Total earnings
$210,443.95
1D
$2.6K
7D
$1.7K
30D
$29.9K
90D
$109.4K
Total volume
$12.10M
Predictions
1,334
Positions value
$188.1K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$203.5K
LP+$5.8K
Maker+$269.12
Yield+$90.76
Taker+$43.13

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
No 79.1¢19.9K shares
79.1¢→93.5¢
$15.8K
$19.9K
$18.6K
+$2.9K (+18.2%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No 90.9¢18.5K shares
90.9¢→93.8¢
$16.8K
$18.5K
$17.3K
+$530.27 (+3.2%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 71.2¢19.3K shares
71.2¢→76.5¢
$13.7K
$19.3K
$14.7K
+$1.0K (+7.4%)

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
No 59.1¢15.8K shares
59.1¢→69.0¢
$9.3K
$15.8K
$10.9K
+$1.6K (+16.7%)

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
No 60.2¢17.4K shares
60.2¢→57.0¢
$10.4K
$17.4K
$9.9K
−$553.36 (-5.3%)

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 59.6¢12.3K shares
59.6¢→79.5¢
$7.3K
$12.3K
$9.8K
+$2.4K (+33.4%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 83.5¢13.3K shares
83.5¢→62.5¢
$11.1K
$13.3K
$8.3K
−$2.8K (-25.2%)

Iran full airspace closure by July 27?
No 83.8¢7.0K shares
83.8¢→97.0¢
$5.9K
$7.0K
$6.8K
+$920.55 (+15.7%)

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 59.0¢11.9K shares
59.0¢→56.5¢
$7.0K
$11.9K
$6.7K
−$297.78 (-4.3%)

Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
No 59.4¢9.3K shares
59.4¢→71¢
$5.5K
$9.3K
$6.6K
+$1.1K (+19.5%)

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
No 55.6¢11.2K shares
55.6¢→56.5¢
$6.2K
$11.2K
$6.3K
+$100.89 (+1.6%)

Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
No 57.5¢8.9K shares
57.5¢→71¢
$5.1K
$8.9K
$6.3K
+$1.2K (+23.5%)

US strike on Cuba by December 31?
No 56.0¢9.3K shares
56.0¢→67.5¢
$5.2K
$9.3K
$6.2K
+$1.1K (+20.6%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Yes 46.0¢10.6K shares
46.0¢→55.5¢
$4.9K
$10.6K
$5.9K
+$1.0K (+20.6%)

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 87.4¢6.0K shares
87.4¢→89.6¢
$5.2K
$6.0K
$5.4K
+$135.00 (+2.6%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?
Yes 71.0¢5.4K shares
71.0¢→97.8¢
$3.9K
$5.4K
$5.3K
+$1.5K (+37.8%)

Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
No 64.0¢4.7K shares
64.0¢→89¢
$3.0K
$4.7K
$4.2K
+$1.2K (+39.0%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes 49.0¢6.1K shares
49.0¢→66¢
$3.0K
$6.1K
$4.0K
+$1.0K (+34.6%)

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
No 71.8¢4.9K shares
71.8¢→79.5¢
$3.5K
$4.9K
$3.9K
+$375.53 (+10.7%)

Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?
No 82.5¢4.3K shares
82.5¢→88¢
$3.5K
$4.3K
$3.8K
+$236.92 (+6.7%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 74.0¢3.4K shares
74.0¢→78.5¢
$2.5K
$3.4K
$2.7K
+$154.01 (+6.1%)

Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
No 79.6¢3.1K shares
79.6¢→75¢
$2.5K
$3.1K
$2.3K
−$143.30 (-5.8%)

Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?
No 58.0¢3.2K shares
58.0¢→71¢
$1.9K
$3.2K
$2.3K
+$422.39 (+22.5%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
No 83.1¢2.2K shares
83.1¢→82¢
$1.9K
$2.2K
$1.8K
−$24.78 (-1.3%)

Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
Yes 19.3¢3.5K shares
19.3¢→42.1¢
$665.04
$3.5K
$1.5K
+$789.16 (+118.7%)

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
Yes 30.7¢3.4K shares
30.7¢→41¢
$1.0K
$3.4K
$1.4K
+$352.36 (+33.6%)

Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Yes 13.1¢2.9K shares
13.1¢→43.3¢
$384.68
$2.9K
$1.3K
+$881.76 (+229.2%)

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
No 72.7¢1.5K shares
72.7¢→75.5¢
$1.1K
$1.5K
$1.1K
+$42.08 (+3.8%)

Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?
Yes 7.6¢2.5K shares
7.6¢→41.1¢
$190.50
$2.5K
$1.0K
+$836.39 (+439.1%)

Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?
No 69.1¢1.1K shares
69.1¢→80.5¢
$749.20
$1.1K
$873.07
+$123.87 (+16.5%)

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
Yes 16.9¢5.4K shares
16.9¢→15.5¢
$912.13
$5.4K
$835.09
−$77.04 (-8.4%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
No 57.6¢1.9K shares
57.6¢→44¢
$1.1K
$1.9K
$821.07
−$254.58 (-23.7%)

Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 28.3¢1.1K shares
28.3¢→74.4¢
$310.69
$1.1K
$816.08
+$505.39 (+162.7%)

Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
No 72.1¢1.1K shares
72.1¢→71¢
$786.99
$1.1K
$774.61
−$12.39 (-1.6%)

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Yes 41.0¢3.3K shares
41.0¢→21.5¢
$1.4K
$3.3K
$713.06
−$645.65 (-47.5%)

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
No 97.5¢642.6 shares
97.5¢→99.3¢
$626.62
$642.62
$637.80
+$11.18 (+1.8%)

US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?
Yes 41.1¢1.2K shares
41.1¢→45¢
$501.75
$1.2K
$548.86
+$47.11 (+9.4%)

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?
Yes 39.7¢4.0K shares
39.7¢→11.5¢
$1.6K
$4.0K
$459.18
−$1.1K (-71.0%)

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by July 31?
Yes 34¢2.6K shares
34¢→15.5¢
$889.83
$2.6K
$405.59
−$484.24 (-54.4%)

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
No 81.0¢473 shares
81.0¢→85¢
$383.30
$473.00
$402.05
+$18.75 (+4.9%)

Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?
Yes 6.5¢1.1K shares
6.5¢→35.4¢
$73.03
$1.1K
$396.62
+$323.59 (+443.1%)

Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
No 71.5¢481.4 shares
71.5¢→78.5¢
$344.08
$481.39
$377.89
+$33.81 (+9.8%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
Yes 26¢1.7K shares
26¢→21.5¢
$450.48
$1.7K
$372.51
−$77.97 (-17.3%)
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 23.7¢999.4 shares
23.7¢→35¢
$237.21
$999.36
$349.78
+$112.57 (+47.5%)

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 2.3¢11.2K shares
2.3¢→2.5¢
$254.99
$11.2K
$273.94
+$18.95 (+7.4%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
No 68.5¢342.9 shares
68.5¢→73.5¢
$234.98
$342.86
$252.00
+$17.02 (+7.2%)

Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027?
No 54.6¢266.8 shares
54.6¢→73.5¢
$145.70
$266.78
$196.08
+$50.38 (+34.6%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Yes 26.3¢474.2 shares
26.3¢→39¢
$124.50
$474.19
$184.93
+$60.43 (+48.5%)

Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?
No 85.7¢190.1 shares
85.7¢→91¢
$162.83
$190.05
$172.95
+$10.12 (+6.2%)

Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?
No 65.1¢199.6 shares
65.1¢→84.5¢
$130.00
$199.62
$168.68
+$38.68 (+29.8%)

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
Yes 24.5¢1.2K shares
24.5¢→14.5¢
$282.71
$1.2K
$167.17
−$115.54 (-40.9%)

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
Yes 13.5¢1.9K shares
13.5¢→8.5¢
$262.57
$1.9K
$165.49
−$97.08 (-37.0%)
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
No 36.3¢247.6 shares
36.3¢→63¢
$90.00
$247.61
$155.99
+$65.99 (+73.3%)
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
Yes 25.2¢1.2K shares
25.2¢→12.5¢
$303.01
$1.2K
$150.19
−$152.81 (-50.4%)

Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?
Yes 6.5¢869 shares
6.5¢→11.1¢
$56.79
$869.01
$96.03
+$39.23 (+69.1%)
Will Samuel Garcia be out as Governor of Nuevo Leon by July 31, 2026?
No 78.2¢98.2 shares
78.2¢→97.0¢
$76.76
$98.18
$95.28
+$18.52 (+24.1%)

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
No 73.1¢116.1 shares
73.1¢→78¢
$84.90
$116.10
$90.56
+$5.66 (+6.7%)

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Yes 7.0¢1.4K shares
7.0¢→4.7¢
$100.00
$1.4K
$67.14
−$32.86 (-32.9%)

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
No 66.7¢74.1 shares
66.7¢→89¢
$49.38
$74.06
$65.92
+$16.53 (+33.5%)

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
No 66.4¢59.3 shares
66.4¢→99.7¢
$39.42
$59.34
$59.14
+$19.72 (+50.0%)

Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?
Yes 6.5¢869 shares
6.5¢→6.3¢
$56.79
$869.01
$54.31
−$2.48 (-4.4%)

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?
No 86.9¢53.7 shares
86.9¢→98.9¢
$46.72
$53.74
$53.15
+$6.43 (+13.8%)

Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026?
No 98.3¢47.7 shares
98.3¢→99.6¢
$46.87
$47.68
$47.47
+$0.60 (+1.3%)
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
No 42.0¢66.7 shares
42.0¢→65.5¢
$28.00
$66.67
$43.67
+$15.67 (+56.0%)

Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
No 30.3¢115 shares
30.3¢→37.5¢
$34.80
$115.00
$43.13
+$8.33 (+23.9%)

Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?
Yes 6.3¢391.5 shares
6.3¢→8.9¢
$24.47
$391.50
$35.04
+$10.57 (+43.2%)

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Yes 33.6¢110.4 shares
33.6¢→31¢
$37.15
$110.43
$34.23
−$2.92 (-7.9%)

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Yes 3.2¢7.5K shares
3.2¢→0.4¢
$237.47
$7.5K
$26.27
−$211.19 (-88.9%)

Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Yes 6.3¢3.2K shares
6.3¢→0.8¢
$204.99
$3.2K
$24.28
−$180.72 (-88.2%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
Yes 5.3¢4.4K shares
5.3¢→0.5¢
$230.35
$4.4K
$21.76
−$208.58 (-90.6%)

Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?
Yes 6.3¢883.1 shares
6.3¢→2.4¢
$55.20
$883.12
$20.75
−$34.44 (-62.4%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes 36¢50.7 shares
36¢→37.5¢
$18.25
$50.69
$19.01
+$0.76 (+4.2%)

US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?
Yes 3.0¢824.7 shares
3.0¢→1.9¢
$25.00
$824.71
$16.08
−$8.92 (-35.7%)

Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?
Yes 6.5¢869 shares
6.5¢→1.8¢
$56.79
$869.00
$16.08
−$40.71 (-71.7%)

Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?
Yes 19.4¢405.2 shares
19.4¢→3.8¢
$78.58
$405.25
$15.40
−$63.18 (-80.4%)

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Yes 17.5¢2.5K shares
17.5¢→0.5¢
$439.99
$2.5K
$13.80
−$426.19 (-96.9%)

Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026?
Yes 6.3¢1.9K shares
6.3¢→0.7¢
$120.04
$1.9K
$12.48
−$107.56 (-89.6%)

Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?
Yes 6.5¢869 shares
6.5¢→1.2¢
$56.79
$869.01
$10.43
−$46.36 (-81.6%)

Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?
Yes 6.5¢869 shares
6.5¢→1.1¢
$56.79
$869.01
$9.99
−$46.80 (-82.4%)

Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026?
Yes 6.5¢869 shares
6.5¢→1.1¢
$56.79
$869.01
$9.12
−$47.67 (-83.9%)

Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?
Yes 6.3¢522 shares
6.3¢→1.3¢
$32.63
$522.00
$6.79
−$25.84 (-79.2%)

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?
No 86.7¢7.1 shares
86.7¢→90¢
$6.19
$7.14
$6.43
+$0.23 (+3.8%)

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
Yes 26.0¢77.3 shares
26.0¢→7.5¢
$20.10
$77.33
$5.80
−$14.30 (-71.1%)

Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?
Yes 6.3¢1.9K shares
6.3¢→0.1¢
$121.16
$1.9K
$2.91
−$118.25 (-97.6%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 11.1¢5.2K shares
11.1¢→0.1¢
$577.36
$5.2K
$2.60
−$574.76 (-99.5%)

Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?
Yes 6.3¢916.8 shares
6.3¢→0.2¢
$57.30
$916.84
$1.83
−$55.47 (-96.8%)

Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?
Yes 6.3¢522 shares
6.3¢→0.2¢
$32.63
$522.00
$1.04
−$31.58 (-96.8%)

Will Israel strike 14 countries in 2026?
Yes 6.3¢522 shares
6.3¢→0.1¢
$32.63
$522.00
$0.26
−$32.36 (-99.2%)

