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PolyScalping

groth

Joined April 2025

Total earnings

$158,741.12
1D
$4.7K
7D
$6.2K
30D
$8.6K
90D
−$94.9K
Total volume
$2.99M
Predictions
598
Positions value
$125.9K
Performance
+$156.6K
+$2,168.73
+$356.66
+$40.26
−$394.67
Overall
#1,342
of 3.3M wallets
Volume
#8,419
of 3.3M wallets
Profit
#1,271
of 3.3M wallets
LP Rewards
#2,069
of 189k earners
Maker Rebates
#9,493
of 161k earners
Yield
#4,356
of 352k earners
Fees Paid
#49,506
of 1.5M payers
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
No 89.5¢34.0K shares
$30.4K
+$2.5K (+9.0%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 86.5¢31.0K shares
$26.8K
+$1.2K (+4.5%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
Yes 99.7¢8.9K shares
$8.9K
+$198.64 (+2.3%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Yes 36¢23.3K shares
$8.4K
−$47.80 (-0.6%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?
Yes 98.6¢5.0K shares
$4.9K
+$270.00 (+5.8%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?
Yes 99.7¢4.7K shares
$4.7K
+$314.61 (+7.1%)
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
No 97.6¢4.7K shares
$4.6K
+$417.87 (+10.1%)
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?
No 94.8¢4.5K shares
$4.3K
+$368.26 (+9.4%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
Yes 69¢4.4K shares
$3.0K
+$586.99 (+24.3%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Yes 39.4¢6.9K shares
$2.7K
−$108.46 (-3.8%)
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
Yes 85¢3.1K shares
$2.7K
+$2.2K (+445.7%)
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?
Yes 35.5¢7.5K shares
$2.7K
+$359.79 (+15.6%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
No 99.9¢2.4K shares
$2.4K
+$85.90 (+3.6%)
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
No 47.5¢4.7K shares
$2.2K
+$1.1K (+104.7%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 28.0¢5.5K shares
$1.5K
+$143.01 (+10.2%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
Yes 50.5¢2.9K shares
$1.4K
+$67.44 (+4.9%)
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
No 34¢4.0K shares
$1.4K
+$536.81 (+65.1%)
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
No 96.4¢1.1K shares
$1.1K
+$271.53 (+34.3%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?
Yes 100.0¢1.0K shares
$999.50
+$7.50 (+0.8%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
No 19.5¢4.9K shares
$949.25
+$107.36 (+12.8%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?
Yes 41.5¢2.2K shares
$919.02
−$43.70 (-4.5%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No 85.5¢1.0K shares
$855.00
+$65.00 (+8.2%)
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
No 81.5¢1.0K shares
$829.25
+$348.66 (+72.5%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
No 37¢2.2K shares
$813.99
+$86.00 (+11.8%)
Will Bryan Johnson dunk before 2027?
No 84.5¢855 shares
$722.44
+$125.86 (+21.1%)
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?
No 89¢753.3 shares
$670.42
+$90.39 (+15.6%)
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
No 84.5¢735.5 shares
$621.53
+$167.85 (+37.0%)
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
Yes 6¢8.6K shares
$513.96
−$864.22 (-62.7%)
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No 96.4¢500 shares
$482.00
+$92.00 (+23.6%)
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
No 98.2¢401.6 shares
$394.35
+$21.68 (+5.8%)
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
No 64.5¢500 shares
$322.50
+$12.50 (+4.0%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
No 6.5¢4.7K shares
$303.74
−$162.49 (-34.9%)
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
No 71.5¢410.4 shares
$293.44
+$199.83 (+213.5%)
Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
No 81.2¢270 shares
$219.11
+$3.11 (+1.4%)
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?
No 70.7¢236.4 shares
$167.02
+$117.38 (+236.4%)
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
Yes 80¢200 shares
$160.00
+$118.00 (+281.0%)
Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?
No 5.0¢3.0K shares
$146.50
−$15.63 (-9.6%)
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?
No 85¢148.9 shares
$126.56
+$4.47 (+3.7%)
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Yes 96.1¢121 shares
$116.28
+$4.24 (+3.8%)
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?
No 82.5¢135.1 shares
$111.49
+$26.35 (+31.0%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
Yes 4.0¢2.7K shares
$107.74
−$129.24 (-54.5%)
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?
No 10.8¢927 shares
$99.66
−$68.94 (-40.9%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Yes 3.8¢2.4K shares
$92.03
−$101.72 (-52.5%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
Yes 10.5¢763.5 shares
$80.17
−$217.61 (-73.1%)
USMCA extended in 2026?
No 92¢82.5 shares
$75.91
+$11.55 (+17.9%)
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?
Yes 9¢805.3 shares
$72.47
−$36.89 (-33.7%)
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 7.8¢905.1 shares
$71.05
+$43.90 (+161.7%)
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
No 23¢300 shares
$69.00
−$3.00 (-4.2%)
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
Yes 2.9¢2.4K shares
$67.73
−$176.06 (-72.2%)
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?
No 73¢89.4 shares
$65.28
+$0.89 (+1.4%)
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?
No 98.1¢40 shares
$39.24
+$0.24 (+0.6%)
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
No 29.0¢132.4 shares
$38.40
−$15.89 (-29.3%)
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
No 86.4¢41 shares
$35.42
+$23.53 (+197.9%)
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Yes 3.6¢944.7 shares
$34.48
+$10.86 (+46.0%)
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes 5.1¢500 shares
$25.75
+$0.75 (+3.0%)
Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?
Yes 2.8¢926.1 shares
$25.47
+$2.11 (+9.0%)
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
Yes 6.5¢246.5 shares
$16.02
−$50.53 (-75.9%)
Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?
Yes 7.0¢210.3 shares
$14.72
+$4.21 (+40.0%)
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
No 80.5¢14.2 shares
$11.40
+$3.75 (+49.1%)
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
No 90¢12.2 shares
$10.94
+$4.56 (+71.5%)
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
Yes 6.5¢164.6 shares
$10.70
−$20.26 (-65.4%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Yes 0.1¢5.3K shares
$5.32
−$73.01 (-93.2%)
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Yes 1.4¢65.5 shares
$0.88
+$0.69 (+350.1%)
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 0.1¢517.1 shares
$0.78
−$0.78 (-50.0%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
Yes 0¢1.2K shares
Lost
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $850B by August 31?
Yes 0¢50 shares
Lost
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $71 on July 7?
No 0¢5.9 shares
Lost
Will there be between 15 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?
Yes 0¢177.3 shares
Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?
Yes 0¢1.3K shares
Lost
Will there be 30 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?
Yes 0¢472 shares
Lost
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
No 0¢1.5K shares
Lost
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?
Yes 0¢1.6K shares
Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?
Yes 0¢500 shares
Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?
Yes 0¢950 shares
Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
No 0¢1.0K shares
Lost
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Yes 0¢686.2 shares
Lost
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by August 31?
Yes 0¢261.5 shares
Lost
Will USD be between 2.3M and 2.4M Iranian rials on October 31?
Yes 0¢949.7 shares
Lost
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?
Yes 0¢4.4K shares
Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Yes 0¢30.9K shares
Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?
Yes 0¢2.4K shares
Lost
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by August 31?
Yes 0¢200 shares
Lost
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?
No 0¢89.6 shares
Lost
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?
Yes 0¢1.3K shares
Lost
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
Yes 0¢469 shares
Lost
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?
No 0¢474.3 shares
Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?
Yes 0¢3.8K shares
Lost
Will USD be between 2.4M and 2.5M Iranian rials on October 31?
Yes 0¢415.1 shares
Lost
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Yes 0¢2.4 shares
Lost
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
No 0¢2.5K shares
Lost
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?
No 0¢23.8 shares
Lost
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?
Yes 0¢5.7K shares
Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
No 0¢501.3 shares
Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
Yes 0¢7.2K shares
Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?
Yes 0¢2.7 shares
Lost
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Yes 0¢5 shares
Lost
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?
Yes 0¢8.4K shares
Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?
Yes 0¢5.7K shares
Lost
Will gas be below $3.75/gallon in any state on October 31?
No 0¢423.5 shares
Lost
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?
Yes 0¢2.5K shares
Lost