Logan.
Flex cardJoined November 2024
Total earnings
$376,592.01
1D
−$6.1K
7D
$3.9K
30D
$30.6K
90D
$267.7K
Total volume
$24.83M
Predictions
2,205
Positions value
$53.4K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$372.1K
LP+$5.6K
Maker+$1.8K
Yield+$166.48
Taker+$75.06
Fees−$2.6K

Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
No 53.0¢27.4K shares
53.0¢→100.0¢
$14.5K
$27.4K
$27.4K
+$12.9K (+88.5%)

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No 57.7¢4.6K shares
57.7¢→65.5¢
$2.7K
$4.6K
$3.0K
+$359.87 (+13.4%)

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
Yes 8.1¢2.4K shares
8.1¢→99.7¢
$193.68
$2.4K
$2.4K
+$2.2K (+1130.2%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Yes 33.7¢7.3K shares
33.7¢→26.5¢
$2.5K
$7.3K
$1.9K
−$527.10 (-21.3%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 46.7¢2.4K shares
46.7¢→78.1¢
$1.1K
$2.4K
$1.9K
+$763.90 (+67.2%)

Iran leadership change by December 31?
Yes 22.7¢7.1K shares
22.7¢→23.5¢
$1.6K
$7.1K
$1.7K
+$56.79 (+3.5%)

Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
No 70.9¢2.1K shares
70.9¢→78.5¢
$1.5K
$2.1K
$1.6K
+$159.46 (+10.8%)

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 21.1¢1.8K shares
21.1¢→85.0¢
$390.29
$1.8K
$1.6K
+$1.2K (+302.4%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
Yes 20.5¢9.6K shares
20.5¢→10.5¢
$2.0K
$9.6K
$1.0K
−$960.39 (-48.9%)

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Yes 31.9¢11.7K shares
31.9¢→8.5¢
$3.7K
$11.7K
$991.91
−$2.7K (-73.4%)

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 5.7¢3.3K shares
5.7¢→27.0¢
$189.29
$3.3K
$891.76
+$702.47 (+371.1%)

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No 31.5¢1.0K shares
31.5¢→81.5¢
$318.19
$1.0K
$824.20
+$506.01 (+159.0%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes 26.3¢2.7K shares
26.3¢→23.5¢
$697.04
$2.7K
$623.14
−$73.90 (-10.6%)

Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
No 49.8¢548.8 shares
49.8¢→99.1¢
$273.30
$548.80
$543.86
+$270.56 (+99.0%)

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 2.1¢2.9K shares
2.1¢→15.8¢
$62.44
$2.9K
$463.76
+$401.32 (+642.7%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 24.6¢2.2K shares
24.6¢→19.9¢
$546.59
$2.2K
$441.05
−$105.54 (-19.3%)
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
Yes 4.7¢12.4K shares
4.7¢→3.5¢
$579.16
$12.4K
$432.29
−$146.87 (-25.4%)

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 2.4¢18.1K shares
2.4¢→2.4¢
$434.05
$18.1K
$425.70
−$8.35 (-1.9%)

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢2.0K shares
0.7¢→19.8¢
$13.41
$2.0K
$395.00
+$381.58 (+2844.7%)

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
No 74.6¢560.3 shares
74.6¢→62.3¢
$417.82
$560.26
$348.76
−$69.06 (-16.5%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
No 40.0¢3.1K shares
40.0¢→10.5¢
$1.2K
$3.1K
$323.27
−$908.01 (-73.7%)

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 2.4¢5.0K shares
2.4¢→5.1¢
$118.19
$5.0K
$257.18
+$138.99 (+117.6%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
No 23.6¢1.0K shares
23.6¢→21.4¢
$236.00
$1.0K
$214.50
−$21.50 (-9.1%)

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 2.3¢4.0K shares
2.3¢→5.1¢
$93.41
$4.0K
$201.99
+$108.59 (+116.2%)

Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?
Yes 10¢4.8K shares
10¢→3.8¢
$483.78
$4.8K
$183.84
−$299.95 (-62.0%)

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢6.0K shares
0.3¢→2.9¢
$19.68
$6.0K
$175.43
+$155.74 (+791.2%)

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.8¢46.7K shares
0.8¢→0.4¢
$396.69
$46.7K
$163.38
−$233.31 (-58.8%)

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 97.1¢147.9 shares
97.1¢→99.7¢
$143.61
$147.85
$147.33
+$3.72 (+2.6%)

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Yes 8.5¢1.6K shares
8.5¢→8.5¢
$133.73
$1.6K
$134.48
+$0.75 (+0.6%)

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 70¢200 shares
70¢→56.5¢
$140.00
$200.00
$112.98
−$27.02 (-19.3%)

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢10.6K shares
0.3¢→1.1¢
$35.93
$10.6K
$111.14
+$75.22 (+209.4%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
Yes 3.5¢21.1K shares
3.5¢→0.5¢
$729.73
$21.1K
$105.36
−$624.37 (-85.6%)

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.8¢15.6K shares
0.8¢→0.7¢
$120.92
$15.6K
$101.30
−$19.62 (-16.2%)

Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢10.6K shares
0.3¢→0.9¢
$35.93
$10.6K
$100.56
+$64.63 (+179.9%)

Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢9.8K shares
0.3¢→0.9¢
$30.26
$9.8K
$93.43
+$63.17 (+208.7%)

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Yes 29.0¢3.0K shares
29.0¢→2.9¢
$869.86
$3.0K
$88.50
−$781.36 (-89.8%)

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No 59.3¢90.2 shares
59.3¢→90.5¢
$53.52
$90.21
$81.64
+$28.12 (+52.5%)

Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢10.6K shares
0.3¢→0.8¢
$35.93
$10.6K
$79.39
+$43.46 (+121.0%)

Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢10.6K shares
0.3¢→0.8¢
$35.93
$10.6K
$79.39
+$43.46 (+121.0%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 0.8¢11.7K shares
0.8¢→0.7¢
$93.97
$11.7K
$76.35
−$17.62 (-18.7%)

Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢10.6K shares
0.3¢→0.7¢
$35.93
$10.6K
$68.80
+$32.88 (+91.5%)

Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢10.6K shares
0.3¢→0.7¢
$35.93
$10.6K
$68.80
+$32.88 (+91.5%)

Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢8.6K shares
0.3¢→0.8¢
$26.79
$8.6K
$64.39
+$37.60 (+140.4%)

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
Yes 18.3¢660 shares
18.3¢→9¢
$120.83
$660.00
$59.40
−$61.43 (-50.8%)

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Yes 15.8¢7.9K shares
15.8¢→0.8¢
$1.2K
$7.9K
$59.35
−$1.2K (-95.2%)

Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢10.6K shares
0.3¢→0.5¢
$35.93
$10.6K
$58.22
+$22.29 (+62.1%)

Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢10.6K shares
0.3¢→0.5¢
$35.93
$10.6K
$58.22
+$22.29 (+62.1%)

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢6.8K shares
0.3¢→0.8¢
$21.04
$6.8K
$51.27
+$30.24 (+143.7%)

Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢10.6K shares
0.3¢→0.4¢
$35.93
$10.6K
$47.63
+$11.71 (+32.6%)

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢2.0K shares
0.7¢→2.4¢
$13.41
$2.0K
$47.00
+$33.59 (+250.4%)

Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Yes 4.0¢5.9K shares
4.0¢→0.8¢
$235.73
$5.9K
$44.33
−$191.40 (-81.2%)

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢2.0K shares
0.7¢→2.1¢
$13.41
$2.0K
$42.80
+$29.39 (+219.1%)

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢2.0K shares
0.7¢→2.1¢
$13.41
$2.0K
$42.80
+$29.39 (+219.1%)
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?
Yes 4.3¢1.5K shares
4.3¢→2.5¢
$64.50
$1.5K
$38.10
−$26.40 (-40.9%)

Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢10.6K shares
0.3¢→0.4¢
$35.93
$10.6K
$37.05
+$1.12 (+3.1%)

Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢10.6K shares
0.3¢→0.4¢
$35.93
$10.6K
$37.05
+$1.12 (+3.1%)

Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢10.6K shares
0.3¢→0.4¢
$35.93
$10.6K
$37.05
+$1.12 (+3.1%)

Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢10.6K shares
0.3¢→0.4¢
$35.93
$10.6K
$37.05
+$1.12 (+3.1%)

Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢10.5K shares
0.3¢→0.4¢
$35.32
$10.5K
$36.77
+$1.45 (+4.1%)

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.9¢3.0K shares
0.9¢→1.1¢
$28.41
$3.0K
$34.50
+$6.09 (+21.4%)

Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
No 68¢80.1 shares
68¢→41.5¢
$54.47
$80.10
$33.24
−$21.23 (-39.0%)

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢2.0K shares
0.7¢→1.6¢
$13.41
$2.0K
$31.00
+$17.59 (+131.1%)

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Yes 12.9¢5.3K shares
12.9¢→0.5¢
$684.91
$5.3K
$29.11
−$655.80 (-95.7%)

Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢10.6K shares
0.3¢→0.3¢
$35.93
$10.6K
$26.46
−$9.46 (-26.3%)

Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢10.6K shares
0.3¢→0.3¢
$35.93
$10.6K
$26.46
−$9.46 (-26.3%)

Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢10.6K shares
0.3¢→0.3¢
$35.93
$10.6K
$26.46
−$9.46 (-26.3%)

Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢9.8K shares
0.3¢→0.3¢
$30.26
$9.8K
$24.59
−$5.67 (-18.8%)

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 4.3¢184.3 shares
4.3¢→12.4¢
$7.91
$184.26
$22.94
+$15.03 (+190.0%)

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢1,000 shares
0.7¢→2.3¢
$7.13
$999.99
$22.50
+$15.37 (+215.4%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
No 26.6¢5.4K shares
26.6¢→0.4¢
$1.4K
$5.4K
$21.77
−$1.4K (-98.5%)

Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢5.6K shares
0.3¢→0.4¢
$18.96
$5.6K
$19.55
+$0.59 (+3.1%)

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢2.0K shares
0.7¢→0.9¢
$13.41
$2.0K
$19.00
+$5.59 (+41.6%)

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 74¢17.9 shares
74¢→97.2¢
$13.21
$17.85
$17.35
+$4.14 (+31.4%)

Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢10.6K shares
0.3¢→0.1¢
$35.93
$10.6K
$15.88
−$20.05 (-55.8%)

Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢10.6K shares
0.3¢→0.1¢
$35.93
$10.6K
$15.88
−$20.05 (-55.8%)

Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢10.6K shares
0.3¢→0.1¢
$35.93
$10.6K
$15.88
−$20.05 (-55.8%)

Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢10.6K shares
0.3¢→0.1¢
$35.93
$10.6K
$15.88
−$20.05 (-55.8%)

Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢2.0K shares
0.7¢→0.7¢
$13.41
$2.0K
$13.00
−$0.41 (-3.1%)

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢2.0K shares
0.7¢→0.7¢
$13.41
$2.0K
$13.00
−$0.41 (-3.1%)

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
Yes 12.6¢3.5K shares
12.6¢→0.4¢
$443.32
$3.5K
$12.28
−$431.04 (-97.2%)

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢2.0K shares
0.7¢→0.5¢
$13.41
$2.0K
$11.00
−$2.41 (-18.0%)

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢2.0K shares
0.7¢→0.5¢
$13.41
$2.0K
$11.00
−$2.41 (-18.0%)

Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢2.0K shares
0.7¢→0.5¢
$13.41
$2.0K
$11.00
−$2.41 (-18.0%)

Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢2.0K shares
0.7¢→0.5¢
$13.41
$2.0K
$11.00
−$2.41 (-18.0%)

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢1,000 shares
0.7¢→1.1¢
$7.13
$999.99
$10.50
+$3.37 (+47.2%)

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Yes 26¢400 shares
26¢→2.5¢
$104.00
$399.99
$9.80
−$94.20 (-90.6%)

Iran full airspace closure by July 27?
Yes 25.0¢305 shares
25.0¢→3.0¢
$76.20
$305.00
$9.30
−$66.90 (-87.8%)

Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢2.0K shares
0.7¢→0.4¢
$13.41
$2.0K
$9.00
−$4.41 (-32.9%)

Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 8.5¢1.6K shares
8.5¢→0.5¢
$133.73
$1.6K
$8.70
−$125.03 (-93.5%)

Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢1,000 shares
0.7¢→0.9¢
$7.13
$999.99
$8.50
+$1.37 (+19.2%)

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
No 92.3¢8.9 shares
92.3¢→93.5¢
$8.20
$8.88
$8.30
+$0.10 (+1.2%)

Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢1.8K shares
0.3¢→0.4¢
$5.52
$1.8K
$8.06
+$2.54 (+46.1%)

Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢2.0K shares
0.7¢→0.4¢
$13.41
$2.0K
$7.00
−$6.41 (-47.8%)

Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢2.0K shares
0.7¢→0.4¢
$13.41
$2.0K
$7.00
−$6.41 (-47.8%)

Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢2.0K shares
0.7¢→0.4¢
$13.41
$2.0K
$7.00
−$6.41 (-47.8%)

Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢2.0K shares
0.7¢→0.4¢
$13.41
$2.0K
$7.00
−$6.41 (-47.8%)

Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢2.0K shares
0.7¢→0.4¢
$13.41
$2.0K
$7.00
−$6.41 (-47.8%)

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Yes 7.2¢166.3 shares
7.2¢→3.4¢
$11.98
$166.33
$5.57
−$6.41 (-53.5%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 33.3¢23.3 shares
33.3¢→23.6¢
$7.75
$23.29
$5.51
−$2.24 (-28.9%)

Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢2.0K shares
0.7¢→0.3¢
$13.41
$2.0K
$5.00
−$8.41 (-62.7%)
