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PolyScalping

dpnd

Joined August 2023

Total earnings

$36,742.93
1D
$1.1K
7D
$938.43
30D
−$663.54
90D
$3.0K
Total volume
$14.72M
Predictions
37,196
Positions value
$16.9K
Performance
+$30.6K
+$2,015.74
+$4,074.68
+$21.64
+$22.32
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
No 98.2¢2.7K shares
$2.6K
+$147.34 (+5.9%)
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?
No 97.5¢2.4K shares
$2.4K
+$151.30 (+6.8%)
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
No 81¢2.3K shares
$1.8K
+$662.76 (+55.9%)
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2026?
No 94.2¢1.9K shares
$1.8K
+$45.55 (+2.6%)
Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft?
Yes 88.5¢1.9K shares
$1.7K
+$120.11 (+7.7%)
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?
No 75¢1.6K shares
$1.2K
−$30.20 (-2.4%)
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30?
Yes 81.1¢1.4K shares
$1.1K
+$342.75 (+45.1%)
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026?
No 91¢1.0K shares
$912.91
+$64.54 (+7.6%)
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
No 98.0¢691.1 shares
$677.67
+$59.33 (+9.6%)
OpenAI acquired before 2027?
No 97.2¢469.2 shares
$455.82
+$27.22 (+6.4%)
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?
No 31¢1.3K shares
$394.81
−$180.65 (-31.4%)
Nothing Ever Happens: November
Nothing 88.5¢393.4 shares
$348.18
+$5.90 (+1.7%)
Elon Bull Run Combo
No 97.7¢327.1 shares
$319.56
+$26.46 (+9.0%)
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?
No 29.0¢899.4 shares
$260.84
+$43.62 (+20.1%)
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 4, 2026?
No 91.5¢275 shares
$251.63
+$9.63 (+4.0%)
Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in November 2026?
No 69¢238.3 shares
$164.41
+$27.31 (+19.9%)
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 5, 2026?
No 77.5¢177.9 shares
$137.86
+$15.12 (+12.3%)
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before November 15, 2026?
Yes 32.5¢392 shares
$127.41
+$40.35 (+46.4%)
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in November 2026?
No 51.5¢187 shares
$96.31
−$14.02 (-12.7%)
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between November 15 and November 30, 2026?
No 59.5¢50 shares
$29.75
−$1.75 (-5.6%)
Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.5 or 4,189.6 ft?
No 97.4¢25 shares
$24.36
+$1.85 (+8.2%)
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Yes 12.5¢30.3 shares
$3.79
−$8.68 (-69.6%)
Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in November 2026?
Yes 31¢5 shares
$1.55
+$0.95 (+158.3%)
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 23, 2026?
Yes 0¢606.3 shares
Lost
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 31, 2026?
No 0¢338 shares
Lost
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?
No 0¢712.7 shares
Lost
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026?
No 0¢505 shares
Lost
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?
No 0¢803 shares
Lost
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?
Yes 0¢322 shares
Lost