Joined January 2025
Total earnings
$1,135,978.21
1D
$10.6K
7D
$43.0K
30D
$426.3K
90D
$1.01M
Total volume
$62.25M
Predictions
46,319
Positions value
$140.2K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$1.16M
LP+$14.8K
Maker+$12.4K
Yield+$129.45
Taker+$16.4K
Fees−$74.0K
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 73.2¢9.6K shares
73.2¢→78.1¢
$7.0K
$9.6K
$7.5K
+$476.71 (+6.8%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
Yes 49.3¢6.0K shares
49.3¢→99.6¢
$2.9K
$6.0K
$5.9K
+$3.0K (+102.0%)
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?
Yes 68.0¢4.0K shares
68.0¢→97.2¢
$2.7K
$4.0K
$3.9K
+$1.2K (+43.0%)
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?
Yes 15.8¢3.6K shares
15.8¢→98.0¢
$571.98
$3.6K
$3.5K
+$3.0K (+520.3%)
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?
Yes 36.3¢2.8K shares
36.3¢→97¢
$1.0K
$2.8K
$2.7K
+$1.7K (+167.2%)
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Yes 24.3¢9.9K shares
24.3¢→23.5¢
$2.4K
$9.9K
$2.3K
−$81.54 (-3.4%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
No 90.5¢2.1K shares
90.5¢→96.5¢
$1.9K
$2.1K
$2.0K
+$123.57 (+6.5%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
No 95.2¢2.0K shares
95.2¢→95.5¢
$1.9K
$2.0K
$2.0K
+$4.91 (+0.3%)
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?
No 87.5¢2.0K shares
87.5¢→98.9¢
$1.7K
$2.0K
$1.9K
+$224.13 (+13.1%)
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 3.8¢1.9K shares
3.8¢→97.8¢
$73.63
$1.9K
$1.9K
+$1.8K (+2442.8%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 26?
Yes 50¢2.1K shares
50¢→82.5¢
$1.1K
$2.1K
$1.7K
+$682.50 (+65.0%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
No 74.4¢1.7K shares
74.4¢→90¢
$1.2K
$1.7K
$1.5K
+$257.81 (+20.9%)
Will Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Tour De France?
No 96.4¢1.5K shares
96.4¢→99.9¢
$1.4K
$1.5K
$1.4K
+$49.42 (+3.5%)
Will Isaac del Toro win the 2026 Tour De France?
No 99.5¢1.4K shares
99.5¢→100.0¢
$1.4K
$1.4K
$1.4K
+$6.49 (+0.5%)
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
Yes 4.9¢1.3K shares
4.9¢→99.7¢
$65.80
$1.3K
$1.3K
+$1.3K (+1914.2%)
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Yes 3.0¢1.3K shares
3.0¢→94.8¢
$39.39
$1.3K
$1.2K
+$1.2K (+3030.1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 27?
Yes 50¢2.3K shares
50¢→53.5¢
$1.1K
$2.3K
$1.2K
+$79.28 (+7.0%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes 50¢1.9K shares
50¢→56.5¢
$946.42
$1.9K
$1.1K
+$122.85 (+13.0%)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
No 94.1¢1.0K shares
94.1¢→98.8¢
$941.00
$1.0K
$987.50
+$46.50 (+4.9%)
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Yes 10¢1.1K shares
10¢→85.5¢
$110.17
$1.1K
$941.93
+$831.76 (+755.0%)
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Yes 3.1¢1.3K shares
3.1¢→69.6¢
$40.73
$1.3K
$907.12
+$866.38 (+2126.9%)
Will Paul Seixas win the 2026 Tour De France?
No 99.6¢894.4 shares
99.6¢→100.0¢
$890.66
$894.35
$893.91
+$3.25 (+0.4%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 28?
Yes 9.1¢2.1K shares
9.1¢→42.5¢
$190.91
$2.1K
$892.50
+$701.59 (+367.5%)
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Yes 2.0¢1.7K shares
2.0¢→51¢
$34.80
$1.7K
$869.69
+$834.89 (+2399.0%)
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
Yes 5¢915.3 shares
5¢→95.0¢
$45.77
$915.31
$869.08
+$823.32 (+1799.0%)
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes 1.1¢2.1K shares
1.1¢→40.9¢
$23.59
$2.1K
$859.74
+$836.15 (+3544.0%)
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes 1.1¢6.6K shares
1.1¢→11.5¢
$74.28
$6.6K
$760.29
+$686.02 (+923.6%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 97.1¢750 shares
97.1¢→98.1¢
$728.14
$750.01
$735.76
+$7.62 (+1.0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 27?
Yes 9.1¢2.3K shares
9.1¢→32¢
$205.91
$2.3K
$724.80
+$518.89 (+252.0%)
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?
No 95.1¢726.3 shares
95.1¢→98.3¢
$691.00
$726.27
$713.92
+$22.92 (+3.3%)
Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?
Yes 20¢700 shares
20¢→99.7¢
$140.00
$700.00
$697.90
+$557.90 (+398.5%)
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?
Yes 5.3¢1.3K shares
5.3¢→53.5¢
$68.42
$1.3K
$695.50
+$627.08 (+916.5%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 3.8¢700 shares
3.8¢→99.4¢
$26.92
$700.00
$695.45
+$668.53 (+2483.1%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
No 75.4¢740.5 shares
75.4¢→93.5¢
$558.16
$740.49
$692.36
+$134.20 (+24.0%)
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 3.8¢700 shares
3.8¢→96.3¢
$26.92
$700.00
$674.10
+$647.18 (+2403.8%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 28, 2026?
No 65.3¢669.8 shares
65.3¢→96.5¢
$437.46
$669.82
$646.04
+$208.58 (+47.7%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
No 81.0¢749.1 shares
81.0¢→85.5¢
$606.74
$749.06
$640.45
+$33.71 (+5.6%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
Yes 3.1¢704.6 shares
3.1¢→90.5¢
$22.02
$704.62
$637.68
+$615.66 (+2796.0%)
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Yes 75.2¢784.6 shares
75.2¢→80.5¢
$589.85
$784.58
$631.59
+$41.73 (+7.1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?
Yes 9.1¢2.1K shares
9.1¢→30¢
$190.91
$2.1K
$630.00
+$439.09 (+230.0%)
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?
Yes 3.1¢700 shares
3.1¢→89.5¢
$21.88
$700.00
$626.50
+$604.63 (+2764.0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 89.9¢668 shares
89.9¢→92.5¢
$600.75
$667.99
$617.89
+$17.14 (+2.9%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes 3.1¢695 shares
3.1¢→87.5¢
$21.72
$694.96
$608.09
+$586.37 (+2700.0%)
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 2.2¢651 shares
2.2¢→92.9¢
$14.47
$651.03
$604.81
+$590.34 (+4080.6%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
No 90.2¢627.2 shares
90.2¢→95.5¢
$565.75
$627.20
$598.98
+$33.23 (+5.9%)
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?
Yes 12.5¢641.2 shares
12.5¢→92.7¢
$80.15
$641.18
$594.05
+$513.91 (+641.2%)
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
Chicago White Sox 57.1¢756.3 shares
57.1¢→78¢
$431.56
$756.26
$589.88
+$158.32 (+36.7%)
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?
Yes 53.9¢700 shares
53.9¢→83.5¢
$377.25
$700.02
$584.51
+$207.26 (+54.9%)
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes 14.3¢707.8 shares
14.3¢→81.5¢
$101.12
$707.83
$576.81
+$475.69 (+470.4%)
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?
Yes 14.3¢984.6 shares
14.3¢→58.3¢
$140.66
$984.60
$573.53
+$432.87 (+307.8%)
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?
Yes 25¢700 shares
25¢→81¢
$175.00
$700.00
$567.00
+$392.00 (+224.0%)
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes 3.6¢1.9K shares
3.6¢→29.8¢
$67.68
$1.9K
$565.66
+$497.98 (+735.8%)
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Yes 14.3¢1.3K shares
14.3¢→43¢
$185.80
$1.3K
$559.27
+$373.46 (+201.0%)
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 3.4¢700 shares
3.4¢→78¢
$24.14
$700.00
$546.00
+$521.86 (+2162.0%)
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes 1.1¢2.1K shares
1.1¢→25.8¢
$23.60
$2.1K
$541.89
+$518.29 (+2196.4%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 29, 2026?
No 87.5¢560.5 shares
87.5¢→96.6¢
$490.30
$560.50
$541.45
+$51.14 (+10.4%)
Will Jasper Philipsen be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?
No 92.0¢536.7 shares
92.0¢→99.7¢
$493.85
$536.73
$535.12
+$41.27 (+8.4%)
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?
Yes 74.8¢683.7 shares
74.8¢→76.5¢
$511.64
$683.73
$523.05
+$11.41 (+2.2%)
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?
Yes 25¢700 shares
25¢→74.5¢
$175.00
$700.00
$521.50
+$346.50 (+198.0%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
No 66¢600 shares
66¢→86.5¢
$396.00
$600.00
$519.00
+$123.00 (+31.1%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Yes 3.4¢700 shares
3.4¢→71¢
$24.14
$700.00
$497.00
+$472.86 (+1959.0%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes 31¢750.5 shares
31¢→66¢
$232.65
$750.49
$495.33
+$262.67 (+112.9%)
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 6.7¢764.8 shares
6.7¢→63.5¢
$50.99
$764.81
$485.65
+$434.66 (+852.5%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes 3.8¢757.3 shares
3.8¢→63¢
$29.13
$757.35
$477.13
+$448.00 (+1538.0%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 3.4¢605.5 shares
3.4¢→77.5¢
$20.88
$605.53
$469.29
+$448.41 (+2147.6%)
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes 3.1¢600 shares
3.1¢→77¢
$18.75
$600.00
$462.00
+$443.25 (+2364.0%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
Yes 30.8¢876.2 shares
30.8¢→52¢
$269.85
$876.22
$455.63
+$185.78 (+68.8%)
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?
Yes 2.9¢600 shares
2.9¢→75.5¢
$17.65
$600.00
$453.00
+$435.35 (+2467.1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 90¢500 shares
90¢→90.5¢
$450.00
$500.00
$452.50
+$2.50 (+0.6%)
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Yes 5¢700 shares
5¢→64.5¢
$35.00
$700.00
$451.50
+$416.50 (+1190.0%)
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 25?
Yes 30.2¢449.2 shares
30.2¢→100.0¢
$135.73
$449.16
$448.93
+$313.20 (+230.8%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
No 73¢500 shares
73¢→89.5¢
$365.00
$500.00
$447.50
+$82.50 (+22.6%)
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?
Yes 22.1¢703 shares
22.1¢→62¢
$155.43
$703.00
$435.86
+$280.43 (+180.4%)
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No 56.3¢639.8 shares
56.3¢→67¢
$360.10
$639.82
$428.68
+$68.58 (+19.0%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 3.1¢680.5 shares
3.1¢→62.5¢
$21.27
$680.52
$425.32
+$404.06 (+1900.0%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Atlanta Braves 32.1¢766.3 shares
32.1¢→52.5¢
$246.20
$766.34
$402.33
+$156.13 (+63.4%)
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 2.9¢704.3 shares
2.9¢→56.5¢
$20.76
$704.33
$397.88
+$377.12 (+1816.5%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?
No 92.0¢402 shares
92.0¢→96.5¢
$369.72
$402.01
$387.94
+$18.22 (+4.9%)
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?
No 48.6¢410.4 shares
48.6¢→94.4¢
$199.47
$410.35
$387.37
+$187.90 (+94.2%)
Will "Minions & Monsters" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?
Yes 20¢600 shares
20¢→64.5¢
$120.00
$600.00
$387.00
+$267.00 (+222.5%)
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 3.6¢701.5 shares
3.6¢→53.8¢
$25.05
$701.54
$377.78
+$352.73 (+1407.8%)
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Yes 2.0¢1.7K shares
2.0¢→22¢
$34.80
$1.7K
$375.16
+$340.36 (+978.0%)
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes 2.9¢600 shares
2.9¢→62.5¢
$17.65
$600.00
$375.00
+$357.35 (+2025.1%)
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
Yes 20¢700 shares
20¢→50.5¢
$140.00
$700.00
$353.50
+$213.50 (+152.5%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 26?
Yes 9.1¢2.1K shares
9.1¢→16.5¢
$188.64
$2.1K
$342.38
+$153.74 (+81.5%)
Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by December 31, 2026?
Yes 47.2¢741.8 shares
47.2¢→46¢
$349.96
$741.80
$341.23
−$8.73 (-2.5%)
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Yes 3.4¢601.4 shares
3.4¢→56.5¢
$20.74
$601.37
$339.71
+$318.98 (+1538.2%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
No 67.7¢750.5 shares
67.7¢→44.5¢
$508.20
$750.48
$333.96
−$174.23 (-34.3%)
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 30m?
Yes 20¢1.1K shares
20¢→30.6¢
$216.91
$1.1K
$331.32
+$114.42 (+52.7%)
Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by October 31?
Yes 96.5¢335.6 shares
96.5¢→97.5¢
$323.92
$335.63
$327.24
+$3.32 (+1.0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 28?
Yes 50¢2.1K shares
50¢→15.5¢
$1.1K
$2.1K
$325.50
−$724.50 (-69.0%)
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI?
Yes 5.3¢1.3K shares
5.3¢→24¢
$68.42
$1.3K
$312.00
+$243.58 (+356.0%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
Yes 23.3¢1.4K shares
23.3¢→22.5¢
$318.23
$1.4K
$306.68
−$11.56 (-3.6%)
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
No 61¢326.3 shares
61¢→93.5¢
$199.05
$326.31
$305.10
+$106.05 (+53.3%)
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 20m?
Yes 20¢1.1K shares
20¢→28.0¢
$216.91
$1.1K
$303.67
+$86.76 (+40.0%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?
Yes 14.3¢984.6 shares
14.3¢→30.8¢
$140.66
$984.60
$303.26
+$162.60 (+115.6%)
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
Yes 1.5¢1.3K shares
1.5¢→24¢
$18.70
$1.3K
$300.73
+$282.03 (+1508.0%)
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
No 99.7¢300.1 shares
99.7¢→99.5¢
$299.21
$300.11
$298.46
−$0.75 (-0.3%)
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
No 99.5¢300 shares
99.5¢→99.5¢
$298.55
$300.05
$298.40
−$0.15 (-0.0%)
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
No 99.3¢300 shares
99.3¢→99.4¢
$297.81
$300.01
$298.06
+$0.25 (+0.1%)