Total earnings
−$2,274,695.93
1D
−$16.5K
7D
−$70.8K
30D
−$472.5K
90D
−$1.53M
Total volume
$125.86M
Predictions
146,025
Positions value
$234.4K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade−$1.72M
LP+$706.66
Maker+$2.4K
Yield+$1.5K
Taker+$22.7K
Fees−$588.3K
Share

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 61.9¢31.1K shares
61.9¢→62.5¢
$19.3K
$31.1K
$19.4K
+$182.75 (+0.9%)

Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?
No 85.8¢16.1K shares
85.8¢→92.1¢
$13.8K
$16.1K
$14.9K
+$1.0K (+7.3%)

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 69.4¢18.4K shares
69.4¢→71.5¢
$12.8K
$18.4K
$13.2K
+$381.55 (+3.0%)

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
No 73.0¢16.8K shares
73.0¢→69.5¢
$12.3K
$16.8K
$11.7K
−$593.92 (-4.8%)

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
No 43.6¢11.0K shares
43.6¢→87.9¢
$4.8K
$11.0K
$9.7K
+$4.9K (+101.4%)

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 79.6¢7.1K shares
79.6¢→86.5¢
$5.7K
$7.1K
$6.1K
+$486.85 (+8.6%)

Fed rate hike in 2026?
No 47.6¢13.8K shares
47.6¢→43.5¢
$6.6K
$13.8K
$6.0K
−$569.95 (-8.7%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes 70.1¢8.8K shares
70.1¢→65.5¢
$6.2K
$8.8K
$5.8K
−$406.21 (-6.6%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 89.5¢5.7K shares
89.5¢→96.2¢
$5.1K
$5.7K
$5.5K
+$376.86 (+7.4%)

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
No 78.9¢4.8K shares
78.9¢→92.5¢
$3.8K
$4.8K
$4.5K
+$655.16 (+17.2%)

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 91.4¢4.5K shares
91.4¢→96.2¢
$4.1K
$4.5K
$4.4K
+$213.27 (+5.1%)

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 11.7¢147.1K shares
11.7¢→2.9¢
$17.2K
$147.1K
$4.3K
−$12.8K (-74.7%)

US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Rio Noguchi
Yunchaokete Bu 72.0¢5.4K shares
72.0¢→72.5¢
$3.9K
$5.4K
$3.9K
+$26.89 (+0.7%)

US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Secord vs Tristan Schoolkate
Tristan Schoolkate 90.0¢4.3K shares
90.0¢→87.5¢
$3.9K
$4.3K
$3.8K
−$108.26 (-2.8%)

Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?
No 66.1¢4.0K shares
66.1¢→93.5¢
$2.6K
$4.0K
$3.7K
+$1.1K (+41.4%)

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 13.2¢8.9K shares
13.2¢→32.9¢
$1.2K
$8.9K
$2.9K
+$1.7K (+149.0%)

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 31.3¢9.6K shares
31.3¢→28.5¢
$3.0K
$9.6K
$2.7K
−$265.92 (-8.8%)

Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Yes 41.3¢4.9K shares
41.3¢→53¢
$2.0K
$4.9K
$2.6K
+$572.41 (+28.2%)

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 28.3¢3.5K shares
28.3¢→74¢
$992.49
$3.5K
$2.6K
+$1.6K (+161.0%)

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No 73.9¢2.6K shares
73.9¢→92.5¢
$1.9K
$2.6K
$2.4K
+$485.53 (+25.2%)

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Yes 23.5¢15.7K shares
23.5¢→14.5¢
$3.7K
$15.7K
$2.3K
−$1.4K (-38.2%)

US Open, Qualification ATP: Nicolas Mejia vs Liam Draxl
Nicolas Mejia 50.5¢4.5K shares
50.5¢→50.5¢
$2.3K
$4.5K
$2.3K
−$1.26 (-0.1%)

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 45.0¢4.5K shares
45.0¢→49¢
$2.0K
$4.5K
$2.2K
+$183.53 (+9.0%)

Will Solana reach $120 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 58.7¢3.7K shares
58.7¢→59¢
$2.2K
$3.7K
$2.2K
+$11.74 (+0.5%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No 67.5¢3.2K shares
67.5¢→67.5¢
$2.1K
$3.2K
$2.1K
−$1.74 (-0.1%)

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes 55.3¢4.0K shares
55.3¢→48.5¢
$2.2K
$4.0K
$2.0K
−$273.70 (-12.2%)

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 69.1¢8.5K shares
69.1¢→21.5¢
$5.9K
$8.5K
$1.8K
−$4.0K (-68.9%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes 33.9¢5.4K shares
33.9¢→32.5¢
$1.8K
$5.4K
$1.8K
−$77.18 (-4.2%)

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
No 43.8¢3.0K shares
43.8¢→57.5¢
$1.3K
$3.0K
$1.7K
+$411.28 (+31.3%)

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
No 55.1¢3.2K shares
55.1¢→51.5¢
$1.8K
$3.2K
$1.7K
−$115.53 (-6.5%)

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Yes 63.8¢1.6K shares
63.8¢→96.6¢
$1.0K
$1.6K
$1.5K
+$523.92 (+51.3%)

Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
Yes 41.4¢2.9K shares
41.4¢→52.5¢
$1.2K
$2.9K
$1.5K
+$324.93 (+26.7%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 28.3¢4.4K shares
28.3¢→34.9¢
$1.2K
$4.4K
$1.5K
+$289.33 (+23.4%)

Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes 9.3¢19.6K shares
9.3¢→7.5¢
$1.8K
$19.6K
$1.5K
−$351.72 (-19.3%)

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Yes 47.5¢2.2K shares
47.5¢→55.0¢
$1.1K
$2.2K
$1.2K
+$168.71 (+15.8%)

Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-25?
Yes 68.9¢1.2K shares
68.9¢→100.0¢
$843.68
$1.2K
$1.2K
+$379.97 (+45.0%)

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Yes 82.3¢1.4K shares
82.3¢→86.5¢
$1.1K
$1.4K
$1.2K
+$58.74 (+5.1%)

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 13.0¢5.7K shares
13.0¢→20.9¢
$735.94
$5.7K
$1.2K
+$448.82 (+61.0%)

Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
No 88.3¢1.2K shares
88.3¢→97.6¢
$1.0K
$1.2K
$1.2K
+$110.26 (+10.5%)

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 2.5¢48.7K shares
2.5¢→2.3¢
$1.2K
$48.7K
$1.1K
−$125.93 (-10.1%)

US Open, Qualification ATP: Maks Kasnikowski vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 80.7¢1.1K shares
80.7¢→100.0¢
$900.69
$1.1K
$1.1K
+$214.87 (+23.9%)

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 2.4¢44.6K shares
2.4¢→2.4¢
$1.1K
$44.6K
$1.0K
−$7.44 (-0.7%)

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes 8.6¢16.2K shares
8.6¢→6.5¢
$1.4K
$16.2K
$1.0K
−$353.00 (-25.3%)

Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?
No 85.8¢1.1K shares
85.8¢→90¢
$967.50
$1.1K
$1.0K
+$47.33 (+4.9%)

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 44.8¢10.7K shares
44.8¢→9.5¢
$4.8K
$10.7K
$1.0K
−$3.8K (-78.8%)

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 48.5¢7.1K shares
48.5¢→14.0¢
$3.5K
$7.1K
$999.03
−$2.5K (-71.1%)

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No 57.3¢2.6K shares
57.3¢→38.8¢
$1.5K
$2.6K
$993.22
−$476.58 (-32.4%)

Will Williams-Sonoma (WSM) beat quarterly earnings?
Yes 94.0¢1.0K shares
94.0¢→94.5¢
$973.23
$1.0K
$978.41
+$5.18 (+0.5%)

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
No 82.8¢1.1K shares
82.8¢→91.3¢
$886.25
$1.1K
$977.21
+$90.95 (+10.3%)

Will Workday (WDAY) beat quarterly earnings?
Yes 93.6¢1.0K shares
93.6¢→93.5¢
$976.50
$1.0K
$975.60
−$0.91 (-0.1%)

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 26?
Yes 96.6¢937.4 shares
96.6¢→97.5¢
$906.01
$937.43
$913.99
+$7.99 (+0.9%)

GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Yes 9.3¢8.2K shares
9.3¢→11¢
$762.50
$8.2K
$902.69
+$140.19 (+18.4%)

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Yes 14.4¢7.8K shares
14.4¢→11.5¢
$1.1K
$7.8K
$898.80
−$227.58 (-20.2%)

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 27.3¢1.3K shares
27.3¢→67.5¢
$363.37
$1.3K
$898.77
+$535.40 (+147.3%)

Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Yes 19.9¢3.0K shares
19.9¢→28.8¢
$600.62
$3.0K
$869.97
+$269.35 (+44.8%)

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 50.0¢6.2K shares
50.0¢→13.6¢
$3.1K
$6.2K
$842.57
−$2.3K (-72.9%)

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Yes 51.6¢1.0K shares
51.6¢→75.0¢
$537.04
$1.0K
$780.28
+$243.25 (+45.3%)

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
No 70.6¢740.3 shares
70.6¢→87.9¢
$522.90
$740.31
$650.74
+$127.84 (+24.4%)

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 10.7¢4.1K shares
10.7¢→14.5¢
$441.52
$4.1K
$598.59
+$157.07 (+35.6%)

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes 52.0¢1.2K shares
52.0¢→48.5¢
$638.81
$1.2K
$595.93
−$42.88 (-6.7%)

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes 20.2¢3.7K shares
20.2¢→15.8¢
$756.12
$3.7K
$589.34
−$166.78 (-22.1%)

Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
No 79¢623 shares
79¢→93.5¢
$492.17
$623.00
$582.51
+$90.34 (+18.4%)

Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?
No 90¢594 shares
90¢→97.7¢
$534.60
$594.00
$580.04
+$45.44 (+8.5%)

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 23.5¢6.1K shares
23.5¢→9.5¢
$1.4K
$6.1K
$576.64
−$850.05 (-59.6%)

Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes 32.5¢1.5K shares
32.5¢→38.5¢
$485.07
$1.5K
$574.09
+$89.02 (+18.4%)

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
No 50.6¢1.1K shares
50.6¢→50¢
$566.04
$1.1K
Won
$559.36

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 26?
Yes 95.9¢579.3 shares
95.9¢→96.5¢
$555.35
$579.33
$559.05
+$3.71 (+0.7%)

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
No 81.1¢586.2 shares
81.1¢→93.5¢
$475.53
$586.21
$548.11
+$72.58 (+15.3%)

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Yes 49.6¢1.4K shares
49.6¢→38¢
$713.01
$1.4K
$546.28
−$166.73 (-23.4%)

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Yes 71.0¢679.9 shares
71.0¢→79.5¢
$482.72
$679.89
$540.51
+$57.79 (+12.0%)

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 3.2¢28.8K shares
3.2¢→1.8¢
$929.90
$28.8K
$533.31
−$396.59 (-42.6%)

Will Intuit (INTU) beat quarterly earnings?
Yes 95.0¢533.1 shares
95.0¢→99.6¢
$506.43
$533.09
$530.69
+$24.26 (+4.8%)

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 44.0¢674.2 shares
44.0¢→78.5¢
$297.05
$674.24
$529.28
+$232.23 (+78.2%)

Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
No 50¢1.1K shares
50¢→50¢
$525.49
$1.1K
Won
$525.49

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Yes 19.8¢2.0K shares
19.8¢→26¢
$390.11
$2.0K
$512.88
+$122.77 (+31.5%)

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes 83.5¢548.5 shares
83.5¢→92.5¢
$457.72
$548.46
$507.32
+$49.60 (+10.8%)

Will PagerDuty (PD) beat quarterly earnings?
Yes 93.0¢523.2 shares
93.0¢→96.0¢
$486.58
$523.21
$502.02
+$15.44 (+3.2%)

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 25.6¢3.4K shares
25.6¢→14.3¢
$877.91
$3.4K
$491.86
−$386.05 (-44.0%)

Will Autodesk (ADSK) beat quarterly earnings?
Yes 93.0¢523.2 shares
93.0¢→94¢
$486.58
$523.21
$491.82
+$5.23 (+1.1%)

Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes 48.9¢786.2 shares
48.9¢→56.5¢
$384.88
$786.15
$444.18
+$59.29 (+15.4%)

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Yes 59.2¢1.2K shares
59.2¢→37.5¢
$698.17
$1.2K
$442.15
−$256.02 (-36.7%)

Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-08-25?
No 65.2¢438.5 shares
65.2¢→100.0¢
$285.80
$438.54
$438.32
+$152.52 (+53.4%)

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Yes 66.7¢451.2 shares
66.7¢→92.5¢
$301.05
$451.22
$417.37
+$116.33 (+38.6%)

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 89.9¢429.1 shares
89.9¢→97.0¢
$385.75
$429.10
$416.45
+$30.70 (+8.0%)

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 21.0¢1.7K shares
21.0¢→23.3¢
$364.10
$1.7K
$402.82
+$38.72 (+10.6%)

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Yes 8.5¢5.8K shares
8.5¢→6.9¢
$494.38
$5.8K
$400.24
−$94.15 (-19.0%)

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 74.1¢3.3K shares
74.1¢→12.1¢
$2.4K
$3.3K
$396.76
−$2.0K (-83.7%)

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?
Yes 26.6¢2.5K shares
26.6¢→15.5¢
$672.72
$2.5K
$392.57
−$280.15 (-41.6%)

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?
Yes 74.4¢523.5 shares
74.4¢→74.5¢
$389.26
$523.46
$389.98
+$0.72 (+0.2%)

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 25?
Yes 99.0¢390.9 shares
99.0¢→99.5¢
$386.95
$390.86
$388.90
+$1.95 (+0.5%)

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Yes 3.1¢15.0K shares
3.1¢→2.6¢
$468.42
$15.0K
$388.83
−$79.58 (-17.0%)

Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Yes 11.0¢2.5K shares
11.0¢→15.5¢
$276.84
$2.5K
$388.72
+$111.89 (+40.4%)

Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 61.9¢1.8K shares
61.9¢→21.3¢
$1.1K
$1.8K
$381.44
−$723.81 (-65.5%)

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
No 57.0¢630.7 shares
57.0¢→59.5¢
$359.45
$630.67
$374.93
+$15.48 (+4.3%)

Monterrey Open: Panna Udvardy vs Maya Joint
Maya Joint 69.3¢545.5 shares
69.3¢→68.5¢
$377.81
$545.54
$373.69
−$4.12 (-1.1%)

Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Damm (+1.5)
Medvedev 53.2¢697.4 shares
53.2¢→53¢
$370.94
$697.36
$369.60
−$1.34 (-0.4%)

Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 67.0¢1.3K shares
67.0¢→27.5¢
$897.11
$1.3K
$367.93
−$529.17 (-59.0%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 47.1¢943.4 shares
47.1¢→37.5¢
$444.63
$943.36
$353.76
−$90.87 (-20.4%)

Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-08-11?
Yes 37.6¢979 shares
37.6¢→35.5¢
$368.22
$979.04
$347.56
−$20.66 (-5.6%)

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
No 88.0¢403.4 shares
88.0¢→84.5¢
$355.14
$403.45
$340.91
−$14.22 (-4.0%)
