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1walrus
Joined December 2025
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Polymarket
Check on Polymarket
Total earnings
$50,870.50
1D
$3.7K
7D
$5.6K
30D
$11.6K
90D
−$9.3K
Total volume
$3.33M
Predictions
1,501
Positions value
$35.1K
Performance
Performance over all time
1D
1W
1M
YTD
All
Trade
+$45.9K
LP
+$4,141.05
Maker
+$592.92
Yield
+$235.08
Taker
+$11.15
Positions
Activity
Comments
active
closed
Market
Avg → Now
Traded
To win
Value
Share
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?
No 97.4¢
8.5K shares
Share
91.3¢
→
97.4¢
$7.8K
$8.5K
$8.3K
+$516.79
(+6.6%)
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Yes 65¢
5.8K shares
Share
64.5¢
→
65¢
$3.7K
$5.8K
$3.8K
+$27.82
(+0.7%)
Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Yes 68.5¢
4.5K shares
Share
65.2¢
→
68.5¢
$3.0K
$4.5K
$3.1K
+$148.69
(+5.0%)
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No 97.4¢
3.2K shares
Share
89.2¢
→
97.4¢
$2.8K
$3.2K
$3.1K
+$258.79
(+9.1%)
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
Yes 37.5¢
4.4K shares
Share
51.9¢
→
37.5¢
$2.3K
$4.4K
$1.6K
−$632.75
(-27.8%)
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
No 66.5¢
2.4K shares
Share
60.2¢
→
66.5¢
$1.4K
$2.4K
$1.6K
+$152.00
(+10.5%)
Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.70 ft MLLW or more?
Yes 96.8¢
1.1K shares
Share
70.0¢
→
96.8¢
$778.80
$1.1K
$1.1K
+$298.29
(+38.3%)
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
Yes 57.0¢
1.8K shares
Share
42.5¢
→
57.0¢
$748.21
$1.8K
$1.0K
+$256.03
(+34.2%)
Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.90 ft MLLW or more?
Yes 94¢
1.1K shares
Share
72.0¢
→
94¢
$756.38
$1.1K
$987.19
+$230.81
(+30.5%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 18% or more?
No 97.8¢
620.2 shares
Share
91.3¢
→
97.8¢
$566.41
$620.20
$606.56
+$40.14
(+7.1%)
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?
Yes 98.3¢
500 shares
Share
80¢
→
98.3¢
$400.00
$500.00
$491.50
+$91.50
(+22.9%)
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?
Yes 84¢
581.3 shares
Share
83.2¢
→
84¢
$483.68
$581.31
$488.30
+$4.61
(+1.0%)
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?
Yes 47¢
770.4 shares
Share
44.4¢
→
47¢
$342.30
$770.37
$362.07
+$19.77
(+5.8%)
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?
Yes 29.5¢
1.2K shares
Share
19.8¢
→
29.5¢
$239.07
$1.2K
$355.66
+$116.60
(+48.8%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-01 House election by 20%-25%?
No 99.6¢
346.3 shares
Share
63.3¢
→
99.6¢
$219.20
$346.30
$344.91
+$125.71
(+57.4%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kentucky Senate election by 10%-15%?
Yes 98.0¢
334.6 shares
Share
18.6¢
→
98.0¢
$62.08
$334.56
$327.70
+$265.62
(+427.9%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 21% or more?
No 98.3¢
330.7 shares
Share
93.0¢
→
98.3¢
$307.58
$330.67
$325.05
+$17.47
(+5.7%)
Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?
No 81.5¢
389.8 shares
Share
52.6¢
→
81.5¢
$204.97
$389.77
$317.66
+$112.69
(+55.0%)
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Yes 34¢
798.2 shares
Share
39.2¢
→
34¢
$312.99
$798.17
$271.38
−$41.62
(-13.3%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?
No 80¢
305 shares
Share
59¢
→
80¢
$179.95
$305.00
$244.00
+$64.05
(+35.6%)
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?
Yes 23¢
1.0K shares
Share
47¢
→
23¢
$483.96
$1.0K
$236.80
−$247.17
(-51.1%)
Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 8.10 ft MLLW or more?
Yes 56.5¢
400 shares
Share
45¢
→
56.5¢
$180.00
$400.00
$226.00
+$46.00
(+25.6%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 0%-3%?
Yes 41.2¢
477.7 shares
Share
87.1¢
→
41.2¢
$416.04
$477.69
$196.81
−$219.24
(-52.7%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?
No 95.9¢
201.9 shares
Share
75.9¢
→
95.9¢
$153.33
$201.93
$193.65
+$40.32
(+26.3%)
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
No 95.8¢
195.3 shares
Share
81.5¢
→
95.8¢
$159.18
$195.29
$186.99
+$27.81
(+17.5%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kentucky Senate election by 40%-45%?
No 99.9¢
185.5 shares
Share
96.2¢
→
99.9¢
$178.39
$185.50
$185.22
+$6.83
(+3.8%)
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31?
Yes 54.5¢
337.6 shares
Share
11.2¢
→
54.5¢
$37.84
$337.62
$184.00
+$146.16
(+386.3%)
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Yes 24.5¢
725.3 shares
Share
38.4¢
→
24.5¢
$278.77
$725.28
$177.69
−$101.08
(-36.3%)
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
Yes 85.4¢
202.7 shares
Share
75.2¢
→
85.4¢
$152.46
$202.70
$173.00
+$20.55
(+13.5%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?
No 80.3¢
201.9 shares
Share
76.2¢
→
80.3¢
$153.86
$201.92
$162.14
+$8.28
(+5.4%)
Will SpaceX have fewer than 13 launches in November 2026?
Yes 91¢
178 shares
Share
86¢
→
91¢
$153.06
$177.98
$161.96
+$8.90
(+5.8%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election by 30%-35%?
Yes 46.0¢
351.3 shares
Share
12.9¢
→
46.0¢
$45.22
$351.34
$161.44
+$116.22
(+257.0%)
Will the Labour Party win 50-54 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
No 96.2¢
157.4 shares
Share
94.4¢
→
96.2¢
$148.51
$157.38
$151.40
+$2.89
(+1.9%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-27 House election by 0%-3%?
Yes 75.4¢
200 shares
Share
60.1¢
→
75.4¢
$120.25
$200.03
$150.82
+$30.57
(+25.4%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 15%-18%?
No 83.9¢
176.1 shares
Share
89.0¢
→
83.9¢
$156.73
$176.13
$147.69
−$9.04
(-5.8%)
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Yes 33¢
430.3 shares
Share
34.5¢
→
33¢
$148.67
$430.32
$142.01
−$6.67
(-4.5%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 70%-75%?
No 49.5¢
285.4 shares
Share
66.4¢
→
49.5¢
$189.49
$285.42
$141.28
−$48.21
(-25.4%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?
Yes 43.5¢
310.2 shares
Share
18.0¢
→
43.5¢
$55.83
$310.17
$134.92
+$79.09
(+141.7%)
New Zealand Election: Any Bloc Wins a Majority?
No 60.5¢
200 shares
Share
46¢
→
60.5¢
$92.00
$200.00
$121.00
+$29.00
(+31.5%)
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Yes 33.5¢
344.8 shares
Share
41.3¢
→
33.5¢
$142.44
$344.80
$115.51
−$26.93
(-18.9%)
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
No 99.1¢
111 shares
Share
99.2¢
→
99.1¢
$110.15
$111.04
$110.04
−$0.11
(-0.1%)
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
No 59.5¢
180.1 shares
Share
53.0¢
→
59.5¢
$95.45
$180.09
$107.15
+$11.71
(+12.3%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?
No 60.1¢
178.1 shares
Share
62.6¢
→
60.1¢
$111.55
$178.13
$107.06
−$4.50
(-4.0%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 25%-30%?
Yes 28.5¢
374 shares
Share
17.5¢
→
28.5¢
$65.38
$373.99
$106.59
+$41.21
(+63.0%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?
No 99.5¢
103.4 shares
Share
88.3¢
→
99.5¢
$91.35
$103.41
$102.89
+$11.54
(+12.6%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 20%-30%?
No 98.5¢
103.4 shares
Share
94.3¢
→
98.5¢
$97.50
$103.38
$101.83
+$4.33
(+4.4%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-24 House election by 3%-6%?
Yes 57.5¢
174 shares
Share
76.1¢
→
57.5¢
$132.40
$173.98
$100.04
−$32.36
(-24.4%)
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,137,000 and $1,148,000 on December 31?
Yes 10.8¢
844.4 shares
Share
5.5¢
→
10.8¢
$46.61
$844.38
$91.19
+$44.58
(+95.7%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 75%-80%?
Yes 47.1¢
190.6 shares
Share
56.0¢
→
47.1¢
$106.75
$190.64
$89.89
−$16.86
(-15.8%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 65%-70%?
No 79¢
109.2 shares
Share
90.2¢
→
79¢
$98.50
$109.22
$86.28
−$12.21
(-12.4%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-09 House election by 30%-35%?
No 42¢
204.9 shares
Share
69.0¢
→
42¢
$141.39
$204.91
$86.06
−$55.33
(-39.1%)
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Yes 44¢
194.7 shares
Share
34.9¢
→
44¢
$67.89
$194.66
$85.65
+$17.76
(+26.2%)
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?
No 27.2¢
311.6 shares
Share
25.6¢
→
27.2¢
$79.82
$311.62
$84.61
+$4.79
(+6.0%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election by 55% or more?
Yes 71.0¢
118.6 shares
Share
89.0¢
→
71.0¢
$105.52
$118.56
$84.12
−$21.40
(-20.3%)
Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.5 or 4,189.6 ft?
No 97.2¢
86 shares
Share
37.0¢
→
97.2¢
$31.79
$86.01
$83.56
+$51.77
(+162.8%)
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?
Yes 19.8¢
400.6 shares
Share
14.1¢
→
19.8¢
$56.40
$400.60
$79.32
+$22.91
(+40.6%)
Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Yes 86¢
92 shares
Share
82.0¢
→
86¢
$75.43
$91.99
$79.11
+$3.68
(+4.9%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election by 80%-85%?
No 54.5¢
144 shares
Share
66.0¢
→
54.5¢
$95.04
$144.00
$78.48
−$16.56
(-17.4%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-24 House election by 21% or more?
No 99¢
76.8 shares
Share
96.6¢
→
99¢
$74.22
$76.83
$76.06
+$1.84
(+2.5%)
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Yes 24.5¢
284.2 shares
Share
38.2¢
→
24.5¢
$108.49
$284.20
$69.63
−$38.86
(-35.8%)
Will Bryan Johnson dunk before 2027?
Yes 15.5¢
420 shares
Share
13.2¢
→
15.5¢
$55.40
$420.00
$65.10
+$9.70
(+17.5%)
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Yes 2.6¢
2.1K shares
Share
0.2¢
→
2.6¢
$4.00
$2.1K
$55.65
+$51.65
(+1291.8%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming Senate election by 40%-45%?
Yes 26¢
207.5 shares
Share
10.0¢
→
26¢
$20.75
$207.46
$53.94
+$33.19
(+160.0%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election by 85%-90%?
Yes 49¢
109 shares
Share
12.8¢
→
49¢
$13.98
$109.04
$53.43
+$39.45
(+282.3%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-12 House election by 5% or more?
No 50.5¢
93.3 shares
Share
97.2¢
→
50.5¢
$90.74
$93.34
$47.14
−$43.60
(-48.1%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?
Yes 56.7¢
82.2 shares
Share
6.8¢
→
56.7¢
$5.62
$82.15
$46.58
+$40.96
(+728.3%)
Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 8.30 ft MLLW or more?
Yes 38.5¢
120 shares
Share
30¢
→
38.5¢
$36.00
$120.00
$46.20
+$10.20
(+28.3%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?
Yes 44¢
99.1 shares
Share
7.4¢
→
44¢
$7.33
$99.13
$43.62
+$36.29
(+495.0%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 55%-60%?
Yes 17.8¢
209.2 shares
Share
5.5¢
→
17.8¢
$11.42
$209.24
$37.24
+$25.82
(+226.1%)
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,115,000 and $1,126,000 on December 31?
Yes 17.1¢
216.5 shares
Share
19.1¢
→
17.1¢
$41.25
$216.51
$37.02
−$4.22
(-10.2%)
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?
Yes 3.7¢
1.0K shares
Share
6¢
→
3.7¢
$60.00
$1.0K
$37.00
−$23.00
(-38.3%)
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?
No 33.5¢
103.7 shares
Share
27.9¢
→
33.5¢
$28.94
$103.68
$34.73
+$5.79
(+20.0%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?
Yes 10.8¢
300.4 shares
Share
1.5¢
→
10.8¢
$4.44
$300.37
$32.59
+$28.15
(+634.7%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-03 House election by 50%-55%?
No 44¢
71.5 shares
Share
71.0¢
→
44¢
$50.73
$71.45
$31.44
−$19.29
(-38.0%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 3%-6%?
Yes 58.9¢
52.4 shares
Share
97.6¢
→
58.9¢
$51.21
$52.44
$30.86
−$20.34
(-39.7%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 35%-40%?
Yes 9.7¢
315.1 shares
Share
3.9¢
→
9.7¢
$12.35
$315.10
$30.56
+$18.22
(+147.5%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?
Yes 36.5¢
80 shares
Share
23.0¢
→
36.5¢
$18.40
$80.00
$29.20
+$10.80
(+58.7%)
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,126,000 and $1,137,000 on December 31?
Yes 14.0¢
199.9 shares
Share
14.4¢
→
14.0¢
$28.75
$199.90
$27.99
−$0.77
(-2.7%)
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026?
Yes 11.5¢
239.7 shares
Share
13.7¢
→
11.5¢
$32.88
$239.70
$27.57
−$5.31
(-16.2%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-24 House election by 9%-12%?
Yes 14.0¢
173 shares
Share
17.0¢
→
14.0¢
$29.40
$172.96
$24.21
−$5.19
(-17.6%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 20%-25%?
Yes 4.6¢
522.2 shares
Share
2¢
→
4.6¢
$10.46
$522.18
$24.02
+$13.56
(+129.7%)
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
No 27¢
88.7 shares
Share
54.4¢
→
27¢
$48.25
$88.67
$23.94
−$24.31
(-50.4%)
Will the Opportunity Party win fewer than 4 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Yes 39¢
60 shares
Share
10.4¢
→
39¢
$6.25
$60.00
$23.40
+$17.15
(+274.4%)
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?
Yes 41¢
52.1 shares
Share
36¢
→
41¢
$18.74
$52.06
$21.34
+$2.60
(+13.9%)
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
No 98.4¢
20 shares
Share
76¢
→
98.4¢
$15.20
$20.00
$19.67
+$4.47
(+29.4%)
Will Reps lose Senate Seat in any Trump+10 State and win in a Kamala State?
No 90.5¢
19.9 shares
Share
90.0¢
→
90.5¢
$17.89
$19.88
$17.99
+$0.10
(+0.6%)
Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
Yes 38.5¢
45.1 shares
Share
50¢
→
38.5¢
$22.55
$45.10
$17.36
−$5.19
(-23.0%)
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
Yes 3.9¢
400 shares
Share
12¢
→
3.9¢
$48.00
$400.00
$15.60
−$32.40
(-67.5%)
Will the Opportunity Party win 13 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Yes 16.5¢
90 shares
Share
12.2¢
→
16.5¢
$11.00
$90.00
$14.85
+$3.85
(+35.0%)
Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?
Yes 18.5¢
76.1 shares
Share
15¢
→
18.5¢
$11.41
$76.06
$14.07
+$2.66
(+23.3%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-13 House election by 5%-10%?
Yes 6.8¢
200.7 shares
Share
7.7¢
→
6.8¢
$15.38
$200.71
$13.55
−$1.84
(-11.9%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 0%-5%?
Yes 17.6¢
76.5 shares
Share
2.0¢
→
17.6¢
$1.53
$76.49
$13.50
+$11.97
(+782.5%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-09 House election by 45%-50%?
Yes 32.3¢
40.3 shares
Share
5.8¢
→
32.3¢
$2.34
$40.32
$13.02
+$10.68
(+456.9%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 3%-6%?
Yes 12.2¢
106 shares
Share
5.0¢
→
12.2¢
$5.35
$105.99
$12.93
+$7.58
(+141.8%)
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Yes 14.1¢
91 shares
Share
10.3¢
→
14.1¢
$9.36
$91.00
$12.79
+$3.42
(+36.5%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 15%-20%?
Yes 4¢
288.8 shares
Share
14.7¢
→
4¢
$42.36
$288.84
$11.55
−$30.80
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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 35%-40%?
Yes 3.3¢
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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-27 House election by 0%-3%?
Yes 21.1¢
50 shares
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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?
Yes 4.8¢
216 shares
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Will New Zealand First Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?
No 40¢
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