
RememberAmalek
Flex cardJoined July 2024
Total earnings
$844,483.88
1D
−$11.3K
7D
−$6.3K
30D
$79.9K
90D
$22.6K
Total volume
$35.88M
Predictions
1,786
Positions value
$507.4K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$826.0K
LP+$17.8K
Maker+$1.1K
Yield+$1.7K
Taker+$142.52
Fees−$2.9K

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No 28.6¢409.7K shares
28.6¢→44.5¢
$117.2K
$409.7K
$182.3K
+$65.1K (+55.5%)

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes 35.7¢72.3K shares
35.7¢→43.5¢
$25.8K
$72.3K
$31.4K
+$5.7K (+21.9%)

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
No 53.9¢28.6K shares
53.9¢→99.2¢
$15.4K
$28.6K
$28.4K
+$13.0K (+84.0%)

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
No 37.5¢33.3K shares
37.5¢→72.5¢
$12.5K
$33.3K
$24.1K
+$11.7K (+93.4%)

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes 24.1¢68.5K shares
24.1¢→23.5¢
$16.5K
$68.5K
$16.1K
−$403.14 (-2.4%)

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?
No 81.7¢10.6K shares
81.7¢→99.7¢
$8.7K
$10.6K
$10.6K
+$1.9K (+22.1%)

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
No 95.7¢10.0K shares
95.7¢→99.3¢
$9.6K
$10.0K
$9.9K
+$355.00 (+3.7%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 91¢10.0K shares
91¢→97.3¢
$9.1K
$10.0K
$9.7K
+$625.00 (+6.9%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 49.8¢24.4K shares
49.8¢→37.5¢
$12.1K
$24.4K
$9.1K
−$3.0K (-24.6%)

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 43.7¢19.7K shares
43.7¢→43.5¢
$8.6K
$19.7K
$8.6K
−$44.97 (-0.5%)

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 84¢10.0K shares
84¢→85.5¢
$8.4K
$10.0K
$8.5K
+$150.00 (+1.8%)

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
No 76.4¢9.8K shares
76.4¢→87.5¢
$7.5K
$9.8K
$8.5K
+$1.1K (+14.5%)

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.9¢766.2K shares
0.9¢→1.1¢
$6.9K
$766.2K
$8.4K
+$1.5K (+22.2%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Yes 16.9¢53.2K shares
16.9¢→15.5¢
$9.0K
$53.2K
$8.2K
−$738.19 (-8.2%)

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 44.4¢18.1K shares
44.4¢→44.5¢
$8.0K
$18.1K
$8.0K
+$26.92 (+0.3%)

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 58.0¢12.4K shares
58.0¢→57.5¢
$7.2K
$12.4K
$7.2K
−$62.25 (-0.9%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
No 54.9¢10.7K shares
54.9¢→64.5¢
$5.9K
$10.7K
$6.9K
+$1.0K (+17.4%)

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 5.4¢68.0K shares
5.4¢→8.5¢
$3.7K
$68.0K
$5.8K
+$2.1K (+58.2%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
Yes 6.9¢16.2K shares
6.9¢→31.7¢
$1.1K
$16.2K
$5.1K
+$4.0K (+360.4%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 34.4¢20.3K shares
34.4¢→23.6¢
$7.0K
$20.3K
$4.8K
−$2.2K (-31.3%)

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 58.0¢8.0K shares
58.0¢→59.5¢
$4.7K
$8.0K
$4.8K
+$120.64 (+2.6%)

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
No 71.2¢5.0K shares
71.2¢→95.5¢
$3.5K
$5.0K
$4.7K
+$1.2K (+34.1%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 93.0¢5.0K shares
93.0¢→94.5¢
$4.6K
$5.0K
$4.7K
+$75.01 (+1.6%)

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Yes 9.9¢48.8K shares
9.9¢→9.5¢
$4.8K
$48.8K
$4.6K
−$206.14 (-4.3%)

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Yes 20.3¢35.0K shares
20.3¢→12.5¢
$7.1K
$35.0K
$4.4K
−$2.7K (-38.5%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Yes 27.4¢14.5K shares
27.4¢→26.5¢
$4.0K
$14.5K
$3.8K
−$127.15 (-3.2%)
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
No 59.9¢4.3K shares
59.9¢→75.5¢
$2.5K
$4.3K
$3.2K
+$665.17 (+26.1%)

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
No 41.9¢3.8K shares
41.9¢→84¢
$1.6K
$3.8K
$3.2K
+$1.6K (+100.3%)
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?
No 82.0¢3.5K shares
82.0¢→87.5¢
$2.9K
$3.5K
$3.0K
+$193.04 (+6.8%)

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?
Yes 95.2¢2.9K shares
95.2¢→99.9¢
$2.7K
$2.9K
$2.9K
+$135.14 (+4.9%)

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No 50.7¢5.2K shares
50.7¢→50¢
$2.6K
$5.2K
$2.6K
−$35.02 (-1.3%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Yes 33.8¢8.9K shares
33.8¢→26.5¢
$3.0K
$8.9K
$2.4K
−$648.62 (-21.5%)

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 56.8¢2.7K shares
56.8¢→85.0¢
$1.6K
$2.7K
$2.3K
+$777.37 (+49.8%)

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 59.7¢3.0K shares
59.7¢→66.5¢
$1.8K
$3.0K
$2.0K
+$205.00 (+11.5%)

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No 79.5¢2.0K shares
79.5¢→83.5¢
$1.6K
$2.0K
$1.7K
+$80.00 (+5.0%)

Iran leadership change by December 31?
No 47.8¢2.2K shares
47.8¢→76.5¢
$1.0K
$2.2K
$1.7K
+$625.18 (+59.9%)

Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
No 31.2¢4.4K shares
31.2¢→37.5¢
$1.4K
$4.4K
$1.7K
+$281.38 (+20.3%)

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Yes 15.6¢8.4K shares
15.6¢→19.6¢
$1.3K
$8.4K
$1.6K
+$333.49 (+25.5%)

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
Yes 5.4¢37.5K shares
5.4¢→4.3¢
$2.0K
$37.5K
$1.6K
−$402.30 (-19.8%)

Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Yes 59.2¢2.7K shares
59.2¢→59¢
$1.6K
$2.7K
$1.6K
−$4.34 (-0.3%)

Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
No 82.6¢1.6K shares
82.6¢→96.2¢
$1.3K
$1.6K
$1.5K
+$217.78 (+16.5%)

Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
Yes 26.3¢3.8K shares
26.3¢→37.5¢
$1.0K
$3.8K
$1.4K
+$425.02 (+42.4%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 69.5¢1.9K shares
69.5¢→76.5¢
$1.3K
$1.9K
$1.4K
+$131.01 (+10.1%)

Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No 93.7¢1.5K shares
93.7¢→95.6¢
$1.4K
$1.5K
$1.4K
+$28.23 (+2.0%)

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 10.1¢85.0K shares
10.1¢→1.7¢
$8.5K
$85.0K
$1.4K
−$7.1K (-83.6%)

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
No 34.5¢2.0K shares
34.5¢→69.0¢
$692.33
$2.0K
$1.4K
+$693.66 (+100.2%)

Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes 22.9¢4.1K shares
22.9¢→33.5¢
$932.87
$4.1K
$1.4K
+$433.80 (+46.5%)

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes 10¢11.7K shares
10¢→11.5¢
$1.2K
$11.7K
$1.3K
+$175.28 (+14.9%)
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
No 67.1¢1.8K shares
67.1¢→72.6¢
$1.2K
$1.8K
$1.3K
+$101.00 (+8.1%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 31.9¢1.7K shares
31.9¢→78.1¢
$537.15
$1.7K
$1.3K
+$780.68 (+145.3%)

Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes 19.6¢5.9K shares
19.6¢→22.2¢
$1.2K
$5.9K
$1.3K
+$151.89 (+13.1%)

Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
Yes 47.9¢2.5K shares
47.9¢→45¢
$1.2K
$2.5K
$1.1K
−$72.29 (-6.0%)

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 13.0¢2.0K shares
13.0¢→53.8¢
$259.98
$2.0K
$1.1K
+$817.01 (+314.3%)
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
No 70.7¢1.9K shares
70.7¢→52.5¢
$1.3K
$1.9K
$975.77
−$338.22 (-25.7%)

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
No 52¢1,000 shares
52¢→93.5¢
$519.98
$999.96
$934.97
+$414.98 (+79.8%)

Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes 25.8¢4.3K shares
25.8¢→21¢
$1.1K
$4.3K
$912.20
−$209.25 (-18.7%)

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?
No 64.0¢1.2K shares
64.0¢→71.5¢
$796.67
$1.2K
$889.78
+$93.11 (+11.7%)

Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes 34.8¢1.8K shares
34.8¢→48¢
$641.14
$1.8K
$883.10
+$241.96 (+37.7%)

US strike on Cuba by December 31?
No 67.9¢1.3K shares
67.9¢→67.5¢
$866.63
$1.3K
$861.21
−$5.43 (-0.6%)

Iran Nuke before 2027?
Yes 9.1¢16.4K shares
9.1¢→5.2¢
$1.5K
$16.4K
$853.98
−$640.59 (-42.9%)

Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?
No 13.4¢3.4K shares
13.4¢→24.5¢
$460.30
$3.4K
$840.58
+$380.29 (+82.6%)

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
Yes 59.4¢1.8K shares
59.4¢→47¢
$1.1K
$1.8K
$838.47
−$222.07 (-20.9%)

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
Yes 19.6¢7.8K shares
19.6¢→9.5¢
$1.5K
$7.8K
$743.17
−$792.52 (-51.6%)

Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
Yes 50.3¢1.7K shares
50.3¢→43.5¢
$846.22
$1.7K
$731.32
−$114.90 (-13.6%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
Yes 14.5¢6.6K shares
14.5¢→10.5¢
$957.58
$6.6K
$694.73
−$262.85 (-27.4%)

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Yes 58.6¢1.2K shares
58.6¢→55.5¢
$732.48
$1.2K
$693.74
−$38.75 (-5.3%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Yes 20.8¢3.6K shares
20.8¢→18¢
$740.48
$3.6K
$639.05
−$101.43 (-13.7%)
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
No 91.0¢709.8 shares
91.0¢→86.5¢
$645.87
$709.75
$613.93
−$31.94 (-4.9%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
Yes 61¢1.0K shares
61¢→58.5¢
$610.00
$1.0K
$585.00
−$25.00 (-4.1%)

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 2.1¢24.7K shares
2.1¢→2.4¢
$508.64
$24.7K
$580.53
+$71.89 (+14.1%)

Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
Yes 84¢632.8 shares
84¢→88.5¢
$531.51
$632.75
$559.98
+$28.47 (+5.4%)

Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?
Yes 36.0¢1.3K shares
36.0¢→41.1¢
$471.88
$1.3K
$539.51
+$67.63 (+14.3%)

US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Yes 17.2¢2.1K shares
17.2¢→25¢
$367.05
$2.1K
$532.18
+$165.13 (+45.0%)

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?
Yes 5¢7.0K shares
5¢→7.5¢
$347.70
$7.0K
$521.55
+$173.85 (+50.0%)
Will Nigel Farage win less than 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
No 90.3¢532.6 shares
90.3¢→95.3¢
$480.92
$532.58
$507.28
+$26.36 (+5.5%)

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
No 97.9¢500 shares
97.9¢→98.6¢
$489.50
$500.00
$493.00
+$3.50 (+0.7%)

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
Yes 17.2¢4.2K shares
17.2¢→11¢
$721.92
$4.2K
$462.36
−$259.56 (-36.0%)

Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?
Yes 14.8¢1.3K shares
14.8¢→35.4¢
$192.69
$1.3K
$460.78
+$268.09 (+139.1%)

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes 64.6¢552.2 shares
64.6¢→80.5¢
$356.52
$552.17
$444.50
+$87.98 (+24.7%)

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?
No 61¢500 shares
61¢→88.5¢
$305.00
$500.00
$442.50
+$137.50 (+45.1%)
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Yes 18.9¢1.2K shares
18.9¢→35.5¢
$233.40
$1.2K
$437.34
+$203.94 (+87.4%)

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.7¢20.0K shares
1.7¢→2.1¢
$340.00
$20.0K
$428.00
+$88.00 (+25.9%)
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat?
Yes 22.9¢457 shares
22.9¢→93.5¢
$104.57
$457.00
$427.30
+$322.73 (+308.6%)

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
No 75¢500 shares
75¢→85¢
$375.00
$500.00
$425.00
+$50.00 (+13.3%)

Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
No 93¢445.2 shares
93¢→93.5¢
$414.02
$445.18
$416.24
+$2.23 (+0.5%)

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Yes 51¢756 shares
51¢→54.5¢
$385.56
$756.00
$412.02
+$26.46 (+6.9%)

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?
No 82.4¢489.1 shares
82.4¢→83.5¢
$402.96
$489.07
$408.37
+$5.42 (+1.3%)

Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes 20.1¢1.5K shares
20.1¢→26.5¢
$300.03
$1.5K
$394.69
+$94.66 (+31.5%)

Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
No 57.9¢411.3 shares
57.9¢→89¢
$238.33
$411.33
$366.08
+$127.76 (+53.6%)

Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?
Yes 9¢3.7K shares
9¢→9¢
$331.92
$3.7K
$331.63
−$0.29 (-0.1%)

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 36.8¢4.6K shares
36.8¢→6.5¢
$1.7K
$4.6K
$295.99
−$1.4K (-82.3%)

Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?
Yes 7.0¢2.7K shares
7.0¢→11.1¢
$186.40
$2.7K
$293.93
+$107.53 (+57.7%)

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes 34.9¢638.4 shares
34.9¢→43.5¢
$222.88
$638.36
$277.68
+$54.80 (+24.6%)

Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Yes 7.0¢3.2K shares
7.0¢→8¢
$224.49
$3.2K
$256.56
+$32.07 (+14.3%)

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
No 95.8¢250 shares
95.8¢→96.5¢
$239.50
$250.00
$241.37
+$1.87 (+0.8%)

Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?
No 86¢250 shares
86¢→92.5¢
$215.00
$250.00
$231.25
+$16.25 (+7.6%)

Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
Yes 20.4¢988.9 shares
20.4¢→22.5¢
$201.64
$988.92
$222.51
+$20.87 (+10.4%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 20.5¢945.6 shares
20.5¢→22.5¢
$193.63
$945.63
$212.77
+$19.14 (+9.9%)

Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Yes 48.2¢624.6 shares
48.2¢→33.5¢
$301.08
$624.63
$209.25
−$91.83 (-30.5%)

Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
No 87.1¢227.8 shares
87.1¢→91.5¢
$198.31
$227.75
$208.39
+$10.08 (+5.1%)
