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PolyScalping

Newshound

Joined October 2024

Total earnings

$65,771.06
1D
−$907.82
7D
$7.6K
30D
$22.3K
90D
$4.6K
Total volume
$4.58M
Predictions
1,873
Positions value
$32.3K
Performance
+$63.8K
+$1,050.79
+$603.71
+$9.80
+$332.20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 10.5¢36.9K shares
$3.9K
−$16.5K (-81.0%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Yes 39.4¢9.1K shares
$3.6K
−$211.18 (-5.6%)
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 7.5¢35.0K shares
$2.6K
+$2.5K (+1775.2%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 98.8¢2.6K shares
$2.6K
+$1.5K (+128.3%)
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?
No 84¢2.2K shares
$1.8K
+$678.79 (+59.3%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
Yes 21.5¢8.3K shares
$1.8K
−$770.44 (-30.1%)
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Yes 38.5¢4.5K shares
$1.7K
−$107.72 (-5.9%)
Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 85¢1.7K shares
$1.4K
+$25.84 (+1.8%)
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 39.9¢3.3K shares
$1.3K
+$292.89 (+29.0%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
No 37¢3.1K shares
$1.1K
−$361.44 (-24.2%)
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
No 86.5¢1.3K shares
$1.1K
+$103.63 (+10.4%)
Will the IEA ask Germany to release oil stocks by December 31?
No 84.5¢1.3K shares
$1.1K
+$405.43 (+59.3%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
No 80.5¢1.2K shares
$939.85
+$297.72 (+46.4%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Yes 23¢2.6K shares
$586.72
+$55.96 (+10.5%)
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Yes 100.0¢583.5 shares
$583.23
+$116.41 (+24.9%)
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
Yes 54.5¢942.7 shares
$513.76
+$133.36 (+35.1%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Yes 8.3¢3.6K shares
$293.03
−$714.72 (-70.9%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 86.5¢300 shares
$259.50
+$49.50 (+23.6%)
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
Yes 17¢1.4K shares
$239.62
−$532.53 (-69.0%)
Michael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31?
Yes 22¢1.0K shares
$221.40
−$40.49 (-15.5%)
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
Yes 73.8¢300 shares
$221.40
+$74.40 (+50.6%)
US imports Russian diesel by November 15?
No 90¢240 shares
$215.99
+$62.00 (+40.3%)
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?
Yes 91.3¢219.7 shares
$200.47
+$66.46 (+49.6%)
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?
Yes 11.5¢1.7K shares
$197.61
−$224.10 (-53.1%)
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
No 98.2¢200 shares
$196.40
+$27.40 (+16.2%)
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?
Yes 98.7¢192 shares
$189.41
+$66.53 (+54.1%)
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
No 95.9¢192.9 shares
$184.89
+$35.46 (+23.7%)
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
No 83¢202.5 shares
$168.09
+$46.58 (+38.3%)
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Yes 42.5¢350 shares
$148.75
+$21.14 (+16.6%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 13.7¢1.0K shares
$136.50
+$84.50 (+162.5%)
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?
Yes 5.7¢2.4K shares
$133.76
−$552.64 (-80.5%)
Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2026?
No 79.5¢163.3 shares
$129.79
+$18.78 (+16.9%)
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
No 96.3¢130 shares
$125.13
+$26.73 (+27.2%)
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
Yes 12¢1.0K shares
$122.27
−$168.48 (-57.9%)
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
No 84.5¢140 shares
$118.30
+$44.10 (+59.4%)
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?
Yes 25¢466 shares
$116.49
+$13.07 (+12.6%)
Will Pete Hegseth be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?
Yes 26.5¢413.9 shares
$109.68
−$34.58 (-24.0%)
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
Yes 17.5¢626.3 shares
$109.59
−$108.88 (-49.8%)
Will Édouard Philippe, but not Gabriel Attal, be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 65.5¢159.3 shares
$104.32
−$14.72 (-12.4%)
New pandemic in 2026?
No 98.1¢100 shares
$98.10
+$14.10 (+16.8%)
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
Yes 11.5¢851.5 shares
$97.93
−$240.59 (-71.1%)
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
No 95.8¢100 shares
$95.75
+$16.75 (+21.2%)
Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by December 31?
No 74¢121 shares
$89.53
+$24.53 (+37.7%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Yes 44.5¢200 shares
$89.00
+$9.00 (+11.3%)
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?
Yes 4.6¢1.9K shares
$88.56
−$373.63 (-80.8%)
Macron out by December 31, 2026?
Yes 2.1¢3.5K shares
$74.50
−$60.64 (-44.9%)
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Yes 18.5¢396 shares
$73.26
−$1.98 (-2.6%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Yes 6.5¢1.1K shares
$72.89
−$252.69 (-77.6%)
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
Yes 4.1¢1.6K shares
$66.03
−$137.66 (-67.6%)
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
Yes 4.9¢1.3K shares
$65.16
−$176.66 (-73.1%)
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?
Yes 2.8¢2.3K shares
$63.80
−$379.77 (-85.6%)
SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?
No 96.5¢54.5 shares
$52.63
+$28.10 (+114.6%)
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?
Yes 14.0¢342.1 shares
$47.89
−$34.43 (-41.8%)
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
Yes 8.5¢500 shares
$42.50
−$205.50 (-82.9%)
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
Yes 4.2¢970.2 shares
$40.26
−$66.46 (-62.3%)
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Yes 27.2¢140 shares
$38.08
−$41.32 (-52.0%)
Will no one dissent the January Fed decision?
No 42.5¢80.1 shares
$34.04
−$16.62 (-32.8%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 16.4¢200 shares
$32.70
+$10.30 (+46.0%)
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?
Yes 9.5¢340 shares
$32.30
−$33.30 (-50.8%)
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by November 30?
Yes 32¢100 shares
$32.00
−$1.00 (-3.0%)
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027?
No 94.3¢33.3 shares
$31.45
+$3.12 (+11.0%)
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?
Yes 10¢300 shares
$30.00
−$30.00 (-50.0%)
Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?
Yes 14.0¢200 shares
$28.00
+$12.00 (+75.0%)
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Yes 4.3¢649.1 shares
$27.91
−$62.96 (-69.3%)
Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Yes 13.5¢200 shares
$27.00
−$3.00 (-10.0%)
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
No 20¢110 shares
$22.00
−$1.90 (-7.9%)
Trump out as President before 2027?
Yes 3.5¢620 shares
$21.39
−$77.81 (-78.4%)
Will Jordan Bardella win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 1.9¢1,000 shares
$19.50
−$0.50 (-2.5%)
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢2.4K shares
$15.89
−$2.84 (-15.2%)
Will a UK social media ban take effect by December 31, 2026?
Yes 10.5¢144.6 shares
$15.18
−$6.50 (-30.0%)
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
Yes 7.5¢200 shares
$15.00
−$28.00 (-65.1%)
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?
Yes 2.1¢620.1 shares
$12.71
−$183.17 (-93.5%)
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Yes 2.1¢500 shares
$10.50
−$34.50 (-76.7%)
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?
Yes 5¢201.1 shares
$10.05
−$10.03 (-49.9%)
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
Yes 2.1¢474.4 shares
$9.73
−$235.52 (-96.0%)
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?
Yes 2.9¢300 shares
$8.85
−$42.15 (-82.6%)
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?
Yes 4.3¢200 shares
$8.70
−$31.30 (-78.3%)
Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?
No 91.5¢7.3 shares
$6.69
+$2.33 (+53.6%)
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?
Yes 14.0¢43.2 shares
$6.04
−$2.59 (-30.0%)
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?
Yes 5.5¢105 shares
$5.78
−$15.22 (-72.5%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?
Yes 2.9¢200 shares
$5.70
−$48.30 (-89.4%)
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
Yes 5.1¢100 shares
$5.15
−$18.85 (-78.5%)
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?
Yes 1.4¢300 shares
$4.20
−$9.00 (-68.2%)
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
Yes 3.8¢111.8 shares
$4.19
−$52.92 (-92.7%)
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
No 1.6¢269.9 shares
$4.18
−$145.85 (-97.2%)
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by December 31, 2026?
Yes 3.1¢100 shares
$3.10
−$49.90 (-94.2%)
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Yes 0.1¢5.6K shares
$2.78
−$97.22 (-97.2%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Yes 0.1¢1.8K shares
$1.76
−$156.42 (-98.9%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Yes 0.1¢1.5K shares
$0.74
−$64.16 (-98.9%)
Will Doug Burgum be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Yes 2.3¢25.3 shares
$0.58
+$0.28 (+91.7%)
Will Pablo Hernández de Cos be the next President of the European Central Bank?
Yes 41¢1.4 shares
$0.58
+$0.11 (+24.2%)
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
Yes 0¢225 shares
Lost
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
No 0¢876 shares
Lost
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Yes 0¢536 shares
Lost
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Yes 0¢300 shares
Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
Yes 0¢467.5 shares
Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 0¢3.0K shares
Lost
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?
Yes 0¢55.3 shares
Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Yes 0¢6.9K shares
Lost
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-16 House seat?
Yes 0¢200 shares
Lost