pako

Joined October 2024

Total earnings

$253,937.84

1D

$8.5K

7D

−$117.4K

30D

−$125.0K

90D

−$198.9K

Total volume

$18.49M

Predictions

476

Positions value

$174.1K

PerformancePerformance over all time

Trade+$260.5K

LP+$1.5K

Maker+$1.2K

Yield+$67.78

Taker+$575.60

Fees−$9.4K

of 3.1M wallets

of 3.1M wallets

of 3.1M wallets

of 177k earners

of 139k earners

of 335k earners

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 91.8¢118.1K shares

91.8¢→78.5¢

−$15.6K (-14.4%)

Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 68.2¢100.7K shares

68.2¢→29.5¢

−$39.0K (-56.8%)

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 26.7¢25.8K shares

26.7¢→82.0¢

+$14.2K (+206.5%)

Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?

No 91.3¢6.9K shares

+$49.88 (+0.8%)

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?

No 56.2¢6.9K shares

56.2¢→88.1¢

+$2.2K (+56.6%)

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?

No 77.4¢5.3K shares

+$833.40 (+20.1%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 74.5¢4.2K shares

74.5¢→77.9¢

+$142.44 (+4.5%)

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 65.8¢13.8K shares

65.8¢→18.5¢

−$6.5K (-71.9%)

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

No 94.0¢1.7K shares

94.0¢→95.5¢

+$25.04 (+1.6%)

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 45¢15.0K shares

−$5.3K (-78.9%)

Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?

No 90.0¢1.0K shares

90.0¢→92.8¢

+$29.43 (+3.2%)

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

Yes 18.8¢10.0K shares

−$1.3K (-70.2%)

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?

Yes 84.7¢575.7 shares

+$47.64 (+9.8%)

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

No 79.2¢1.2K shares

79.2¢→31.5¢

−$556.66 (-60.2%)

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

No 81.4¢828.4 shares

−$350.93 (-52.1%)

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?

No 81.5¢252.1 shares

81.5¢→89.5¢

+$20.12 (+9.8%)

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?

No 74.0¢233.7 shares

+$39.82 (+23.0%)

Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 37.6¢1.3K shares

−$313.68 (-65.4%)

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

Yes 36.4¢560.8 shares

36.4¢→29.5¢

−$38.70 (-19.0%)

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Yes 23.9¢1.1K shares

23.9¢→13.5¢

−$118.75 (-43.6%)

Record crypto liquidation in 2026?

No 80.1¢155.8 shares

80.1¢→92.9¢

+$19.89 (+15.9%)

Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?

Yes 35¢713.7 shares

−$157.01 (-62.9%)

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 62.2¢255 shares

62.2¢→35.5¢

−$67.97 (-42.9%)

Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?

Yes 41¢245.3 shares

−$17.17 (-17.1%)

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 71¢100 shares

−$17.45 (-24.6%)

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes 13.4¢318 shares

13.4¢→14.1¢

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 24.7¢225.4 shares

24.7¢→14.9¢

−$22.08 (-39.6%)

Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?

No 91¢25 shares

−$2.82 (-12.4%)

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 5.3¢641.3 shares

−$15.84 (-46.9%)

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?

No 87.7¢19.9 shares

87.7¢→89.5¢

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 45¢100 shares

−$33.50 (-74.4%)

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Yes 42¢53.5 shares

−$12.57 (-56.0%)

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?

No 85¢10 shares

+$0.85 (+10.0%)

Iran leadership change by December 31?

No 39.0¢10 shares

39.0¢→76.5¢

+$3.75 (+96.4%)

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Yes 28.0¢100 shares

−$20.50 (-73.2%)

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?

No 74¢11.2 shares

−$1.17 (-14.2%)

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 30¢65 shares

−$14.63 (-75.0%)

Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?

No 64¢5 shares

+$1.52 (+47.7%)

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

No 81¢5 shares

+$0.50 (+12.3%)

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 19.0¢52.6 shares

−$5.53 (-55.3%)

US recession by end of 2026?

No 76¢5 shares

+$0.60 (+15.8%)

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes 86¢5 shares

−$0.02 (-0.6%)

Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes 1.6¢447.5 shares

−$3.80 (-53.1%)

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Yes 64¢17.6 shares

−$9.23 (-82.0%)

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 7.0¢142.9 shares

−$8.57 (-85.7%)

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.8¢125 shares

+$0.31 (+31.3%)

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 3¢50 shares

−$0.63 (-41.7%)

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Yes 24.6¢1 shares

24.6¢→17.5¢

−$0.07 (-28.8%)

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?

Yes 28.0¢5 shares

−$1.32 (-94.5%)

Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Yes 12¢80 shares

Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in August?

Yes 2.5¢393.1 shares

Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Yes 38¢10 shares

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?

No 32.0¢591.5 shares

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 3?

Up 8¢487.3 shares

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?

No 47.7¢33.5 shares

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?

Yes 57.0¢10 shares

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?

No 28.0¢6.9 shares

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?

Up 10.0¢61.7K shares

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026?

Yes 12.4¢42.7 shares

Will Poland win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?

Yes 2.4¢41 shares

Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in July?

Yes 2.7¢14.2K shares

Ethereum flipped in 2026?

No 79.6¢21.3K shares

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?

No 6¢100 shares

Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Yes 21¢110 shares

Will Trump's remarks not air?

Yes 1.3¢186 shares

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 6¢100 shares

Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?

Yes 85¢5 shares

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Yes 47¢75 shares

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 70.3¢6.3K shares

Bitcoin below MicroStrategy average buy price in 2026?

No 29.9¢493.9 shares

Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Yes 6.5¢1.2K shares

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?

No 91.9¢4.4K shares

Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?

Yes 23¢73.7 shares

Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?

Yes 15¢50 shares

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

Yes 33¢108.5 shares

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 93¢1.0K shares

Bitcoin Up or Down on November 19?

Up 11¢1.0K shares

US bank failure by January 31?

No 99¢100 shares

Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?

Yes 7.4¢25 shares

Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 7.0¢100 shares

Will Trump say "Proxy" or "Hezbollah" during Address to the Nation?

No 33¢48.9 shares

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?

Yes 57.0¢13 shares

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Yes 61¢10 shares

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Yes 3.7¢228 shares

Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?

No 64.1¢393.4 shares

Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.0%?

Yes 1.4¢291.1 shares

Aster all time high by December 31?

Yes 17¢50 shares

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?

No 2.9¢240.2 shares

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?

Yes 37¢19.5 shares

U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?

No 35.7¢8.1 shares

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 12.3¢813 shares

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 20?

Yes 5.9¢253.1 shares

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?

No 64.0¢613.5 shares

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 0.8¢200 shares

Bitcoin 15%+ daily candle in 2026?

No 48¢10 shares

Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?

Yes 57.0¢251 shares

Will the US not strike another country before 2027?

Yes 0.6¢3.3K shares

Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14?

Yes 59¢10 shares

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

Yes 20.0¢100 shares

Will Trump say "Congo" during events with Polish president on September 3?

No 48.6¢675 shares