lava-lava
Flex cardJoined November 2022
Total earnings
$999,392.57
1D
−$440.64
7D
$45.55
30D
$4.0K
90D
$72.3K
Total volume
$39.19M
Predictions
975
Positions value
$75.0K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$981.3K
LP+$19.1K
Maker+$2.8K
Yield+$161.28
Taker+$209.02
Fees−$4.2K

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
No 79.7¢16.4K shares
79.7¢→88¢
$13.1K
$16.4K
$14.5K
+$1.4K (+10.4%)

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
No 90.3¢8.0K shares
90.3¢→96.5¢
$7.2K
$8.0K
$7.7K
+$501.05 (+6.9%)

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 56.7¢11.0K shares
56.7¢→56.5¢
$6.2K
$11.0K
$6.2K
−$26.09 (-0.4%)

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
No 76.8¢7.0K shares
76.8¢→87¢
$5.4K
$7.0K
$6.1K
+$715.47 (+13.3%)

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No 87.5¢6.0K shares
87.5¢→95.7¢
$5.3K
$6.0K
$5.8K
+$490.07 (+9.3%)

US strike on Cuba by December 31?
No 60.6¢7.1K shares
60.6¢→67.5¢
$4.3K
$7.1K
$4.8K
+$484.59 (+11.3%)

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 84¢5.1K shares
84¢→91.5¢
$4.3K
$5.1K
$4.7K
+$383.32 (+8.9%)

Iran nuclear test before 2027?
No 88.5¢4.4K shares
88.5¢→91.5¢
$3.9K
$4.4K
$4.1K
+$133.32 (+3.4%)

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
No 90¢3.8K shares
90¢→96.7¢
$3.4K
$3.8K
$3.6K
+$250.43 (+7.4%)

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
No 71¢3.3K shares
71¢→97.0¢
$2.4K
$3.3K
$3.2K
+$864.91 (+36.5%)

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No 64.0¢3.3K shares
64.0¢→90.5¢
$2.1K
$3.3K
$3.0K
+$885.70 (+41.3%)

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
No 78.1¢2.3K shares
78.1¢→75.5¢
$1.8K
$2.3K
$1.8K
−$60.64 (-3.3%)

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No 42.2¢3.3K shares
42.2¢→43.5¢
$1.4K
$3.3K
$1.5K
+$42.00 (+3.0%)

NATO article 5 before 2027?
No 77.9¢1.6K shares
77.9¢→92.5¢
$1.2K
$1.6K
$1.4K
+$226.91 (+18.8%)

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 12¢3.3K shares
12¢→36.5¢
$399.96
$3.3K
$1.2K
+$818.24 (+204.6%)

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes 44.0¢2.2K shares
44.0¢→43.5¢
$977.68
$2.2K
$966.57
−$11.11 (-1.1%)

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
No 83¢950.4 shares
83¢→84.5¢
$788.81
$950.37
$803.06
+$14.26 (+1.8%)

Blue wave in 2026?
Yes 57.9¢930 shares
57.9¢→75¢
$538.92
$929.99
$697.49
+$158.57 (+29.4%)

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes 33¢1.3K shares
33¢→43.5¢
$421.12
$1.3K
$555.11
+$133.99 (+31.8%)

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
No 65.3¢586.9 shares
65.3¢→92.5¢
$383.56
$586.92
$542.90
+$159.34 (+41.5%)

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 23.6¢8.3K shares
23.6¢→3.0¢
$2.0K
$8.3K
$254.02
−$1.7K (-87.1%)

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 14.2¢29.4K shares
14.2¢→0¢
$4.2K
$29.4K
Lost

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 4.4¢23.4K shares
4.4¢→0¢
$1.0K
$23.4K
Lost

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 3.5¢20.0K shares
3.5¢→0¢
$700.00
$20.0K
Lost

Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 0.8¢10.0K shares
0.8¢→0¢
$80.00
$10.0K
Lost

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?
Yes 3.4¢7.7K shares
3.4¢→0¢
$258.87
$7.7K
Lost

Will Motoristé get between 7% and 9% of the vote in the Czech election?
Yes 26.0¢7.6K shares
26.0¢→0¢
$2.0K
$7.6K
Lost

Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Yes 4.6¢7.2K shares
4.6¢→0¢
$333.90
$7.2K
Lost

Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
No 22.9¢6.8K shares
22.9¢→0¢
$1.5K
$6.8K
Lost

Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Yes 0.7¢6.7K shares
0.7¢→0¢
$46.53
$6.7K
Lost

Will Daniel Băluță get between 15% and 20% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?
Yes 9.3¢6.7K shares
9.3¢→0¢
$619.24
$6.7K
Lost

Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be less than 5%?
No 34.9¢6.5K shares
34.9¢→0¢
$2.3K
$6.5K
Lost

Will Kast win by 10% to 15%?
Yes 2.3¢6.5K shares
2.3¢→0¢
$152.11
$6.5K
Lost

Will Starostové get between 13% and 16% of the vote in the Czech election?
Yes 20.0¢6.0K shares
20.0¢→0¢
$1.2K
$6.0K
Lost

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
No 8¢5.6K shares
8¢→0¢
$444.40
$5.6K
Lost

Will André Ventura win between 20% and 22% of votes in the first round?
Yes 5.0¢5.6K shares
5.0¢→0¢
$277.75
$5.6K
Lost

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?
Yes 18.3¢5.5K shares
18.3¢→0¢
$999.36
$5.5K
Lost

Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?
Yes 2.8¢5.4K shares
2.8¢→0¢
$149.98
$5.4K
Lost

Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by 15% or more?
Yes 11.9¢5.4K shares
11.9¢→0¢
$643.33
$5.4K
Lost

Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Yes 47.8¢5.4K shares
47.8¢→0¢
$2.6K
$5.4K
Lost

Will Jeannette Jara win at least 32% of votes in the first round?
Yes 24.0¢5.3K shares
24.0¢→0¢
$1.3K
$5.3K
Lost

Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?
No 41.3¢5.2K shares
41.3¢→0¢
$2.2K
$5.2K
Lost

Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Yes 16.5¢4.9K shares
16.5¢→0¢
$803.07
$4.9K
Lost

Will SPOLU get between 17% and 20% of the vote in the Czech election?
Yes 33.6¢4.8K shares
33.6¢→0¢
$1.6K
$4.8K
Lost

Will SPOLU get between 20% and 23% of the vote in the Czech election?
Yes 36¢4.5K shares
36¢→0¢
$1.6K
$4.5K
Lost

Will turnout be more than 69% in the Czech election?
Yes 4.9¢4.2K shares
4.9¢→0¢
$206.55
$4.2K
Lost

Will Johannes Kaiser win at least 19% of votes in the first round?
Yes 27.5¢4.1K shares
27.5¢→0¢
$1.1K
$4.1K
Lost

Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?
No 20.3¢4.1K shares
20.3¢→0¢
$829.99
$4.1K
Lost

France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5
Under 9.9¢4.0K shares
9.9¢→0¢
$397.49
$4.0K
Lost

Will MDG win the fourth most seats in the Norway election?
Yes 24.5¢3.9K shares
24.5¢→0¢
$955.18
$3.9K
Lost

Zohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
No 66.8¢3.9K shares
66.8¢→0¢
$2.6K
$3.9K
Lost

Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Yes 58.3¢3.8K shares
58.3¢→0¢
$2.2K
$3.8K
Lost

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 54% and 56%?
Yes 16.8¢3.7K shares
16.8¢→0¢
$629.81
$3.7K
Lost

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?
Yes 10.1¢3.7K shares
10.1¢→0¢
$375.34
$3.7K
Lost

Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
No 30.9¢3.7K shares
30.9¢→0¢
$1.1K
$3.7K
Lost

Will the red bloc win more than 92 seats in the Norwegian election?
Yes 18.0¢3.7K shares
18.0¢→0¢
$656.79
$3.7K
Lost

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 46% and 48%?
Yes 13.2¢3.6K shares
13.2¢→0¢
$478.69
$3.6K
Lost

Will Evelyn Matthei come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Yes 0.3¢3.6K shares
0.3¢→0¢
$10.86
$3.6K
Lost

French election called by October 31?
Yes 57.5¢3.5K shares
57.5¢→0¢
$2.0K
$3.5K
Lost

Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Yes 47.0¢3.5K shares
47.0¢→0¢
$1.6K
$3.5K
Lost

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?
Yes 13.3¢3.4K shares
13.3¢→0¢
$448.09
$3.4K
Lost

Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?
No 3.2¢3.3K shares
3.2¢→0¢
$107.77
$3.3K
Lost

Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Yes 1.8¢3.3K shares
1.8¢→0¢
$59.99
$3.3K
Lost

Will Arco win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Yes 1¢3.3K shares
1¢→0¢
$33.33
$3.3K
Lost

Will André Ventura win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?
Yes 4.7¢3.2K shares
4.7¢→0¢
$149.39
$3.2K
Lost

Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Yes 26.8¢3.2K shares
26.8¢→0¢
$845.31
$3.2K
Lost

Will André Ventura win between 24% and 26% of votes in the first round?
Yes 2¢3.0K shares
2¢→0¢
$60.00
$3.0K
Lost

Will SPD get less than 7% of the vote in the Czech election?
Yes 1.5¢3.0K shares
1.5¢→0¢
$45.38
$3.0K
Lost

Will the Red Bloc win by 16 or more seats?
Yes 18.2¢2.9K shares
18.2¢→0¢
$535.62
$2.9K
Lost

Will Anca Alexandrescu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?
Yes 24.3¢2.9K shares
24.3¢→0¢
$710.90
$2.9K
Lost

Will Jara win by 3-6%?
Yes 49.2¢2.9K shares
49.2¢→0¢
$1.4K
$2.9K
Lost

Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Yes 23.3¢2.9K shares
23.3¢→0¢
$671.88
$2.9K
Lost

Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win more than 20% of votes in the first round?
Yes 1.6¢2.8K shares
1.6¢→0¢
$45.68
$2.8K
Lost

Will Daniel Baluta finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?
Yes 27.5¢2.8K shares
27.5¢→0¢
$755.39
$2.8K
Lost

Will José Antonio Kast come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Yes 12.7¢2.6K shares
12.7¢→0¢
$328.60
$2.6K
Lost

Will André Ventura win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?
Yes 10.4¢2.5K shares
10.4¢→0¢
$260.88
$2.5K
Lost

Will SPOLU get between 23% and 26% of the vote in the Czech election?
No 89.5¢2.4K shares
89.5¢→0¢
$2.2K
$2.4K
Lost

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 7.3¢2.0K shares
7.3¢→0¢
$146.00
$2.0K
Lost

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
No 30¢1.1K shares
30¢→0¢
$333.30
$1.1K
Lost

World Championships: Finland vs. Czechia
Czechia 25¢1.1K shares
25¢→0¢
$277.75
$1.1K
Lost

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?
Yes 29.0¢1.1K shares
29.0¢→0¢
$322.19
$1.1K
Lost

Will Jeannette Jara and José Antonio Kast advance to the runoff?
No 20.0¢1.1K shares
20.0¢→0¢
$222.20
$1.1K
Lost

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
No 24¢1.1K shares
24¢→0¢
$266.64
$1.1K
Lost

Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 15% and 20% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?
Yes 11¢1.1K shares
11¢→0¢
$122.21
$1.1K
Lost

Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Yes 55.0¢1.1K shares
55.0¢→0¢
$611.04
$1.1K
Lost

Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Yes 59¢1.1K shares
59¢→0¢
$655.48
$1.1K
Lost

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
Yes 5.6¢1.1K shares
5.6¢→0¢
$62.21
$1.1K
Lost

Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Yes 63.9¢1.1K shares
63.9¢→0¢
$680.74
$1.1K
Lost

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5
Under 30¢1.0K shares
30¢→0¢
$300.00
$1.0K
Lost

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
No 44¢1.0K shares
44¢→0¢
$440.00
$1.0K
Lost

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?
No 16¢1.0K shares
16¢→0¢
$160.00
$1.0K
Lost

Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 0–5%?
Yes 11¢1.0K shares
11¢→0¢
$110.00
$1.0K
Lost

Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)
Korea Republic 33¢1.0K shares
33¢→0¢
$330.00
$1.0K
Lost

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?
No 18¢1.0K shares
18¢→0¢
$180.00
$1.0K
Lost

Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?
Yes 29.0¢1.0K shares
29.0¢→0¢
$290.00
$1.0K
Lost

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
No 45¢1.0K shares
45¢→0¢
$450.00
$1.0K
Lost

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
Yes 46¢1.0K shares
46¢→0¢
$460.00
$1.0K
Lost

Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?
Yes 30¢1.0K shares
30¢→0¢
$300.00
$1.0K
Lost

Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5
Under 56.0¢1,000 shares
56.0¢→0¢
$559.99
$999.99
Lost

Spread: Norway (-1.5)
Norway 14.0¢999.5 shares
14.0¢→0¢
$139.93
$999.49
Lost
