simplystupid188

Joined November 2025

Total earnings

$31,256.28

1D

$7.79

7D

$13.82

30D

−$611.89

90D

$8.5K

Total volume

$42.92M

Predictions

1,408

Positions value

$4.0K

PerformancePerformance over all time

Trade+$26.9K

LP+$1.3K

Maker+$3.1K

Yield+$35.28

Taker+$2.19

Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 2.6¢1.8K shares

+$52.04 (+107.0%)

Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 0.9¢3.1K shares

+$36.04 (+119.8%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 17.0¢114.3 shares

17.0¢→44.5¢

+$31.43 (+161.8%)

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 8.0¢154.7 shares

+$36.15 (+292.5%)

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Yes 11.7¢218.8 shares

11.7¢→21.4¢

+$21.39 (+83.7%)

US strike on Colombia by December 31?

Yes 19.5¢185.5 shares

+$10.14 (+28.0%)

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 2.1¢1.9K shares

+$6.18 (+15.4%)

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 2.0¢1.9K shares

+$6.79 (+17.5%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 23.7¢190.9 shares

23.7¢→23.6¢

−$0.09 (-0.2%)

Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?

Yes 29.1¢97.8 shares

29.1¢→43.3¢

+$13.87 (+48.8%)

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.1¢4.4K shares

−$7.58 (-15.3%)

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.2¢2.6K shares

+$8.83 (+28.1%)

Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Yes 0.9¢4.2K shares

+$4.09 (+11.3%)

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

Yes 15.9¢355.1 shares

15.9¢→11.1¢

−$17.10 (-30.3%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 17.4¢175 shares

17.4¢→21.9¢

+$7.74 (+25.4%)

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

No 71.1¢51.5 shares

71.1¢→72.5¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 50.5¢37.5 shares

50.5¢→99.3¢

+$18.24 (+96.3%)

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Yes 4.4¢781.5 shares

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

No 43.0¢49.4 shares

43.0¢→73.5¢

+$15.04 (+70.7%)

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 7.4¢259 shares

+$16.21 (+84.7%)

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 10.2¢356.6 shares

−$2.47 (-6.8%)

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Yes 13.2¢264.4 shares

13.2¢→12.5¢

−$1.98 (-5.7%)

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Yes 9.2¢505.7 shares

−$13.68 (-29.4%)

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 11¢260.8 shares

+$3.91 (+13.6%)

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.9¢4.9K shares

−$13.48 (-29.7%)

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Yes 1.8¢1.6K shares

Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 2.8¢1.1K shares

−$0.72 (-2.4%)

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.2¢2.5K shares

−$0.94 (-3.1%)

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 1.2¢3.1K shares

−$7.33 (-20.0%)

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

No 20.1¢161.5 shares

20.1¢→18.1¢

−$3.29 (-10.1%)

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 20.9¢144.8 shares

20.9¢→19.8¢

−$1.62 (-5.4%)

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

No 50¢56.6 shares

Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Yes 0.9¢3.0K shares

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 15.7¢121.2 shares

15.7¢→23.5¢

+$9.45 (+49.7%)

Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Yes 4.0¢467.3 shares

+$9.52 (+50.8%)

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

No 50.9¢41.4 shares

50.9¢→67.5¢

+$6.88 (+32.6%)

Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Yes 3.6¢713 shares

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Yes 17.0¢111.6 shares

17.0¢→24.5¢

+$8.33 (+43.8%)

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.0¢3.2K shares

−$5.20 (-16.0%)

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Yes 9.2¢260.7 shares

+$2.94 (+12.2%)

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 41.2¢62.4 shares

41.2¢→42.9¢

Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?

Yes 28.2¢63.5 shares

+$8.75 (+48.8%)

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

No 51.0¢40.8 shares

51.0¢→64.5¢

+$5.51 (+26.5%)

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 19.4¢205.1 shares

19.4¢→12.5¢

−$14.05 (-35.4%)

Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 1.1¢2.6K shares

−$3.03 (-10.8%)

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.5¢3.8K shares

−$30.42 (-55.2%)

Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 1.2¢3.3K shares

−$14.62 (-37.3%)

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 8.1¢372.5 shares

−$5.70 (-18.8%)

Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 0.9¢4.3K shares

−$17.15 (-41.8%)

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.9¢2.5K shares

−$23.34 (-49.5%)

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Yes 25.2¢100.6 shares

25.2¢→23.5¢

−$1.75 (-6.9%)

Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes 8.7¢340.5 shares

−$7.60 (-25.6%)

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 9.9¢139.9 shares

+$8.13 (+58.4%)

Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Yes 7.9¢293.2 shares

−$1.30 (-5.6%)

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.1¢2.1K shares

−$1.57 (-6.7%)

JD Vance out as VP by December 31?

Yes 8.7¢360.5 shares

−$9.72 (-31.0%)

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Yes 3.3¢1.3K shares

−$22.15 (-50.6%)

Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?

Yes 37.0¢52.3 shares

37.0¢→41.1¢

+$2.16 (+11.1%)

New pandemic in 2026?

Yes 9¢331.2 shares

−$8.28 (-27.8%)

New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?

No 47.9¢43.3 shares

47.9¢→49.5¢

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 38.8¢58.5 shares

38.8¢→36.5¢

−$1.33 (-5.9%)

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Yes 29.4¢77.3 shares

29.4¢→27.5¢

−$1.45 (-6.4%)

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.9¢800 shares

−$2.02 (-8.7%)

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 5.5¢576.4 shares

−$10.63 (-33.6%)

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

No 41.2¢34.7 shares

41.2¢→60.5¢

+$6.71 (+46.9%)

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 41.0¢49.4 shares

41.0¢→42.5¢

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Yes 47.3¢48.2 shares

47.3¢→43.5¢

−$1.81 (-7.9%)

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

No 43.9¢48 shares

43.9¢→43.5¢

−$0.18 (-0.8%)

Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Yes 1.3¢1.7K shares

−$0.84 (-3.9%)

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 1.1¢1.9K shares

−$0.35 (-1.7%)

Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Yes 0.9¢3.1K shares

−$7.85 (-27.9%)

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.7¢941.5 shares

+$4.34 (+27.4%)

Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.9¢2.4K shares

−$1.81 (-8.3%)

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

No 43.0¢46 shares

43.0¢→43.5¢

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

Yes 16.1¢164.6 shares

−$6.82 (-25.7%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 8.9¢357.7 shares

−$12.07 (-38.0%)

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 3.8¢398.2 shares

+$4.29 (+28.6%)

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 1.4¢2.6K shares

−$15.75 (-45.0%)

US recession by end of 2026?

Yes 11¢160 shares

Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 1.5¢1.3K shares

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.0¢5.4K shares

−$35.80 (-65.6%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Yes 48.4¢40.4 shares

48.4¢→46.5¢

−$0.77 (-3.9%)

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Yes 13.1¢286 shares

−$18.96 (-50.5%)

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Yes 10.5¢167.6 shares

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Yes 40.5¢49 shares

40.5¢→37.5¢

−$1.47 (-7.4%)

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 6.0¢212.5 shares

+$5.56 (+43.4%)

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Yes 49.0¢36.7 shares

49.0¢→49.9¢

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Yes 48¢36.7 shares

Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?

Yes 21.7¢84.2 shares

21.7¢→21.5¢

−$0.18 (-1.0%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

No 49.6¢33.8 shares

49.6¢→53.5¢

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 50.0¢28.6 shares

50.0¢→62.5¢

+$3.58 (+25.0%)

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Yes 24.3¢21 shares

24.3¢→84.5¢

+$12.62 (+247.7%)

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.5¢825.9 shares

+$5.20 (+41.7%)

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 7.0¢198.9 shares

+$3.62 (+25.9%)

Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 1.2¢2.7K shares

−$15.59 (-47.2%)

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Yes 15.8¢139.4 shares

15.8¢→12.5¢

−$4.57 (-20.8%)

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.6¢938.3 shares

+$2.53 (+17.0%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Yes 17.2¢144.6 shares

−$7.47 (-30.1%)

Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Yes 1.1¢1.9K shares

−$3.11 (-15.3%)

Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 0.5¢3.1K shares

−$0.29 (-1.7%)