Joined August 2025
Total earnings
$105,357.78
1D
−$1.20
7D
$38.61
30D
$4.1K
90D
$35.9K
Total volume
$10.45M
Predictions
1,945
Positions value
$42.4K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$105.7K
LP+$1.6K
Maker+$1.6K
Yield+$439.57
Referral+$90.56
Taker+$52.84
Fees−$4.1K
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 50¢40.0K shares
50¢→80.3¢
$20.0K
$40.0K
$32.1K
+$12.1K (+60.5%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 50¢40.0K shares
50¢→19.8¢
$20.0K
$40.0K
$7.9K
−$12.1K (-60.5%)
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Yes 73.7¢1.3K shares
73.7¢→88.5¢
$942.93
$1.3K
$1.1K
+$189.95 (+20.1%)
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?
No 79.8¢458 shares
79.8¢→97.0¢
$365.30
$457.98
$444.47
+$79.17 (+21.7%)
Eric Adams charged by December 31?
No 64¢491 shares
64¢→74¢
$314.24
$491.00
$363.34
+$49.10 (+15.6%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?
Yes 46.5¢740.2 shares
46.5¢→38.5¢
$343.94
$740.24
$284.99
−$58.94 (-17.1%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?
Yes 22.9¢725 shares
22.9¢→23.5¢
$166.34
$724.96
$170.37
+$4.03 (+2.4%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Yes 5.1¢2.2K shares
5.1¢→0.9¢
$111.83
$2.2K
$18.45
−$93.38 (-83.5%)
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?
No 90¢14.3 shares
90¢→92.5¢
$12.85
$14.28
$13.21
+$0.36 (+2.8%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 29, 2026?
Yes 13¢59.9 shares
13¢→1.1¢
$7.79
$59.93
$0.63
−$7.16 (-91.9%)
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 26, 2026?
Yes 1¢6.3 shares
1¢→0¢
$0.06
$6.25
Lost
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 5.3¢2.4K shares
5.3¢→0¢
$124.23
$2.4K
Lost
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 2.0¢5.2K shares
2.0¢→0¢
$106.47
$5.2K
Lost
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
No 26.3¢1.6K shares
26.3¢→0¢
$432.79
$1.6K
Lost
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winner
Team Secret Whales 12.2¢5.7K shares
12.2¢→0¢
$693.71
$5.7K
Lost
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?
Yes 6¢121.3 shares
6¢→0¢
$7.28
$121.30
Lost
Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)
G2 Esports 10¢10.8 shares
10¢→0¢
$1.08
$10.78
Lost
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 2.0¢5.2K shares
2.0¢→0¢
$106.47
$5.2K
Lost
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 Winner
LYON 3¢1.0K shares
3¢→0¢
$30.00
$1.0K
Lost
Will Team Secret Whales win MSI 2026?
Yes 0.1¢3.1K shares
0.1¢→0¢
$3.07
$3.1K
Lost
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 5.3¢2.4K shares
5.3¢→0¢
$124.23
$2.4K
Lost
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
Deep Cross Gaming 0.2¢752.5 shares
0.2¢→0¢
$1.51
$752.51
Lost
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.7–0.8%?
Yes 4.3¢1.6K shares
4.3¢→0¢
$71.45
$1.6K
Lost
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner
Top Esports 31¢1,000 shares
31¢→0¢
$310.00
$1,000.00
Lost
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 23, 2026?
Yes 5.4¢120 shares
5.4¢→0¢
$6.52
$120.00
Lost
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 5.3¢2.4K shares
5.3¢→0¢
$124.23
$2.4K
Lost
LoL: DN SOOPers vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stage
DN SOOPers 39.6¢1.9K shares
39.6¢→0¢
$750.96
$1.9K
Lost
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
Yes 3.3¢4.1K shares
3.3¢→0¢
$135.32
$4.1K
Lost
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?
Yes 1.9¢2.1K shares
1.9¢→0¢
$40.51
$2.1K
Lost
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?
Yes 4.3¢500 shares
4.3¢→0¢
$21.74
$500.01
Lost
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 2.0¢5.2K shares
2.0¢→0¢
$106.47
$5.2K
Lost
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?
Yes 1.3¢9.6K shares
1.3¢→0¢
$121.40
$9.6K
Lost
Will T1 win MSI 2026?
Yes 4.2¢1.4K shares
4.2¢→0¢
$60.06
$1.4K
Lost
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner
G2 Esports 30¢79.2 shares
30¢→0¢
$23.77
$79.23
Lost
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 2.0¢5.2K shares
2.0¢→0¢
$106.47
$5.2K
Lost
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 18, 2026?
Yes 1¢20 shares
1¢→0¢
$0.20
$20.00
Lost
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?
Yes 4.3¢500 shares
4.3¢→0¢
$21.74
$500.01
Lost
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Yes 12.5¢300 shares
12.5¢→0¢
$37.50
$300.00
Lost
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)
Top Esports 59.2¢554.1 shares
59.2¢→0¢
$327.99
$554.08
Lost
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?
Yes 4.3¢293.5 shares
4.3¢→0¢
$12.76
$293.48
Lost
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 22, 2026?
Yes 1¢20 shares
1¢→0¢
$0.20
$20.00
Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by June 30, 2026?
Yes 1.5¢97.3 shares
1.5¢→0¢
$1.46
$97.28
Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Yes 7.8¢7.7K shares
7.8¢→0¢
$595.97
$7.7K
Lost
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?
No 10.3¢100 shares
10.3¢→0¢
$10.30
$100.00
Lost
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner
Team Secret Whales 1.2¢2.0K shares
1.2¢→0¢
$24.00
$2.0K
Lost
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Yes 28.1¢1.1K shares
28.1¢→0¢
$318.65
$1.1K
Lost
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
Top Esports 0.3¢52.0K shares
0.3¢→0¢
$149.80
$52.0K
Lost
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 5.3¢2.4K shares
5.3¢→0¢
$124.23
$2.4K
Lost
Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026?
Yes 0.6¢232 shares
0.6¢→0¢
$1.39
$232.00
Lost
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 2.0¢5.2K shares
2.0¢→0¢
$106.47
$5.2K
Lost
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 2.0¢5.2K shares
2.0¢→0¢
$106.47
$5.2K
Lost
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026?
Yes 1¢300 shares
1¢→0¢
$3.00
$300.00
Lost
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.8–0.9%?
Yes 4.3¢1.6K shares
4.3¢→0¢
$71.45
$1.6K
Lost
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 5.3¢1.2K shares
5.3¢→0¢
$64.22
$1.2K
Lost
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
T1 3¢500 shares
3¢→0¢
$15.00
$500.01
Lost
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 2.0¢5.2K shares
2.0¢→0¢
$106.47
$5.2K
Lost
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
T1 18.9¢2.0K shares
18.9¢→0¢
$377.49
$2.0K
Lost
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 1, 2026?
Yes 1¢6.3 shares
1¢→0¢
$0.06
$6.25
Lost
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 15, 2026?
Yes 2.6¢682.7 shares
2.6¢→0¢
$17.70
$682.68
Lost
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 19, 2026?
Yes 1¢6.3 shares
1¢→0¢
$0.06
$6.25
Lost
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 14, 2026?
Yes 2.6¢350.4 shares
2.6¢→0¢
$9.29
$350.40
Lost
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
Yes 3.9¢251.9 shares
3.9¢→0¢
$9.81
$251.89
Lost
LoL Cross Regional: DK vs C9
DK 67.0¢1.3K shares
67.0¢→0¢
$841.71
$1.3K
Lost
LoL Cross Regional: DK vs LOS
LOS 6.9¢283.6 shares
6.9¢→0¢
$19.68
$283.64
Lost
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 3.9¢954 shares
3.9¢→0¢
$36.81
$953.96
Lost
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 2.0¢5.2K shares
2.0¢→0¢
$106.47
$5.2K
Lost
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?
Yes 4.3¢451.6 shares
4.3¢→0¢
$19.63
$451.56
Lost
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 29, 2026?
Yes 1¢6.3 shares
1¢→0¢
$0.06
$6.25
Lost
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 25, 2026?
Yes 1¢6.3 shares
1¢→0¢
$0.06
$6.25
Lost
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 2.1¢10.3K shares
2.1¢→0¢
$211.55
$10.3K
Lost
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 2.0¢5.2K shares
2.0¢→0¢
$106.47
$5.2K
Lost
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 5, 2026?
Yes 1¢5 shares
1¢→0¢
$0.05
$5.00
Lost
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner
Karmine Corp 0.4¢11.4K shares
0.4¢→0¢
$42.14
$11.4K
Lost
LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
FURIA Esports 1.5¢10.0K shares
1.5¢→0¢
$150.00
$10.0K
Lost
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner
T1 57.6¢1.8K shares
57.6¢→0¢
$1.0K
$1.8K
Lost
Will FURIA win MSI 2026?
Yes 0.2¢11.2K shares
0.2¢→0¢
$20.22
$11.2K
Lost
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
Bilibili Gaming 16.7¢1.4K shares
16.7¢→0¢
$233.32
$1.4K
Lost
Games Total: O/U 4.5
Over 32.7¢45.7 shares
32.7¢→0¢
$14.91
$45.66
Lost
ZEDI Esports to win 2-0?
Yes 6.0¢8.3K shares
6.0¢→0¢
$501.10
$8.3K
Lost
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 5.3¢2.4K shares
5.3¢→0¢
$124.23
$2.4K
Lost
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?
No 4.3¢20 shares
4.3¢→0¢
$0.87
$20.01
Lost
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)
LYON 16¢351.7 shares
16¢→0¢
$56.27
$351.67
Lost
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner
Top Esports 12.4¢7.4K shares
12.4¢→0¢
$917.45
$7.4K
Lost
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?
Yes 4.3¢500 shares
4.3¢→0¢
$21.74
$500.01
Lost
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 30, 2026?
Yes 2.4¢218.1 shares
2.4¢→0¢
$5.25
$218.07
Lost
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 2.0¢5.2K shares
2.0¢→0¢
$106.47
$5.2K
Lost
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
T1 6¢624.5 shares
6¢→0¢
$37.47
$624.51
Lost
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+2.5)
Bilibili Gaming 20¢260.6 shares
20¢→0¢
$52.13
$260.64
Lost
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner
Top Esports 30.6¢1.9K shares
30.6¢→0¢
$568.08
$1.9K
Lost
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Yes 0.2¢650.6 shares
0.2¢→0¢
$1.30
$650.58
Lost
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 2.0¢5.2K shares
2.0¢→0¢
$106.47
$5.2K
Lost
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 2.0¢5.2K shares
2.0¢→0¢
$106.47
$5.2K
Lost
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 5.3¢2.4K shares
5.3¢→0¢
$124.23
$2.4K
Lost
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
G2 Esports 13¢2.0K shares
13¢→0¢
$260.00
$2.0K
Lost
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner
Deep Cross Gaming 0.2¢2.5K shares
0.2¢→0¢
$5.50
$2.5K
Lost
Will Karmine Corp win MSI 2026?
Yes 0.4¢458.3 shares
0.4¢→0¢
$1.68
$458.31
Lost
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 5.3¢2.4K shares
5.3¢→0¢
$124.23
$2.4K
Lost
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
Team Liquid 0.2¢22.9K shares
0.2¢→0¢
$51.41
$22.9K
Lost
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 2.0¢5.2K shares
2.0¢→0¢
$106.47
$5.2K
Lost
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
Deep Cross Gaming 5.7¢6.5K shares
5.7¢→0¢
$370.13
$6.5K
Lost