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PolyScalping

Poivre

Joined October 2025

Total earnings

$10,006.08
1D
$395.96
7D
$1.5K
30D
$195.23
90D
$3.0K
Total volume
$764.6K
Predictions
1,653
Positions value
$15.1K
Performance
+$9,407.39
+$514.09
+$55.29
+$13.77
+$15.53
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?
No 97.5¢3.5K shares
$3.4K
+$105.70 (+3.2%)
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
Yes 98.2¢400 shares
$392.80
+$286.43 (+269.3%)
Will MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No 83.5¢448.9 shares
$374.81
+$269.43 (+255.7%)
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?
No 89.5¢400 shares
$358.00
+$270.00 (+306.8%)
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No 87.5¢400.5 shares
$350.40
+$242.28 (+224.1%)
US imports Russian diesel by December 31?
No 82¢400 shares
$328.00
+$228.00 (+228.0%)
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?
Yes 93.5¢350 shares
$327.43
+$246.43 (+304.2%)
Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No 82.5¢396.2 shares
$326.86
+$246.64 (+307.5%)
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
No 80.5¢399.7 shares
$321.76
+$135.46 (+72.7%)
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
No 79¢400 shares
$316.00
+$212.00 (+203.8%)
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
No 71¢440 shares
$312.43
+$243.53 (+353.5%)
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?
Yes 97.4¢300 shares
$292.20
+$213.20 (+269.9%)
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?
No 93.1¢312.8 shares
$291.19
+$221.54 (+318.1%)
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
No 96.7¢300 shares
$290.10
+$59.10 (+25.6%)
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
No 96.7¢300 shares
$290.10
+$161.33 (+125.3%)
Will Apyx launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No 73.8¢376.4 shares
$277.59
+$235.31 (+556.6%)
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?
Yes 98.7¢279.9 shares
$276.12
+$188.22 (+214.1%)
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
No 91.5¢300 shares
$274.50
+$136.50 (+98.9%)
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
No 85.2¢300 shares
$255.45
+$8.45 (+3.4%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?
No 85.5¢281.2 shares
$240.55
+$184.73 (+330.9%)
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No 94.5¢254 shares
$240.07
+$179.38 (+295.6%)
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
No 80.5¢297.7 shares
$239.65
+$184.38 (+333.6%)
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?
No 78¢300 shares
$234.00
+$168.40 (+256.7%)
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
No 91¢250 shares
$227.50
+$97.50 (+75.0%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?
No 85¢247.9 shares
$210.73
+$189.44 (+890.0%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?
No 84.5¢240 shares
$202.80
+$157.20 (+344.7%)
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?
No 46¢437.5 shares
$201.25
+$129.25 (+179.5%)
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?
Yes 99.2¢200 shares
$198.30
+$132.30 (+200.5%)
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Yes 44¢450 shares
$198.00
+$77.06 (+63.7%)
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?
Yes 98.6¢200 shares
$197.20
+$137.20 (+228.7%)
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
No 96.0¢200 shares
$192.10
+$154.10 (+405.5%)
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?
Yes 71.5¢250 shares
$178.74
+$94.75 (+112.8%)
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?
No 56.5¢300 shares
$169.50
+$59.50 (+54.1%)
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by November 30, 2026?
No 61.5¢260 shares
$159.90
−$35.10 (-18.0%)
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
No 65¢240 shares
$156.00
+$67.71 (+76.7%)
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?
No 96.4¢157.8 shares
$152.13
+$22.37 (+17.2%)
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No 33.1¢449.6 shares
$148.58
+$62.90 (+73.4%)
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?
Yes 16.5¢800 shares
$132.00
−$58.40 (-30.7%)
Sweden snap election called in 2026?
Yes 32¢400 shares
$128.00
+$76.00 (+146.2%)
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
No 92.5¢130 shares
$120.28
+$25.36 (+26.7%)
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?
No 17¢706.1 shares
$120.03
−$9.29 (-7.2%)
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 96?
No 22.5¢519.5 shares
$116.88
−$7.40 (-6.0%)
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes 29.8¢330.9 shares
$98.79
+$25.51 (+34.8%)
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 12¢800 shares
$96.00
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?
No 17¢543.4 shares
$92.38
−$12.62 (-12.0%)
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No 36.5¢250 shares
$91.25
+$33.75 (+58.7%)
No one announced as next James Bond?
Yes 14.3¢600 shares
$85.80
−$31.80 (-27.0%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 28.0¢300 shares
$84.00
−$4.67 (-5.3%)
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?
No 25.5¢321.5 shares
$81.98
+$1.64 (+2.0%)
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?
No 9¢800 shares
$72.00
−$32.00 (-30.8%)
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
No 71.2¢100 shares
$71.20
+$36.20 (+103.4%)
Will Bruno Retailleau receive the most signatures from elected officials in the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 35.5¢198.7 shares
$70.55
−$17.03 (-19.4%)
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 94?
No 8.2¢833.8 shares
$68.37
+$8.39 (+14.0%)
Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No 88¢68.6 shares
$60.39
+$42.55 (+238.5%)
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?
No 12¢500 shares
$60.00
−$19.20 (-24.2%)
Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?
Yes 27.5¢200 shares
$55.00
−$11.00 (-16.7%)
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
Yes 15.5¢349.6 shares
$54.18
−$68.34 (-55.8%)
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 5¢1,000 shares
$50.00
−$40.00 (-44.4%)
Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?
Yes 17.4¢258.4 shares
$45.09
−$4.00 (-8.2%)
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?
No 17¢264.1 shares
$44.89
−$32.47 (-42.0%)
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes 13.1¢342 shares
$44.81
−$50.56 (-53.0%)
Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No 98.3¢45 shares
$44.21
+$33.86 (+327.2%)
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?
No 6.0¢713.4 shares
$43.16
−$59.60 (-58.0%)
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk by November 30?
No 40¢100 shares
$40.00
+$5.00 (+14.3%)
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?
No 6.4¢605 shares
$38.72
−$0.53 (-1.3%)
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
No 33¢113.1 shares
$37.31
+$16.15 (+76.3%)
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Yes 16¢218.9 shares
$35.03
−$24.08 (-40.7%)
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?
No 41¢85 shares
$34.84
+$24.24 (+228.8%)
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 23.5¢140 shares
$32.90
−$16.10 (-32.9%)
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?
Yes 10¢250 shares
$25.00
−$5.00 (-16.7%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?
Yes 3.9¢600 shares
$23.10
−$80.60 (-77.7%)
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by November 30?
No 6.5¢325 shares
$20.96
−$50.54 (-70.7%)
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?
No 3.6¢550 shares
$19.80
−$79.20 (-80.0%)
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 3 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
No 16.5¢104.5 shares
$17.24
−$13.06 (-43.1%)
Will Henrietta Modig Serrate be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg?
No 9.9¢155.2 shares
$15.36
−$11.02 (-41.8%)
Will Per Svensson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?
Yes 5.4¢258.8 shares
$13.97
−$24.34 (-63.5%)
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?
No 4.5¢300 shares
$13.35
−$82.36 (-86.1%)
Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?
No 7.6¢171.8 shares
$13.14
+$3.35 (+34.2%)
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?
Yes 10.9¢114.7 shares
$12.56
−$28.73 (-69.6%)
Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?
No 19.1¢59.2 shares
$11.34
−$3.37 (-22.9%)
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?
Yes 3.3¢311.8 shares
$10.29
−$36.87 (-78.2%)
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?
Yes 3.5¢250 shares
$8.62
−$74.12 (-89.6%)
Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by April 17, 2027?
No 74.4¢9.3 shares
$6.91
+$0.64 (+10.1%)
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?
No 22.5¢30.2 shares
$6.80
+$2.27 (+50.0%)
Will Ida Eriksson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg?
Yes 3.0¢186.8 shares
$5.70
−$11.11 (-66.1%)
2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?
Knafo 17¢31.4 shares
$5.34
+$3.46 (+183.3%)
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?
No 10.5¢40.5 shares
$4.25
−$3.04 (-41.7%)
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Yes 1.9¢152 shares
$2.96
−$43.50 (-93.6%)
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
No 4.0¢70 shares
$2.84
−$39.26 (-93.3%)
Arizona passes traffic camera ballot measure?
No 0.5¢400 shares
$2.20
−$81.80 (-97.4%)
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?
Yes 0.8¢269.6 shares
$2.02
−$70.35 (-97.2%)
Will Ken Welch win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?
Yes 0.5¢360 shares
$1.98
−$33.57 (-94.4%)
Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat?
Yes 1.1¢175 shares
$1.84
−$62.91 (-97.2%)
Will the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat?
Yes 0.4¢375.3 shares
$1.69
−$34.30 (-95.3%)
Trump calls Nicki Minaj hot again in 2026?
Yes 3.4¢42.7 shares
$1.45
−$8.79 (-85.8%)
Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?
Yes 1.2¢95 shares
$1.14
−$30.21 (-96.4%)
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31?
Yes 7.2¢13.5 shares
$0.97
−$1.19 (-55.0%)
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Yes 12¢5.4 shares
$0.65
−$0.76 (-53.9%)
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
No 0.1¢275 shares
$0.41
−$79.34 (-99.5%)
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
No 0.1¢411.9 shares
$0.21
−$124.79 (-99.8%)