
Montaigne
Flex cardJoined February 2026
Total earnings
−$12,985.34
1D
$234.65
7D
$895.45
30D
$895.46
90D
$905.08
Total volume
$44.81M
Predictions
37,775
Positions value
$2.70M
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade−$14.3K
LP+$22.83
Maker+$26.77
Yield+$1.3K
Fees−$47.97

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 50¢2.67M shares
50¢→79.8¢
$1.33M
$2.67M
$2.13M
+$794.1K (+59.5%)

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 50¢2.67M shares
50¢→20.3¢
$1.33M
$2.67M
$540.5K
−$794.1K (-59.5%)

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
No 40.5¢556.2 shares
40.5¢→0¢
$225.24
$556.24
Lost

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
No 27.7¢60 shares
27.7¢→0¢
$16.60
$60.00
Lost

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Yes 56.8¢23.3 shares
56.8¢→0¢
$13.21
$23.25
Lost

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Yes 28.0¢5.5K shares
28.0¢→0¢
$1.5K
$5.5K
Lost

Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
No 40.0¢60 shares
40.0¢→0¢
$24.00
$60.00
Lost

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
No 34.3¢91.9 shares
34.3¢→0¢
$31.54
$91.94
Lost
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
No 65.4¢124.5 shares
65.4¢→0¢
$81.39
$124.49
Lost

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Yes 36.3¢2.0K shares
36.3¢→0¢
$726.25
$2.0K
Lost

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Yes 35.2¢661.9 shares
35.2¢→0¢
$233.27
$661.88
Lost

Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
No 35.7¢160 shares
35.7¢→0¢
$57.20
$160.00
Lost

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Yes 6.7¢100 shares
6.7¢→0¢
$6.70
$99.99
Lost
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?
No 37.2¢180.7 shares
37.2¢→0¢
$67.28
$180.71
Lost

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Yes 33.4¢40 shares
33.4¢→0¢
$13.35
$40.00
Lost

Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?
No 36.4¢65.8 shares
36.4¢→0¢
$23.96
$65.76
Lost
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
No 92.0¢160 shares
92.0¢→0¢
$147.20
$160.00
Lost

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
No 33.6¢340.5 shares
33.6¢→0¢
$114.25
$340.47
Lost

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
No 43.4¢140 shares
43.4¢→0¢
$60.80
$140.00
Lost

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
No 95.1¢481.6 shares
95.1¢→0¢
$458.11
$481.59
Lost

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Yes 45.1¢8.3K shares
45.1¢→0¢
$3.7K
$8.3K
Lost

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Yes 80.6¢10.5K shares
80.6¢→0¢
$8.5K
$10.5K
Lost

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Yes 37.1¢400 shares
37.1¢→0¢
$148.41
$399.98
Lost

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
No 61.4¢100 shares
61.4¢→0¢
$61.40
$100.00
Lost

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Yes 60.3¢13.6K shares
60.3¢→0¢
$8.2K
$13.6K
Lost

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Yes 38¢5.2 shares
38¢→0¢
$1.96
$5.15
Lost

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Yes 37.3¢8.2K shares
37.3¢→0¢
$3.1K
$8.2K
Lost

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Yes 66.5¢251.1 shares
66.5¢→0¢
$166.98
$251.14
Lost

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
No 49.3¢1.1K shares
49.3¢→0¢
$522.20
$1.1K
Lost

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
Yes 68.5¢40 shares
68.5¢→0¢
$27.40
$40.00
Lost

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Yes 64.8¢1,000 shares
64.8¢→0¢
$648.19
$999.99
Lost

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Yes 66.8¢12.7K shares
66.8¢→0¢
$8.5K
$12.7K
Lost
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
No 21¢60 shares
21¢→0¢
$12.60
$60.00
Lost

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Yes 88.1¢60 shares
88.1¢→0¢
$52.88
$60.00
Lost

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
No 97.3¢200 shares
97.3¢→0¢
$194.61
$199.99
Lost

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
No 35.3¢1.7K shares
35.3¢→0¢
$592.72
$1.7K
Lost
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Yes 16.6¢187.6 shares
16.6¢→0¢
$31.15
$187.60
Lost
