lava-lava

Flex card
Joined November 2022

Total earnings

$999,392.57
1D
−$440.64
7D
$45.55
30D
$4.0K
90D
$72.3K
Total volume
$39.19M
Predictions
975
Positions value
$75.0K
Performance
+$981.3K
+$19.1K
+$2.8K
+$161.28
+$209.02
$4.2K
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
No 79.7¢16.4K shares
$14.5K
+$1.4K (+10.4%)
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
No 90.3¢8.0K shares
$7.7K
+$501.05 (+6.9%)
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 56.7¢11.0K shares
$6.2K
−$26.09 (-0.4%)
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
No 76.8¢7.0K shares
$6.1K
+$715.47 (+13.3%)
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No 87.5¢6.0K shares
$5.8K
+$490.07 (+9.3%)
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
No 60.6¢7.1K shares
$4.8K
+$484.59 (+11.3%)
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 84¢5.1K shares
$4.7K
+$383.32 (+8.9%)
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
No 88.5¢4.4K shares
$4.1K
+$133.32 (+3.4%)
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
No 90¢3.8K shares
$3.6K
+$250.43 (+7.4%)
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
No 71¢3.3K shares
$3.2K
+$864.91 (+36.5%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No 64.0¢3.3K shares
$3.0K
+$885.70 (+41.3%)
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
No 78.1¢2.3K shares
$1.8K
−$60.64 (-3.3%)
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No 42.2¢3.3K shares
$1.5K
+$42.00 (+3.0%)
NATO article 5 before 2027?
No 77.9¢1.6K shares
$1.4K
+$226.91 (+18.8%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 12¢3.3K shares
$1.2K
+$818.24 (+204.6%)
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes 44.0¢2.2K shares
$966.57
−$11.11 (-1.1%)
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
No 83¢950.4 shares
$803.06
+$14.26 (+1.8%)
Blue wave in 2026?
Yes 57.9¢930 shares
$697.49
+$158.57 (+29.4%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes 33¢1.3K shares
$555.11
+$133.99 (+31.8%)
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
No 65.3¢586.9 shares
$542.90
+$159.34 (+41.5%)
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 23.6¢8.3K shares
$254.02
−$1.7K (-87.1%)
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 14.2¢29.4K shares
Lost
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 4.4¢23.4K shares
Lost
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 3.5¢20.0K shares
Lost
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 0.8¢10.0K shares
Lost
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?
Yes 3.4¢7.7K shares
Lost
Will Motoristé get between 7% and 9% of the vote in the Czech election?
Yes 26.0¢7.6K shares
Lost
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Yes 4.6¢7.2K shares
Lost
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
No 22.9¢6.8K shares
Lost
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Yes 0.7¢6.7K shares
Lost
Will Daniel Băluță get between 15% and 20% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?
Yes 9.3¢6.7K shares
Lost
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be less than 5%?
No 34.9¢6.5K shares
Lost
Will Kast win by 10% to 15%?
Yes 2.3¢6.5K shares
Lost
Will Starostové get between 13% and 16% of the vote in the Czech election?
Yes 20.0¢6.0K shares
Lost
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
No 5.6K shares
Lost
Will André Ventura win between 20% and 22% of votes in the first round?
Yes 5.0¢5.6K shares
Lost
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?
Yes 18.3¢5.5K shares
Lost
Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?
Yes 2.8¢5.4K shares
Lost
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by 15% or more?
Yes 11.9¢5.4K shares
Lost
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Yes 47.8¢5.4K shares
Lost
Will Jeannette Jara win at least 32% of votes in the first round?
Yes 24.0¢5.3K shares
Lost
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?
No 41.3¢5.2K shares
Lost
Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Yes 16.5¢4.9K shares
Lost
Will SPOLU get between 17% and 20% of the vote in the Czech election?
Yes 33.6¢4.8K shares
Lost
Will SPOLU get between 20% and 23% of the vote in the Czech election?
Yes 36¢4.5K shares
Lost
Will turnout be more than 69% in the Czech election?
Yes 4.9¢4.2K shares
Lost
Will Johannes Kaiser win at least 19% of votes in the first round?
Yes 27.5¢4.1K shares
Lost
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?
No 20.3¢4.1K shares
Lost
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5
Under 9.9¢4.0K shares
Lost
Will MDG win the fourth most seats in the Norway election?
Yes 24.5¢3.9K shares
Lost
Zohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
No 66.8¢3.9K shares
Lost
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Yes 58.3¢3.8K shares
Lost
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 54% and 56%?
Yes 16.8¢3.7K shares
Lost
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?
Yes 10.1¢3.7K shares
Lost
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
No 30.9¢3.7K shares
Lost
Will the red bloc win more than 92 seats in the Norwegian election?
Yes 18.0¢3.7K shares
Lost
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 46% and 48%?
Yes 13.2¢3.6K shares
Lost
Will Evelyn Matthei come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Yes 0.3¢3.6K shares
Lost
French election called by October 31?
Yes 57.5¢3.5K shares
Lost
Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Yes 47.0¢3.5K shares
Lost
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?
Yes 13.3¢3.4K shares
Lost
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?
No 3.2¢3.3K shares
Lost
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Yes 1.8¢3.3K shares
Lost
Will Arco win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Yes 3.3K shares
Lost
Will André Ventura win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?
Yes 4.7¢3.2K shares
Lost
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Yes 26.8¢3.2K shares
Lost
Will André Ventura win between 24% and 26% of votes in the first round?
Yes 3.0K shares
Lost
Will SPD get less than 7% of the vote in the Czech election?
Yes 1.5¢3.0K shares
Lost
Will the Red Bloc win by 16 or more seats?
Yes 18.2¢2.9K shares
Lost
Will Anca Alexandrescu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?
Yes 24.3¢2.9K shares
Lost
Will Jara win by 3-6%?
Yes 49.2¢2.9K shares
Lost
Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Yes 23.3¢2.9K shares
Lost
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win more than 20% of votes in the first round?
Yes 1.6¢2.8K shares
Lost
Will Daniel Baluta finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?
Yes 27.5¢2.8K shares
Lost
Will José Antonio Kast come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Yes 12.7¢2.6K shares
Lost
Will André Ventura win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?
Yes 10.4¢2.5K shares
Lost
Will SPOLU get between 23% and 26% of the vote in the Czech election?
No 89.5¢2.4K shares
Lost
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 7.3¢2.0K shares
Lost
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
No 30¢1.1K shares
Lost
World Championships: Finland vs. Czechia
Czechia 25¢1.1K shares
Lost
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?
Yes 29.0¢1.1K shares
Lost
Will Jeannette Jara and José Antonio Kast advance to the runoff?
No 20.0¢1.1K shares
Lost
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
No 24¢1.1K shares
Lost
Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 15% and 20% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?
Yes 11¢1.1K shares
Lost
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Yes 55.0¢1.1K shares
Lost
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Yes 59¢1.1K shares
Lost
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
Yes 5.6¢1.1K shares
Lost
Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Yes 63.9¢1.1K shares
Lost
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5
Under 30¢1.0K shares
Lost
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
No 44¢1.0K shares
Lost
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?
No 16¢1.0K shares
Lost
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 0–5%?
Yes 11¢1.0K shares
Lost
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)
Korea Republic 33¢1.0K shares
Lost
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?
No 18¢1.0K shares
Lost
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?
Yes 29.0¢1.0K shares
Lost
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
No 45¢1.0K shares
Lost
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
Yes 46¢1.0K shares
Lost
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?
Yes 30¢1.0K shares
Lost
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5
Under 56.0¢1,000 shares
Lost
Spread: Norway (-1.5)
Norway 14.0¢999.5 shares
Lost