Total earnings
$380,253.13
1D
$427.51
7D
$1.1K
30D
−$500.75
90D
−$5.5K
Total volume
$69.67M
Predictions
6,350
Positions value
$281.2K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$292.1K
LP+$86.0K
Yield+$2.1K

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 82.1¢30.3K shares
82.1¢→94.5¢
$24.9K
$30.3K
$28.7K
+$3.8K (+15.1%)

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 55.3¢26.5K shares
55.3¢→79.0¢
$14.7K
$26.5K
$21.0K
+$6.3K (+43.1%)

Trump out as President before 2027?
No 81.8¢20.3K shares
81.8¢→93.5¢
$16.6K
$20.3K
$19.0K
+$2.4K (+14.3%)

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
No 16.2¢15.0K shares
16.2¢→96.4¢
$2.4K
$15.0K
$14.5K
+$12.1K (+496.5%)

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
No 81.3¢12.8K shares
81.3¢→94.5¢
$10.4K
$12.8K
$12.1K
+$1.7K (+16.2%)

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
No 85.8¢11.2K shares
85.8¢→96.8¢
$9.6K
$11.2K
$10.8K
+$1.2K (+12.7%)

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 21.1¢11.9K shares
21.1¢→87.5¢
$2.5K
$11.9K
$10.4K
+$7.9K (+315.1%)

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
No 26.0¢8.2K shares
26.0¢→97.4¢
$2.1K
$8.2K
$8.0K
+$5.8K (+275.2%)

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 36.7¢37.5K shares
36.7¢→20.9¢
$13.8K
$37.5K
$7.9K
−$5.9K (-43.0%)

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No 82.8¢8.0K shares
82.8¢→97.7¢
$6.6K
$8.0K
$7.8K
+$1.2K (+18.0%)

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Yes 85.0¢8.2K shares
85.0¢→74¢
$6.9K
$8.2K
$6.0K
−$895.59 (-12.9%)

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No 60.1¢8.4K shares
60.1¢→69.5¢
$5.0K
$8.4K
$5.8K
+$784.15 (+15.6%)

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
No 86.5¢5.9K shares
86.5¢→98.5¢
$5.1K
$5.9K
$5.8K
+$698.15 (+13.8%)

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 89.4¢5.9K shares
89.4¢→96.2¢
$5.3K
$5.9K
$5.7K
+$394.72 (+7.5%)

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
No 64.2¢5.5K shares
64.2¢→96.2¢
$3.6K
$5.5K
$5.3K
+$1.8K (+49.8%)

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No 88.6¢5.1K shares
88.6¢→96.3¢
$4.5K
$5.1K
$4.9K
+$391.96 (+8.6%)

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
No 93¢4.5K shares
93¢→98.8¢
$4.2K
$4.5K
$4.4K
+$256.91 (+6.2%)

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 81.9¢4.7K shares
81.9¢→88.3¢
$3.8K
$4.7K
$4.1K
+$302.51 (+7.9%)

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Yes 33.4¢9.8K shares
33.4¢→40.5¢
$3.3K
$9.8K
$4.0K
+$698.15 (+21.2%)

Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
No 94.8¢3.7K shares
94.8¢→99.8¢
$3.5K
$3.7K
$3.7K
+$183.57 (+5.2%)

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?
No 59.0¢3.8K shares
59.0¢→92¢
$2.2K
$3.8K
$3.5K
+$1.2K (+55.9%)

Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 95.5¢3.4K shares
95.5¢→97.0¢
$3.3K
$3.4K
$3.3K
+$49.66 (+1.5%)

Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 97.7¢3.3K shares
97.7¢→99.3¢
$3.2K
$3.3K
$3.3K
+$49.89 (+1.5%)

Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 90¢3.7K shares
90¢→85.5¢
$3.3K
$3.7K
$3.1K
−$165.64 (-5.0%)

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 13.6¢3.3K shares
13.6¢→94.7¢
$450.41
$3.3K
$3.1K
+$2.7K (+598.2%)

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 94.0¢3.1K shares
94.0¢→90.8¢
$2.9K
$3.1K
$2.8K
−$98.65 (-3.4%)

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 95.0¢2.7K shares
95.0¢→97.2¢
$2.6K
$2.7K
$2.6K
+$59.24 (+2.3%)

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Yes 44.6¢4.8K shares
44.6¢→50¢
$2.1K
$4.8K
Won
$2.4K

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 94.8¢2.4K shares
94.8¢→99.0¢
$2.2K
$2.4K
$2.3K
+$99.29 (+4.4%)

Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Yes 21.9¢5.0K shares
21.9¢→43.5¢
$1.1K
$5.0K
$2.2K
+$1.1K (+98.9%)

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 96¢2.0K shares
96¢→99.5¢
$1.9K
$2.0K
$2.0K
+$68.00 (+3.6%)

Blue tsunami in 2026?
No 70¢2.9K shares
70¢→59.5¢
$2.0K
$2.9K
$1.7K
−$301.34 (-15.0%)

Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes 12.7¢2.5K shares
12.7¢→62.5¢
$322.14
$2.5K
$1.6K
+$1.3K (+390.3%)

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 97.2¢1.5K shares
97.2¢→98.7¢
$1.5K
$1.5K
$1.5K
+$22.37 (+1.5%)

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Yes 61.8¢6.9K shares
61.8¢→21.5¢
$4.3K
$6.9K
$1.5K
−$2.8K (-65.2%)

Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 96.8¢1.4K shares
96.8¢→98.7¢
$1.4K
$1.4K
$1.4K
+$26.97 (+2.0%)

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Yes 44.7¢3.5K shares
44.7¢→39.5¢
$1.6K
$3.5K
$1.4K
−$180.09 (-11.6%)

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.7¢14.6K shares
0.7¢→9.4¢
$95.68
$14.6K
$1.4K
+$1.3K (+1329.4%)

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 98.3¢1.4K shares
98.3¢→99.6¢
$1.3K
$1.4K
$1.4K
+$17.40 (+1.3%)

Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No 91¢1.4K shares
91¢→95.3¢
$1.2K
$1.4K
$1.3K
+$58.77 (+4.8%)

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No 88.5¢1.4K shares
88.5¢→91.5¢
$1.2K
$1.4K
$1.3K
+$42.06 (+3.4%)

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
No 71.0¢1.4K shares
71.0¢→91.5¢
$973.81
$1.4K
$1.3K
+$280.46 (+28.8%)

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 84¢1.4K shares
84¢→86.5¢
$1.2K
$1.4K
$1.2K
+$36.03 (+3.0%)

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 2.4¢7.7K shares
2.4¢→16¢
$185.48
$7.7K
$1.2K
+$1.1K (+566.6%)

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 51.8¢2.8K shares
51.8¢→44.5¢
$1.4K
$2.8K
$1.2K
−$201.87 (-14.0%)

Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Yes 18.7¢4.1K shares
18.7¢→29.0¢
$776.67
$4.1K
$1.2K
+$426.77 (+54.9%)

Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 97.7¢1.2K shares
97.7¢→98.5¢
$1.1K
$1.2K
$1.2K
+$8.33 (+0.7%)

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 53.5¢1.8K shares
53.5¢→59.5¢
$963.54
$1.8K
$1.1K
+$108.06 (+11.2%)

Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 98.4¢1.1K shares
98.4¢→99.2¢
$1.1K
$1.1K
$1.1K
+$8.07 (+0.8%)

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 53.1¢1.8K shares
53.1¢→59.5¢
$947.67
$1.8K
$1.1K
+$114.95 (+12.1%)

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
No 78.5¢1.1K shares
78.5¢→87.5¢
$898.50
$1.1K
$1.0K
+$103.38 (+11.5%)

Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 97.8¢891 shares
97.8¢→99.9¢
$871.05
$891.00
$889.66
+$18.61 (+2.1%)

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 20.1¢3.2K shares
20.1¢→27.8¢
$643.67
$3.2K
$889.05
+$245.38 (+38.1%)

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes 49.2¢1.9K shares
49.2¢→45.5¢
$947.05
$1.9K
$876.51
−$70.54 (-7.4%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
No 53.7¢5.6K shares
53.7¢→15.4¢
$3.0K
$5.6K
$870.06
−$2.2K (-71.2%)

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 23.6¢4.7K shares
23.6¢→18.3¢
$1.1K
$4.7K
$858.56
−$253.09 (-22.8%)

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 17.9¢5.6K shares
17.9¢→13.5¢
$994.53
$5.6K
$751.28
−$243.26 (-24.5%)

Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Yes 94.7¢800.3 shares
94.7¢→93.5¢
$757.81
$800.26
$747.84
−$9.97 (-1.3%)

Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 98.2¢727 shares
98.2¢→98.9¢
$714.09
$726.99
$718.63
+$4.54 (+0.6%)

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
No 81.5¢747 shares
81.5¢→95.7¢
$608.58
$747.00
$714.88
+$106.30 (+17.5%)

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Yes 33.4¢11.0K shares
33.4¢→6.5¢
$3.7K
$11.0K
$713.07
−$3.0K (-80.6%)

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.1¢14.5K shares
1.1¢→4.9¢
$159.90
$14.5K
$702.33
+$542.43 (+339.2%)

Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 97.1¢696.3 shares
97.1¢→96.5¢
$676.04
$696.27
$672.25
−$3.79 (-0.6%)

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
No 60.8¢740.8 shares
60.8¢→90.5¢
$450.36
$740.76
$670.39
+$220.03 (+48.9%)

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 3.3¢4.4K shares
3.3¢→14.8¢
$147.20
$4.4K
$649.28
+$502.07 (+341.1%)

Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No 96.4¢603 shares
96.4¢→95.2¢
$581.05
$602.97
$573.72
−$7.32 (-1.3%)

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 1.1¢22.4K shares
1.1¢→2.5¢
$242.46
$22.4K
$567.81
+$325.35 (+134.2%)

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.3¢20.4K shares
1.3¢→2.5¢
$272.09
$20.4K
$517.50
+$245.40 (+90.2%)

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 83.5¢523 shares
83.5¢→92.5¢
$436.61
$522.99
$483.77
+$47.16 (+10.8%)

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.6¢9.2K shares
1.6¢→5.3¢
$148.12
$9.2K
$481.51
+$333.39 (+225.1%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes 28.9¢3.0K shares
28.9¢→15.5¢
$874.54
$3.0K
$468.41
−$406.13 (-46.4%)

Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Yes 16.7¢2.3K shares
16.7¢→20¢
$376.12
$2.3K
$451.80
+$75.68 (+20.1%)

Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Yes 48.6¢901 shares
48.6¢→50¢
$437.63
$900.99
Won
$450.49

Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Yes 3.9¢9.3K shares
3.9¢→4.5¢
$364.00
$9.3K
$421.96
+$57.95 (+15.9%)

US recession by end of 2026?
Yes 26.3¢3.6K shares
26.3¢→9.5¢
$945.29
$3.6K
$342.09
−$603.20 (-63.8%)

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 1.8¢2.5K shares
1.8¢→13.2¢
$45.63
$2.5K
$331.20
+$285.58 (+625.9%)

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.6¢14.8K shares
0.6¢→2.1¢
$89.24
$14.8K
$315.65
+$226.41 (+253.7%)

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Yes 7.8¢3.6K shares
7.8¢→8.5¢
$284.01
$3.6K
$308.99
+$24.98 (+8.8%)

Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No 97.6¢309 shares
97.6¢→99.6¢
$301.58
$309.04
$307.65
+$6.07 (+2.0%)

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
No 99.2¢306 shares
99.2¢→98.9¢
$303.48
$306.00
$302.48
−$1.00 (-0.3%)

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 41.1¢630.4 shares
41.1¢→45.9¢
$259.35
$630.45
$289.06
+$29.71 (+11.5%)

Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Yes 5.3¢3.8K shares
5.3¢→7.5¢
$199.07
$3.8K
$283.94
+$84.87 (+42.6%)

Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No 96.4¢287.7 shares
96.4¢→97.4¢
$277.16
$287.66
$280.04
+$2.87 (+1.0%)

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 12.6¢10.7K shares
12.6¢→2.5¢
$1.4K
$10.7K
$272.46
−$1.1K (-79.9%)

Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Yes 4.6¢7.4K shares
4.6¢→3.6¢
$338.21
$7.4K
$269.44
−$68.77 (-20.3%)

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Yes 31.3¢4.1K shares
31.3¢→6.5¢
$1.3K
$4.1K
$266.22
−$1.0K (-79.2%)

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢9.0K shares
0.7¢→2.9¢
$64.34
$9.0K
$265.82
+$201.48 (+313.2%)

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 98¢270 shares
98¢→97.9¢
$264.60
$270.00
$264.20
−$0.41 (-0.2%)

Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 96.5¢271 shares
96.5¢→96.7¢
$261.52
$271.00
$261.92
+$0.41 (+0.2%)

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.7¢14.3K shares
0.7¢→1.8¢
$93.81
$14.3K
$257.06
+$163.25 (+174.0%)

Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 98.1¢271 shares
98.1¢→94.7¢
$265.85
$271.00
$256.50
−$9.35 (-3.5%)

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?
Yes 20.2¢275 shares
20.2¢→93¢
$55.50
$275.00
$255.75
+$200.25 (+360.8%)

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
No 45.8¢509 shares
45.8¢→50¢
$233.22
$509.00
Won
$254.50

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.8¢9.9K shares
0.8¢→2.5¢
$82.36
$9.9K
$243.04
+$160.68 (+195.1%)

Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 98.8¢237.7 shares
98.8¢→99.5¢
$234.81
$237.66
$236.35
+$1.54 (+0.7%)

Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Yes 16.7¢2.7K shares
16.7¢→8.8¢
$449.55
$2.7K
$236.25
−$213.30 (-47.4%)

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 86.1¢271.9 shares
86.1¢→86.9¢
$234.26
$271.94
$236.18
+$1.92 (+0.8%)

Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No 97¢230.9 shares
97¢→99.0¢
$223.93
$230.86
$228.43
+$4.50 (+2.0%)

Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 98.3¢220.5 shares
98.3¢→99.7¢
$216.76
$220.50
$219.73
+$2.98 (+1.4%)

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.6¢14.8K shares
1.6¢→1.5¢
$235.47
$14.8K
$215.21
−$20.26 (-8.6%)
