TheReturnOfDarthMaul

Joined February 2026

Total earnings

$258,502.84

1D

−$159.1K

7D

$591.9K

30D

$324.8K

90D

$329.8K

Total volume

$14.93M

Predictions

1,175

Positions value

$3.21M

PerformancePerformance over all time

Trade+$301.6K

LP+$4.4K

Maker+$4.1K

Yield+$945.55

Taker+$4.8K

Fees−$33.8K

of 3.1M wallets

of 3.1M wallets

of 3.1M wallets

of 177k earners

of 139k earners

of 335k earners

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

No 95.8¢547.5K shares

95.8¢→96.3¢

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

No 13.4¢2.10M shares

13.4¢→21.4¢

+$169.4K (+60.2%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 98.3¢426.8K shares

98.3¢→99.6¢

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 77.6¢498.5K shares

77.6¢→85.0¢

+$37.1K (+9.6%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 14.1¢1.38M shares

14.1¢→19.9¢

+$78.4K (+40.3%)

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

No 97.8¢217.3K shares

97.8¢→99.7¢

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

No 86.0¢120.2K shares

86.0¢→85.9¢

−$224.89 (-0.2%)

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes 85.1¢96.0K shares

85.1¢→85.5¢

+$420.29 (+0.5%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 99.3¢80.0K shares

99.3¢→99.4¢

+$40.00 (+0.1%)

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 47.3¢104.6K shares

47.3¢→70.5¢

+$24.2K (+49.0%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 35.1¢122.5K shares

35.1¢→53.5¢

+$22.6K (+52.5%)

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

No 93.6¢46.1K shares

93.6¢→97.4¢

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

Yes 89.9¢52.0K shares

89.9¢→84.5¢

−$2.8K (-6.0%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?

No 91¢45.7K shares

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

No 79.2¢47.9K shares

+$4.2K (+11.2%)

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

No 78.0¢44.5K shares

78.0¢→86.5¢

+$3.8K (+10.9%)

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

No 88.7¢33.0K shares

88.7¢→95.7¢

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

No 87.9¢28.7K shares

87.9¢→97.5¢

+$2.7K (+10.8%)

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

No 84.9¢26.9K shares

84.9¢→91.5¢

Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?

No 82.9¢24.0K shares

+$2.2K (+11.0%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

Yes 74.8¢25.0K shares

74.8¢→66.5¢

−$2.1K (-11.1%)

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

No 84.9¢15.9K shares

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?

No 87.4¢17.0K shares

−$909.85 (-6.1%)

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

No 10¢50.0K shares

+$6.0K (+121.0%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?

No 94.0¢11.4K shares

94.0¢→95.5¢

+$171.04 (+1.6%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

No 87.8¢10.7K shares

87.8¢→91.5¢

+$398.59 (+4.2%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Yes 53.7¢20.0K shares

53.7¢→46.5¢

−$1.4K (-13.5%)

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

No 93.6¢8.0K shares

93.6¢→95.0¢

+$119.01 (+1.6%)

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Yes 49.0¢13.0K shares

49.0¢→52.5¢

+$455.09 (+7.1%)

Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?

No 84.2¢5.9K shares

84.2¢→92.0¢

+$453.31 (+9.1%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

No 90.2¢5.0K shares

90.2¢→97.3¢

+$352.51 (+7.8%)

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 91.6¢5.0K shares

91.6¢→91.5¢

−$4.99 (-0.1%)

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Yes 75.3¢5.0K shares

75.3¢→85.5¢

+$508.35 (+13.5%)

US recession by end of 2026?

No 79.0¢4.7K shares

+$425.00 (+11.5%)

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?

No 75.8¢5.0K shares

75.8¢→77.5¢

+$85.01 (+2.2%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 73¢5.0K shares

+$175.00 (+4.8%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?

No 92¢3.8K shares

+$18.95 (+0.5%)

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

No 61.0¢10.0K shares

61.0¢→34.5¢

−$2.7K (-43.4%)

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

No 90.7¢3.6K shares

90.7¢→94.8¢

+$147.61 (+4.5%)

Stripe IPO before 2027?

No 88.0¢2.9K shares

88.0¢→97.2¢

+$266.04 (+10.4%)

Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?

No 84.8¢2.7K shares

84.8¢→97.1¢

+$330.86 (+14.6%)

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?

No 77.2¢2.5K shares

+$394.63 (+20.4%)

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

No 91¢2.0K shares

+$50.72 (+2.7%)

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic + OpenAI 69.0¢3.0K shares

69.0¢→62.5¢

−$195.00 (-9.4%)

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

No 89¢2.0K shares

+$84.00 (+4.7%)

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

No 93¢1.9K shares

+$28.14 (+1.6%)

Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?

No 49.0¢2.0K shares

+$425.81 (+42.8%)

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Yes 28.5¢10.0K shares

28.5¢→12.5¢

−$1.6K (-56.1%)

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?

No 66.0¢1.2K shares

66.0¢→88.1¢

+$264.95 (+33.4%)

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

Yes 16¢1.7K shares

+$765.00 (+281.3%)

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 45.8¢8.0K shares

45.8¢→12.5¢

−$2.7K (-72.7%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?

No 92¢965.9 shares

+$33.81 (+3.8%)

Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

No 81.9¢1.1K shares

81.9¢→80.5¢

−$14.48 (-1.7%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes 15¢2.1K shares

+$326.08 (+103.3%)

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

Yes 13¢10.0K shares

−$740.00 (-56.9%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Yes 44.8¢1.0K shares

44.8¢→35.5¢

−$92.95 (-20.7%)

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?

No 75¢376.7 shares

+$48.98 (+17.3%)

Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?

No 83.8¢329.8 shares

83.8¢→92.8¢

+$29.99 (+10.9%)

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?

Yes 31.6¢1.0K shares

31.6¢→28.8¢

−$27.79 (-8.7%)

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?

Yes 91.1¢1.9K shares

−$1.5K (-86.8%)

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 55.0¢1,000 shares

55.0¢→11.5¢

−$435.00 (-79.1%)

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?

No 83¢70.5 shares

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 66.4¢5.0K shares

−$3.3K (-98.9%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 79.7¢10 shares

79.7¢→55.5¢

−$2.43 (-30.4%)

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

Yes 30¢2.6 shares

+$1.03 (+130.0%)