Joined March 2026
Total earnings
$134,530.09
1D
$1.8K
7D
$13.0K
30D
$36.2K
90D
$105.7K
Total volume
$19.34M
Predictions
72,217
Positions value
$109.7K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$88.7K
LP+$40.4K
Maker+$5.5K
Yield+$8.08
Taker+$9.10
Fees−$766.03
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?
Yes 16¢800 shares
16¢→98.5¢
$128.00
$800.00
$787.60
+$659.60 (+515.3%)
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?
No 28.9¢954.9 shares
28.9¢→80.5¢
$275.77
$954.85
$768.65
+$492.88 (+178.7%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
No 15¢800 shares
15¢→93.5¢
$120.00
$799.99
$747.99
+$627.99 (+523.3%)
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
No 28.0¢798.5 shares
28.0¢→85¢
$223.57
$798.46
$678.69
+$455.12 (+203.6%)
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
No 15.3¢827.7 shares
15.3¢→75¢
$127.09
$827.75
$620.81
+$493.72 (+388.5%)
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
No 15¢750 shares
15¢→76.5¢
$112.50
$750.00
$573.75
+$461.25 (+410.0%)
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?
Yes 3.3¢510 shares
3.3¢→98.0¢
$16.90
$509.98
$499.53
+$482.63 (+2856.5%)
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?
Yes 2.9¢816.1 shares
2.9¢→58.7¢
$23.67
$816.10
$478.64
+$454.97 (+1921.9%)
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?
No 17.8¢840 shares
17.8¢→53.5¢
$149.20
$839.99
$449.40
+$300.20 (+201.2%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 74¢555 shares
74¢→76.5¢
$410.70
$555.00
$424.58
+$13.87 (+3.4%)
Will Solana reach $80 in July?
No 10.5¢504.6 shares
10.5¢→82.0¢
$52.98
$504.55
$413.48
+$360.50 (+680.5%)
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
No 24¢583 shares
24¢→70.5¢
$139.92
$583.00
$411.02
+$271.10 (+193.8%)
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
Yes 7.7¢974.9 shares
7.7¢→42¢
$74.89
$974.86
$409.44
+$334.55 (+446.7%)
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No 14.2¢1.2K shares
14.2¢→28.5¢
$166.14
$1.2K
$333.33
+$167.19 (+100.6%)
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Yes 31.8¢775 shares
31.8¢→43¢
$246.20
$775.00
$333.25
+$87.05 (+35.4%)
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
Yes 24¢338 shares
24¢→94.7¢
$81.12
$338.00
$320.09
+$238.97 (+294.6%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 3¢840.2 shares
3¢→37.8¢
$25.28
$840.17
$317.16
+$291.88 (+1154.5%)
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?
No 13.1¢707.7 shares
13.1¢→44.5¢
$93.01
$707.70
$314.93
+$221.92 (+238.6%)
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Yes 22¢481 shares
22¢→63¢
$105.82
$481.00
$303.03
+$197.21 (+186.4%)
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
No 39.2¢310.5 shares
39.2¢→97.2¢
$121.70
$310.45
$301.76
+$180.06 (+148.0%)
Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
No 96.5¢300 shares
96.5¢→98.2¢
$289.60
$300.00
$294.45
+$4.85 (+1.7%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
Yes 17.2¢1.2K shares
17.2¢→24.5¢
$205.91
$1.2K
$293.86
+$87.95 (+42.7%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers 3¢538.2 shares
3¢→53.5¢
$16.15
$538.21
$287.94
+$271.80 (+1683.3%)
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
No 88.0¢300 shares
88.0¢→93.5¢
$264.00
$300.00
$280.50
+$16.50 (+6.3%)
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
No 95.2¢264.4 shares
95.2¢→99.7¢
$251.70
$264.43
$263.51
+$11.81 (+4.7%)
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 96.8¢264.1 shares
96.8¢→99¢
$255.49
$264.05
$261.41
+$5.93 (+2.3%)
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
No 19.0¢414 shares
19.0¢→63.0¢
$78.78
$414.00
$260.99
+$182.21 (+231.3%)
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?
No 24.4¢266.1 shares
24.4¢→96.8¢
$64.86
$266.11
$257.59
+$192.73 (+297.1%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5
Under 16.7¢412 shares
16.7¢→61¢
$68.64
$412.00
$251.32
+$182.68 (+266.1%)
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?
Yes 47.8¢259.2 shares
47.8¢→95.2¢
$124.00
$259.23
$246.79
+$122.78 (+99.0%)
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?
Yes 93.2¢258.1 shares
93.2¢→93.2¢
$240.45
$258.05
$240.37
−$0.08 (-0.0%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
No 49.2¢270.2 shares
49.2¢→88¢
$133.01
$270.16
$237.74
+$104.73 (+78.7%)
Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.?
No 36.3¢300 shares
36.3¢→79¢
$109.00
$300.00
$237.00
+$128.00 (+117.4%)
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?
No 79.2¢262 shares
79.2¢→89¢
$207.65
$262.04
$233.22
+$25.57 (+12.3%)
Will Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?
No 38.8¢247 shares
38.8¢→92.5¢
$95.91
$247.00
$228.48
+$132.57 (+138.2%)
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
No 82.3¢266.8 shares
82.3¢→85.5¢
$219.50
$266.77
$228.09
+$8.59 (+3.9%)
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
No 41.6¢255 shares
41.6¢→88.3¢
$106.11
$255.00
$225.17
+$119.05 (+112.2%)
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?
Yes 70.3¢288.3 shares
70.3¢→75.5¢
$202.60
$288.31
$217.68
+$15.08 (+7.4%)
Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?
No 4¢250 shares
4¢→86.5¢
$10.00
$250.00
$216.25
+$206.25 (+2062.5%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
No 6¢343.1 shares
6¢→62.5¢
$20.59
$343.13
$214.46
+$193.87 (+941.7%)
Will Prime Video announce a new project at SDCC 2026?
Yes 25.8¢234.3 shares
25.8¢→87.5¢
$60.43
$234.29
$205.00
+$144.58 (+239.3%)
MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch?
No 9.2¢513.6 shares
9.2¢→39.5¢
$47.36
$513.55
$202.85
+$155.49 (+328.3%)
Nothing Ever Happens: July
Nothing 75.0¢254.9 shares
75.0¢→78¢
$191.27
$254.93
$198.85
+$7.58 (+4.0%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
No 97.3¢200 shares
97.3¢→99.3¢
$194.60
$200.00
$198.50
+$3.90 (+2.0%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?
No 97.7¢200 shares
97.7¢→99.1¢
$195.40
$200.00
$198.20
+$2.80 (+1.4%)
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
No 93¢200 shares
93¢→99.1¢
$186.00
$200.00
$198.20
+$12.20 (+6.6%)
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?
No 91.8¢200 shares
91.8¢→98.8¢
$183.60
$200.00
$197.60
+$14.00 (+7.6%)
Trump goes to space in 2026?
No 98.4¢200 shares
98.4¢→98.4¢
$196.80
$200.00
$196.70
−$0.10 (-0.1%)
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
No 71.5¢276 shares
71.5¢→71¢
$197.49
$276.01
$195.97
−$1.52 (-0.8%)
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?
No 95.9¢200 shares
95.9¢→96.2¢
$191.80
$200.00
$192.40
+$0.60 (+0.3%)
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?
Yes 11¢247.5 shares
11¢→77.5¢
$27.23
$247.50
$191.81
+$164.59 (+604.5%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 90.7¢221 shares
90.7¢→86.3¢
$200.39
$221.00
$190.61
−$9.78 (-4.9%)
Mirassol FC vs. Clube do Remo: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Under 2¢260 shares
2¢→73.2¢
$5.20
$260.00
$190.32
+$185.12 (+3560.0%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Yes 74.0¢285.9 shares
74.0¢→66.5¢
$211.61
$285.87
$190.10
−$21.51 (-10.2%)
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by December 31?
No 78.2¢194.2 shares
78.2¢→97.7¢
$151.95
$194.24
$189.77
+$37.82 (+24.9%)
New pandemic in 2026?
No 89¢200 shares
89¢→93.5¢
$178.00
$200.00
$187.00
+$9.00 (+5.1%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
No 4.6¢348.1 shares
4.6¢→53.6¢
$16.12
$348.08
$186.57
+$170.45 (+1057.2%)
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?
No 40¢220 shares
40¢→84.5¢
$88.00
$220.00
$185.90
+$97.90 (+111.2%)
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?
No 96.1¢186.8 shares
96.1¢→99.0¢
$179.50
$186.78
$184.82
+$5.32 (+3.0%)
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31?
No 89.9¢188.1 shares
89.9¢→97.6¢
$169.15
$188.11
$183.60
+$14.45 (+8.5%)
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 77.0¢237 shares
77.0¢→76.3¢
$182.41
$237.05
$180.99
−$1.43 (-0.8%)
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?
No 76.9¢225.1 shares
76.9¢→79¢
$173.14
$225.07
$177.80
+$4.66 (+2.7%)
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?
No 5.1¢387.2 shares
5.1¢→45.9¢
$19.59
$387.21
$177.54
+$157.94 (+806.1%)
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
No 55.0¢262 shares
55.0¢→67.5¢
$144.09
$261.98
$176.84
+$32.75 (+22.7%)
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
No 84.8¢208 shares
84.8¢→83.7¢
$176.30
$207.96
$173.96
−$2.34 (-1.3%)
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes 5¢1.2K shares
5¢→14.5¢
$59.96
$1.2K
$173.87
+$113.92 (+190.0%)
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
No 71.3¢293.7 shares
71.3¢→59¢
$209.40
$293.68
$173.27
−$36.13 (-17.3%)
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?
No 77.4¢218.5 shares
77.4¢→75.5¢
$169.12
$218.48
$164.95
−$4.17 (-2.5%)
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
Yes 2¢800 shares
2¢→20.5¢
$16.00
$800.00
$164.00
+$148.00 (+925.0%)
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
Yes 84.3¢183.4 shares
84.3¢→88.5¢
$154.63
$183.38
$162.29
+$7.66 (+5.0%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?
No 10¢304 shares
10¢→53.1¢
$30.40
$304.00
$161.57
+$131.17 (+431.5%)
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
No 72.9¢254.2 shares
72.9¢→63.5¢
$185.29
$254.22
$161.43
−$23.86 (-12.9%)
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?
Yes 67.4¢253.7 shares
67.4¢→63.5¢
$171.10
$253.74
$161.12
−$9.98 (-5.8%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?
No 96¢166 shares
96¢→96.4¢
$159.36
$166.00
$159.94
+$0.58 (+0.4%)
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
No 96.5¢165.7 shares
96.5¢→96.2¢
$160.01
$165.73
$159.43
−$0.58 (-0.4%)
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $15B by December 31?
Yes 44.2¢190.6 shares
44.2¢→83¢
$84.28
$190.62
$158.21
+$73.93 (+87.7%)
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $40B by December 31?
No 78.6¢180 shares
78.6¢→87.5¢
$141.46
$180.00
$157.50
+$16.04 (+11.3%)
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?
No 87.5¢171.5 shares
87.5¢→91¢
$150.16
$171.53
$156.09
+$5.93 (+3.9%)
Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
Yes 0.9¢249.5 shares
0.9¢→62.5¢
$2.27
$249.48
$155.80
+$153.53 (+6754.4%)
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31?
No 84.1¢180.4 shares
84.1¢→85¢
$151.81
$180.42
$153.36
+$1.55 (+1.0%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?
Yes 89.6¢210.2 shares
89.6¢→72.5¢
$188.45
$210.21
$152.40
−$36.05 (-19.1%)
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31?
No 82.5¢184.6 shares
82.5¢→82.5¢
$152.36
$184.59
$152.29
−$0.07 (-0.0%)
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 28?
No 28.0¢300 shares
28.0¢→50.5¢
$84.00
$300.00
$151.50
+$67.50 (+80.4%)
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
No 10.1¢613.9 shares
10.1¢→24.5¢
$62.27
$613.91
$150.41
+$88.14 (+141.5%)
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 91.2¢164.4 shares
91.2¢→91.5¢
$149.86
$164.36
$150.39
+$0.53 (+0.4%)
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in June?
No 59.6¢159.4 shares
59.6¢→94.2¢
$95.08
$159.43
$150.10
+$55.03 (+57.9%)
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?
No 7.0¢242 shares
7.0¢→62¢
$16.94
$242.00
$150.04
+$133.10 (+785.7%)
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Yes 79.1¢175.4 shares
79.1¢→85.5¢
$138.84
$175.41
$149.98
+$11.14 (+8.0%)
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 28?
Yes 26¢300 shares
26¢→49.9¢
$78.00
$300.00
$149.55
+$71.55 (+91.7%)
Will Republican House incumbents not win in three or fewer nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
Yes 0.3¢1.1K shares
0.3¢→13.1¢
$3.04
$1.1K
$149.24
+$146.20 (+4813.8%)
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $170B by July 31?
No 35.3¢203.6 shares
35.3¢→73¢
$71.93
$203.62
$148.64
+$76.71 (+106.6%)
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Yes 64.7¢220.7 shares
64.7¢→66.5¢
$142.73
$220.66
$146.74
+$4.01 (+2.8%)
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
No 26¢181 shares
26¢→81¢
$47.06
$181.00
$146.61
+$99.55 (+211.5%)
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?
Yes 14.1¢356 shares
14.1¢→41.1¢
$50.04
$356.00
$146.49
+$96.46 (+192.8%)
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
No 69.1¢209.2 shares
69.1¢→70¢
$144.55
$209.15
$146.41
+$1.85 (+1.3%)
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Yes 37.1¢207.4 shares
37.1¢→70.5¢
$77.07
$207.44
$146.25
+$69.18 (+89.8%)
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 64.3¢224.4 shares
64.3¢→65¢
$144.25
$224.35
$145.83
+$1.58 (+1.1%)
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?
No 95.6¢150 shares
95.6¢→97.2¢
$143.40
$150.00
$145.80
+$2.40 (+1.7%)
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
Yes 16¢387.6 shares
16¢→37¢
$62.02
$387.60
$143.41
+$81.40 (+131.3%)
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?
No 76.8¢153 shares
76.8¢→92.9¢
$117.53
$153.00
$142.14
+$24.61 (+20.9%)