Total earnings
$281,015.46
1D
$7.7K
7D
$10.4K
30D
$26.5K
90D
$55.8K
Total volume
$60.34M
Predictions
742
Positions value
$190.9K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$274.5K
LP+$8.3K
Maker+$1.6K
Yield+$194.66
Referral+$58.12
Taker+$248.93
Fees−$4.8K

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 72.5¢71.7K shares
72.5¢→78.5¢
$52.0K
$71.7K
$56.3K
+$4.4K (+8.4%)

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
No 98.3¢35.0K shares
98.3¢→99.7¢
$34.4K
$35.0K
$34.9K
+$463.12 (+1.3%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
Yes 84.2¢27.1K shares
84.2¢→99.6¢
$22.8K
$27.1K
$27.0K
+$4.2K (+18.2%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 59.1¢19.6K shares
59.1¢→62.5¢
$11.6K
$19.6K
$12.2K
+$657.47 (+5.7%)

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
No 92.0¢10.4K shares
92.0¢→95.7¢
$9.5K
$10.4K
$9.9K
+$383.80 (+4.0%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?
Yes 95.2¢8.5K shares
95.2¢→99.8¢
$8.1K
$8.5K
$8.5K
+$387.02 (+4.8%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Yes 14.8¢45.2K shares
14.8¢→15.5¢
$6.7K
$45.2K
$7.0K
+$292.55 (+4.4%)

Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
No 94.1¢5.8K shares
94.1¢→96.2¢
$5.5K
$5.8K
$5.6K
+$121.93 (+2.2%)

US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?
No 95¢4.4K shares
95¢→96.2¢
$4.2K
$4.4K
$4.2K
+$50.52 (+1.2%)

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No 95.4¢3.0K shares
95.4¢→95.7¢
$2.9K
$3.0K
$2.9K
+$7.51 (+0.3%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?
Yes 93¢2.5K shares
93¢→95.5¢
$2.3K
$2.5K
$2.4K
+$62.50 (+2.7%)

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
No 84.0¢2.5K shares
84.0¢→88.5¢
$2.1K
$2.5K
$2.2K
+$113.31 (+5.4%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?
Yes 98.6¢2.0K shares
98.6¢→100.0¢
$2.0K
$2.0K
$2.0K
+$27.00 (+1.4%)

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
No 75¢2.5K shares
75¢→79¢
$1.9K
$2.5K
$2.0K
+$100.00 (+5.3%)
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?
No 93.2¢1.9K shares
93.2¢→99.6¢
$1.8K
$1.9K
$1.9K
+$120.71 (+6.8%)

Ebola pandemic in 2026?
No 91¢1.8K shares
91¢→96.4¢
$1.6K
$1.8K
$1.7K
+$96.45 (+5.9%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 55.0¢2.3K shares
55.0¢→55.5¢
$1.3K
$2.3K
$1.3K
+$11.53 (+0.9%)

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
No 97.5¢1.2K shares
97.5¢→99.2¢
$1.2K
$1.2K
$1.2K
+$19.56 (+1.7%)

Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch?
No 74¢1.4K shares
74¢→77.5¢
$1.1K
$1.4K
$1.1K
+$50.20 (+4.7%)

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
No 93.0¢853.5 shares
93.0¢→93.5¢
$793.75
$853.49
$798.02
+$4.27 (+0.5%)

Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?
Yes 75.6¢822.9 shares
75.6¢→95.2¢
$622.00
$822.89
$783.39
+$161.38 (+25.9%)

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
No 82¢608.9 shares
82¢→89¢
$499.29
$608.89
$541.91
+$42.62 (+8.5%)

Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
No 97.3¢529.6 shares
97.3¢→99.5¢
$515.33
$529.59
$526.68
+$11.34 (+2.2%)

Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?
No 80¢700 shares
80¢→73.5¢
$560.00
$700.00
$514.50
−$45.50 (-8.1%)

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
No 90.6¢531.9 shares
90.6¢→95.6¢
$481.91
$531.91
$508.51
+$26.60 (+5.5%)

Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 23, 2026?
No 86¢500 shares
86¢→97.8¢
$430.00
$500.00
$488.75
+$58.75 (+13.7%)

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
No 84¢500 shares
84¢→94.8¢
$420.00
$500.00
$474.25
+$54.25 (+12.9%)

Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?
No 69.7¢539.9 shares
69.7¢→82.5¢
$376.37
$539.94
$445.45
+$69.08 (+18.4%)

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
No 81¢411.3 shares
81¢→85¢
$333.16
$411.31
$349.61
+$16.45 (+4.9%)
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?
Yes 86.6¢335.9 shares
86.6¢→92.0¢
$290.99
$335.94
$308.90
+$17.91 (+6.2%)

Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
No 84¢340 shares
84¢→85¢
$285.60
$340.00
$289.00
+$3.40 (+1.2%)

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
No 87¢250 shares
87¢→85¢
$217.50
$250.00
$212.50
−$5.00 (-2.3%)

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
Yes 61¢341.2 shares
61¢→60¢
$208.14
$341.21
$204.73
−$3.41 (-1.6%)

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
No 7.6¢802.2 shares
7.6¢→5.3¢
$61.15
$802.22
$42.52
−$18.64 (-30.5%)

Israeli forces enter Choukine by July 31?
No 91¢42.1 shares
91¢→96.9¢
$38.32
$42.11
$40.80
+$2.48 (+6.5%)

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
No 75.2¢19.6 shares
75.2¢→87.5¢
$14.76
$19.63
$17.18
+$2.42 (+16.4%)

Cuban regime falls in 2026?
No 72¢20 shares
72¢→83.5¢
$14.40
$20.00
$16.70
+$2.30 (+16.0%)

Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
No 82.5¢19.3 shares
82.5¢→79.8¢
$15.92
$19.30
$15.41
−$0.51 (-3.2%)

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
No 87¢7.7 shares
87¢→95.7¢
$6.69
$7.69
$7.36
+$0.67 (+10.0%)

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?
Yes 33.8¢1.7K shares
33.8¢→0.3¢
$587.85
$1.7K
$5.22
−$582.64 (-99.1%)

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
No 70¢5 shares
70¢→89¢
$3.50
$5.00
$4.45
+$0.95 (+27.1%)

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
No 69.0¢3.2 shares
69.0¢→63.5¢
$2.23
$3.23
$2.05
−$0.18 (-8.0%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
Yes 14.2¢5 shares
14.2¢→31.7¢
$0.71
$5.00
$1.59
+$0.88 (+123.2%)

Iran leadership change by December 31?
Yes 62.0¢5 shares
62.0¢→23.5¢
$3.10
$5.00
$1.18
−$1.93 (-62.1%)

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
No 67¢12.1 shares
67¢→4.6¢
$8.11
$12.10
$0.56
−$7.55 (-93.1%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?
No 4.1¢66.8K shares
4.1¢→0¢
$2.7K
$66.8K
Lost

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No 37.8¢3.2K shares
37.8¢→0¢
$1.2K
$3.2K
Lost

