Laurenman
Flex cardJoined September 2024
Total earnings
−$30,100.46
1D
$1.8K
7D
$4.4K
30D
−$595.19
90D
$6.5K
Total volume
$17.50M
Predictions
1,268
Positions value
$49.2K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade−$63.9K
LP+$33.0K
Maker+$1.6K
Yield+$6.79
Taker+$17.39
Fees−$1.3K
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?
$60 91.5¢8.3K shares
91.5¢→78.3¢
$7.6K
$8.3K
$6.5K
−$1.1K (-14.5%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 72.9¢6.2K shares
72.9¢→76.5¢
$4.5K
$6.2K
$4.7K
+$219.93 (+4.9%)
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
No 96.2¢4.8K shares
96.2¢→97.9¢
$4.6K
$4.8K
$4.7K
+$81.14 (+1.8%)
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
No 68.7¢7.2K shares
68.7¢→61.5¢
$5.0K
$7.2K
$4.4K
−$516.84 (-10.4%)
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?
No 96.9¢4.5K shares
96.9¢→97.7¢
$4.4K
$4.5K
$4.4K
+$34.80 (+0.8%)
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
Yes 95.2¢4.0K shares
95.2¢→94.6¢
$3.8K
$4.0K
$3.8K
−$24.00 (-0.6%)
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
No 90.5¢3.5K shares
90.5¢→93.5¢
$3.2K
$3.5K
$3.3K
+$105.91 (+3.3%)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No 92.6¢3.1K shares
92.6¢→93.8¢
$2.8K
$3.1K
$2.9K
+$35.51 (+1.3%)
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?
No 95.8¢2.8K shares
95.8¢→97.5¢
$2.7K
$2.8K
$2.7K
+$45.15 (+1.7%)
Iran leadership change by July 31?
No 97.2¢2.0K shares
97.2¢→98.0¢
$1.9K
$2.0K
$2.0K
+$17.00 (+0.9%)
Iran leadership change by September 30?
No 88¢2.0K shares
88¢→88¢
$1.8K
$2.0K
$1.8K
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No 94¢1.9K shares
94¢→92.5¢
$1.8K
$1.9K
$1.8K
−$28.76 (-1.6%)
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?
No 93.5¢1.8K shares
93.5¢→91¢
$1.7K
$1.8K
$1.6K
−$45.11 (-2.7%)
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
No 94.3¢1.5K shares
94.3¢→96.5¢
$1.4K
$1.5K
$1.4K
+$32.08 (+2.3%)
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
No 93.8¢1.1K shares
93.8¢→99.4¢
$1.0K
$1.1K
$1.1K
+$60.71 (+5.9%)
Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump?
No 97.7¢900 shares
97.7¢→95.7¢
$879.30
$900.00
$860.85
−$18.45 (-2.1%)
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?
No 86.9¢414.7 shares
86.9¢→88.5¢
$360.22
$414.74
$367.04
+$6.82 (+1.9%)
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?
No 96.5¢312 shares
96.5¢→96.3¢
$301.02
$312.02
$300.48
−$0.54 (-0.2%)
No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by July 31?
No 93¢230.9 shares
93¢→98.5¢
$214.74
$230.90
$227.44
+$12.70 (+5.9%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?
Yes 98.6¢209.9 shares
98.6¢→99.8¢
$206.97
$209.90
$209.48
+$2.52 (+1.2%)
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
No 56.5¢98.5 shares
56.5¢→53.5¢
$55.69
$98.49
$52.69
−$3.00 (-5.4%)
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
No 85¢54.2 shares
85¢→93.5¢
$46.09
$54.22
$50.70
+$4.61 (+10.0%)
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?
No 86¢50 shares
86¢→97.3¢
$43.00
$50.00
$48.63
+$5.63 (+13.1%)
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
No 84¢13.6 shares
84¢→89.5¢
$11.42
$13.60
$12.17
+$0.75 (+6.5%)
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
No 96.5¢5.2 shares
96.5¢→99.5¢
$4.98
$5.16
$5.14
+$0.15 (+3.1%)
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No 75¢3.5 shares
75¢→73.5¢
$2.63
$3.50
$2.57
−$0.05 (-2.0%)
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?
No 85.9¢2.2 shares
85.9¢→92.3¢
$1.93
$2.24
$2.07
+$0.14 (+7.3%)
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in June?
No 73.3¢1.7K shares
73.3¢→0¢
$1.2K
$1.7K
Lost
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
No 94.3¢41.8 shares
94.3¢→0¢
$39.36
$41.76
Lost
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
No 77.5¢1.5K shares
77.5¢→0¢
$1.2K
$1.5K
Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June?
No 42.0¢1.0K shares
42.0¢→0¢
$425.90
$1.0K
Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of June 8 2026?
No 95¢300 shares
95¢→0¢
$285.00
$300.00
Lost
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on April 24?
Yes 55.0¢397.7 shares
55.0¢→0¢
$218.79
$397.71
Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
Yes 83¢44.8 shares
83¢→0¢
$37.21
$44.83
Lost
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 22?
No 52.9¢53.9 shares
52.9¢→0¢
$28.50
$53.85
Lost
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 1?
Up 59¢200 shares
59¢→0¢
$118.00
$200.00
Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Yes 94.1¢1.2K shares
94.1¢→0¢
$1.1K
$1.2K
Lost
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No 56.0¢20 shares
56.0¢→0¢
$11.20
$20.00
Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?
No 84.4¢7.1K shares
84.4¢→0¢
$6.0K
$7.1K
Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?
No 52.9¢1.5K shares
52.9¢→0¢
$812.40
$1.5K
Lost
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
No 46.8¢2 shares
46.8¢→0¢
$0.94
$2.00
Lost
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 14?
Down 46¢38 shares
46¢→0¢
$17.48
$38.00
Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
No 62.7¢1.5K shares
62.7¢→0¢
$940.50
$1.5K
Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Yes 91.5¢14.8 shares
91.5¢→0¢
$13.57
$14.83
Lost
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in June?
No 50.9¢791.2 shares
50.9¢→0¢
$402.48
$791.21
Lost
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
No 91.4¢729.4 shares
91.4¢→0¢
$666.89
$729.40
Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
Yes 79¢114 shares
79¢→0¢
$90.06
$113.99
Lost
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 26?
Up 48¢200 shares
48¢→0¢
$96.00
$200.00
Lost
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Yes 52.0¢1.6K shares
52.0¢→0¢
$849.38
$1.6K
Lost