ACara

Joined March 2025

Total earnings

$48,438.71

1D

−$64.75

7D

−$193.11

30D

−$1.4K

90D

−$2.0K

Total volume

$52.66M

Predictions

6,301

Positions value

$3.7K

PerformancePerformance over all time

Trade+$45.1K

LP+$3.2K

Maker+$180.39

Yield+$27.73

Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?

Yes 23.5¢218.3 shares

23.5¢→41.1¢

+$38.49 (+75.0%)

Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

Yes 10.5¢1.4K shares

−$82.95 (-55.2%)

Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?

Yes 3.7¢1.0K shares

+$25.84 (+66.7%)

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 15.1¢397.3 shares

15.1¢→15.3¢

Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?

Yes 3.0¢980.3 shares

+$29.23 (+98.8%)

Will the Republican Party win the CO-02 House seat?

Yes 4.4¢975.8 shares

+$14.53 (+34.2%)

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 4.9¢1.2K shares

−$7.96 (-13.3%)

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?

Yes 3.8¢1.3K shares

−$1.40 (-2.9%)

Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 2.2¢1.6K shares

+$8.92 (+25.0%)

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

Yes 4.7¢830.2 shares

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 2.4¢1.8K shares

−$2.10 (-5.0%)

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.3¢1.5K shares

+$5.78 (+17.2%)

Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 5.3¢602.9 shares

+$6.59 (+20.4%)

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 2.9¢149.5 shares

+$34.27 (+796.1%)

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 5.4¢1.0K shares

−$17.75 (-32.2%)

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 1.6¢1.4K shares

+$11.78 (+51.5%)

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.6¢1.6K shares

+$8.67 (+34.4%)

Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?

Yes 5.6¢525.2 shares

+$3.46 (+11.7%)

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.6¢5.0K shares

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 13.6¢257.9 shares

13.6¢→12.4¢

−$2.97 (-8.5%)

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Yes 3.6¢1.6K shares

−$25.88 (-45.5%)

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?

Yes 7.7¢105.7 shares

+$22.38 (+275.7%)

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.5¢2.6K shares

−$9.26 (-23.3%)

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.1¢2.6K shares

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.9¢2.7K shares

+$5.46 (+22.2%)

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.0¢1.3K shares

+$4.67 (+18.7%)

Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 0.7¢5.3K shares

−$7.99 (-21.4%)

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.0¢3.0K shares

−$1.52 (-5.0%)

Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.9¢3.4K shares

−$0.38 (-1.3%)

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Yes 2.5¢1.8K shares

−$17.49 (-38.5%)

Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.0¢4.2K shares

−$13.67 (-33.6%)

Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 0.6¢1.7K shares

+$17.19 (+175.1%)

Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Yes 0.2¢1.5K shares

+$22.63 (+620.3%)

Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.2¢2.5K shares

+$21.04 (+425.0%)

Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1¢4.6K shares

−$20.70 (-45.0%)

Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 0.7¢3.4K shares

Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 1¢2.7K shares

−$1.33 (-5.0%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 22.1¢104 shares

22.1¢→23.6¢

Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Yes 3¢742.5 shares

Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 2.1¢815.2 shares

+$6.50 (+37.1%)

Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 2.2¢1.3K shares

−$3.80 (-13.6%)

Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?

Yes 14.2¢163.6 shares

14.2¢→14.3¢

Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.7¢3.6K shares

−$2.43 (-9.4%)

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 1.8¢1.1K shares

+$2.82 (+13.9%)

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.8¢6.6K shares

−$32.68 (-58.6%)

Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 1.0¢3.4K shares

−$12.88 (-36.5%)

Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1¢2.6K shares

−$3.90 (-15.0%)

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

Yes 0.6¢1.3K shares

+$13.92 (+172.3%)

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 2.9¢1.2K shares

−$12.01 (-36.1%)

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.5¢1.4K shares

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.1¢3.7K shares

−$20.27 (-49.7%)

Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 1.9¢1.2K shares

−$1.77 (-8.0%)

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 0.8¢2.7K shares

−$1.34 (-6.2%)

Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?

Yes 30.5¢29.5 shares

30.5¢→67.8¢

+$11.01 (+122.2%)

Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 0.8¢1.3K shares

+$8.70 (+79.1%)

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 1.1¢1.9K shares

−$3.05 (-14.4%)

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.9¢2.4K shares

−$3.62 (-16.7%)

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 6.1¢202.8 shares

+$5.49 (+44.1%)

Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?

No 6.7¢222.7 shares

+$2.65 (+17.7%)

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.9¢2.1K shares

−$1.03 (-5.6%)

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.2¢1.2K shares

−$9.17 (-34.7%)

Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.9¢2.6K shares

−$7.84 (-31.5%)

Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.7¢2.6K shares

−$1.30 (-7.1%)

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.9¢1.6K shares

+$2.38 (+16.7%)

Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.7¢4.7K shares

−$16.03 (-49.1%)

Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Yes 1.2¢754.2 shares

+$7.77 (+88.1%)

Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.5¢3.6K shares

−$3.77 (-18.9%)

Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 1.6¢1.7K shares

−$11.55 (-41.8%)

Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 0.3¢1.2K shares

+$12.72 (+398.3%)

Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Yes 0.3¢754 shares

+$13.60 (+607.6%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?

Yes 12.6¢49.4 shares

12.6¢→31.9¢

+$9.56 (+153.8%)

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.9¢4.5K shares

−$23.21 (-59.8%)

Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 0.8¢4.4K shares

−$20.54 (-56.9%)

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 2.2¢1.5K shares

−$16.79 (-52.3%)

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?

Yes 1.2¢540.8 shares

+$8.53 (+128.9%)

Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.0¢4.3K shares

−$27.80 (-65.0%)

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?

Yes 5.2¢229.8 shares

+$2.95 (+24.8%)

Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE?

Yes 2.0¢181.3 shares

+$11.22 (+315.6%)

Will Milakulo Tukumuli be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?

No 30.7¢351.8 shares

−$93.47 (-86.5%)

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.3¢1.3K shares

−$1.89 (-11.5%)

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 2.0¢1.2K shares

−$10.54 (-42.9%)

Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 1.1¢1.5K shares

−$2.19 (-13.6%)

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 1.0¢3.0K shares

−$17.92 (-56.6%)

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.3¢1.7K shares

−$8.53 (-38.5%)

Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 0.6¢2.9K shares

−$5.82 (-30.7%)

Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 3.0¢1.2K shares

−$23.98 (-64.7%)

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

Yes 4.2¢522.3 shares

−$9.10 (-41.1%)

Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.7¢3.7K shares

−$13.69 (-51.5%)

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.8¢2.8K shares

−$9.66 (-43.8%)

Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 0.7¢2.8K shares

−$7.14 (-36.5%)

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 1.3¢1.1K shares

−$2.45 (-16.9%)

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1¢2.2K shares

−$9.79 (-45.0%)

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 1.1¢1.5K shares

−$5.39 (-31.8%)

Trump goes to space in 2026?

Yes 1.2¢700 shares

+$3.15 (+37.5%)

Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 0.8¢748.8 shares

+$5.24 (+87.5%)

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1¢1.7K shares

−$6.02 (-35.0%)

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?

No 3.9¢77.8 shares

+$8.01 (+261.1%)

Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.9¢4.4K shares

−$26.62 (-70.8%)

Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026?

Yes 3.1¢260 shares

+$2.73 (+33.9%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.6¢1.6K shares