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PolyScalping

paddaa

Joined July 2025

Total earnings

$345,781.01
1D
$7.0K
7D
$38.1K
30D
$85.6K
90D
$119.9K
Total volume
$19.68M
Predictions
1,923
Positions value
$218.7K
Performance
+$333.3K
+$10.9K
+$725.52
+$136.71
+$58.87
+$725.66
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes 100¢15.8K shares
Won
$15.8K
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No 97.4¢15.7K shares
$15.3K
+$3.4K (+28.8%)
Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire not hold through 2027?
Yes 97.1¢14.9K shares
$14.5K
+$320.23 (+2.3%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 77.1¢14.7K shares
$11.3K
−$25.29 (-0.2%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?
Yes 89¢12.5K shares
$11.2K
+$828.54 (+8.0%)
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes 99.5¢10.1K shares
$10.0K
+$5.8K (+137.9%)
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Yes 100¢8.6K shares
Won
$8.6K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes 84.2¢9.7K shares
$8.2K
+$658.58 (+8.8%)
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?
No 100¢6.4K shares
Won
$6.4K
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 56.5¢10.3K shares
$5.8K
−$515.29 (-8.1%)
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Yes 100¢5.8K shares
Won
$5.8K
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?
No 71.5¢7.3K shares
$5.2K
+$158.99 (+3.1%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Yes 39.2¢13.3K shares
$5.2K
−$289.50 (-5.3%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
Yes 50.5¢9.4K shares
$4.8K
+$470.54 (+10.9%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
Yes 33¢12.3K shares
$4.1K
+$95.63 (+2.4%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Yes 37¢11.0K shares
$4.1K
−$16.09 (-0.4%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Yes 46¢8.5K shares
$3.9K
+$956.49 (+32.6%)
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
Yes 35.5¢10.4K shares
$3.7K
+$79.39 (+2.2%)
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
Yes 13¢22.3K shares
$2.9K
−$62.73 (-2.1%)
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Yes 65.5¢4.4K shares
$2.9K
−$121.15 (-4.0%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?
Yes 99.5¢2.6K shares
$2.6K
+$1.7K (+192.5%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
Yes 59¢4.4K shares
$2.6K
+$11.47 (+0.4%)
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No 87.5¢2.3K shares
$2.0K
+$94.77 (+4.9%)
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?
Yes 77.5¢2.5K shares
$1.9K
+$1.7K (+696.6%)
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
No 89¢2.2K shares
$1.9K
+$15.57 (+0.8%)
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
No 52.5¢3.4K shares
$1.8K
−$416.59 (-18.9%)
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
Yes 22¢7.9K shares
$1.7K
−$42.74 (-2.4%)
Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
No 86.5¢2.0K shares
$1.7K
+$30.15 (+1.8%)
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?
Yes 19.5¢8.8K shares
$1.7K
+$328.80 (+23.8%)
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
Yes 73.6¢2.2K shares
$1.6K
+$1.1K (+243.9%)
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
No 15.3¢10.1K shares
$1.6K
−$5.7K (-78.7%)
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026?
No 44¢3.4K shares
$1.5K
+$34.00 (+2.3%)
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 30, 2026?
No 60¢2.4K shares
$1.5K
+$73.42 (+5.3%)
Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?
No 64.5¢2.2K shares
$1.4K
+$99.72 (+7.6%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?
Yes 41.5¢3.4K shares
$1.4K
+$64.84 (+4.9%)
Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?
Yes 67.5¢2.0K shares
$1.4K
+$532.58 (+62.7%)
Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?
Yes 94.9¢1.4K shares
$1.3K
+$207.35 (+18.4%)
Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?
No 73.5¢1.7K shares
$1.3K
+$654.02 (+107.6%)
Iran blockade lifted before US x Iran ceasefire ends?
No 99¢1.3K shares
$1.2K
+$288.43 (+30.3%)
Will Democrats sweep the Iowa Senate and Governor elections?
Yes 100¢1.2K shares
Won
$1.2K
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?
Yes 31.6¢3.8K shares
$1.2K
−$321.52 (-20.9%)
Will RZP-Zehut be in the next Israeli government?
No 74.5¢1.6K shares
$1.2K
+$102.04 (+9.7%)
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Yes 29.7¢3.8K shares
$1.1K
−$55.95 (-4.8%)
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
No 100¢1.1K shares
Won
$1.1K
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
No 19.5¢5.3K shares
$1.0K
−$1.4K (-58.0%)
Will Katie Zacharia be officially given a new role in the Trump administration by December 31?
No 78.5¢1.1K shares
$892.81
+$65.90 (+8.0%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?
Yes 8.5¢10.1K shares
$862.38
−$67.25 (-7.2%)
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 8.5¢10.0K shares
$848.69
−$2.0K (-69.8%)
Will Republicans win the Michigan and Ohio Senate seats?
No 100¢820.2 shares
Won
$820.20
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 73.1¢1.1K shares
$783.18
+$479.71 (+158.1%)
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?
Yes 23.5¢3.3K shares
$765.14
+$5.20 (+0.7%)
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Yes 100¢705.1 shares
Won
$705.13
Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30?
Yes 62¢1.1K shares
$675.04
+$35.04 (+5.5%)
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
No 88¢764.5 shares
$672.73
+$22.73 (+3.5%)
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
Yes 59.5¢1.1K shares
$671.48
+$222.58 (+49.6%)
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
Yes 30.5¢2.2K shares
$666.82
−$33.18 (-4.7%)
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?
Yes 13.4¢4.9K shares
$657.07
−$342.93 (-34.3%)
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
No 68.5¢895.1 shares
$613.17
+$56.46 (+10.1%)
Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?
No 36¢1.6K shares
$590.97
−$322.02 (-35.3%)
Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?
Yes 88.1¢624.1 shares
$549.83
+$193.03 (+54.1%)
Will Ahmed Galadima win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election?
No 59¢803.8 shares
$474.27
+$166.57 (+54.1%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
No 44.4¢1.0K shares
$458.72
−$155.36 (-25.3%)
Will Monica Crowley be the next White House Press Secretary?
Yes 5.0¢9.1K shares
$448.66
+$362.34 (+419.7%)
Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by December 31?
No 73¢594 shares
$433.62
+$33.54 (+8.4%)
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?
No 23.5¢1.8K shares
$431.09
+$82.55 (+23.7%)
Will Miroslava Ferancová be the next Mayor of Olomouc?
No 96.8¢440.8 shares
$426.52
+$346.52 (+433.1%)
Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?
Yes 97¢426.5 shares
$413.69
+$282.53 (+215.4%)
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Yes 13.4¢2.9K shares
$385.54
−$44.16 (-10.3%)
Will Agbu Kefas win the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election?
Yes 70.8¢539.9 shares
$381.94
+$40.25 (+11.8%)
Will Mattias Ottosson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?
Yes 56.5¢673.3 shares
$380.78
−$50.32 (-11.7%)
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
Yes 67.5¢535.7 shares
$361.62
+$1.62 (+0.4%)
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
Yes 17.5¢2.1K shares
$361.41
−$80.20 (-18.2%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Yes 8.5¢4.2K shares
$354.95
−$345.05 (-49.3%)
Will Harrison Fields be the next White House Press Secretary?
Yes 4.1¢8.6K shares
$353.40
+$271.36 (+330.7%)
Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?
No 67.5¢489.6 shares
$330.46
+$4.15 (+1.3%)
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?
Yes 24.9¢1.3K shares
$320.77
−$402.38 (-55.6%)
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
Yes 13.6¢2.4K shares
$318.82
−$81.17 (-20.3%)
Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?
Yes 78¢373 shares
$290.96
+$12.31 (+4.4%)
Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?
Yes 75.5¢381.4 shares
$288.16
−$11.84 (-3.9%)
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?
Yes 3.1¢9.1K shares
$280.98
+$194.66 (+225.5%)
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?
No 12.5¢2.2K shares
$280.22
−$101.12 (-26.5%)
Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?
No 15¢1.8K shares
$270.82
−$670.07 (-71.2%)
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2026?
Yes 5.5¢4.9K shares
$269.90
+$126.55 (+88.3%)
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by November 30, 2026?
Yes 38.5¢678.9 shares
$261.36
+$71.82 (+37.9%)
Will Beni Rae Harmony be the next White House Press Secretary?
Yes 2.9¢8.9K shares
$257.85
+$173.16 (+204.5%)
Will Elizabeth Pipko be the next White House Press Secretary?
Yes 3.4¢7.6K shares
$254.54
+$141.07 (+124.3%)
Will the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and the US not enter a recession by the end of 2027?
No 99.8¢251.9 shares
$251.26
+$30.97 (+14.1%)
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
No 66.5¢373 shares
$248.03
−$31.70 (-11.3%)
Will Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán win the next Piura mayoral elections?
No 87.1¢282.2 shares
$245.63
+$36.38 (+17.4%)
Will Rachel Campos-Duffy be the next White House Press Secretary?
Yes 2.6¢9.1K shares
$240.19
+$153.87 (+178.2%)
Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary?
Yes 2.6¢9.1K shares
$235.66
+$149.34 (+173.0%)
Will Liz Huston be the next White House Press Secretary?
Yes 2.6¢9.1K shares
$235.66
+$149.34 (+173.0%)
Will Lara Trump be the next White House Press Secretary?
Yes 2.5¢9.1K shares
$231.13
+$144.80 (+167.7%)
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?
Yes 3.7¢6.1K shares
$226.65
+$163.48 (+258.8%)
Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?
Yes 64¢350.1 shares
$224.08
−$57.45 (-20.4%)
Will Taylor Rogers be the next White House Press Secretary?
Yes 2.4¢9.1K shares
$217.53
+$131.21 (+152.0%)
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?
Yes 17.6¢1.2K shares
$216.05
+$175.93 (+438.5%)
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?
Yes 4.3¢4.9K shares
$212.63
+$165.81 (+354.2%)
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?
No 10.5¢2.0K shares
$212.12
−$1.1K (-83.7%)
Will Tricia McLaughlin be the next White House Press Secretary?
Yes 2.3¢9.1K shares
$208.47
+$122.15 (+141.5%)