badatthis
Flex cardJoined October 2024
Total earnings
$96,785.51
1D
−$319.17
7D
$943.27
30D
$1.4K
90D
$4.8K
Total volume
$14.65M
Predictions
4,736
Positions value
$2.9K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$81.8K
LP+$14.8K
Maker+$295.15
Yield+$10.43

Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?
Yes 49.2¢1.7K shares
49.2¢→39.5¢
$844.87
$1.7K
$678.80
−$166.07 (-19.7%)

Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Yes 28.4¢541 shares
28.4¢→29.0¢
$153.85
$540.99
$156.89
+$3.03 (+2.0%)

Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
Yes 25.4¢700 shares
25.4¢→18.5¢
$178.00
$700.00
$129.50
−$48.50 (-27.2%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?
No 14.5¢1.5K shares
14.5¢→8¢
$217.07
$1.5K
$119.64
−$97.43 (-44.9%)

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Yes 6.1¢1.3K shares
6.1¢→6.5¢
$79.86
$1.3K
$85.30
+$5.44 (+6.8%)

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Yes 20.1¢1.0K shares
20.1¢→8.5¢
$201.00
$1.0K
$85.00
−$116.00 (-57.7%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
No 39¢180 shares
39¢→44.5¢
$70.20
$180.00
$80.10
+$9.90 (+14.1%)
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Michigan remarks?
Yes 41¢142.8 shares
41¢→50.5¢
$58.53
$142.75
$72.09
+$13.56 (+23.2%)

Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Yes 32.1¢250 shares
32.1¢→27.5¢
$80.36
$250.01
$68.75
−$11.61 (-14.4%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
Yes 58.0¢110 shares
58.0¢→58.5¢
$63.80
$110.00
$64.35
+$0.55 (+0.9%)

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Yes 12.3¢900 shares
12.3¢→6.5¢
$111.00
$900.00
$58.50
−$52.50 (-47.3%)
Will Trump say "Nobody Like Him" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
No 42¢120 shares
42¢→48.5¢
$50.40
$120.00
$58.20
+$7.80 (+15.5%)

Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Yes 28.0¢196.9 shares
28.0¢→29.0¢
$55.13
$196.88
$57.09
+$1.97 (+3.6%)

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?
Yes 30.6¢472.7 shares
30.6¢→11.5¢
$144.81
$472.66
$54.36
−$90.45 (-62.5%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Yes 23¢300 shares
23¢→18¢
$69.00
$300.00
$54.00
−$15.00 (-21.7%)

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?
Yes 6¢968 shares
6¢→5.5¢
$58.08
$967.97
$53.24
−$4.84 (-8.3%)

Will Warsh say "President" during July Press Conference?
Yes 41¢113.4 shares
41¢→43.5¢
$46.49
$113.38
$49.32
+$2.83 (+6.1%)

Will Warsh say "Consumer Confidence" during July Press Conference?
Yes 11.1¢429.9 shares
11.1¢→10.5¢
$47.69
$429.88
$45.14
−$2.55 (-5.3%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?
No 11.0¢820 shares
11.0¢→5.5¢
$90.16
$820.01
$45.10
−$45.06 (-50.0%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?
No 9¢500 shares
9¢→9¢
$45.00
$500.00
$45.00
+$0.00 (+0.0%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?
No 5¢1,000 shares
5¢→4.5¢
$50.00
$999.99
$45.00
−$5.00 (-10.0%)

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
Yes 14.0¢400 shares
14.0¢→11¢
$56.00
$400.00
$44.00
−$12.00 (-21.4%)

Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Yes 15¢301 shares
15¢→14.5¢
$45.15
$300.97
$43.64
−$1.50 (-3.3%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
No 11¢410 shares
11¢→10.5¢
$45.10
$410.01
$43.05
−$2.05 (-4.5%)
Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
Yes 69.0¢59.9 shares
69.0¢→61.5¢
$41.34
$59.92
$36.85
−$4.49 (-10.9%)

Will Warsh say "Renovation" during July Press Conference?
Yes 6¢545.7 shares
6¢→6.5¢
$32.74
$545.75
$35.47
+$2.73 (+8.3%)

Iran full airspace closure by July 27?
Yes 10.6¢1.1K shares
10.6¢→3.0¢
$120.60
$1.1K
$34.58
−$86.03 (-71.3%)
Will Trump say "Sister" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
No 29.4¢143.2 shares
29.4¢→22.5¢
$42.06
$143.16
$32.21
−$9.85 (-23.4%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Yes 2.0¢2.5K shares
2.0¢→1.3¢
$50.00
$2.5K
$31.25
−$18.75 (-37.5%)

Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
Yes 34.8¢127.3 shares
34.8¢→24.5¢
$44.26
$127.28
$31.18
−$13.07 (-29.5%)
Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
Yes 39.8¢74.5 shares
39.8¢→38.5¢
$29.65
$74.45
$28.66
−$0.99 (-3.3%)
Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Yes 10.6¢460.2 shares
10.6¢→6¢
$48.92
$460.21
$27.61
−$21.31 (-43.6%)

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Yes 3¢1.1K shares
3¢→2.5¢
$33.00
$1.1K
$26.95
−$6.05 (-18.3%)

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Yes 6¢900 shares
6¢→2.9¢
$54.00
$900.02
$26.55
−$27.45 (-50.8%)

Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Yes 42.2¢92.5 shares
42.2¢→26¢
$39.02
$92.46
$24.04
−$14.98 (-38.4%)
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
No 76¢40 shares
76¢→56.5¢
$30.40
$40.00
$22.60
−$7.80 (-25.7%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
Yes 1.1¢4.4K shares
1.1¢→0.5¢
$49.58
$4.4K
$22.18
−$27.40 (-55.3%)
Will Trump say "Transgender" during Michigan remarks?
Yes 28.0¢37.5 shares
28.0¢→51.5¢
$10.50
$37.50
$19.31
+$8.81 (+83.9%)

Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?
Yes 61.2¢27.4 shares
61.2¢→66¢
$16.74
$27.36
$18.06
+$1.32 (+7.9%)

Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Up 42.8¢37.7 shares
42.8¢→47.5¢
$16.16
$37.73
$17.92
+$1.77 (+10.9%)

Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?
Yes 51¢28 shares
51¢→51¢
$14.28
$28.00
$14.28
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?
Yes 9.6¢489.1 shares
9.6¢→2.9¢
$46.75
$489.15
$13.94
−$32.81 (-70.2%)

Will Warsh say "Recession" during July Press Conference?
Yes 21.1¢73.6 shares
21.1¢→18.5¢
$15.50
$73.58
$13.61
−$1.89 (-12.2%)
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Yes 16.1¢212.5 shares
16.1¢→6¢
$34.28
$212.50
$12.75
−$21.53 (-62.8%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
Yes 12¢112.7 shares
12¢→10.5¢
$13.52
$112.66
$11.83
−$1.69 (-12.5%)

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Yes 0.4¢1.9K shares
0.4¢→0.5¢
$8.89
$1.9K
$10.64
+$1.75 (+19.7%)
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?
Yes 5.8¢2.4K shares
5.8¢→0.4¢
$138.47
$2.4K
$9.59
−$128.88 (-93.1%)

Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?
Yes 20¢51.3 shares
20¢→17.5¢
$10.26
$51.31
$8.98
−$1.28 (-12.5%)

Will Warsh say "Oil" during July Press Conference?
Yes 70¢12 shares
70¢→73¢
$8.40
$12.00
$8.76
+$0.36 (+4.3%)
Will Trump say "Gay" or "Homosexual" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
Yes 8.5¢182.4 shares
8.5¢→4¢
$15.47
$182.38
$7.30
−$8.18 (-52.8%)

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Yes 0.5¢1.8K shares
0.5¢→0.4¢
$9.20
$1.8K
$6.44
−$2.76 (-30.0%)
Will Warsh say "Echo of History" during July Press Conference?
No 36¢13.1 shares
36¢→47¢
$4.72
$13.10
$6.16
+$1.44 (+30.6%)

Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?
Yes 64¢8.3 shares
64¢→65¢
$5.33
$8.33
$5.42
+$0.08 (+1.6%)

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Yes 2.3¢655.6 shares
2.3¢→0.8¢
$15.08
$655.63
$4.92
−$10.16 (-67.4%)

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?
Yes 18¢34.3 shares
18¢→14.0¢
$6.18
$34.31
$4.80
−$1.37 (-22.2%)
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?
No 23.7¢19.2 shares
23.7¢→24.5¢
$4.56
$19.22
$4.71
+$0.15 (+3.3%)

Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?
Yes 6¢104.6 shares
6¢→4.5¢
$6.28
$104.59
$4.71
−$1.57 (-25.0%)

Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Yes 6.3¢97.6 shares
6.3¢→4.5¢
$6.12
$97.58
$4.39
−$1.73 (-28.3%)

Will Warsh say "Dollar" during July Press Conference?
No 57.0¢6.3 shares
57.0¢→69.0¢
$3.59
$6.30
$4.35
+$0.76 (+21.0%)

Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Up 51¢43 shares
51¢→9¢
$21.93
$43.00
$3.87
−$18.06 (-82.4%)

Will John Ratcliffe leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Yes 11¢22 shares
11¢→17.5¢
$2.42
$21.98
$3.85
+$1.43 (+59.1%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
No 40¢10.9 shares
40¢→34¢
$4.35
$10.87
$3.70
−$0.65 (-15.0%)
Will Warsh say "Echo of History" during July Press Conference?
Yes 53¢6 shares
53¢→53¢
$3.18
$6.00
$3.18
+$0.00 (+0.0%)

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
Yes 28.0¢9 shares
28.0¢→29.5¢
$2.52
$9.01
$2.66
+$0.13 (+5.3%)

Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Yes 2.6¢93.7 shares
2.6¢→2.3¢
$2.43
$93.65
$2.11
−$0.33 (-13.5%)

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?
No 63¢2.7 shares
63¢→74¢
$1.68
$2.66
$1.97
+$0.29 (+17.5%)

Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 0.6¢303.2 shares
0.6¢→0.5¢
$1.82
$303.22
$1.67
−$0.15 (-8.3%)

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?
Yes 22¢6.1 shares
22¢→25.5¢
$1.34
$6.10
$1.56
+$0.21 (+15.9%)

Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Yes 3.0¢108.3 shares
3.0¢→1.2¢
$3.21
$108.25
$1.30
−$1.91 (-59.5%)

Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?
Yes 23¢5.1 shares
23¢→20.5¢
$1.16
$5.06
$1.04
−$0.13 (-10.9%)

Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?
Yes 6¢15.1 shares
6¢→5.5¢
$0.91
$15.15
$0.83
−$0.08 (-8.3%)
Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Michigan remarks?
No 16¢1.3 shares
16¢→30¢
$0.21
$1.30
$0.39
+$0.18 (+87.4%)
