RisottoPasta
Flex cardJoined April 2026
Total earnings
$10,612.43
1D
$362.93
7D
$2.0K
30D
$9.7K
90D
−$5.2K
Total volume
$7.49M
Predictions
1,081
Positions value
$10.7K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade−$43.5K
LP+$50.1K
Maker+$8.1K
Yield+$5.53
Taker+$205.17
Fees−$4.3K

Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
No 91¢3.0K shares
91¢→99.5¢
$2.7K
$3.0K
$3.0K
+$252.91 (+9.3%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 3.1¢4.5K shares
3.1¢→23.6¢
$140.63
$4.5K
$1.1K
+$923.63 (+656.8%)

Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No 83.0¢736.1 shares
83.0¢→87.5¢
$611.21
$736.09
$644.08
+$32.87 (+5.4%)

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Yes 72.8¢862.4 shares
72.8¢→66¢
$627.70
$862.37
$569.16
−$58.54 (-9.3%)

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals 44.0¢1.0K shares
44.0¢→42.5¢
$440.67
$1.0K
$425.73
−$14.94 (-3.4%)

Will Paul Skenes strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?
No 91.5¢378 shares
91.5¢→95.8¢
$345.87
$378.00
$362.12
+$16.25 (+4.7%)

Will Ben Rice win the 2026 American League MVP Award?
No 93.0¢342 shares
93.0¢→96.8¢
$318.06
$342.00
$331.06
+$13.00 (+4.1%)

Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
No 72.9¢510 shares
72.9¢→62.5¢
$371.75
$510.00
$318.75
−$53.00 (-14.3%)

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Yes 59¢500 shares
59¢→58.5¢
$295.00
$500.00
$292.50
−$2.50 (-0.8%)

Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?
Yes 90¢220.7 shares
90¢→94¢
$198.60
$220.67
$207.43
+$8.83 (+4.4%)

Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?
No 91.3¢205 shares
91.3¢→97.2¢
$187.21
$205.00
$199.16
+$11.94 (+6.4%)

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
New York Yankees 59.9¢325.4 shares
59.9¢→59.5¢
$194.97
$325.43
$193.63
−$1.34 (-0.7%)
Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?
Yes 84.7¢207 shares
84.7¢→87.5¢
$175.36
$206.96
$180.99
+$5.63 (+3.2%)

Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No 21.6¢476.1 shares
21.6¢→37¢
$102.63
$476.13
$176.17
+$73.54 (+71.7%)

Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Yes 56.5¢508.5 shares
56.5¢→32.5¢
$287.24
$508.51
$165.27
−$121.98 (-42.5%)

Base FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No 22.5¢420.4 shares
22.5¢→38¢
$94.74
$420.44
$159.77
+$65.03 (+68.6%)

Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Yes 79.9¢177.9 shares
79.9¢→82.5¢
$142.25
$177.94
$146.80
+$4.55 (+3.2%)

Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31?
Stripe 73¢505 shares
73¢→27¢
$368.70
$505.00
$136.35
−$232.35 (-63.0%)

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Yes 42.5¢318.5 shares
42.5¢→40.3¢
$135.26
$318.53
$128.21
−$7.05 (-5.2%)

Will Jesús Luzardo strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?
No 96.2¢123.2 shares
96.2¢→99.1¢
$118.55
$123.23
$122.06
+$3.51 (+3.0%)

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?
Down 97¢166.7 shares
97¢→72.8¢
$161.67
$166.67
$121.25
−$40.42 (-25.0%)

Will Bobby Witt Jr. hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?
No 96¢100 shares
96¢→99.2¢
$96.00
$100.00
$99.15
+$3.15 (+3.3%)

Will Chandler Simpson hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?
No 95.5¢100 shares
95.5¢→98.7¢
$95.50
$100.00
$98.70
+$3.20 (+3.4%)
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?
No 87¢100 shares
87¢→98.5¢
$86.99
$99.99
$98.49
+$11.50 (+13.2%)

Will Luis Arraez hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?
No 93.1¢100 shares
93.1¢→98.5¢
$93.10
$100.00
$98.45
+$5.35 (+5.7%)

Will José Ramírez lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season?
No 91¢100 shares
91¢→98.0¢
$91.00
$100.00
$97.95
+$6.95 (+7.6%)

Will Chase DeLauter win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?
No 93¢100 shares
93¢→95.9¢
$93.00
$100.00
$95.90
+$2.90 (+3.1%)

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 32.0¢1.4K shares
32.0¢→6.5¢
$434.88
$1.4K
$88.25
−$346.63 (-79.7%)

Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Yes 92.4¢91.8 shares
92.4¢→94.1¢
$84.80
$91.78
$86.36
+$1.56 (+1.8%)
Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?
Yes 94.0¢195 shares
94.0¢→42.1¢
$183.35
$195.00
$82.10
−$101.25 (-55.2%)

California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition
Yes 45.4¢210 shares
45.4¢→35¢
$95.30
$209.99
$73.50
−$21.80 (-22.9%)

Will Xavier Edwards hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?
No 94.3¢65 shares
94.3¢→98.0¢
$61.30
$64.97
$63.64
+$2.34 (+3.8%)

California Clinic Funding Proposition
No 55.9¢104.2 shares
55.9¢→60¢
$58.20
$104.15
$62.49
+$4.29 (+7.4%)

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
No 87.1¢71.7 shares
87.1¢→80¢
$62.47
$71.74
$57.39
−$5.07 (-8.1%)

Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU?
Yes 1.6¢1.7K shares
1.6¢→3.2¢
$27.35
$1.7K
$54.10
+$26.75 (+97.8%)

Will CJ Abrams lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?
No 96.4¢65 shares
96.4¢→57.5¢
$62.68
$65.00
$37.34
−$25.34 (-40.4%)

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 36.2¢96.8 shares
36.2¢→37.6¢
$35.02
$96.79
$36.44
+$1.42 (+4.1%)

Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Yes 19.9¢198 shares
19.9¢→17¢
$39.31
$197.95
$33.65
−$5.66 (-14.4%)

Will Yandy Díaz have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?
No 91.1¢34.6 shares
91.1¢→93¢
$31.50
$34.56
$32.14
+$0.64 (+2.0%)

Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?
Yes 1.4¢100 shares
1.4¢→28.0¢
$1.41
$100.00
$28.00
+$26.59 (+1888.2%)

Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?
Yes 49.7¢60 shares
49.7¢→42¢
$29.80
$60.00
$25.20
−$4.60 (-15.4%)
Will LeBron's next contract average $10M-$15M per year?
No 85¢20 shares
85¢→100.0¢
$17.00
$20.00
$19.99
+$2.99 (+17.6%)

Will Drake Baldwin lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?
No 96.4¢20 shares
96.4¢→99.8¢
$19.28
$20.00
$19.96
+$0.68 (+3.5%)

Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Yes 17¢168.8 shares
17¢→11.5¢
$28.70
$168.83
$19.42
−$9.29 (-32.4%)

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 95.8¢20 shares
95.8¢→96.3¢
$19.16
$20.01
$19.25
+$0.10 (+0.5%)

Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
No 4¢361.6 shares
4¢→5.3¢
$14.46
$361.59
$19.16
+$4.70 (+32.5%)

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 3.1¢3.9K shares
3.1¢→0.4¢
$120.39
$3.9K
$17.34
−$103.06 (-85.6%)

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 45.2¢30.7 shares
45.2¢→48.4¢
$13.89
$30.72
$14.89
+$1.00 (+7.2%)

Will Joe Biden be arrested before 2027?
No 98.3¢15 shares
98.3¢→97.8¢
$14.75
$15.00
$14.67
−$0.07 (-0.5%)

Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?
No 94.3¢15.1 shares
94.3¢→96.6¢
$14.20
$15.06
$14.55
+$0.35 (+2.4%)

Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Yes 31¢52.6 shares
31¢→26¢
$16.32
$52.63
$13.68
−$2.63 (-16.1%)

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 87.6¢15 shares
87.6¢→90.5¢
$13.13
$15.00
$13.58
+$0.45 (+3.4%)

Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?
No 16¢222 shares
16¢→6.0¢
$35.52
$222.00
$13.43
−$22.09 (-62.2%)

Will Jessica Shepard have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?
Yes 2¢21 shares
2¢→62¢
$0.42
$21.00
$13.02
+$12.60 (+3000.0%)

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 77.4¢15 shares
77.4¢→84.7¢
$11.62
$15.01
$12.70
+$1.08 (+9.3%)
Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?
Yes 94.1¢39.5 shares
94.1¢→28.0¢
$37.18
$39.50
$11.06
−$26.12 (-70.3%)

Will Anthropic's public ticker be $APBC?
Yes 1.9¢815.1 shares
1.9¢→1.3¢
$15.78
$815.11
$10.60
−$5.19 (-32.9%)

Will Elly De La Cruz hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?
No 95¢10 shares
95¢→99.9¢
$9.50
$10.00
$9.99
+$0.49 (+5.2%)

Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
No 83¢10 shares
83¢→99.1¢
$8.30
$10.00
$9.91
+$1.61 (+19.4%)

Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?
Yes 6.4¢234.8 shares
6.4¢→4.2¢
$15.10
$234.80
$9.86
−$5.24 (-34.7%)

Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
No 87.5¢10 shares
87.5¢→94.5¢
$8.75
$10.00
$9.46
+$0.71 (+8.1%)

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
No 85.5¢10 shares
85.5¢→91.5¢
$8.55
$10.01
$9.16
+$0.60 (+7.0%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 77¢10 shares
77¢→77.6¢
$7.70
$10.00
$7.77
+$0.06 (+0.8%)

Will Yordan Alvarez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?
No 91.1¢9.5 shares
91.1¢→76.5¢
$8.61
$9.45
$7.23
−$1.38 (-16.0%)

Will Yandy Díaz have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?
Yes 1.4¢100 shares
1.4¢→7.0¢
$1.41
$100.00
$7.00
+$5.59 (+397.0%)

Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?
No 81.6¢8.4 shares
81.6¢→81.5¢
$6.83
$8.37
$6.82
−$0.01 (-0.1%)

Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Yes 46¢12.2 shares
46¢→51.5¢
$5.62
$12.21
$6.29
+$0.67 (+12.0%)

California Rainy Day Fund Proposition
No 54¢20 shares
54¢→29.8¢
$10.80
$20.00
$5.95
−$4.85 (-44.9%)

Will T1 Esports Academy win LCK CL 2026?
No 63.9¢9.9 shares
63.9¢→54.5¢
$6.35
$9.93
$5.42
−$0.93 (-14.6%)

Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?
Yes 91¢5.3 shares
91¢→94.5¢
$4.84
$5.32
$5.03
+$0.19 (+3.8%)

Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?
No 87¢5 shares
87¢→95.7¢
$4.35
$5.00
$4.78
+$0.43 (+9.9%)

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 93.7¢5 shares
93.7¢→95.5¢
$4.69
$5.00
$4.77
+$0.09 (+1.9%)

Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No 94.1¢5 shares
94.1¢→95.3¢
$4.71
$5.00
$4.76
+$0.06 (+1.2%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No 93.4¢5 shares
93.4¢→93.6¢
$4.67
$5.00
$4.68
+$0.01 (+0.2%)

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 93¢5 shares
93¢→93.5¢
$4.65
$5.00
$4.68
+$0.02 (+0.5%)

Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
No 93.0¢5 shares
93.0¢→91.5¢
$4.66
$5.01
$4.58
−$0.07 (-1.6%)

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No 85¢5 shares
85¢→91.5¢
$4.25
$5.00
$4.58
+$0.33 (+7.6%)

Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
No 83¢5 shares
83¢→90.5¢
$4.15
$5.00
$4.53
+$0.38 (+9.0%)

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?
Google 90¢5 shares
90¢→90.5¢
$4.50
$5.00
$4.53
+$0.03 (+0.6%)

Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes 69.0¢5 shares
69.0¢→66.5¢
$3.45
$5.00
$3.33
−$0.12 (-3.6%)

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 59¢5 shares
59¢→63.5¢
$2.95
$5.00
$3.18
+$0.23 (+7.6%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 50¢5 shares
50¢→63.5¢
$2.50
$5.00
$3.18
+$0.67 (+27.0%)

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 28.4¢10 shares
28.4¢→31.4¢
$2.84
$10.00
$3.13
+$0.29 (+10.4%)

Will T1 make a roster change before September?
No 90¢5 shares
90¢→60.5¢
$4.50
$5.00
$3.03
−$1.48 (-32.8%)

Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?
No 6.5¢6.0K shares
6.5¢→0.1¢
$391.51
$6.0K
$3.00
−$388.51 (-99.2%)

Will Dylan Cease strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?
No 95.3¢3.2 shares
95.3¢→88.6¢
$3.04
$3.19
$2.83
−$0.21 (-7.0%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
No 36¢5 shares
36¢→55.5¢
$1.80
$5.00
$2.78
+$0.98 (+54.2%)

Will Junior Caminero lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?
Yes 5¢5.7 shares
5¢→31.4¢
$0.29
$5.70
$1.79
+$1.50 (+527.0%)

Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Yes 13.1¢100 shares
13.1¢→1.7¢
$13.10
$100.00
$1.65
−$11.45 (-87.4%)

US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Yes 50¢5 shares
50¢→32.5¢
$2.50
$5.00
$1.63
−$0.88 (-35.0%)

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5
Under 56.0¢2.6 shares
56.0¢→57.5¢
$1.44
$2.58
$1.48
+$0.04 (+2.7%)

Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)
St. Louis Cardinals 27¢4.4 shares
27¢→29.5¢
$1.18
$4.38
$1.29
+$0.11 (+9.2%)

Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
No 92¢1.4 shares
92¢→90¢
$1.32
$1.43
$1.29
−$0.03 (-2.2%)

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 13.8¢10 shares
13.8¢→12.4¢
$1.38
$10.00
$1.25
−$0.14 (-9.8%)

Will Taylor Ward lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?
Yes 5¢80 shares
5¢→1.6¢
$4.00
$80.00
$1.24
−$2.76 (-69.0%)

Will Nico Hoerner have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?
Yes 3.2¢200 shares
3.2¢→0.5¢
$6.41
$200.00
$1.10
−$5.31 (-82.8%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 5.2¢5 shares
5.2¢→21.9¢
$0.26
$5.00
$1.10
+$0.84 (+321.2%)

Will S.O.S. Romania (SOS) be included in the next Romanian government?
No 89¢1.1 shares
89¢→98.5¢
$0.94
$1.06
$1.04
+$0.10 (+10.7%)

Will Drake Baldwin have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?
Yes 1.4¢100 shares
1.4¢→0.9¢
$1.41
$100.00
$0.85
−$0.56 (-39.6%)

Will Taylor Ward lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?
Yes 2.7¢100 shares
2.7¢→0.9¢
$2.70
$100.00
$0.85
−$1.85 (-68.5%)
