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PolyScalping

Warren-Buffett

Joined October 2025

Total earnings

$118,892.89
1D
−$11.2K
7D
−$8.9K
30D
−$14.7K
90D
−$85.4K
Total volume
$30.14M
Predictions
1,614
Positions value
$52.3K
Performance
+$113.3K
+$4,653.85
+$711.64
+$74.90
+$165.14
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
Yes 89.5¢10.0K shares
$9.0K
+$371.16 (+4.3%)
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No 84.5¢10.0K shares
$8.5K
+$1.5K (+21.0%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
No 37¢10.0K shares
$3.7K
+$485.03 (+15.0%)
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
Yes 92.5¢3.3K shares
$3.0K
+$1.2K (+65.4%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
No 80.5¢3.5K shares
$2.8K
+$781.59 (+39.1%)
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes 63.5¢4.0K shares
$2.5K
−$823.63 (-24.5%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No 85.5¢2.0K shares
$1.7K
+$175.00 (+11.4%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Yes 15.5¢10.0K shares
$1.6K
−$1.0K (-39.8%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 27.7¢5.1K shares
$1.4K
+$659.48 (+88.5%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?
Yes 8.5¢16.2K shares
$1.4K
−$503.87 (-26.7%)
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
Yes 11.5¢11.9K shares
$1.4K
−$1.3K (-48.1%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
Yes 4.5¢28.3K shares
$1.3K
−$324.13 (-20.3%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 98.5¢1.3K shares
$1.2K
+$516.44 (+70.4%)
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Yes 13.5¢8.3K shares
$1.1K
+$239.45 (+27.2%)
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No 89¢1.1K shares
$1.0K
+$23.62 (+2.4%)
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Yes 18.5¢5.0K shares
$920.85
+$379.72 (+70.2%)
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?
Yes 9¢10.0K shares
$900.00
−$410.07 (-31.3%)
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
No 82.5¢1,000 shares
$825.00
+$55.00 (+7.1%)
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Yes 13.5¢5.8K shares
$788.58
+$300.64 (+61.6%)
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?
Yes 14.5¢4.8K shares
$702.42
+$24.22 (+3.6%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Yes 37¢1.9K shares
$701.31
−$145.04 (-17.1%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 10.5¢6.5K shares
$685.38
−$97.91 (-12.5%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Yes 8.5¢7.0K shares
$595.00
−$574.99 (-49.1%)
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?
Yes 12¢4.8K shares
$570.00
−$95.00 (-14.3%)
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Yes 85¢593.5 shares
$504.51
+$81.84 (+19.4%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 1.6¢29.9K shares
$477.62
−$22.67 (-4.5%)
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
Yes 12¢3.7K shares
$443.98
−$1.7K (-79.4%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Yes 46¢735.3 shares
$338.22
+$164.41 (+94.6%)
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
No 15.4¢2.0K shares
$309.00
−$1.0K (-76.4%)
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?
Yes 94.3¢300 shares
$283.05
−$10.35 (-3.5%)
No one announced as next James Bond?
No 85.7¢300 shares
$257.10
+$59.10 (+29.8%)
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Yes 6¢4.0K shares
$239.98
−$250.17 (-51.0%)
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
Yes 7.0¢3.0K shares
$210.00
−$1.2K (-84.9%)
Nothing Ever Happens: October
Nothing 99.7¢170 shares
$169.47
+$16.49 (+10.8%)
Will there be 2 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?
Yes 34.5¢448 shares
$154.57
−$75.91 (-32.9%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
Yes 4.0¢3.6K shares
$144.08
−$14.42 (-9.1%)
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Yes 13.4¢1.0K shares
$133.50
−$756.50 (-85.0%)
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
Yes 13¢1.0K shares
$130.00
−$80.00 (-38.1%)
Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?
Yes 72¢144.7 shares
$104.18
+$40.52 (+63.6%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
No 96.8¢87.4 shares
$84.64
+$5.95 (+7.6%)
Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026?
No 91.5¢50 shares
$45.75
+$0.75 (+1.7%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
Yes 1.1¢2.2K shares
$24.61
−$41.93 (-63.0%)
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Yes 2.4¢486.1 shares
$11.67
−$38.38 (-76.7%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 2.3¢484 shares
$10.89
+$3.05 (+38.9%)
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?
Yes 11.5¢75.4 shares
$8.67
−$14.46 (-62.5%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Yes 0.1¢10.0K shares
$5.00
−$1.9K (-99.7%)
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
No 0.1¢2.1K shares
$1.07
−$752.47 (-99.9%)
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Yes 0¢5.0K shares
Lost
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Yes 0¢2.0K shares
Lost
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes 0¢5.8K shares
Lost
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No 0¢5.0K shares
Lost
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Yes 0¢5.0K shares
Lost
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Yes 0¢2.0K shares
Lost