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PolyScalping

balthazar

Joined January 2025

Total earnings

$1,262,576.83
1D
−$17.6K
7D
$47.6K
30D
$13.8K
90D
$469.7K
Total volume
$85.36M
Predictions
95,811
Positions value
$308.6K
Performance
+$1.18M
+$36.0K
+$18.3K
+$1,241.78
+$22.1K
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
No 90.5¢60.0K shares
$54.3K
+$24.3K (+81.0%)
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes 77¢32.5K shares
$25.0K
−$371.38 (-1.5%)
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
Yes 88.5¢8.5K shares
$7.5K
+$1.3K (+21.5%)
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?
Yes 86¢6.8K shares
$5.9K
+$1.6K (+37.6%)
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
Yes 77¢7.6K shares
$5.9K
+$958.39 (+19.5%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes 20.5¢28.5K shares
$5.8K
−$128.80 (-2.2%)
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Yes 9.5¢60.0K shares
$5.7K
−$24.3K (-81.0%)
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes 97.2¢5.8K shares
$5.6K
+$258.70 (+4.8%)
Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3% or more?
No 58.9¢9.1K shares
$5.4K
+$340.75 (+6.8%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
Yes 99.7¢4.9K shares
$4.9K
+$395.25 (+8.8%)
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?
Yes 98.6¢3.5K shares
$3.5K
+$1.2K (+53.1%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 88.8¢3.7K shares
$3.3K
+$662.27 (+25.2%)
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
Yes 98.7¢3.3K shares
$3.2K
+$1.3K (+67.7%)
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T?
No 68.5¢4.4K shares
$3.0K
+$642.38 (+26.8%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?
No 98.6¢3.0K shares
$3.0K
+$94.50 (+3.3%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?
Yes 95.5¢3.1K shares
$2.9K
+$445.07 (+18.0%)
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
No 99.2¢2.9K shares
$2.9K
−$6.64 (-0.2%)
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?
Yes 77.5¢3.6K shares
$2.8K
+$370.23 (+15.5%)
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
Yes 98.8¢2.7K shares
$2.6K
+$1.1K (+70.3%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 97.0¢2.5K shares
$2.4K
+$33.30 (+1.4%)
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Yes 96.3¢2.4K shares
$2.3K
+$22.18 (+1.0%)
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
Yes 97.4¢2.2K shares
$2.1K
+$203.02 (+10.7%)
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Yes 60.5¢3.3K shares
$2.0K
+$683.19 (+52.6%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?
No 96.8¢2.0K shares
$1.9K
+$109.00 (+6.0%)
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
Yes 22.5¢8.2K shares
$1.8K
+$554.69 (+43.1%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 November 2-8?
No 95.8¢1.9K shares
$1.8K
+$662.38 (+59.7%)
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?
Yes 62.5¢2.7K shares
$1.7K
+$98.96 (+6.3%)
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Yes 28.5¢5.8K shares
$1.6K
+$941.70 (+133.8%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
No 96.3¢1.6K shares
$1.6K
+$359.82 (+29.4%)
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Yes 100.0¢1.6K shares
$1.6K
+$1.5K (+3098.5%)
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?
No 96.7¢1.5K shares
$1.5K
+$79.38 (+5.6%)
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?
No 95¢1.6K shares
$1.5K
+$84.14 (+6.0%)
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Yes 96.1¢1.5K shares
$1.4K
+$1.2K (+445.2%)
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
No 87.6¢1.6K shares
$1.4K
−$34.97 (-2.4%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?
No 84.5¢1.6K shares
$1.4K
+$436.89 (+45.8%)
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
No 99.4¢1.4K shares
$1.4K
+$43.47 (+3.3%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
No 97.7¢1.4K shares
$1.4K
+$34.10 (+2.6%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election?
Yes 97.6¢1.4K shares
$1.4K
+$580.61 (+75.2%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 99.8¢1.4K shares
$1.3K
+$36.00 (+2.7%)
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 17.1¢7.6K shares
$1.3K
+$36.72 (+2.9%)
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Yes 80¢1.6K shares
$1.3K
+$1.2K (+2460.0%)
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
No 61.5¢2.0K shares
$1.3K
+$308.38 (+32.5%)
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Yes 10.5¢11.5K shares
$1.2K
−$1.6K (-56.9%)
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
No 100.0¢1.2K shares
$1.1K
+$27.30 (+2.4%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?
No 95.5¢1.2K shares
$1.1K
+$131.62 (+13.1%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?
No 58.5¢1.9K shares
$1.1K
−$76.28 (-6.4%)
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 97.4¢1.1K shares
$1.1K
+$493.65 (+79.4%)
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?
Yes 97.5¢1.1K shares
$1.1K
+$315.23 (+41.2%)
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Yes 95.8¢1.1K shares
$1.1K
+$944.68 (+857.5%)
Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026?
No 77.5¢1.3K shares
$1.0K
−$26.70 (-2.6%)
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?
Yes 98.1¢1.0K shares
$1.0K
+$958.93 (+1862.0%)
Papertrade FDV above $75M one day after launch?
No 63.5¢1.6K shares
$1.0K
+$744.28 (+285.3%)
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 68.5¢1.5K shares
$1.0K
+$24.65 (+2.5%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
Yes 50.5¢2.0K shares
$1.0K
+$28.00 (+2.9%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
No 64¢1.5K shares
$957.48
+$240.24 (+33.5%)
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 30.5¢3.1K shares
$949.26
+$469.92 (+98.0%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
No 21.5¢4.2K shares
$907.03
−$70.28 (-7.2%)
Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026?
No 58.5¢1.5K shares
$905.44
+$33.03 (+3.8%)
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?
No 99.0¢890 shares
$880.66
+$14.88 (+1.7%)
Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026?
No 76.5¢1.1K shares
$878.59
+$58.91 (+7.2%)
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
No 85.3¢1,000 shares
$852.97
+$25.27 (+3.1%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?
No 84¢1.0K shares
$840.00
+$120.00 (+16.7%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 97.8¢855 shares
$835.72
+$66.82 (+8.7%)
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
Yes 99.2¢841 shares
$833.81
+$394.22 (+89.7%)
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.5T?
No 91.5¢885 shares
$809.75
+$75.87 (+10.3%)
Base FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Yes 39.5¢2.0K shares
$807.65
−$212.52 (-20.8%)
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Yes 39¢2.1K shares
$804.24
−$810.10 (-50.2%)
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?
No 98.6¢807.6 shares
$795.93
+$268.20 (+50.8%)
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?
Yes 94.0¢814.4 shares
$765.11
+$201.17 (+35.7%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?
No 99.0¢735.6 shares
$727.84
+$41.13 (+6.0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 99.4¢700 shares
$695.44
+$7.89 (+1.1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 4?
Yes 99.8¢680 shares
$678.27
+$7.59 (+1.1%)
Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?
Yes 96.9¢699.7 shares
$677.68
+$655.11 (+2902.4%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
No 96.8¢693.3 shares
$670.80
+$148.18 (+28.4%)
Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
No 97.5¢684 shares
$666.52
+$10.74 (+1.6%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
No 98.9¢667.2 shares
$659.86
+$56.40 (+9.3%)
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
Yes 94.0¢699.6 shares
$657.96
+$621.14 (+1687.0%)
Will Henrietta Modig Serrate be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg?
Yes 90.0¢700 shares
$630.35
+$608.48 (+2781.6%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 5?
Yes 99.7¢624.4 shares
$622.17
−$0.71 (-0.1%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%?
Yes 84¢728.2 shares
$611.66
+$534.25 (+690.1%)
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
Yes 87.5¢682.9 shares
$597.53
+$516.15 (+634.3%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 99.5¢591.5 shares
$588.29
+$20.76 (+3.7%)
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Yes 10.0¢5.9K shares
$584.19
−$58.04 (-9.0%)
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 5, 2026?
No 93.5¢622.4 shares
$581.97
+$102.74 (+21.4%)
Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?
Yes 95.7¢605 shares
$578.68
+$560.35 (+3056.5%)
Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
No 98.9¢580.4 shares
$573.99
+$32.51 (+6.0%)
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No 97.0¢590.5 shares
$573.07
+$12.96 (+2.3%)
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?
Yes 44¢1.3K shares
$572.00
+$503.58 (+736.0%)
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?
No 45¢1.2K shares
$549.07
−$319.76 (-36.8%)
Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?
Yes 78¢700 shares
$546.00
+$525.41 (+2552.1%)
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?
No 82.5¢660 shares
$544.50
+$201.30 (+58.7%)
Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?
Yes 80.7¢670.1 shares
$540.78
+$519.84 (+2482.5%)
Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?
Yes 75.5¢700 shares
$528.85
+$505.52 (+2166.5%)
Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch?
No 97.5¢541.2 shares
$527.89
+$82.35 (+18.5%)
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
Yes 73.6¢703.8 shares
$518.00
+$459.42 (+784.4%)
Will Eduardo Paes win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round?
No 94.8¢537.3 shares
$509.41
−$10.09 (-1.9%)
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?
Yes 72.5¢700 shares
$507.50
+$487.50 (+2437.5%)
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 99.3¢500 shares
$496.25
+$5.75 (+1.2%)
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Yes 12.5¢3.9K shares
$492.37
−$1.5K (-75.9%)
StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch?
No 97.7¢501.2 shares
$489.41
+$75.97 (+18.4%)