troim

Joined January 2026

Total earnings

$99,412.42

1D

$1.5K

7D

$3.1K

30D

−$5.6K

90D

$42.8K

Total volume

$27.88M

Predictions

994

Positions value

$96.1K

PerformancePerformance over all time

Trade+$92.0K

LP+$6.3K

Maker+$3.0K

Yield+$33.77

Taker+$49.02

Fees−$1.8K

of 3.1M wallets

of 3.1M wallets

of 3.1M wallets

of 177k earners

of 139k earners

of 335k earners

Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

No 52.3¢10.0K shares

52.3¢→100.0¢

+$4.8K (+91.3%)

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

No 51.6¢10.0K shares

51.6¢→58.5¢

+$691.02 (+13.4%)

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 60.2¢7.0K shares

60.2¢→82.0¢

+$1.5K (+36.0%)

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Yes 57.8¢8.1K shares

57.8¢→54.5¢

−$272.59 (-5.8%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?

No 89.0¢4.0K shares

89.0¢→94.7¢

+$228.04 (+6.4%)

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 56.0¢6.0K shares

56.0¢→56.5¢

+$29.40 (+0.9%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 77.1¢4.0K shares

77.1¢→80.2¢

+$122.00 (+4.0%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 81.8¢4.0K shares

81.8¢→78.5¢

−$128.00 (-3.9%)

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

No 83.0¢3.0K shares

83.0¢→97.0¢

+$421.50 (+16.9%)

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 74.7¢3.0K shares

74.7¢→92.9¢

+$545.64 (+24.3%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?

Yes 50.1¢3.6K shares

+$572.00 (+31.7%)

Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?

No 24.2¢4.0K shares

24.2¢→53.5¢

+$1.2K (+120.6%)

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

No 61.0¢3.0K shares

61.0¢→64.5¢

+$105.01 (+5.7%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?

No 86.5¢2.0K shares

86.5¢→91.0¢

+$91.00 (+5.3%)

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

No 66.1¢2.3K shares

66.1¢→78.5¢

+$281.60 (+18.7%)

Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?

No 34.0¢7.0K shares

34.0¢→25.5¢

−$594.98 (-25.0%)

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

No 71¢2.0K shares

+$290.00 (+20.4%)

Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

No 46.3¢2.0K shares

46.3¢→80.5¢

+$684.05 (+73.9%)

Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?

Yes 24.3¢1.6K shares

24.3¢→98.0¢

+$1.2K (+303.7%)

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 72.5¢2.0K shares

72.5¢→77.6¢

+$103.38 (+7.1%)

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 17.3¢4.0K shares

17.3¢→37.8¢

+$820.30 (+117.9%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

No 57.0¢2.0K shares

57.0¢→73.5¢

+$330.00 (+28.9%)

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

No 39.7¢6.0K shares

39.7¢→22.5¢

−$1.0K (-43.3%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?

Yes 14.2¢6.0K shares

14.2¢→21.5¢

+$435.02 (+50.9%)

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

No 56.0¢2.0K shares

56.0¢→60.5¢

+$90.00 (+8.0%)

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

No 24.9¢1.6K shares

+$754.26 (+189.6%)

Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?

Yes 90.8¢1.0K shares

90.8¢→95.8¢

+$49.50 (+5.5%)

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

No 38.6¢3.0K shares

38.6¢→30.5¢

−$242.39 (-20.9%)

Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?

No 84.4¢900 shares

84.4¢→100.0¢

+$140.15 (+18.5%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?

Yes 64¢1.0K shares

+$255.00 (+39.8%)

Israel closes its airspace by August 15?

No 66.1¢1.0K shares

66.1¢→81.5¢

+$153.50 (+23.2%)

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 65¢800 shares

+$268.79 (+51.7%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?

Yes 16.7¢2.0K shares

16.7¢→37.5¢

+$416.68 (+125.0%)

Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?

No 77.0¢1.0K shares

−$40.00 (-5.2%)

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

No 14.0¢1.0K shares

+$580.00 (+414.3%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 23.0¢3.0K shares

23.0¢→23.5¢

+$15.00 (+2.2%)

Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Yes 37¢1.0K shares

+$300.00 (+81.1%)

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Yes 52¢2.0K shares

−$390.00 (-37.5%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

Yes 13¢4.0K shares

+$100.00 (+19.2%)

Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?

No 73¢800 shares

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

No 61¢1,000 shares

−$45.10 (-7.4%)

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Yes 33¢2.0K shares

−$110.00 (-16.7%)

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?

Yes 69.0¢800 shares

69.0¢→68.5¢

−$4.00 (-0.7%)

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

No 28.2¢2.0K shares

28.2¢→27.3¢

−$19.86 (-3.5%)

Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by July 31?

No 61.3¢597.8 shares

61.3¢→90.5¢

+$174.78 (+47.7%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

Yes 22¢3.0K shares

−$120.01 (-18.2%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?

Yes 62¢531.7 shares

+$199.91 (+60.6%)

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Yes 25¢4.0K shares

−$500.00 (-50.0%)

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

No 58.0¢1.0K shares

58.0¢→46.5¢

−$115.00 (-19.8%)

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?

Yes 16¢2.0K shares

+$120.00 (+37.5%)

Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 63¢800 shares

−$103.68 (-20.6%)

Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?

Yes 62¢529.5 shares

+$50.31 (+15.3%)

Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?

No 51¢371.7 shares

+$181.97 (+96.0%)

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Yes 53.5¢2.0K shares

53.5¢→18.5¢

−$702.22 (-65.4%)

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

No 12¢2.5K shares

+$62.92 (+20.8%)

Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

No 36¢1.0K shares

−$20.00 (-5.6%)

Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?

Yes 47¢400 shares

+$142.00 (+75.5%)

US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?

No 43¢1.0K shares

−$110.00 (-25.6%)

Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?

Yes 21¢600 shares

+$162.00 (+128.6%)

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?

Yes 34.6¢1.4K shares

34.6¢→19.5¢

−$211.00 (-43.6%)

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Yes 28.5¢2.0K shares

−$309.98 (-54.4%)

Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

No 31¢549.1 shares

+$74.13 (+43.5%)

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

No 21¢285.7 shares

+$172.79 (+288.0%)

Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Yes 29.0¢800 shares

29.0¢→29.0¢

US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?

Yes 14.1¢1.6K shares

14.1¢→14.5¢

Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?

Yes 11¢471.4 shares

+$172.05 (+331.8%)

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

Yes 26¢800 shares

+$12.00 (+5.8%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?

Yes 17¢2.0K shares

−$130.00 (-38.2%)

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 5.8¢3.0K shares

+$24.00 (+13.8%)

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Yes 14.0¢3.0K shares

−$225.00 (-53.6%)

Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?

Yes 16.0¢2.0K shares

−$129.99 (-40.6%)

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?

Yes 90¢196.1 shares

Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?

No 32¢800 shares

−$80.00 (-31.3%)

Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?

Yes 51¢400 shares

−$32.00 (-15.7%)

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?

Yes 32¢2.0K shares

−$489.99 (-76.6%)

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Yes 8.3¢2.0K shares

−$29.00 (-17.5%)

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Yes 5¢1.0K shares

+$85.00 (+170.0%)

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Yes 15.0¢1.0K shares

−$19.99 (-13.3%)

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Yes 26¢2.0K shares

−$390.00 (-75.0%)

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 79¢153.4 shares

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Yes 2.7¢10.0K shares

−$145.00 (-53.7%)

Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Yes 14.0¢1,000 shares

−$30.00 (-21.4%)

Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?

No 24.7¢499.5 shares

24.7¢→21.4¢

−$16.48 (-13.4%)

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 28.0¢1,000 shares

28.0¢→10.5¢

−$175.00 (-62.5%)

Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

No 15¢1.0K shares

−$50.00 (-33.3%)

Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?

No 32¢199.5 shares

+$24.94 (+39.1%)

Nothing Ever Happens: July

Something 15.3¢352.3 shares

+$23.61 (+43.8%)

Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?

Yes 11.2¢1,000 shares

−$38.50 (-34.4%)

Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?

Yes 44¢158.6 shares

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Yes 39.3¢931.8 shares

−$296.19 (-80.9%)

Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?

Yes 18¢336.2 shares

+$8.40 (+13.9%)

Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?

No 18.9¢800 shares

−$83.68 (-55.2%)

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes 20¢2.0K shares

−$351.00 (-87.8%)

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?

Yes 0.7¢6.0K shares

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 53¢4.0K shares

−$2.1K (-98.6%)

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?

No 12¢1.0K shares

−$90.00 (-75.0%)

Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?

No 31¢600 shares

−$157.20 (-84.5%)

Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?

Yes 23.1¢800 shares

−$157.60 (-85.3%)

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?

No 12¢92.2 shares

+$6.45 (+58.3%)

Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by August 31?

No 32¢33.5 shares

+$6.03 (+56.3%)