nonkenny90

Joined August 2024

Total earnings

$40,539.92

1D

$12.6K

7D

−$8.0K

30D

−$24.5K

90D

$3.3K

Total volume

$30.58M

Predictions

7,906

Positions value

$362.1K

PerformancePerformance over all time

Trade+$37.3K

LP+$2.4K

Maker+$466.66

Yield+$51.58

Taker+$87.11

Fees−$1.2K

of 3.1M wallets

of 3.1M wallets

of 3.1M wallets

of 177k earners

of 139k earners

of 335k earners

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 87.1¢109.3K shares

87.1¢→78.5¢

−$9.3K (-9.8%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 74.1¢69.1K shares

74.1¢→76.5¢

Iran leadership change by July 31?

No 95.4¢40.8K shares

95.4¢→98.0¢

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

No 92.1¢20.4K shares

92.1¢→93.8¢

+$344.13 (+1.8%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

No 85.6¢16.4K shares

85.6¢→86.5¢

+$151.18 (+1.1%)

Iran leadership change by December 31?

No 69.0¢17.4K shares

69.0¢→76.5¢

+$1.3K (+10.8%)

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

No 89.0¢11.4K shares

89.0¢→97.0¢

+$915.13 (+9.0%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

No 95.9¢10.7K shares

95.9¢→98.8¢

+$303.06 (+2.9%)

Iran leadership change by September 30?

No 87.6¢10.5K shares

+$41.42 (+0.5%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

No 68.3¢9.0K shares

68.3¢→81.5¢

+$1.2K (+19.3%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

No 76.0¢9.1K shares

76.0¢→75.5¢

−$51.07 (-0.7%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?

No 87.7¢7.0K shares

+$298.59 (+4.9%)

Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in July?

No 92.8¢3.9K shares

92.8¢→99.8¢

+$272.06 (+7.5%)

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

No 84.7¢4.0K shares

84.7¢→95.3¢

+$423.31 (+12.6%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 92.3¢3.5K shares

92.3¢→99.3¢

+$245.20 (+7.5%)

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

No 74.6¢4.2K shares

+$225.31 (+7.3%)

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 94.9¢3.3K shares

94.9¢→99.7¢

+$154.55 (+5.0%)

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

No 92.8¢3.5K shares

92.8¢→93.5¢

+$23.46 (+0.7%)

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

No 90.9¢3.0K shares

90.9¢→98.9¢

+$235.68 (+8.7%)

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?

No 94.7¢2.8K shares

94.7¢→97.7¢

+$86.08 (+3.2%)

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?

No 89.4¢2.3K shares

89.4¢→99.3¢

+$229.34 (+11.0%)

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?

No 96.6¢2.3K shares

96.6¢→99.3¢

+$61.58 (+2.7%)

Will Solana dip to $50 in July?

No 95.3¢2.2K shares

95.3¢→99.1¢

+$85.61 (+4.0%)

Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?

No 95.5¢2.0K shares

95.5¢→99.7¢

+$83.92 (+4.4%)

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?

No 96.8¢1.9K shares

96.8¢→97.7¢

+$18.05 (+1.0%)

Nothing Ever Happens: July

Nothing 82.7¢2.4K shares

−$110.99 (-5.7%)

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 95.6¢1.8K shares

95.6¢→98.2¢

+$45.38 (+2.7%)

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 97.3¢1.7K shares

97.3¢→98.8¢

+$24.70 (+1.5%)

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

No 60.4¢1.8K shares

60.4¢→91.5¢

+$547.74 (+51.5%)

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026?

No 87.2¢1.8K shares

+$66.33 (+4.3%)

Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?

No 96.9¢1.6K shares

96.9¢→99.4¢

+$39.56 (+2.6%)

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Yes 69.0¢2.2K shares

69.0¢→69.5¢

+$11.34 (+0.8%)

No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?

Yes 97.3¢1.5K shares

97.3¢→98.4¢

+$16.27 (+1.1%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?

Yes 57.4¢2.3K shares

57.4¢→58.5¢

+$25.77 (+1.9%)

Kash Patel out by July 31?

No 95.6¢1.4K shares

95.6¢→98.3¢

+$36.68 (+2.8%)

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?

No 91.6¢1.3K shares

91.6¢→99.7¢

+$107.34 (+8.8%)

No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?

Yes 95.3¢1.5K shares

95.3¢→88.4¢

−$101.33 (-7.2%)

Iran leadership change by August 31?

No 90.4¢1.4K shares

90.4¢→92.5¢

+$29.15 (+2.4%)

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?

No 91.7¢1.2K shares

+$28.88 (+2.5%)

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 55.3¢1.7K shares

55.3¢→65.5¢

+$170.39 (+18.5%)

Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 92.1¢1.0K shares

92.1¢→99.1¢

+$71.45 (+7.6%)

Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?

No 95.5¢1.0K shares

95.5¢→96.9¢

+$14.95 (+1.5%)

Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July?

No 95.4¢966 shares

95.4¢→99.4¢

+$37.70 (+4.1%)

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?

No 96¢888 shares

+$33.30 (+3.9%)

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?

No 68.0¢908 shares

68.0¢→91.6¢

+$214.33 (+34.7%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 72.2¢1.1K shares

72.2¢→78.1¢

+$63.07 (+8.2%)

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?

No 94.7¢789 shares

94.7¢→99.7¢

+$39.30 (+5.3%)

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

No 90¢776 shares

+$27.16 (+3.9%)

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

No 93.8¢720 shares

93.8¢→99.1¢

+$38.44 (+5.7%)

Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

No 94.0¢720 shares

94.0¢→98.8¢

+$34.69 (+5.1%)

Israel military action against Yemen by July 21?

No 98.7¢698 shares

98.7¢→99.6¢

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?

No 93.8¢709 shares

93.8¢→96.7¢

+$20.34 (+3.1%)

Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?

No 94.1¢710.1 shares

94.1¢→96.2¢

+$14.73 (+2.2%)

US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?

No 88.5¢785 shares

88.5¢→85.5¢

−$23.96 (-3.4%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?

Yes 97.8¢590 shares

97.8¢→97.8¢

−$0.45 (-0.1%)

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?

No 86.9¢712 shares

86.9¢→76.5¢

−$74.24 (-12.0%)

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

No 75.8¢666 shares

75.8¢→78.5¢

+$17.76 (+3.5%)

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 49.5¢977 shares

49.5¢→49.5¢

−$0.21 (-0.0%)

Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?

No 99¢454 shares

Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?

No 95.4¢463 shares

95.4¢→97.8¢

+$11.06 (+2.5%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 96.8¢454 shares

96.8¢→99.4¢

+$11.58 (+2.6%)

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

No 84¢444 shares

+$46.62 (+12.5%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?

Yes 99¢420 shares

Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 93.5¢411 shares

93.5¢→99.1¢

+$22.81 (+5.9%)

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Anthropic 85.5¢444 shares

85.5¢→88.5¢

+$13.32 (+3.5%)

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 67¢433 shares

+$93.09 (+32.1%)

Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in July?

No 96¢369.8 shares

Will XRP dip to $0.80 in July?

No 92¢343 shares

+$20.24 (+6.4%)

Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?

No 96.0¢336.7 shares

96.0¢→98.5¢

Kash Patel out by December 31?

No 62.8¢455.6 shares

62.8¢→69.5¢

+$30.24 (+10.6%)

Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?

No 53.2¢377 shares

+$97.14 (+48.4%)

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 58.0¢554.9 shares

58.0¢→53.6¢

−$24.42 (-7.6%)

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?

No 79¢343 shares

+$25.72 (+9.5%)

Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?

Yes 88¢310.8 shares

+$21.44 (+7.8%)

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

No 97¢290 shares

Israeli forces enter Beirut by July 31?

No 97¢284.8 shares

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

No 49¢456 shares

+$47.88 (+21.4%)

Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

No 75¢330.1 shares

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?

No 89.3¢322 shares

−$49.30 (-17.1%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 68.4¢587 shares

68.4¢→40.5¢

−$163.86 (-40.8%)

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

No 46¢333 shares

+$84.42 (+55.1%)

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 84.1¢254 shares

84.1¢→90.5¢

+$16.19 (+7.6%)

Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

No 61¢322 shares

+$32.20 (+16.4%)

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in July?

No 94.7¢434 shares

94.7¢→51.3¢

−$188.14 (-45.8%)

Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?

No 64¢222 shares

+$78.92 (+55.5%)

Will Solana dip to $60 in July?

No 85¢222 shares

+$28.08 (+14.9%)

Will XRP reach $1.40 in July?

No 95¢211 shares

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 52.4¢577 shares

52.4¢→35.5¢

−$97.64 (-32.3%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?

No 94.9¢200 shares

94.9¢→99.5¢

Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in July 2026?

No 97¢204 shares

Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 0 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC?

No 98¢232 shares

−$29.35 (-12.9%)

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

No 63¢299 shares

Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 96¢195.3 shares

Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?

No 96¢190 shares

Megaquake by July 31?

No 87¢192.3 shares

+$20.58 (+12.3%)

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?

No 75¢249 shares

−$2.49 (-1.3%)

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?

No 77¢211 shares

+$11.60 (+7.1%)

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

No 68¢222 shares

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?

No 93¢150.1 shares

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 93¢190 shares

−$29.45 (-16.7%)