Total earnings
$38,397.34
1D
−$1.2K
7D
−$1.4K
30D
$2.8K
90D
$29.8K
Total volume
$10.04M
Predictions
938
Positions value
$3.2K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$39.0K
LP+$981.22
Maker+$792.31
Yield+$0.00
Taker+$96.06
Fees−$2.6K

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Yes 47¢3.5K shares
47¢→34.5¢
$1.6K
$3.5K
$1.2K
−$438.65 (-26.6%)

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?
Yes 8.1¢4.9K shares
8.1¢→7.5¢
$402.64
$4.9K
$370.82
−$31.83 (-7.9%)

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?
Yes 27.3¢6.1K shares
27.3¢→5.5¢
$1.7K
$6.1K
$336.02
−$1.3K (-79.9%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Yes 11.1¢5.0K shares
11.1¢→6.5¢
$554.38
$5.0K
$324.99
−$229.39 (-41.4%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 16.1¢1.9K shares
16.1¢→13.5¢
$305.45
$1.9K
$255.49
−$49.97 (-16.4%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
Yes 3¢29.5K shares
3¢→0.4¢
$888.15
$29.5K
$132.96
−$755.19 (-85.0%)

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
Yes 7.0¢2.5K shares
7.0¢→4.6¢
$177.67
$2.5K
$116.75
−$60.92 (-34.3%)

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
Yes 7.0¢2.0K shares
7.0¢→5.5¢
$140.18
$2.0K
$111.03
−$29.15 (-20.8%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Yes 12¢1.0K shares
12¢→10.5¢
$120.00
$1.0K
$105.00
−$15.00 (-12.5%)

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Yes 7.8¢1.0K shares
7.8¢→7.5¢
$77.95
$1.0K
$75.00
−$2.95 (-3.8%)

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Yes 5.7¢535.3 shares
5.7¢→5.1¢
$30.51
$535.34
$27.03
−$3.48 (-11.4%)

NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?
Yes 60.8¢66 shares
60.8¢→32.5¢
$40.14
$65.98
$21.44
−$18.70 (-46.6%)

Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
Yes 7.6¢386.2 shares
7.6¢→4.4¢
$29.44
$386.21
$16.99
−$12.45 (-42.3%)

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?
Yes 1.5¢527.7 shares
1.5¢→3.0¢
$8.17
$527.73
$16.10
+$7.92 (+97.0%)

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Yes 29.0¢50 shares
29.0¢→19.5¢
$14.50
$50.00
$9.75
−$4.75 (-32.8%)

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?
Yes 1.7¢532.4 shares
1.7¢→1.8¢
$9.18
$532.40
$9.58
+$0.41 (+4.4%)

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?
Yes 0.5¢2.6K shares
0.5¢→0.3¢
$13.17
$2.6K
$7.90
−$5.27 (-40.0%)

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Yes 25.0¢22.3 shares
25.0¢→20.5¢
$5.59
$22.32
$4.58
−$1.01 (-18.1%)

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?
Yes 1.9¢450 shares
1.9¢→0.9¢
$8.55
$450.00
$4.05
−$4.50 (-52.6%)

Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
Yes 11¢40 shares
11¢→7.5¢
$4.40
$40.00
$3.00
−$1.40 (-31.8%)

Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027?
Yes 6.1¢50 shares
6.1¢→5.8¢
$3.05
$50.00
$2.90
−$0.15 (-4.9%)

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
Yes 13¢20 shares
13¢→11¢
$2.60
$20.00
$2.20
−$0.40 (-15.4%)
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Yes 5.9¢169 shares
5.9¢→1.3¢
$9.97
$169.00
$2.11
−$7.86 (-78.8%)

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Yes 17¢15 shares
17¢→10¢
$2.55
$15.00
$1.50
−$1.05 (-41.2%)

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?
Yes 2.1¢296.3 shares
2.1¢→0.5¢
$6.08
$296.31
$1.48
−$4.60 (-75.6%)

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?
Yes 0.8¢981.2 shares
0.8¢→0.1¢
$7.84
$981.24
$1.47
−$6.36 (-81.2%)

Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
Yes 15¢10.7 shares
15¢→13.5¢
$1.61
$10.74
$1.45
−$0.16 (-10.0%)

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
Yes 35¢10 shares
35¢→14.0¢
$3.50
$10.00
$1.40
−$2.10 (-60.0%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Yes 33.4¢10 shares
33.4¢→13.5¢
$3.34
$10.00
$1.35
−$1.99 (-59.6%)

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Yes 48¢5 shares
48¢→26¢
$2.40
$5.00
$1.30
−$1.10 (-45.8%)

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Yes 16¢10 shares
16¢→9.5¢
$1.60
$10.00
$0.95
−$0.65 (-40.6%)

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
Yes 15¢10 shares
15¢→9¢
$1.50
$10.00
$0.90
−$0.60 (-40.0%)

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Yes 16¢10 shares
16¢→9¢
$1.60
$10.00
$0.90
−$0.70 (-43.7%)

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
Yes 7.0¢20 shares
7.0¢→4.5¢
$1.40
$20.00
$0.90
−$0.50 (-35.7%)

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Yes 25¢10 shares
25¢→8.5¢
$2.50
$10.00
$0.85
−$1.65 (-66.0%)

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?
Yes 5.5¢34.8 shares
5.5¢→2.1¢
$1.91
$34.82
$0.75
−$1.16 (-60.9%)

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?
Yes 27.4¢6.9 shares
27.4¢→10.5¢
$1.90
$6.93
$0.73
−$1.17 (-61.7%)

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Yes 10¢10.8 shares
10¢→6.5¢
$1.08
$10.77
$0.70
−$0.38 (-35.0%)

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
Yes 15.1¢9.3 shares
15.1¢→6.5¢
$1.40
$9.31
$0.61
−$0.80 (-56.9%)

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?
Yes 4¢30 shares
4¢→1.7¢
$1.20
$30.00
$0.51
−$0.69 (-57.5%)

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?
Yes 17¢10 shares
17¢→4.5¢
$1.70
$10.00
$0.45
−$1.25 (-73.5%)

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?
Yes 11.4¢12.7 shares
11.4¢→3.5¢
$1.45
$12.65
$0.45
−$1.00 (-69.1%)

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
Yes 27¢7 shares
27¢→1.8¢
$1.88
$6.96
$0.12
−$1.76 (-93.5%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
Yes 35.4¢151.5 shares
35.4¢→0¢
$53.61
$151.48
Lost

