%)
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?
No 95.5¢399.9 shares
$381.69
+$33.93 (+9.8%)
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
No 69¢522.1 shares
$360.24
−$0.06 (-0.0%)
GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?
No 51¢661.8 shares
$337.52
−$5.90 (-1.7%)
Will ByteDance have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?
No 95.8¢346.5 shares
$331.79
+$44.79 (+15.6%)
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?
No 90.5¢350 shares
$316.75
+$2.75 (+0.9%)
UBS announces move out of Switzerland by December 31?
No 90.5¢332.2 shares
$300.66
+$26.76 (+9.8%)
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
No 94.8¢311.5 shares
$295.50
+$36.02 (+13.9%)
Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?
No 27.5¢1.1K shares
$295.22
−$22.17 (-7.0%)
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
No 21.5¢1.3K shares
$287.19
+$2.75 (+1.0%)
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
No 89¢291.3 shares
$259.25
+$1.91 (+0.7%)
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $650B by December 31?
No 80.5¢304.6 shares
$245.17
+$33.66 (+15.9%)
Trump impeached and removed before 2028?
No 81.2¢300.6 shares
$244.09
+$29.27 (+13.6%)
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by December 31?
No 94.2¢244.9 shares
$230.56
+$26.83 (+13.2%)
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?
No 82.5¢271.3 shares
$223.79
−$2.19 (-1.0%)
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run by March 31, 2027?
No 78¢285.9 shares
$222.99
+$19.73 (+9.7%)
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?
Yes 54¢380.2 shares
$205.29
−$90.75 (-30.7%)
Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by November 30?
Yes 61¢335.4 shares
$204.60
−$3.88 (-1.9%)
Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 15, 2026?
No 44.5¢456.2 shares
$203.02
−$46.41 (-18.6%)
Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026?
No 29.5¢681.5 shares
$201.03
−$79.79 (-28.4%)
Next DeepSeek Flash released by November 30, 2026?
No 83¢231.2 shares
$191.91
+$24.34 (+14.5%)
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?
No 84¢228.4 shares
$191.87
+$26.55 (+16.1%)
Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30?
No 37.5¢511.3 shares
$191.75
+$91.11 (+90.5%)
Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by November 30, 2026?
No 36¢521.5 shares
$187.74
+$33.17 (+21.5%)
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by December 31?
No 92¢199.2 shares
$183.23
+$5.52 (+3.1%)
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 81¢218 shares
$176.58
+$63.22 (+55.8%)
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30?
Yes 67.5¢244.3 shares
$164.93
+$1.94 (+1.2%)
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
No 65¢245.2 shares
$159.41
+$19.37 (+13.8%)
Modi out by June 30, 2027?
No 89.5¢177.4 shares
$158.77
+$33.18 (+26.4%)
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $9B by December 31?
No 84.5¢170.9 shares
$144.38
+$2.61 (+1.8%)
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 58% or higher?
No 12¢1.1K shares
$131.66
−$85.23 (-39.3%)
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00 and $2.10 in October?
No 98.2¢129.8 shares
$127.47
+$11.00 (+9.4%)
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31?
No 89.5¢138.2 shares
$123.64
+$16.96 (+15.9%)
Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?
No 22¢545.1 shares
$119.92
−$109.90 (-47.8%)
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by December 31?
No 63.5¢186.3 shares
$118.27
−$21.28 (-15.2%)
Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026?
No 32.5¢342.1 shares
$111.17
−$80.14 (-41.9%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by December 31?
Yes 68¢163.3 shares
$111.06
+$21.44 (+23.9%)
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026?
No 87.7¢122.8 shares
$107.70
+$10.23 (+10.5%)
Will a dozen eggs cost between $1.90 and $2.00 in October?
No 99.2¢107.6 shares
$106.69
+$4.94 (+4.9%)
Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?
No 30.5¢338.5 shares
$103.26
+$38.95 (+60.6%)
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?
No 75.5¢131 shares
$98.91
+$17.74 (+21.8%)
Will Databricks have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November?
No 98.6¢100 shares
$98.60
+$43.60 (+79.3%)
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
No 59¢164.3 shares
$96.93
−$19.48 (-16.7%)
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $7B by December 31?
No 51.5¢186.7 shares
$96.14
−$73.60 (-43.4%)
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Yes 19¢475 shares
$90.25
−$56.25 (-38.4%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by December 31?
Yes 56.0¢160 shares
$89.59
+$9.30 (+11.6%)
Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by December 31, 2026?
No 78.5¢105.8 shares
$83.05
−$5.57 (-6.3%)
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?
No 12.5¢650 shares
$81.25
−$52.75 (-39.4%)
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?
No 72.5¢98.5 shares
$71.41
−$7.39 (-9.4%)
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
No 94.8¢73.9 shares
$70.11
+$19.12 (+37.5%)
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk by November 30?
Yes 60.5¢115.9 shares
$70.09
−$1.03 (-1.4%)
Will Anduril have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?
No 97.6¢61.1 shares
$59.58
−$0.85 (-1.4%)
Will Canva have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?
No 98.5¢59 shares
$58.06
−$0.32 (-0.6%)
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run by June 30, 2027?
No 64¢83.8 shares
$53.64
+$11.34 (+26.8%)
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 90% or higher?
No 94.1¢50.5 shares
$47.54
−$0.14 (-0.3%)
US imports Russian diesel before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?
Yes 24.5¢193 shares
$47.27
−$77.14 (-62.0%)
Will Uber say "Quarter" 15+ times during earnings call?
Yes 71¢63 shares
$44.75
+$3.23 (+7.8%)