Joined October 2024
Total earnings
−$177,919.31
1D
−$26.43
7D
−$46.04
30D
−$216.98
90D
−$21.0K
Total volume
$14.34M
Predictions
786
Positions value
$12.8K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade−$183.4K
LP+$5.2K
Maker+$60.99
Yield+$255.39
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 50¢8.9K shares
50¢→79.8¢
$4.4K
$8.9K
$7.1K
+$2.6K (+59.5%)
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 50¢8.9K shares
50¢→20.3¢
$4.4K
$8.9K
$1.8K
−$2.6K (-59.5%)
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
No 43¢332.3 shares
43¢→88.5¢
$142.88
$332.28
$294.07
+$151.19 (+105.8%)
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
No 35¢261.6 shares
35¢→96.2¢
$91.57
$261.63
$251.69
+$160.12 (+174.9%)
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
No 32¢394.3 shares
32¢→63¢
$126.17
$394.29
$248.40
+$122.23 (+96.9%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 70¢292.4 shares
70¢→75.5¢
$204.65
$292.35
$220.72
+$16.08 (+7.9%)
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 29.9¢329.6 shares
29.9¢→65¢
$98.70
$329.65
$214.27
+$115.57 (+117.1%)
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Yes 68.2¢263.5 shares
68.2¢→77¢
$179.65
$263.45
$202.86
+$23.21 (+12.9%)
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
No 73¢204.7 shares
73¢→97.0¢
$149.45
$204.73
$198.49
+$49.03 (+32.8%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Yes 80¢181.1 shares
80¢→94.1¢
$144.90
$181.12
$170.43
+$25.54 (+17.6%)
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
No 90¢173.5 shares
90¢→97.4¢
$156.14
$173.49
$168.89
+$12.75 (+8.2%)
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?
No 66¢198.5 shares
66¢→73¢
$131.02
$198.51
$144.91
+$13.90 (+10.6%)
Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?
No 67.5¢154.9 shares
67.5¢→90.5¢
$104.57
$154.86
$140.15
+$35.58 (+34.0%)
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
No 46.3¢332.9 shares
46.3¢→38.5¢
$154.15
$332.94
$128.18
−$25.97 (-16.8%)
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Yes 37.4¢260.1 shares
37.4¢→48.1¢
$97.20
$260.10
$125.11
+$27.91 (+28.7%)
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?
Yes 47.8¢254.9 shares
47.8¢→48.5¢
$121.94
$254.86
$123.61
+$1.67 (+1.4%)
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?
No 78.2¢100 shares
78.2¢→86.5¢
$78.20
$100.00
$86.45
+$8.25 (+10.5%)
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?
No 79¢100 shares
79¢→83.5¢
$79.00
$100.00
$83.50
+$4.50 (+5.7%)
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
No 80¢207.4 shares
80¢→36.5¢
$165.91
$207.39
$75.70
−$90.21 (-54.4%)
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
No 65¢172.6 shares
65¢→41.5¢
$112.16
$172.55
$71.61
−$40.55 (-36.2%)
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?
No 78¢91.4 shares
78¢→78¢
$71.30
$91.41
$71.30
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Yes 54¢120.4 shares
54¢→51.5¢
$65.02
$120.40
$62.01
−$3.01 (-4.6%)
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
Yes 72¢235.3 shares
72¢→25¢
$169.44
$235.33
$58.83
−$110.61 (-65.3%)
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Yes 37.8¢526.2 shares
37.8¢→11¢
$198.69
$526.19
$57.88
−$140.81 (-70.9%)
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?
Yes 78.8¢241.9 shares
78.8¢→23.5¢
$190.68
$241.93
$56.85
−$133.82 (-70.2%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
No 59¢100 shares
59¢→53.5¢
$59.00
$100.00
$53.50
−$5.50 (-9.3%)
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Yes 65¢66.8 shares
65¢→67¢
$43.39
$66.76
$44.73
+$1.34 (+3.1%)
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
Yes 56.0¢223.2 shares
56.0¢→20¢
$124.98
$223.17
$44.63
−$80.34 (-64.3%)
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Yes 20¢190.8 shares
20¢→21¢
$38.15
$190.77
$40.06
+$1.91 (+5.0%)
Rippling IPO before 2027?
Yes 19.7¢271.6 shares
19.7¢→14.5¢
$53.60
$271.56
$39.38
−$14.22 (-26.5%)
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Yes 22¢157.4 shares
22¢→24¢
$34.63
$157.43
$37.78
+$3.15 (+9.1%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
Yes 17¢200 shares
17¢→18¢
$34.00
$199.99
$36.00
+$2.00 (+5.9%)
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
Yes 57.0¢304.1 shares
57.0¢→11.5¢
$173.34
$304.10
$34.97
−$138.37 (-79.8%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
No 46¢100 shares
46¢→33.5¢
$46.00
$100.00
$33.50
−$12.50 (-27.2%)
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
No 90¢35 shares
90¢→90.5¢
$31.50
$35.00
$31.68
+$0.18 (+0.6%)
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Yes 20¢182.9 shares
20¢→14.5¢
$36.58
$182.90
$26.52
−$10.06 (-27.5%)
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
Yes 17.9¢260 shares
17.9¢→9.5¢
$46.57
$260.02
$24.70
−$21.87 (-47.0%)
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Yes 43¢158.5 shares
43¢→15.5¢
$68.16
$158.51
$24.57
−$43.59 (-64.0%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes 27¢100 shares
27¢→23.5¢
$27.00
$100.00
$23.50
−$3.50 (-13.0%)
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 65.7¢26.6 shares
65.7¢→77.5¢
$17.45
$26.56
$20.58
+$3.13 (+18.0%)
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Yes 46¢60 shares
46¢→34¢
$27.60
$60.00
$20.40
−$7.20 (-26.1%)
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Yes 79¢47.7 shares
79¢→41.5¢
$37.68
$47.70
$19.80
−$17.89 (-47.5%)
Celonis IPO before 2027?
Yes 39.6¢154.8 shares
39.6¢→12.5¢
$61.26
$154.79
$19.35
−$41.91 (-68.4%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 21¢237.6 shares
21¢→7.5¢
$49.89
$237.58
$17.94
−$31.96 (-64.0%)
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?
No 52.4¢18.5 shares
52.4¢→81.0¢
$9.68
$18.46
$14.94
+$5.26 (+54.4%)
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
No 16¢135.1 shares
16¢→9¢
$21.62
$135.13
$12.16
−$9.46 (-43.8%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
No 36¢56 shares
36¢→18.1¢
$20.16
$56.00
$10.11
−$10.05 (-49.9%)
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
No 6¢214.1 shares
6¢→4.6¢
$12.85
$214.12
$9.85
−$3.00 (-23.3%)
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
No 59¢11.7 shares
59¢→64.5¢
$6.91
$11.71
$7.55
+$0.64 (+9.3%)
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Yes 27¢57.4 shares
27¢→10¢
$15.49
$57.36
$5.74
−$9.75 (-63.0%)
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
Yes 9¢111 shares
9¢→4.5¢
$9.99
$111.00
$5.00
−$5.00 (-50.0%)
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?
Yes 13¢92.4 shares
13¢→5¢
$12.01
$92.35
$4.62
−$7.39 (-61.5%)
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Yes 25¢16 shares
25¢→21.4¢
$4.00
$16.00
$3.43
−$0.57 (-14.2%)
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Yes 7.9¢50 shares
7.9¢→6.7¢
$3.95
$50.00
$3.33
−$0.63 (-15.8%)
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Yes 18¢30 shares
18¢→11¢
$5.40
$30.00
$3.30
−$2.10 (-38.9%)
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
No 49¢8.9 shares
49¢→30¢
$4.35
$8.87
$2.66
−$1.69 (-38.8%)
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
Yes 30¢21 shares
30¢→11.5¢
$6.31
$21.02
$2.42
−$3.89 (-61.7%)
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?
No 77¢10.4 shares
77¢→22.5¢
$8.00
$10.39
$2.34
−$5.66 (-70.8%)
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
Yes 21¢201.8 shares
21¢→1¢
$42.37
$201.77
$2.02
−$40.35 (-95.2%)
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Yes 37¢7 shares
37¢→24.5¢
$2.59
$7.00
$1.72
−$0.87 (-33.8%)
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
Yes 52¢5 shares
52¢→32.5¢
$2.60
$5.00
$1.63
−$0.98 (-37.5%)
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?
No 35¢6.2 shares
35¢→25.5¢
$2.15
$6.15
$1.57
−$0.58 (-27.1%)
Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?
No 74¢13.1 shares
74¢→9.5¢
$9.66
$13.05
$1.24
−$8.42 (-87.2%)
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
No 78¢1.5 shares
78¢→67.5¢
$1.15
$1.47
$0.99
−$0.15 (-13.5%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?
No 20¢200 shares
20¢→0¢
$40.00
$200.00
Lost
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 24¢262.7 shares
24¢→0¢
$63.05
$262.70
Lost
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Yes 24.1¢369.5 shares
24.1¢→0¢
$89.08
$369.49
Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Yes 42.7¢63.3 shares
42.7¢→0¢
$27.06
$63.30
Lost
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Yes 18.1¢533.4 shares
18.1¢→0¢
$96.30
$533.38
Lost
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 67¢33 shares
67¢→0¢
$22.13
$33.03
Lost
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 28.0¢460.9 shares
28.0¢→0¢
$129.05
$460.89
Lost
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
No 54.8¢200.8 shares
54.8¢→0¢
$109.98
$200.80
Lost
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Yes 36.6¢896.4 shares
36.6¢→0¢
$328.23
$896.44
Lost
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Yes 19.2¢34.7K shares
19.2¢→0¢
$6.7K
$34.7K
Lost
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
No 45¢196.7 shares
45¢→0¢
$88.51
$196.68
Lost
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 2¢3.0K shares
2¢→0¢
$60.00
$3.0K
Lost
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?
Yes 18¢578 shares
18¢→0¢
$104.04
$577.98
Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Yes 29.0¢77.2 shares
29.0¢→0¢
$22.40
$77.23
Lost
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?
Yes 15¢80 shares
15¢→0¢
$12.00
$80.00
Lost
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?
Yes 17¢102.8 shares
17¢→0¢
$17.47
$102.76
Lost
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?
Yes 21¢151.2 shares
21¢→0¢
$31.75
$151.19
Lost
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Yes 38.8¢176 shares
38.8¢→0¢
$68.28
$175.99
Lost
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
No 63.1¢5.6K shares
63.1¢→0¢
$3.6K
$5.6K
Lost