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PolyScalping

Arbguy

Flex card
Joined July 2024

Total earnings

$500,771.77
1D
−$20.1K
7D
−$28.0K
30D
−$88.5K
90D
$378.3K
Total volume
$62.99M
Predictions
976
Positions value
$422.2K
Performance
+$495.5K
+$7.6K
+$1.0K
+$2.0K
+$253.15
+$220.98
−$3.9K
Overall
#388
of 3.1M wallets
Volume
#312
of 3.1M wallets
Profit
#380
of 3.1M wallets
LP Rewards
#517
of 177k earners
Maker Rebates
#3,243
of 139k earners
Taker Rebates
#2,813
of 45k earners
Referrals
#1,972
of 8k earners
Yield
#199
of 335k earners
Fees Paid
#4,509
of 1.3M payers
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 81.6¢105.0K shares
$82.5K
−$3.2K (-3.8%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
No 73.8¢60.0K shares
$56.1K
+$11.8K (+26.6%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes 22.6¢155.4K shares
$36.5K
+$1.5K (+4.1%)
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 48.2¢57.5K shares
$31.9K
+$4.2K (+15.2%)
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 82.6¢35.4K shares
$30.3K
+$1.0K (+3.5%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
No 86.8¢27.2K shares
$25.9K
+$2.3K (+9.8%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 89.3¢35.6K shares
$24.3K
−$7.5K (-23.5%)
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.3¢892.9K shares
$21.0K
+$9.0K (+75.8%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 82.6¢27.9K shares
$17.4K
−$5.6K (-24.4%)
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 83.0¢19.6K shares
$16.7K
+$497.34 (+3.1%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Yes 11¢155.2K shares
$14.7K
−$2.3K (-13.7%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Yes 41¢26.6K shares
$10.8K
−$133.19 (-1.2%)
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢1.62M shares
$10.5K
−$229.57 (-2.1%)
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Yes 65.8¢24.4K shares
$8.7K
−$7.4K (-46.1%)
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 49.8¢12.8K shares
$7.2K
+$860.86 (+13.5%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Yes 87¢50.0K shares
$6.0K
−$37.5K (-86.2%)
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
No 34¢17.8K shares
$6.0K
−$88.95 (-1.5%)
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 5.1¢106.7K shares
$5.4K
−$74.48 (-1.4%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
No 27.9¢20.5K shares
$2.2K
−$3.6K (-62.4%)
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes 54.0¢3.3K shares
$1.9K
+$80.54 (+4.5%)
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
No 75¢1.1K shares
$1.0K
+$200.37 (+24.7%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 86.4¢1.2K shares
$991.55
−$77.32 (-7.2%)
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?
No 50¢1.3K shares
$896.76
+$260.76 (+41.0%)
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Yes 24.9¢12.4K shares
$807.67
−$2.3K (-73.9%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
Yes 23.4¢12.9K shares
$710.49
−$2.3K (-76.5%)
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Yes 26.3¢22.8K shares
$672.71
−$5.3K (-88.8%)
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Yes 8.9¢12.2K shares
$527.53
−$551.85 (-51.1%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 83.1¢464.3 shares
$362.87
−$22.98 (-6.0%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
Yes 6.3¢24.0K shares
$119.98
−$1.4K (-92.1%)
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?
Yes 48¢348 shares
$102.66
−$64.38 (-38.5%)
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
Yes 26.2¢87.1 shares
$15.25
−$7.57 (-33.2%)
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
No 62.6¢8.4 shares
$8.44
+$3.16 (+59.7%)
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?
Yes 7.0¢16.2K shares
$8.08
−$1.1K (-99.3%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Yes 62¢356.6 shares
$2.67
−$218.40 (-98.8%)
Will Janet Mills be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
Yes 1.7¢607.7 shares
$0.30
−$10.05 (-97.1%)