Blind Chicken
Flex cardJoined December 2020
Total earnings
−$23,900.34
1D
$100.62
7D
−$1.3K
30D
−$9.9K
90D
−$867.01
Total volume
$22.31M
Predictions
870
Positions value
$1.8K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade−$24.1K
LP+$88.04
Maker+$15.09
Yield+$65.73
Taker+$81.25

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 2.9¢50.8K shares
2.9¢→1.1¢
$1.4K
$50.8K
$583.88
−$863.13 (-59.6%)

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.9¢50.0K shares
1.9¢→1.1¢
$958.40
$50.0K
$525.00
−$433.40 (-45.2%)

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 3.3¢10.0K shares
3.3¢→2.5¢
$327.73
$10.0K
$245.18
−$82.55 (-25.2%)

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
No 7.5¢2.5K shares
7.5¢→4.2¢
$187.22
$2.5K
$105.00
−$82.22 (-43.9%)

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 5.0¢1.0K shares
5.0¢→8.5¢
$50.00
$1.0K
$85.00
+$35.00 (+70.0%)

Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?
Yes 0.1¢126.6K shares
0.1¢→0.1¢
$126.62
$126.6K
$63.31
−$63.31 (-50.0%)

Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?
Yes 0.6¢99.0K shares
0.6¢→0.1¢
$625.43
$99.0K
$49.50
−$575.93 (-92.1%)

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
No 29.4¢100 shares
29.4¢→27.3¢
$29.40
$100.00
$27.25
−$2.15 (-7.3%)

Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0.3¢50.5K shares
0.3¢→0.1¢
$153.22
$50.5K
$25.27
−$127.95 (-83.5%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes 20¢50 shares
20¢→23.5¢
$10.00
$50.00
$11.75
+$1.75 (+17.5%)

Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?
No 13.8¢252.9 shares
13.8¢→3.6¢
$34.88
$252.90
$9.10
−$25.77 (-73.9%)

Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.1¢1.5K shares
1.1¢→0.5¢
$16.50
$1.5K
$8.25
−$8.25 (-50.0%)

Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 0.5¢1.2K shares
0.5¢→0.5¢
$6.16
$1.2K
$6.83
+$0.67 (+10.9%)

Will James Talarico be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Yes 9.0¢262.6 shares
9.0¢→1.9¢
$23.58
$262.63
$5.12
−$18.46 (-78.3%)
Will Chellie Pingree be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
Yes 0.1¢6.3K shares
0.1¢→0.1¢
$9.35
$6.3K
$3.14
−$6.21 (-66.4%)
Will Jordan Wood be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
Yes 1.1¢3.1K shares
1.1¢→0.1¢
$34.98
$3.1K
$3.07
−$31.92 (-91.2%)

Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?
Yes 2.7¢6.0K shares
2.7¢→0.1¢
$166.00
$6.0K
$3.02
−$162.98 (-98.2%)

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 17.7¢3.4 shares
17.7¢→85.0¢
$0.60
$3.40
$2.89
+$2.29 (+380.0%)

Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?
Yes 0.2¢5.3K shares
0.2¢→0.1¢
$10.61
$5.3K
$2.65
−$7.96 (-75.0%)
Will Aaron Frey be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
Yes 0.1¢1.5K shares
0.1¢→0.1¢
$1.49
$1.5K
$0.75
−$0.75 (-50.0%)
Will Paige Loud be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
Yes 0.1¢1.5K shares
0.1¢→0.1¢
$1.46
$1.5K
$0.73
−$0.73 (-50.0%)
Will Dan Kleban be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
Yes 1.4¢1.4K shares
1.4¢→0.1¢
$20.19
$1.4K
$0.72
−$19.47 (-96.4%)

Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?
Yes 0.2¢91.5K shares
0.2¢→0¢
$165.90
$91.5K
Lost

US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?
Yes 0.9¢163 shares
0.9¢→0¢
$1.47
$163.00
Lost

Will Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?
Yes 0.1¢6.9K shares
0.1¢→0¢
$6.88
$6.9K
Lost

Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9?
No 20¢119.8 shares
20¢→0¢
$23.95
$119.75
Lost

Will Catherine Connolly win by 0–5%?
Yes 1.4¢200 shares
1.4¢→0¢
$2.80
$200.00
Lost

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Yes 29.2¢2.0K shares
29.2¢→0¢
$584.98
$2.0K
Lost

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
No 1.3¢5.2K shares
1.3¢→0¢
$65.39
$5.2K
Lost

Will Michael Blake be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?
Yes 4.5¢2.8K shares
4.5¢→0¢
$125.59
$2.8K
Lost

Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Yes 0.1¢500.8K shares
0.1¢→0¢
$737.62
$500.8K
Lost

Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
Yes 0.2¢200.0K shares
0.2¢→0¢
$491.09
$200.0K
Lost

Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 18, 2026?
Yes 0.3¢583.3K shares
0.3¢→0¢
$1.6K
$583.3K
Lost

US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Yes 0.5¢14.9K shares
0.5¢→0¢
$74.41
$14.9K
Lost

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Yes 0.2¢375.9K shares
0.2¢→0¢
$707.08
$375.9K
Lost

Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
No 3.2¢10.0K shares
3.2¢→0¢
$323.69
$10.0K
Lost

US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?
Yes 0.7¢2.0K shares
0.7¢→0¢
$13.99
$2.0K
Lost

Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Yes 2.7¢465 shares
2.7¢→0¢
$12.56
$465.00
Lost

Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
No 16¢10 shares
16¢→0¢
$1.60
$10.00
Lost

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
No 3.5¢150 shares
3.5¢→0¢
$5.33
$150.00
Lost

Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes 14.0¢63 shares
14.0¢→0¢
$8.82
$63.00
Lost

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Yes 15.1¢15 shares
15.1¢→0¢
$2.27
$15.01
Lost

Will Ritchie Torres be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?
No 4.1¢3.0K shares
4.1¢→0¢
$122.37
$3.0K
Lost

Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?
No 9.6¢10.3K shares
9.6¢→0¢
$988.02
$10.3K
Lost

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Yes 4.1¢2.1K shares
4.1¢→0¢
$85.80
$2.1K
Lost

Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Yes 8.0¢84.2 shares
8.0¢→0¢
$6.70
$84.19
Lost

Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
No 3.2¢8.5K shares
3.2¢→0¢
$273.53
$8.5K
Lost

Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?
Yes 29.8¢10 shares
29.8¢→0¢
$2.98
$10.00
Lost

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?
No 2.0¢744.8 shares
2.0¢→0¢
$15.09
$744.81
Lost

Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
No 1.1¢763 shares
1.1¢→0¢
$8.39
$763.00
Lost

Israeli parliament dissolved before August?
Yes 1.7¢1.4K shares
1.7¢→0¢
$23.19
$1.4K
Lost

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Yes 0.2¢89.9K shares
0.2¢→0¢
$221.27
$89.9K
Lost

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
Yes 3.5¢14.0K shares
3.5¢→0¢
$486.88
$14.0K
Lost

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
No 5.7¢150 shares
5.7¢→0¢
$8.55
$150.00
Lost

US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Yes 8.2¢4.3K shares
8.2¢→0¢
$350.22
$4.3K
Lost

Will Karen Bass finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 0.1¢100.0K shares
0.1¢→0¢
$100.00
$100.0K
Lost

Will Donald Trump announce Jeanine Pirro as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Yes 0.4¢1.1K shares
0.4¢→0¢
$4.94
$1.1K
Lost

Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Yes 5.2¢355.5 shares
5.2¢→0¢
$18.62
$355.51
Lost

Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
No 3.5¢5.9K shares
3.5¢→0¢
$206.21
$5.9K
Lost

Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?
Yes 0.4¢98.8K shares
0.4¢→0¢
$398.08
$98.8K
Lost

Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
No 3.3¢6.7K shares
3.3¢→0¢
$221.70
$6.7K
Lost

Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Yes 0.5¢95.0K shares
0.5¢→0¢
$487.44
$95.0K
Lost

Will the DHS shutdown end between March 12-15, 2026?
Yes 2.0¢185 shares
2.0¢→0¢
$3.77
$185.00
Lost

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?
No 0.3¢727.5 shares
0.3¢→0¢
$2.43
$727.47
Lost

Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Yes 0.2¢10.1K shares
0.2¢→0¢
$20.21
$10.1K
Lost

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 2.5¢1.0K shares
2.5¢→0¢
$25.00
$1.0K
Lost

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 1.5¢8.3K shares
1.5¢→0¢
$125.74
$8.3K
Lost

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 2?
Yes 13.0¢161.9 shares
13.0¢→0¢
$21.00
$161.87
Lost

Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
No 3.1¢5.7K shares
3.1¢→0¢
$179.07
$5.7K
Lost

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
No 23¢500 shares
23¢→0¢
$115.00
$500.00
Lost

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
Yes 3.7¢32.6K shares
3.7¢→0¢
$1.2K
$32.6K
Lost

Will Catherine Connolly win by 5–10%?
Yes 3.0¢400 shares
3.0¢→0¢
$11.99
$400.00
Lost

Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?
Yes 0.2¢43.3K shares
0.2¢→0¢
$106.84
$43.3K
Lost

Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
No 1.5¢48.2K shares
1.5¢→0¢
$718.43
$48.2K
Lost

Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 2?
Yes 8.6¢3.8K shares
8.6¢→0¢
$322.90
$3.8K
Lost

Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?
Yes 0.7¢490.3 shares
0.7¢→0¢
$3.52
$490.28
Lost

Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
No 4.6¢9.0K shares
4.6¢→0¢
$412.76
$9.0K
Lost

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Yes 0.9¢5.0K shares
0.9¢→0¢
$45.00
$5.0K
Lost

Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
Yes 0.1¢50.0K shares
0.1¢→0¢
$50.00
$50.0K
Lost

Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
Yes 0.1¢651.0K shares
0.1¢→0¢
$932.85
$651.0K
Lost

Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Yes 0.5¢53.9K shares
0.5¢→0¢
$261.13
$53.9K
Lost

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?
Yes 4.5¢500 shares
4.5¢→0¢
$22.70
$500.00
Lost

Will 61 or more U.S. senators vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by October 31?
Yes 1.2¢441.4 shares
1.2¢→0¢
$5.30
$441.36
Lost

Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Yes 1.5¢41.1K shares
1.5¢→0¢
$604.35
$41.1K
Lost

Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Yes 5.2¢12.0K shares
5.2¢→0¢
$625.01
$12.0K
Lost

Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Yes 0.4¢112.7K shares
0.4¢→0¢
$458.85
$112.7K
Lost

Will Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 1.0¢45.3K shares
1.0¢→0¢
$443.25
$45.3K
Lost

Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
No 1.8¢4.8K shares
1.8¢→0¢
$83.87
$4.8K
Lost

Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
No 3.9¢10.0K shares
3.9¢→0¢
$388.55
$10.0K
Lost

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Yes 6.1¢55 shares
6.1¢→0¢
$3.35
$55.00
Lost

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 3.4¢2.5K shares
3.4¢→0¢
$85.00
$2.5K
Lost

Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
No 3.5¢3.7K shares
3.5¢→0¢
$129.50
$3.7K
Lost

Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Yes 1.0¢3.5K shares
1.0¢→0¢
$34.83
$3.5K
Lost
