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dromedaryy
Joined August 2026
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Polymarket
Check on Polymarket
Total earnings
$620,414.05
1D
$99.1K
7D
$169.7K
30D
$341.1K
90D
$620.5K
Total volume
$14.09M
Predictions
146
Positions value
$651.9K
Performance
Performance over all time
1D
1W
1M
YTD
All
Trade
+$603.9K
LP
+$9,782.42
Maker
+$3,430.40
Yield
+$413.62
Taker
+$2,855.62
Positions
Activity
Comments
active
closed
Market
Avg → Now
Traded
To win
Value
Share
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
Yes 84.5¢
277.6K shares
Share
36.0¢
→
84.5¢
$99.9K
$277.6K
$234.7K
+$134.8K
(+134.9%)
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
No 100¢
146.1K shares
Share
34.2¢
→
100¢
$49.9K
$146.1K
Won
$146.1K
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 72.5¢
135.7K shares
Share
54.5¢
→
72.5¢
$74.0K
$135.7K
$98.3K
+$24.3K
(+32.9%)
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
Yes 7.5¢
698.4K shares
Share
8.1¢
→
7.5¢
$56.5K
$698.4K
$52.4K
−$4.1K
(-7.3%)
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Yes 100¢
43.6K shares
Share
34.7¢
→
100¢
$15.1K
$43.6K
Won
$43.6K
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
Yes 16.5¢
141.0K shares
Share
17.2¢
→
16.5¢
$24.3K
$141.0K
$23.3K
−$1.1K
(-4.3%)
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 60.9¢
16.3K shares
Share
23.1¢
→
60.9¢
$3.8K
$16.3K
$9.9K
+$6.2K
(+163.4%)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
Yes 6.5¢
110.2K shares
Share
6¢
→
6.5¢
$6.6K
$110.2K
$7.2K
+$551.08
(+8.3%)
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
Yes 21.5¢
32.1K shares
Share
23.1¢
→
21.5¢
$7.4K
$32.1K
$6.9K
−$504.44
(-6.8%)
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Yes 15.3¢
34.8K shares
Share
20.0¢
→
15.3¢
$7.0K
$34.8K
$5.3K
−$1.6K
(-23.1%)
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
No 15.9¢
32.9K shares
Share
12.2¢
→
15.9¢
$4.0K
$32.9K
$5.2K
+$1.2K
(+30.6%)
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Yes 2.8¢
126.6K shares
Share
16.7¢
→
2.8¢
$21.1K
$126.6K
$3.5K
−$17.6K
(-83.2%)
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 4.5¢
63.8K shares
Share
5.7¢
→
4.5¢
$3.6K
$63.8K
$2.8K
−$789.92
(-21.8%)
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢
886.0K shares
Share
0.1¢
→
0.3¢
$886.00
$886.0K
$2.2K
+$1.3K
(+150.0%)
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
No 14.6¢
13.9K shares
Share
20.0¢
→
14.6¢
$2.8K
$13.9K
$2.0K
−$740.15
(-26.7%)
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Yes 14.8¢
12.6K shares
Share
3.6¢
→
14.8¢
$452.70
$12.6K
$1.9K
+$1.4K
(+314.2%)
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Yes 3.4¢
35.7K shares
Share
25.1¢
→
3.4¢
$9.0K
$35.7K
$1.2K
−$7.8K
(-86.7%)
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Yes 12.3¢
7.6K shares
Share
15¢
→
12.3¢
$1.1K
$7.6K
$928.47
−$208.43
(-18.3%)
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No 36.5¢
2.3K shares
Share
26¢
→
36.5¢
$586.43
$2.3K
$823.25
+$236.83
(+40.4%)
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
Yes 13.6¢
5.2K shares
Share
28.2¢
→
13.6¢
$1.5K
$5.2K
$707.12
−$766.11
(-52.0%)
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
Yes 3.3¢
17.8K shares
Share
19.0¢
→
3.3¢
$3.4K
$17.8K
$588.07
−$2.8K
(-82.6%)
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes 15.9¢
3.5K shares
Share
21.3¢
→
15.9¢
$749.75
$3.5K
$558.89
−$190.87
(-25.5%)
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes 31.1¢
1.7K shares
Share
26¢
→
31.1¢
$449.20
$1.7K
$537.31
+$88.11
(+19.6%)
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?
Yes 88.5¢
392.2 shares
Share
87.0¢
→
88.5¢
$341.23
$392.22
$347.11
+$5.88
(+1.7%)
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
Yes 19¢
1.7K shares
Share
30.7¢
→
19¢
$514.45
$1.7K
$317.89
−$196.56
(-38.2%)
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Yes 7.0¢
2.5K shares
Share
17.0¢
→
7.0¢
$424.62
$2.5K
$174.84
−$249.77
(-58.8%)
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Yes 2.9¢
5.7K shares
Share
50¢
→
2.9¢
$2.8K
$5.7K
$164.71
−$2.7K
(-94.2%)
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
No 19¢
552 shares
Share
30.7¢
→
19¢
$169.42
$552.00
$104.88
−$64.54
(-38.1%)
Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
Yes 8¢
924 shares
Share
20.3¢
→
8¢
$187.16
$923.99
$73.92
−$113.24
(-60.5%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
No 1.7¢
1.4K shares
Share
46.5¢
→
1.7¢
$671.69
$1.4K
$23.82
−$647.87
(-96.5%)
Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2027?
No 0¢
405 shares
Share
19.0¢
→
0¢
$76.90
$405.00
Lost
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Yes 0¢
24.5K shares
Share
24.6¢
→
0¢
$6.0K
$24.5K
Lost
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Nursulton Ruziboev 0¢
50.0K shares
Share
35¢
→
0¢
$17.5K
$50.0K
Lost
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Yes 0¢
2.0K shares
Share
1¢
→
0¢
$19.71
$2.0K
Lost
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 0¢
61.5K shares
Share
2.5¢
→
0¢
$1.6K
$61.5K
Lost
Cardinals vs. 49ers
Cardinals 0¢
19.9K shares
Share
5.0¢
→
0¢
$995.88
$19.9K
Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?
Yes 0¢
327.6 shares
Share
7.5¢
→
0¢
$24.57
$327.59
Lost
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Yes 0¢
10.1K shares
Share
12.0¢
→
0¢
$1.2K
$10.1K
Lost
Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes 0¢
13.0K shares
Share
2.7¢
→
0¢
$350.82
$13.0K
Lost
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0¢
16.0K shares
Share
2.1¢
→
0¢
$336.35
$16.0K
Lost
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
No 0¢
1.7K shares
Share
1.1¢
→
0¢
$18.51
$1.7K
Lost
Bills vs. Rams
Rams 0¢
25.0K shares
Share
8.0¢
→
0¢
$2.0K
$25.0K
Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
Yes 0¢
16.3K shares
Share
30.5¢
→
0¢
$5.0K
$16.3K
Lost
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No 0¢
483.1K shares
Share
49.5¢
→
0¢
$238.9K
$483.1K
Lost
Will Monica Rodriguez win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 0¢
8.1K shares
Share
6.7¢
→
0¢
$537.52
$8.1K
Lost
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0¢
16.0K shares
Share
2.1¢
→
0¢
$336.35
$16.0K
Lost
LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?
No 0¢
100.5K shares
Share
28.3¢
→
0¢
$28.4K
$100.5K
Lost
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 0¢
36.2K shares
Share
22.8¢
→
0¢
$8.2K
$36.2K
Lost
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?
No 0¢
693.6 shares
Share
1.0¢
→
0¢
$6.93
$693.56
Lost
Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes 0¢
13.0K shares
Share
2.7¢
→
0¢
$350.82
$13.0K
Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?
Yes 0¢
13.9K shares
Share
2.5¢
→
0¢
$346.90
$13.9K
Lost
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 0¢
77.1K shares
Share
1.9¢
→
0¢
$1.4K
$77.1K
Lost
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 0¢
1.8K shares
Share
4.9¢
→
0¢
$89.55
$1.8K
Lost
Dolphins vs. 49ers
Dolphins 0¢
50.0K shares
Share
11¢
→
0¢
$5.5K
$50.0K
Lost
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Yes 0¢
30.6K shares
Share
62¢
→
0¢
$19.0K
$30.6K
Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Yes 0¢
9.2K shares
Share
1.8¢
→
0¢
$164.75
$9.2K
Lost
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Yes 0¢
606.6 shares
Share
19¢
→
0¢
$115.26
$606.64
Lost
Will Austin Beutner win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 0¢
8.1K shares
Share
6.7¢
→
0¢
$537.52
$8.1K
Lost
LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch?
Yes 0¢
227.8 shares
Share
22.1¢
→
0¢
$50.43
$227.78
Lost
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
No 0¢
30.0K shares
Share
25.9¢
→
0¢
$7.8K
$30.0K
Lost
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0¢
16.0K shares
Share
2.1¢
→
0¢
$336.35
$16.0K
Lost
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?
Yes 0¢
10.8K shares
Share
10.0¢
→
0¢
$1.1K
$10.8K
Lost
Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes 0¢
13.0K shares
Share
2.7¢
→
0¢
$350.82
$13.0K
Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September?
No 0¢
7.1K shares
Share
25.0¢
→
0¢
$1.8K
$7.1K
Lost
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?
No 0¢
3.3K shares
Share
12¢
→
0¢
$393.70
$3.3K
Lost
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Yes 0¢
80.3K shares
Share
46.3¢
→
0¢
$37.2K
$80.3K
Lost
Will Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes 0¢
13.0K shares
Share
2.7¢
→
0¢
$350.82
$13.0K
Lost
Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes 0¢
13.0K shares
Share
2.7¢
→
0¢
$350.82
$13.0K
Lost
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0¢
16.0K shares
Share
2.1¢
→
0¢
$336.35
$16.0K
Lost
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?
No 0¢
2.3K shares
Share
3.3¢
→
0¢
$75.34
$2.3K
Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
No 0¢
8.4K shares
Share
11.8¢
→
0¢
$989.95
$8.4K
Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No 0¢
100.0K shares
Share
12¢
→
0¢
$12.0K
$100.0K
Lost
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0¢
16.0K shares
Share
2.1¢
→
0¢
$336.35
$16.0K
Lost
Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes 0¢
13.0K shares
Share
2.7¢
→
0¢
$350.82
$13.0K
Lost
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Yes 0¢
3.0K shares
Share
1.9¢
→
0¢
$56.40
$3.0K
Lost
LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?
No 0¢
18.3K shares
Share
7.9¢
→
0¢
$1.4K
$18.3K
Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
No 0¢
50.0K shares
Share
14.0¢
→
0¢
$7.0K
$50.0K
Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?
Yes 0¢
3.6K shares
Share
3.3¢
→
0¢
$116.35
$3.6K
Lost
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Yes 0¢
10.0K shares
Share
59.7¢
→
0¢
$6.0K
$10.0K
Lost
LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?
No 0¢
66.9K shares
Share
13.0¢
→
0¢
$8.7K
$66.9K
Lost
Lions vs. Bills
Lions 0¢
1.2K shares
Share
8.9¢
→
0¢
$104.52
$1.2K
Lost
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0¢
16.0K shares
Share
2.1¢
→
0¢
$336.35
$16.0K
Lost
Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%?
Under 0¢
2.9K shares
Share
40.0¢
→
0¢
$1.1K
$2.9K
Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?
Yes 0¢
4.9K shares
Share
9.0¢
→
0¢
$444.14
$4.9K
Lost
Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 0¢
8.1K shares
Share
6.7¢
→
0¢
$537.52
$8.1K
Lost
Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial second round by at least 4%?
No 0¢
65.4 shares
Share
9¢
→
0¢
$5.89
$65.41
Lost
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?
Yes 0¢
32.5K shares
Share
0.2¢
→
0¢
$64.95
$32.5K
Lost
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Yes 0¢
2.7K shares
Share
35.0¢
→
0¢
$951.07
$2.7K
Lost
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0¢
16.0K shares
Share
2.1¢
→
0¢
$336.35
$16.0K
Lost
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
No 0¢
2.5K shares
Share
1¢
→
0¢
$24.64
$2.5K
Lost
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
No 0¢
149.0K shares
Share
34.6¢
→
0¢
$51.6K
$149.0K
Lost
Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 0¢
8.1K shares
Share
6.7¢
→
0¢
$537.52
$8.1K
Lost
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
No 0¢
7.6K shares
Share
10.0¢
→
0¢
$756.39
$7.6K
Lost
Will Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 0¢
8.1K shares
Share
6.7¢
→
0¢
$537.52
$8.1K
Lost
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0¢
16.0K shares
Share
2.1¢
→
0¢
$336.35
$16.0K
Lost
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0¢
16.0K shares
Share
2.1¢
→
0¢
$336.35
$16.0K
Lost
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0¢
16.0K shares
Share
2.1¢
→
0¢
$336.35
$16.0K
Lost
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Yes 0¢
54.7K shares
Share
7.7¢
→
0¢
$4.2K
$54.7K
Lost
Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 0¢
8.1K shares
Share
6.7¢
→
0¢
$537.52
$8.1K
Lost
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0¢
16.0K shares
Share
2.1¢
→
0¢
$336.35
$16.0K
Lost
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