ttwong1
Flex cardJoined December 2025
Total earnings
−$2,456.15
1D
$21.79
7D
$927.48
30D
−$1.2K
90D
−$708.02
Total volume
$12.23M
Predictions
261
Positions value
$12.0K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade−$5.1K
LP+$2.0K
Maker+$598.97
Yield+$25.58
Taker+$5.38

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 99.3¢2.0K shares
99.3¢→99.4¢
$2.0K
$2.0K
$2.0K
+$1.00 (+0.1%)

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 21.2¢4.5K shares
21.2¢→19.8¢
$948.37
$4.5K
$882.47
−$65.90 (-6.9%)

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 12.5¢6.8K shares
12.5¢→12.6¢
$848.43
$6.8K
$848.65
+$0.22 (+0.0%)

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 97.9¢471.1 shares
97.9¢→97.7¢
$461.16
$471.07
$460.00
−$1.16 (-0.3%)

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
No 94.0¢490.6 shares
94.0¢→92.8¢
$461.14
$490.62
$455.05
−$6.09 (-1.3%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 84.8¢573.4 shares
84.8¢→76.5¢
$486.31
$573.36
$438.62
−$47.69 (-9.8%)

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
No 99.5¢420.1 shares
99.5¢→99.7¢
$417.99
$420.12
$418.65
+$0.65 (+0.2%)

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 92.6¢413.3 shares
92.6¢→91.3¢
$382.57
$413.30
$377.55
−$5.02 (-1.3%)

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Yes 65.1¢530.5 shares
65.1¢→66¢
$345.21
$530.51
$350.14
+$4.93 (+1.4%)

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Yes 4.0¢8.7K shares
4.0¢→3.6¢
$345.13
$8.7K
$317.09
−$28.04 (-8.1%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No 98.8¢258.1 shares
98.8¢→98.9¢
$254.98
$258.07
$255.10
+$0.13 (+0.1%)

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Yes 9.7¢2.1K shares
9.7¢→11.5¢
$205.11
$2.1K
$242.04
+$36.92 (+18.0%)

Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
Yes 6.6¢4.3K shares
6.6¢→5¢
$285.91
$4.3K
$217.22
−$68.70 (-24.0%)

Iran leadership change by December 31?
Yes 25.2¢919.4 shares
25.2¢→23.5¢
$231.79
$919.45
$216.07
−$15.72 (-6.8%)

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
No 91.6¢238.7 shares
91.6¢→89.5¢
$218.74
$238.66
$213.60
−$5.15 (-2.4%)

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Yes 7.4¢3.0K shares
7.4¢→7.1¢
$220.24
$3.0K
$211.58
−$8.66 (-3.9%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Yes 3.0¢7.2K shares
3.0¢→2.8¢
$216.14
$7.2K
$198.48
−$17.65 (-8.2%)

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 98.0¢200 shares
98.0¢→97.9¢
$196.10
$200.00
$195.70
−$0.40 (-0.2%)

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 95.2¢200 shares
95.2¢→94.8¢
$190.40
$200.00
$189.70
−$0.70 (-0.4%)

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
Yes 12.8¢1.5K shares
12.8¢→11.5¢
$192.70
$1.5K
$173.43
−$19.27 (-10.0%)

Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026?
Yes 15.5¢1.1K shares
15.5¢→14.5¢
$169.98
$1.1K
$158.57
−$11.42 (-6.7%)

Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
Yes 22.6¢831.1 shares
22.6¢→18¢
$187.96
$831.13
$149.60
−$38.36 (-20.4%)

Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 1.7¢10.5K shares
1.7¢→1.4¢
$178.49
$10.5K
$142.21
−$36.29 (-20.3%)

Will Relay launch a token by June 30, 2027?
No 71.2¢150 shares
71.2¢→70.5¢
$106.79
$149.99
$105.74
−$1.05 (-1.0%)

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Yes 15.8¢715 shares
15.8¢→13.5¢
$113.29
$714.97
$96.52
−$16.77 (-14.8%)

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Yes 24.5¢400.1 shares
24.5¢→23.5¢
$98.02
$400.09
$94.02
−$4.00 (-4.1%)

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
Yes 10.7¢927.8 shares
10.7¢→9.5¢
$99.73
$927.79
$88.14
−$11.59 (-11.6%)

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 2.3¢3.5K shares
2.3¢→2.3¢
$80.61
$3.5K
$77.82
−$2.79 (-3.5%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Yes 8.4¢1.4K shares
8.4¢→5.5¢
$117.20
$1.4K
$77.00
−$40.20 (-34.3%)

Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
Yes 17.7¢654.1 shares
17.7¢→11.5¢
$115.87
$654.06
$75.22
−$40.65 (-35.1%)

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 1.6¢5.1K shares
1.6¢→1.5¢
$81.64
$5.1K
$74.34
−$7.31 (-8.9%)

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 5.1¢1.5K shares
5.1¢→5.1¢
$74.45
$1.5K
$74.30
−$0.14 (-0.2%)

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?
Yes 1.0¢8.2K shares
1.0¢→0.9¢
$83.59
$8.2K
$73.51
−$10.08 (-12.1%)

AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?
Yes 24.8¢291.7 shares
24.8¢→24.5¢
$72.38
$291.72
$71.47
−$0.91 (-1.3%)

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Yes 3.1¢2.1K shares
3.1¢→3.4¢
$66.29
$2.1K
$70.57
+$4.28 (+6.5%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Yes 19.5¢9.1K shares
19.5¢→0.8¢
$1.8K
$9.1K
$68.03
−$1.7K (-96.2%)

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?
Yes 13.4¢854.7 shares
13.4¢→7.5¢
$114.91
$854.66
$64.10
−$50.81 (-44.2%)

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Yes 5.5¢1.6K shares
5.5¢→3.9¢
$89.02
$1.6K
$63.19
−$25.84 (-29.0%)

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Yes 9.8¢699.9 shares
9.8¢→8.5¢
$68.55
$699.95
$59.50
−$9.05 (-13.2%)

Trump out as President before 2027?
Yes 7.1¢900 shares
7.1¢→6.5¢
$64.33
$900.00
$58.50
−$5.83 (-9.1%)

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Yes 4.4¢1.3K shares
4.4¢→4.3¢
$57.60
$1.3K
$57.11
−$0.49 (-0.9%)

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Yes 13.3¢442.2 shares
13.3¢→12.5¢
$58.88
$442.23
$55.28
−$3.60 (-6.1%)

Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
Yes 5.5¢1.6K shares
5.5¢→3.4¢
$88.75
$1.6K
$54.11
−$34.64 (-39.0%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes 9.4¢600 shares
9.4¢→8.5¢
$56.67
$599.99
$51.00
−$5.67 (-10.0%)

Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
Yes 13.9¢316.9 shares
13.9¢→16¢
$43.99
$316.93
$50.71
+$6.72 (+15.3%)

Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?
Yes 5.3¢1.1K shares
5.3¢→4.5¢
$59.37
$1.1K
$49.92
−$9.45 (-15.9%)

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 2.8¢3.0K shares
2.8¢→1.6¢
$82.50
$3.0K
$48.00
−$34.50 (-41.8%)

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Yes 18.4¢194 shares
18.4¢→24.5¢
$35.69
$194.01
$47.53
+$11.85 (+33.2%)

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 2.2¢2.0K shares
2.2¢→2.4¢
$44.63
$2.0K
$47.00
+$2.37 (+5.3%)

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes 1.6¢2.8K shares
1.6¢→1.5¢
$44.06
$2.8K
$41.73
−$2.33 (-5.3%)

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Yes 14.3¢264.8 shares
14.3¢→15.5¢
$37.81
$264.79
$41.04
+$3.24 (+8.6%)

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 1.3¢4.1K shares
1.3¢→1¢
$51.99
$4.1K
$40.85
−$11.14 (-21.4%)

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Yes 9.1¢422 shares
9.1¢→9.5¢
$38.52
$422.03
$40.09
+$1.58 (+4.1%)

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
Yes 3.3¢1.4K shares
3.3¢→2.6¢
$45.21
$1.4K
$35.86
−$9.35 (-20.7%)

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?
Yes 4.3¢929.6 shares
4.3¢→3.8¢
$40.31
$929.59
$34.86
−$5.45 (-13.5%)

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Yes 6.3¢610.1 shares
6.3¢→5.5¢
$38.76
$610.09
$33.56
−$5.21 (-13.4%)

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 1.2¢2.7K shares
1.2¢→1.1¢
$31.75
$2.7K
$31.20
−$0.55 (-1.7%)

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 1.4¢2.0K shares
1.4¢→1.6¢
$27.84
$2.0K
$30.44
+$2.60 (+9.3%)

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Yes 6.2¢275.8 shares
6.2¢→10.5¢
$17.04
$275.75
$28.95
+$11.91 (+69.9%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes 3.5¢698.3 shares
3.5¢→3.8¢
$24.81
$698.30
$26.19
+$1.38 (+5.5%)

Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Yes 2.6¢1.1K shares
2.6¢→2.5¢
$27.48
$1.1K
$26.17
−$1.31 (-4.8%)

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Yes 12¢200 shares
12¢→12.5¢
$24.00
$200.01
$25.00
+$1.00 (+4.2%)

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 1.6¢1.4K shares
1.6¢→1.8¢
$22.40
$1.4K
$24.97
+$2.57 (+11.5%)

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Yes 9.8¢261.4 shares
9.8¢→9.5¢
$25.56
$261.38
$24.83
−$0.73 (-2.9%)

Will Relay launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Yes 14.1¢195 shares
14.1¢→12.5¢
$27.51
$195.00
$24.38
−$3.14 (-11.4%)

JD Vance out as VP by December 31?
Yes 7.0¢400 shares
7.0¢→6¢
$28.00
$400.00
$24.00
−$4.00 (-14.3%)

Tim Walz in jail by December 31?
Yes 6¢400 shares
6¢→6¢
$24.00
$400.00
$24.00
+$0.00 (+0.0%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 0.5¢16.0K shares
0.5¢→0.1¢
$81.68
$16.0K
$24.00
−$57.68 (-70.6%)

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?
No 47.3¢71.5 shares
47.3¢→32.5¢
$33.82
$71.49
$23.24
−$10.58 (-31.3%)

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Yes 1.6¢1.4K shares
1.6¢→1.7¢
$22.43
$1.4K
$22.87
+$0.43 (+1.9%)

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Yes 3.3¢890.2 shares
3.3¢→2.5¢
$29.06
$890.23
$22.61
−$6.45 (-22.2%)

SBF released from custody in 2026?
Yes 4.9¢437.4 shares
4.9¢→5.1¢
$21.53
$437.36
$22.09
+$0.55 (+2.6%)

Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.8¢3.4K shares
0.8¢→0.7¢
$26.22
$3.4K
$21.97
−$4.25 (-16.2%)

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 4.9¢420 shares
4.9¢→4.9¢
$20.39
$419.99
$20.37
−$0.02 (-0.1%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 0.6¢4.5K shares
0.6¢→0.4¢
$28.53
$4.5K
$20.11
−$8.42 (-29.5%)

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Yes 7.0¢300 shares
7.0¢→6.5¢
$21.00
$300.00
$19.50
−$1.50 (-7.1%)

China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Yes 7.6¢258.7 shares
7.6¢→7.5¢
$19.64
$258.67
$19.40
−$0.24 (-1.2%)

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Yes 9¢200 shares
9¢→9.5¢
$18.00
$200.00
$19.00
+$1.00 (+5.6%)

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 19.8¢90.7 shares
19.8¢→20.3¢
$17.99
$90.75
$18.38
+$0.38 (+2.1%)

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.4¢1.7K shares
1.4¢→1.1¢
$24.33
$1.7K
$17.87
−$6.46 (-26.5%)

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Yes 2.6¢669.2 shares
2.6¢→2.6¢
$17.42
$669.24
$17.73
+$0.32 (+1.8%)

Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 2.5¢843.1 shares
2.5¢→2.1¢
$21.45
$843.12
$17.71
−$3.74 (-17.4%)

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
Yes 0.5¢5.0K shares
0.5¢→0.4¢
$26.17
$5.0K
$17.64
−$8.53 (-32.6%)

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 1.1¢1.7K shares
1.1¢→1.1¢
$18.42
$1.7K
$17.51
−$0.92 (-5.0%)

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
Yes 5.0¢375.3 shares
5.0¢→4.5¢
$18.83
$375.29
$16.89
−$1.94 (-10.3%)

Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.7¢3.0K shares
0.7¢→0.5¢
$22.49
$3.0K
$16.50
−$5.99 (-26.6%)

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?
Yes 3.8¢400 shares
3.8¢→3.8¢
$15.33
$400.00
$15.00
−$0.33 (-2.2%)

New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31?
Yes 0.5¢5.8K shares
0.5¢→0.3¢
$28.08
$5.8K
$14.52
−$13.55 (-48.3%)

Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by July 31?
Yes 0.8¢5.3K shares
0.8¢→0.3¢
$40.58
$5.3K
$13.35
−$27.24 (-67.1%)

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.3¢1.4K shares
1.3¢→0.9¢
$17.50
$1.4K
$13.30
−$4.20 (-24.0%)

Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Yes 55.5¢20.4 shares
55.5¢→60¢
$11.31
$20.37
$12.22
+$0.91 (+8.0%)

Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Yes 1.6¢1.9K shares
1.6¢→0.7¢
$30.81
$1.9K
$12.20
−$18.61 (-60.4%)

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Yes 4.6¢233.2 shares
4.6¢→4.8¢
$10.73
$233.18
$11.08
+$0.35 (+3.2%)

Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Yes 5.2¢1.1K shares
5.2¢→1¢
$57.03
$1.1K
$10.97
−$46.07 (-80.8%)

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 2.6¢400 shares
2.6¢→2.6¢
$10.53
$400.00
$10.60
+$0.07 (+0.6%)

Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
No 95¢11.2 shares
95¢→94.7¢
$10.61
$11.17
$10.57
−$0.04 (-0.4%)

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 2.3¢426.4 shares
2.3¢→2.4¢
$9.75
$426.43
$10.02
+$0.27 (+2.8%)

AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?
Yes 5¢200 shares
5¢→4.5¢
$10.00
$200.00
$9.00
−$1.00 (-10.0%)

Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by November 30, 2026?
Yes 11.2¢69.3 shares
11.2¢→11¢
$7.76
$69.28
$7.62
−$0.14 (-1.8%)

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 1.1¢686.4 shares
1.1¢→1.1¢
$7.41
$686.35
$7.55
+$0.14 (+1.9%)
