Total earnings
−$25,925.46
1D
$0.17
7D
$13.51
30D
−$21.49
90D
$293.07
Total volume
$15.75M
Predictions
3,088
Positions value
$7.4K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade−$74.2K
LP+$48.2K
Yield+$70.40
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
No 90.1¢1.9K shares
90.1¢→100¢
$1.7K
$1.9K
Won
$1.9K
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
No 78¢1.0K shares
78¢→91.5¢
$800.00
$1.0K
$938.46
+$138.46 (+17.3%)
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No 54.6¢916 shares
54.6¢→93.5¢
$500.00
$915.95
$856.41
+$356.42 (+71.3%)
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 93.4¢744.3 shares
93.4¢→97.5¢
$695.03
$744.33
$725.35
+$30.32 (+4.4%)
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
No 61¢392.6 shares
61¢→100¢
$239.47
$392.58
Won
$392.58
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Yes 61¢327.9 shares
61¢→100¢
$199.99
$327.86
Won
$327.86
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?
No 44.5¢302.2 shares
44.5¢→100¢
$134.40
$302.22
Won
$302.22
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
No 78¢518.9 shares
78¢→54.5¢
$404.75
$518.91
$282.81
−$121.94 (-30.1%)
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Yes 63.2¢236.1 shares
63.2¢→100¢
$149.15
$236.08
Won
$236.08
GTA VI released before June 2026?
No 34¢163.8 shares
34¢→100¢
$55.68
$163.76
Won
$163.76
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?
No 82.0¢146.3 shares
82.0¢→100¢
$120.00
$146.34
Won
$146.34
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Yes 50.8¢102.7 shares
50.8¢→100¢
$52.20
$102.66
Won
$102.66
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?
No 94.2¢102 shares
94.2¢→100¢
$96.08
$102.00
Won
$102.00
Negative GDP growth in 2025?
No 87.0¢92 shares
87.0¢→100¢
$80.00
$91.96
Won
$91.96
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?
Yes 90.0¢88 shares
90.0¢→100¢
$79.18
$87.96
Won
$87.96
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
No 86¢75.8 shares
86¢→100¢
$65.15
$75.75
Won
$75.75
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?
No 37¢75.1 shares
37¢→100¢
$27.79
$75.10
Won
$75.10
Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025?
No 74.4¢69.3 shares
74.4¢→100¢
$51.51
$69.28
Won
$69.28
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?
No 67.0¢50 shares
67.0¢→100¢
$33.50
$50.00
Won
$50.00
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
No 83¢100 shares
83¢→50¢
$83.00
$100.00
Won
$50.00
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Yes 37.3¢38 shares
37.3¢→100¢
$14.18
$37.98
Won
$37.98
Will Revolut launch their own stablecoin in 2025?
No 86.5¢34.3 shares
86.5¢→100¢
$29.71
$34.34
Won
$34.34
Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?
Yes 67¢33.8 shares
67¢→100¢
$22.63
$33.77
Won
$33.77
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025?
No 93.9¢32 shares
93.9¢→100¢
$30.06
$32.00
Won
$32.00
Will Robinhood launch stock tokens in the US before 2026?
No 65¢30 shares
65¢→100¢
$19.50
$30.00
Won
$30.00
Trump abolishes IRS in 2025?
No 92¢26.1 shares
92¢→100¢
$23.98
$26.06
Won
$26.06
Justin & Hailey Bieber divorce in 2025?
No 84.0¢25.2 shares
84.0¢→100¢
$21.20
$25.25
Won
$25.25
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
No 96.5¢18.9 shares
96.5¢→100¢
$18.22
$18.88
Won
$18.88
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
No 92.3¢18.2 shares
92.3¢→100¢
$16.82
$18.23
Won
$18.23
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model this year?
No 87.0¢16.9 shares
87.0¢→100¢
$14.69
$16.88
Won
$16.88
Bybit insolvent in 2025?
No 94.0¢16.1 shares
94.0¢→100¢
$15.17
$16.14
Won
$16.14
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2025?
No 86¢16 shares
86¢→100¢
$13.77
$16.01
Won
$16.01
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Yes 18¢184.9 shares
18¢→7.5¢
$33.28
$184.87
$13.87
−$19.41 (-58.3%)
Leonardo DiCaprio engaged in 2025?
No 88.3¢12.2 shares
88.3¢→100¢
$10.77
$12.19
Won
$12.19
Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?
No 88¢9.9 shares
88¢→100¢
$8.70
$9.89
Won
$9.89
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?
No 81.7¢9.2 shares
81.7¢→100¢
$7.55
$9.24
Won
$9.24
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
No 65¢8.6 shares
65¢→100¢
$5.57
$8.57
Won
$8.57
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?
No 90.3¢8 shares
90.3¢→100¢
$7.24
$8.02
Won
$8.02
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
No 87.0¢8 shares
87.0¢→100¢
$6.96
$8.00
Won
$8.00
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
No 83.7¢6.5 shares
83.7¢→100¢
$5.46
$6.52
Won
$6.52
Will Trump recognize Somaliland in 2025?
No 83¢6.1 shares
83¢→100¢
$5.05
$6.09
Won
$6.09
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?
No 55.0¢6 shares
55.0¢→100¢
$3.30
$6.00
Won
$6.00
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
No 28.0¢10.9 shares
28.0¢→50¢
$3.04
$10.87
Won
$5.44
Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2025?
No 80.0¢5 shares
80.0¢→100¢
$3.99
$4.99
Won
$4.99
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Yes 20.1¢9 shares
20.1¢→50¢
$1.80
$8.96
Won
$4.48
Will Trump create a DOGE dividend in 2025?
No 94.7¢4.2 shares
94.7¢→100¢
$3.98
$4.20
Won
$4.20
US stagflation in 2025?
No 75¢2.3 shares
75¢→100¢
$1.70
$2.27
Won
$2.27
Will Drake release an album in 2025?
No 63¢2.1 shares
63¢→100¢
$1.30
$2.07
Won
$2.07
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model this year?
No 92.4¢2 shares
92.4¢→100¢
$1.85
$2.00
Won
$2.00
Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
Yes 60.9¢1.3 shares
60.9¢→100¢
$0.81
$1.33
Won
$1.33
Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025?
No 94.1¢1.1 shares
94.1¢→100¢
$1.01
$1.07
Won
$1.07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
No 95.1¢1.1 shares
95.1¢→100¢
$1.01
$1.06
Won
$1.06
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
No 44¢1.8 shares
44¢→50¢
$0.80
$1.81
Won
$0.91
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?
Yes 24.8¢68.7 shares
24.8¢→0¢
$17.04
$68.70
Lost
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?
Yes 4.8¢19.7 shares
4.8¢→0¢
$0.95
$19.72
Lost
Will MAS‑IPSP win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?
Yes 8¢54.5 shares
8¢→0¢
$4.36
$54.46
Lost
US recession in 2025?
Yes 25¢25.9 shares
25¢→0¢
$6.47
$25.89
Lost
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Yes 3.1¢9.6 shares
3.1¢→0¢
$0.30
$9.57
Lost
Will the next James Bond be British?
Yes 56.0¢3.1 shares
56.0¢→0¢
$1.71
$3.05
Lost
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?
Yes 1.8¢56 shares
1.8¢→0¢
$1.01
$56.00
Lost
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Yes 10.0¢13 shares
10.0¢→0¢
$1.30
$13.01
Lost
Will 16-18 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
Yes 2.6¢79 shares
2.6¢→0¢
$2.05
$79.00
Lost
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2025?
Yes 9¢2.8 shares
9¢→0¢
$0.26
$2.84
Lost
Obama divorce in 2025?
Yes 14.0¢4 shares
14.0¢→0¢
$0.57
$4.04
Lost
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?
Yes 17.8¢31.4 shares
17.8¢→0¢
$5.60
$31.37
Lost
Will Mahmoud Reza Banki be the next CEO of X?
Yes 8.2¢35.3 shares
8.2¢→0¢
$2.88
$35.26
Lost
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?
Yes 15¢13 shares
15¢→0¢
$1.96
$13.04
Lost
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Yes 11¢32.8 shares
11¢→0¢
$3.61
$32.81
Lost
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?
Yes 3.6¢52.9 shares
3.6¢→0¢
$1.90
$52.91
Lost
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
Yes 31.0¢1.3 shares
31.0¢→0¢
$0.40
$1.29
Lost
Will Chet Holmgren Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?
Yes 1.4¢1 shares
1.4¢→0¢
$0.01
$1.00
Lost
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?
Yes 20.3¢19.7 shares
20.3¢→0¢
$4.00
$19.71
Lost
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Yes 13¢51.6 shares
13¢→0¢
$6.70
$51.57
Lost
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in July?
No 63¢8.1 shares
63¢→0¢
$5.08
$8.07
Lost
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?
Yes 37¢250 shares
37¢→0¢
$92.50
$250.00
Lost
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?
Yes 3.9¢191.7 shares
3.9¢→0¢
$7.53
$191.70
Lost
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025?
Yes 7.0¢29.1 shares
7.0¢→0¢
$2.04
$29.14
Lost
Will Trump deport 1,750,000-2,000,000 people?
Yes 1.5¢12.6 shares
1.5¢→0¢
$0.19
$12.63
Lost
Will the Texas Rangers win the AL West Division?
Yes 24¢73.2 shares
24¢→0¢
$17.56
$73.15
Lost
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 US Open?
Yes 20.3¢262.5 shares
20.3¢→0¢
$53.23
$262.50
Lost
USDT depeg in 2025?
Yes 6¢2.3 shares
6¢→0¢
$0.14
$2.29
Lost
Justin & Hailey Bieber divorce in 2025?
Yes 33¢11.2 shares
33¢→0¢
$3.71
$11.23
Lost
Will Peter Casey win the Irish Presidential Election?
Yes 2.4¢23 shares
2.4¢→0¢
$0.55
$23.00
Lost
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
No 38.0¢437.1 shares
38.0¢→0¢
$166.30
$437.10
Lost
Two Trump Cabinet confirmations in January?
Yes 1.8¢2 shares
1.8¢→0¢
$0.04
$2.00
Lost
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31?
Yes 29.1¢1.6 shares
29.1¢→0¢
$0.46
$1.58
Lost
Will the ECB announce an increase at the September meeting?
Yes 2.3¢109 shares
2.3¢→0¢
$2.51
$109.00
Lost
Will Chioma Nnadi be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Yes 25¢12.6 shares
25¢→0¢
$3.16
$12.63
Lost
Will the Houston Astros win the AL West Division?
Yes 84¢90 shares
84¢→0¢
$75.60
$90.00
Lost
Will India invade Pakistan in 2025?
Yes 14.0¢7.8 shares
14.0¢→0¢
$1.09
$7.82
Lost
Will Hunter Brown win the 2025 AL Cy Young?
Yes 13.3¢34 shares
13.3¢→0¢
$4.52
$34.00
Lost
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?
Yes 2.8¢5.7 shares
2.8¢→0¢
$0.16
$5.66
Lost
Will Meta announce Instagram sale in 2025?
Yes 4.3¢30 shares
4.3¢→0¢
$1.29
$30.00
Lost
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Yes 25.3¢38.4 shares
25.3¢→0¢
$9.72
$38.39
Lost
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2025?
Yes 18.1¢9 shares
18.1¢→0¢
$1.64
$9.04
Lost
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?
Yes 27¢215 shares
27¢→0¢
$58.05
$215.00
Lost
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?
No 15¢2.7 shares
15¢→0¢
$0.40
$2.67
Lost
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
No 21¢254.5 shares
21¢→0¢
$53.45
$254.52
Lost
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025?
Yes 6.2¢2.1 shares
6.2¢→0¢
$0.13
$2.13
Lost
Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?
Yes 13.0¢20 shares
13.0¢→0¢
$2.60
$20.00
Lost