Joined October 2024
Total earnings
$552,922.66
1D
$6.8K
7D
$2.6K
30D
$53.7K
90D
$158.0K
Total volume
$35.33M
Predictions
1,001
Positions value
$479.5K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$533.5K
LP+$17.3K
Maker+$81.76
Yield+$233.35
Referral+$1.59
Taker+$1.25
Iran Nuke before 2027?
No 82.6¢89.9K shares
82.6¢→94.8¢
$74.2K
$89.9K
$85.2K
+$11.0K (+14.8%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No 76.1¢45.0K shares
76.1¢→90.5¢
$34.2K
$45.0K
$40.7K
+$6.5K (+18.9%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 81.0¢27.6K shares
81.0¢→94.5¢
$22.4K
$27.6K
$26.1K
+$3.7K (+16.6%)
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 87.5¢27.3K shares
87.5¢→91.5¢
$23.9K
$27.3K
$25.0K
+$1.1K (+4.6%)
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
No 81.0¢24.7K shares
81.0¢→95.5¢
$20.0K
$24.7K
$23.6K
+$3.6K (+17.9%)
Iran leadership change by July 31?
No 95.2¢16.7K shares
95.2¢→98.0¢
$15.9K
$16.7K
$16.4K
+$483.85 (+3.0%)
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
No 85.9¢15.0K shares
85.9¢→89¢
$12.9K
$15.0K
$13.3K
+$459.85 (+3.6%)
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
No 91.7¢13.6K shares
91.7¢→97.5¢
$12.4K
$13.6K
$13.2K
+$790.95 (+6.4%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 69.8¢16.2K shares
69.8¢→78.1¢
$11.3K
$16.2K
$12.7K
+$1.4K (+11.9%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
No 63.5¢15.8K shares
63.5¢→78.5¢
$10.1K
$15.8K
$12.4K
+$2.4K (+23.7%)
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
No 72.0¢13.2K shares
72.0¢→88.5¢
$9.5K
$13.2K
$11.7K
+$2.2K (+22.9%)
Iran leadership change by December 31?
No 69.0¢14.8K shares
69.0¢→76.5¢
$10.2K
$14.8K
$11.4K
+$1.1K (+10.8%)
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
No 81.2¢11.5K shares
81.2¢→98.8¢
$9.3K
$11.5K
$11.4K
+$2.0K (+21.6%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
Yes 81.3¢11.7K shares
81.3¢→89.5¢
$9.5K
$11.7K
$10.5K
+$963.26 (+10.1%)
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No 81.3¢11.2K shares
81.3¢→93.2¢
$9.1K
$11.2K
$10.5K
+$1.3K (+14.5%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
No 75.4¢10.6K shares
75.4¢→87.5¢
$8.0K
$10.6K
$9.3K
+$1.3K (+16.0%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
Yes 74.1¢7.2K shares
74.1¢→99.6¢
$5.3K
$7.2K
$7.1K
+$1.8K (+34.4%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 81.1¢9.0K shares
81.1¢→78.5¢
$7.3K
$9.0K
$7.1K
−$230.50 (-3.2%)
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?
No 93¢6.9K shares
93¢→96.2¢
$6.4K
$6.9K
$6.6K
+$215.81 (+3.4%)
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
No 72.3¢6.9K shares
72.3¢→93.5¢
$5.0K
$6.9K
$6.4K
+$1.5K (+29.4%)
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No 67.5¢9.4K shares
67.5¢→65¢
$6.4K
$9.4K
$6.1K
−$235.66 (-3.7%)
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
No 63.2¢8.4K shares
63.2¢→73¢
$5.3K
$8.4K
$6.1K
+$819.13 (+15.4%)
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No 62.8¢6.4K shares
62.8¢→91.5¢
$4.0K
$6.4K
$5.9K
+$1.8K (+45.7%)
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
No 80¢6.5K shares
80¢→87.5¢
$5.2K
$6.5K
$5.7K
+$487.50 (+9.4%)
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
No 86.0¢5.5K shares
86.0¢→92.5¢
$4.7K
$5.5K
$5.1K
+$355.89 (+7.6%)
Iran leadership change by August 31?
No 89.0¢5.0K shares
89.0¢→92.5¢
$4.5K
$5.0K
$4.7K
+$177.73 (+4.0%)
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
No 64¢5.0K shares
64¢→92.5¢
$3.2K
$5.0K
$4.6K
+$1.4K (+44.5%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
No 52.4¢5.2K shares
52.4¢→87.5¢
$2.7K
$5.2K
$4.5K
+$1.8K (+67.0%)
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
No 72.7¢4.7K shares
72.7¢→89¢
$3.4K
$4.7K
$4.2K
+$766.40 (+22.4%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
No 48.8¢7.2K shares
48.8¢→57.0¢
$3.5K
$7.2K
$4.1K
+$589.94 (+16.8%)
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
No 74¢5.0K shares
74¢→81.5¢
$3.7K
$5.0K
$4.1K
+$374.50 (+10.1%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 74¢5.0K shares
74¢→76.5¢
$3.7K
$5.0K
$3.8K
+$125.00 (+3.4%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
No 69.9¢5.5K shares
69.9¢→69.5¢
$3.8K
$5.5K
$3.8K
−$23.03 (-0.6%)
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
No 62.0¢4.0K shares
62.0¢→88¢
$2.5K
$4.0K
$3.5K
+$1.0K (+41.9%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
Yes 27.8¢10.0K shares
27.8¢→31.7¢
$2.8K
$10.0K
$3.2K
+$388.38 (+14.0%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Yes 14.0¢20.0K shares
14.0¢→15.5¢
$2.8K
$20.0K
$3.1K
+$300.02 (+10.7%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Yes 49.7¢5.0K shares
49.7¢→55.5¢
$2.5K
$5.0K
$2.8K
+$290.63 (+11.7%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
No 71.7¢2.9K shares
71.7¢→93.5¢
$2.1K
$2.9K
$2.7K
+$632.00 (+30.3%)
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
No 71.0¢2.9K shares
71.0¢→89¢
$2.1K
$2.9K
$2.6K
+$530.01 (+25.4%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
No 47.8¢6.2K shares
47.8¢→41.5¢
$3.0K
$6.2K
$2.6K
−$393.57 (-13.2%)
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
No 73.8¢3.1K shares
73.8¢→80.4¢
$2.3K
$3.1K
$2.5K
+$207.99 (+9.0%)
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
No 65¢3.0K shares
65¢→83.5¢
$1.9K
$3.0K
$2.5K
+$555.00 (+28.5%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
Yes 13.3¢11.5K shares
13.3¢→21.5¢
$1.5K
$11.5K
$2.5K
+$943.24 (+61.5%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
No 76.3¢2.7K shares
76.3¢→85.5¢
$2.0K
$2.7K
$2.3K
+$244.33 (+12.0%)
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
No 67.3¢2.2K shares
67.3¢→97.0¢
$1.5K
$2.2K
$2.2K
+$663.27 (+44.2%)
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
No 70.0¢2.2K shares
70.0¢→91.5¢
$1.6K
$2.2K
$2.1K
+$482.27 (+30.7%)
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?
No 79¢2.1K shares
79¢→94.5¢
$1.7K
$2.1K
$2.0K
+$332.85 (+19.6%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes 34.9¢5.3K shares
34.9¢→37.5¢
$1.8K
$5.3K
$2.0K
+$139.19 (+7.6%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 79.3¢2.4K shares
79.3¢→82.0¢
$1.9K
$2.4K
$1.9K
+$63.00 (+3.3%)
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?
No 89.9¢2.1K shares
89.9¢→87.5¢
$1.9K
$2.1K
$1.8K
−$49.66 (-2.7%)
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
No 52.6¢2.5K shares
52.6¢→66¢
$1.3K
$2.5K
$1.6K
+$334.69 (+25.4%)
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
No 62.1¢1.5K shares
62.1¢→89¢
$944.39
$1.5K
$1.4K
+$409.07 (+43.3%)
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?
No 57.6¢4.0K shares
57.6¢→32¢
$2.3K
$4.0K
$1.3K
−$1.0K (-44.5%)
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Yes 40¢2.3K shares
40¢→53.5¢
$922.85
$2.3K
$1.2K
+$311.46 (+33.7%)
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
No 73.9¢1.1K shares
73.9¢→99.7¢
$833.77
$1.1K
$1.1K
+$289.79 (+34.8%)
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
No 91.8¢923.2 shares
91.8¢→92.5¢
$847.79
$923.19
$853.95
+$6.16 (+0.7%)
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
No 69.0¢782 shares
69.0¢→98.9¢
$539.56
$781.97
$772.98
+$233.42 (+43.3%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes 62.6¢1.1K shares
62.6¢→66¢
$706.30
$1.1K
$744.63
+$38.33 (+5.4%)
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
No 39.6¢12.3K shares
39.6¢→5.4¢
$4.9K
$12.3K
$665.06
−$4.2K (-86.4%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
No 59.5¢1.4K shares
59.5¢→48.5¢
$811.65
$1.4K
$661.48
−$150.17 (-18.5%)
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Yes 61.0¢755.9 shares
61.0¢→70.5¢
$460.90
$755.86
$532.88
+$71.98 (+15.6%)
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
No 80.5¢526.2 shares
80.5¢→89¢
$423.47
$526.24
$468.36
+$44.89 (+10.6%)
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
No 70.7¢383.2 shares
70.7¢→93¢
$270.95
$383.16
$356.33
+$85.39 (+31.5%)
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?
No 47.5¢536.9 shares
47.5¢→59.5¢
$255.30
$536.94
$319.48
+$64.18 (+25.1%)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Yes 10.5¢5.0K shares
10.5¢→6.3¢
$525.00
$5.0K
$312.50
−$212.50 (-40.5%)
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
No 83.2¢256.2 shares
83.2¢→95.3¢
$213.13
$256.16
$243.99
+$30.87 (+14.5%)
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
No 90.0¢239.1 shares
90.0¢→93.5¢
$215.23
$239.14
$223.60
+$8.37 (+3.9%)
Maduro guilty of all counts?
No 41¢193.3 shares
41¢→75.5¢
$79.24
$193.26
$145.91
+$66.67 (+84.1%)
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
No 70¢180.9 shares
70¢→80.5¢
$126.64
$180.91
$145.63
+$19.00 (+15.0%)
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?
No 34.8¢4.8K shares
34.8¢→2.9¢
$1.7K
$4.8K
$137.44
−$1.5K (-91.8%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No 31.5¢291.6 shares
31.5¢→44.5¢
$91.78
$291.60
$129.76
+$37.98 (+41.4%)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Yes 4.4¢10.0K shares
4.4¢→1.3¢
$439.44
$10.0K
$125.00
−$314.44 (-71.6%)
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Yes 20.0¢200.2 shares
20.0¢→58.5¢
$40.04
$200.19
$117.11
+$77.07 (+192.5%)
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
Yes 56.2¢270.9 shares
56.2¢→42.1¢
$152.26
$270.91
$114.19
−$38.07 (-25.0%)
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No 81¢100 shares
81¢→95.7¢
$81.00
$100.00
$95.65
+$14.65 (+18.1%)
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
No 55.0¢66.3 shares
55.0¢→92¢
$36.48
$66.32
$61.02
+$24.54 (+67.3%)
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
No 12.0¢86.9 shares
12.0¢→63.3¢
$10.39
$86.86
$55.02
+$44.62 (+429.4%)
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
No 36¢461.7 shares
36¢→9.8¢
$166.21
$461.71
$45.48
−$120.74 (-72.6%)
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Yes 80.0¢37.7 shares
80.0¢→97.0¢
$30.12
$37.65
$36.50
+$6.38 (+21.2%)
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
No 71¢37.9 shares
71¢→84.5¢
$26.93
$37.93
$32.05
+$5.12 (+19.0%)
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
No 54¢20 shares
54¢→95.5¢
$10.80
$20.00
$19.10
+$8.30 (+76.9%)
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?
No 35¢10 shares
35¢→87¢
$3.50
$10.00
$8.70
+$5.20 (+148.6%)
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?
Yes 13¢1.3K shares
13¢→0¢
$171.58
$1.3K
Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?
Yes 7.7¢7.1K shares
7.7¢→0¢
$550.50
$7.1K
Lost
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
Yes 1.5¢10.0K shares
1.5¢→0¢
$150.00
$10.0K
Lost
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
No 54.7¢273.2 shares
54.7¢→0¢
$149.54
$273.23
Lost