chatgpt.com
Flex cardJoined April 2025
Total earnings
$5,588.64
1D
$76.58
7D
−$95.27
30D
$296.46
90D
$695.17
Total volume
$17.47M
Predictions
8,185
Positions value
$7.6K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade−$8.9K
LP+$14.5K
Maker+$16.82
Yield+$0.77
Fees−$4.88
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 85.5¢2.6K shares
85.5¢→89.6¢
$2.3K
$2.6K
$2.4K
+$108.48 (+4.8%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 43.4¢2.5K shares
43.4¢→62.5¢
$1.1K
$2.5K
$1.6K
+$488.13 (+44.1%)
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
Yes 78.0¢1,000 shares
78.0¢→96.1¢
$779.96
$999.96
$960.96
+$181.00 (+23.2%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Yes 76.5¢1.0K shares
76.5¢→94.1¢
$765.00
$1.0K
$941.00
+$176.00 (+23.0%)
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 29.8¢2.6K shares
29.8¢→23.6¢
$780.11
$2.6K
$618.68
−$161.43 (-20.7%)
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 92.1¢243.7 shares
92.1¢→99.4¢
$224.40
$243.69
$242.11
+$17.71 (+7.9%)
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
No 82.6¢166.3 shares
82.6¢→90.5¢
$137.34
$166.26
$150.47
+$13.13 (+9.6%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 71.7¢60.3 shares
71.7¢→100¢
$43.21
$60.30
Won
$60.30
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
No 83¢50.1 shares
83¢→100¢
$41.58
$50.10
Won
$50.10
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Yes 85¢50.1 shares
85¢→100¢
$42.58
$50.09
Won
$50.09
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No 96.3¢50 shares
96.3¢→98.0¢
$48.15
$50.00
$49.03
+$0.88 (+1.8%)
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
Yes 47.3¢60 shares
47.3¢→70¢
$28.40
$59.99
$41.99
+$13.60 (+47.9%)
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?
No 89.1¢40.2 shares
89.1¢→100.0¢
$35.84
$40.20
$40.18
+$4.34 (+12.1%)
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
No 75¢36.6 shares
75¢→95.9¢
$27.42
$36.56
$35.04
+$7.62 (+27.8%)
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
No 89.0¢26.6 shares
89.0¢→99.6¢
$23.63
$26.55
$26.44
+$2.81 (+11.9%)
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?
No 78.5¢20.2 shares
78.5¢→100¢
$15.82
$20.15
Won
$20.15
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
No 71¢20.1 shares
71¢→100¢
$14.27
$20.10
Won
$20.10
Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?
No 89¢20.1 shares
89¢→100¢
$17.89
$20.10
Won
$20.10
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
No 68¢20.1 shares
68¢→98.5¢
$13.67
$20.10
$19.79
+$6.12 (+44.8%)
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
No 83¢20.1 shares
83¢→96.1¢
$16.68
$20.10
$19.32
+$2.63 (+15.8%)
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?
No 88¢20.1 shares
88¢→95.6¢
$17.69
$20.10
$19.22
+$1.53 (+8.6%)
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 87.0¢20.1 shares
87.0¢→95.5¢
$17.49
$20.10
$19.20
+$1.71 (+9.8%)
Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No 94.9¢20.1 shares
94.9¢→93.0¢
$19.07
$20.10
$18.70
−$0.37 (-1.9%)
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
No 89¢18.8 shares
89¢→96.8¢
$16.77
$18.84
$18.23
+$1.46 (+8.7%)
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?
Yes 77¢100.2 shares
77¢→18¢
$77.15
$100.20
$18.04
−$59.12 (-76.6%)
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 74¢20.1 shares
74¢→89.5¢
$14.87
$20.10
$17.99
+$3.12 (+20.9%)
Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
No 93.1¢14.9 shares
93.1¢→100¢
$13.88
$14.91
Won
$14.91
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
No 79¢20.1 shares
79¢→58.5¢
$15.88
$20.10
$11.76
−$4.12 (-25.9%)
Will MUNDO-GB
win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
No 90¢9.9 shares
90¢→97.7¢
$8.93
$9.92
$9.69
+$0.76 (+8.5%)
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
Yes 80.0¢20.1 shares
80.0¢→40.5¢
$16.08
$20.10
$8.14
−$7.94 (-49.4%)
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?
Yes 84¢49 shares
84¢→14.0¢
$41.17
$49.01
$6.86
−$34.31 (-83.3%)
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Yes 73¢50.1 shares
73¢→12.5¢
$36.57
$50.10
$6.26
−$30.31 (-82.9%)
Will Freddie Mac’s market cap be $300B or greater at market close on IPO day?
No 89¢5.1 shares
89¢→100¢
$4.53
$5.09
Won
$5.09
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
No 81¢5.1 shares
81¢→100¢
$4.12
$5.09
Won
$5.09
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Yes 75¢5.1 shares
75¢→100¢
$3.82
$5.09
Won
$5.09
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No 94.1¢5.1 shares
94.1¢→99.9¢
$4.79
$5.09
$5.08
+$0.29 (+6.1%)
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
No 92.2¢5.1 shares
92.2¢→99.6¢
$4.69
$5.09
$5.07
+$0.38 (+8.0%)
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 86.3¢4.9 shares
86.3¢→100¢
$4.19
$4.86
Won
$4.86
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
No 77.8¢6.1 shares
77.8¢→77.8¢
$4.78
$6.15
$4.78
−$0.00 (-0.0%)
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
No 80.3¢5.1 shares
80.3¢→93.5¢
$4.08
$5.08
$4.74
+$0.67 (+16.4%)
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
No 68¢4.7 shares
68¢→100¢
$3.19
$4.68
Won
$4.68
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?
Yes 86¢20.1 shares
86¢→22¢
$17.29
$20.10
$4.42
−$12.86 (-74.4%)
Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch?
Yes 76¢40.2 shares
76¢→11¢
$30.55
$40.20
$4.42
−$26.13 (-85.5%)
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Yes 91¢41.5 shares
91¢→10.3¢
$37.74
$41.47
$4.29
−$33.45 (-88.6%)
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
No 70¢3.5 shares
70¢→100¢
$2.43
$3.47
Won
$3.47
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
No 90¢3.3 shares
90¢→100¢
$3.01
$3.34
Won
$3.34
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?
Yes 82¢24.8 shares
82¢→13¢
$20.35
$24.82
$3.23
−$17.13 (-84.1%)
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
No 81¢30.1 shares
81¢→9.8¢
$24.38
$30.10
$2.96
−$21.42 (-87.8%)
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
No 88¢2.8 shares
88¢→89.5¢
$2.45
$2.78
$2.49
+$0.04 (+1.7%)
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Yes 75¢2.3 shares
75¢→100¢
$1.70
$2.27
Won
$2.27
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
No 87.0¢2.3 shares
87.0¢→92¢
$1.97
$2.26
$2.08
+$0.11 (+5.8%)
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Yes 86¢7.7 shares
86¢→24.9¢
$6.63
$7.71
$1.92
−$4.71 (-71.0%)
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
No 81.4¢2.7 shares
81.4¢→50.5¢
$2.22
$2.73
$1.38
−$0.84 (-37.9%)
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
No 77¢1.4 shares
77¢→100¢
$1.05
$1.36
Won
$1.36
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 69.0¢1.7 shares
69.0¢→63.5¢
$1.15
$1.66
$1.05
−$0.09 (-8.0%)
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
Yes 75¢20.1 shares
75¢→3.8¢
$15.08
$20.10
$0.75
−$14.32 (-95.0%)
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
No 92.1¢17.1 shares
92.1¢→1.6¢
$15.76
$17.11
$0.27
−$15.49 (-98.3%)
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 3.0¢2 shares
3.0¢→2.4¢
$0.06
$2.00
$0.05
−$0.01 (-20.7%)
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 4.3¢1.6 shares
4.3¢→1.6¢
$0.07
$1.60
$0.02
−$0.04 (-63.8%)
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 2.1¢2.3 shares
2.1¢→1.1¢
$0.05
$2.30
$0.02
−$0.02 (-50.0%)
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 2.1¢1.5 shares
2.1¢→1.6¢
$0.03
$1.53
$0.02
−$0.01 (-27.1%)
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 2.2¢1.8 shares
2.2¢→1.1¢
$0.04
$1.83
$0.02
−$0.02 (-52.4%)
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 2.1¢2.5 shares
2.1¢→0.7¢
$0.05
$2.50
$0.02
−$0.04 (-69.1%)
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.1¢1.7 shares
1.1¢→0.7¢
$0.02
$1.67
$0.01
−$0.01 (-41.0%)
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.1¢1.9 shares
1.1¢→0.4¢
$0.02
$1.86
$0.01
−$0.01 (-60.3%)
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.5¢3.3 shares
0.5¢→0.3¢
$0.02
$3.31
$0.01
−$0.01 (-50.3%)
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.9¢1.7 shares
0.9¢→0.4¢
$0.02
$1.67
$0.01
−$0.01 (-50.0%)
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.5¢1.8 shares
1.5¢→0.4¢
$0.03
$1.76
$0.01
−$0.02 (-76.7%)
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.3¢1.1 shares
1.3¢→0.5¢
$0.01
$1.05
$0.01
−$0.01 (-57.5%)
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.4¢1.4 shares
1.4¢→0.3¢
$0.02
$1.40
$0.00
−$0.02 (-82.9%)
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 2 Brazil?
Yes 16¢625 shares
16¢→0¢
$100.00
$625.00
Lost
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?
Yes 79.8¢1.4 shares
79.8¢→0¢
$1.09
$1.37
Lost
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2025 MLS Cup?
No 71¢1.8 shares
71¢→0¢
$1.24
$1.75
Lost
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Yes 0.7¢50 shares
0.7¢→0¢
$0.36
$50.00
Lost
Will Dick Schoof become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
Yes 3.1¢1 shares
3.1¢→0¢
$0.03
$1.01
Lost
Will the next UK election be called by December 31?
Yes 3.3¢1.9 shares
3.3¢→0¢
$0.06
$1.93
Lost
Will Amen Thompson win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
Yes 1.1¢50 shares
1.1¢→0¢
$0.54
$50.00
Lost
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?
Yes 2.2¢1.1 shares
2.2¢→0¢
$0.02
$1.13
Lost
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Yes 1.1¢1.3 shares
1.1¢→0¢
$0.01
$1.28
Lost
Will Jalen Williams lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Yes 0.7¢50 shares
0.7¢→0¢
$0.36
$50.00
Lost
Will Josh Giddey win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
Yes 1.1¢70.1 shares
1.1¢→0¢
$0.80
$70.10
Lost
Will Joel Embiid lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Yes 0.7¢50 shares
0.7¢→0¢
$0.36
$50.00
Lost
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?
Yes 68¢15 shares
68¢→0¢
$10.21
$15.01
Lost
Will Trae Young lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Yes 0.7¢50 shares
0.7¢→0¢
$0.36
$50.00
Lost
Will Reed Sheppard win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
Yes 1.1¢70.1 shares
1.1¢→0¢
$0.80
$70.10
Lost
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Yes 2.1¢1.4 shares
2.1¢→0¢
$0.03
$1.41
Lost
Will CJ McCollum lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Yes 0.7¢50 shares
0.7¢→0¢
$0.36
$50.00
Lost
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?
Yes 0.1¢1.9 shares
0.1¢→0¢
$0.00
$1.85
Lost
Will Michael Porter Jr. lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Yes 0.7¢50 shares
0.7¢→0¢
$0.36
$50.00
Lost
Will Trump jail Fauci?
Yes 2¢1.3 shares
2¢→0¢
$0.03
$1.32
Lost
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
No 90.6¢3.9 shares
90.6¢→0¢
$3.57
$3.94
Lost
Will Kevin Porter win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
Yes 1.1¢70.1 shares
1.1¢→0¢
$0.80
$70.10
Lost
Will Matas Buzelis win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
Yes 1.3¢20.1 shares
1.3¢→0¢
$0.26
$20.10
Lost
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?
No 74.0¢20.2 shares
74.0¢→0¢
$14.91
$20.15
Lost
Will the Cleveland Browns win the AFC North?
Yes 1.8¢2 shares
1.8¢→0¢
$0.04
$2.04
Lost
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?
Yes 0.9¢1 shares
0.9¢→0¢
$0.01
$1.04
Lost
Will Lauri Markkanen lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Yes 0.7¢9.7 shares
0.7¢→0¢
$0.07
$9.68
Lost
US congress stock trading ban in 2025?
Yes 19¢1 shares
19¢→0¢
$0.19
$1.00
Lost
Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in newly released Epstein files?
No 82.1¢1.9 shares
82.1¢→0¢
$1.58
$1.92
Lost
Will Michael Porter Jr. win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
Yes 1.1¢70.1 shares
1.1¢→0¢
$0.80
$70.10
Lost