Total earnings
$1,593,140.59
1D
$8.3K
7D
−$23.70
30D
$43.5K
90D
$249.1K
Total volume
$178.62M
Predictions
8,103
Positions value
$596.6K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$1.50M
LP+$78.5K
Maker+$1.8K
Yield+$4.9K
Referral+$4.2K
Taker+$248.17
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 50¢466.7K shares
50¢→79.0¢
$233.3K
$466.7K
$368.9K
+$135.6K (+58.1%)
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 50¢466.7K shares
50¢→20.9¢
$233.3K
$466.7K
$97.8K
−$135.6K (-58.1%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 75.8¢42.7K shares
75.8¢→84.5¢
$32.4K
$42.7K
$36.1K
+$3.7K (+11.5%)
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 97¢8.5K shares
97¢→97.9¢
$8.2K
$8.5K
$8.3K
+$72.10 (+0.9%)
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
No 67.9¢8.7K shares
67.9¢→94.5¢
$5.9K
$8.7K
$8.2K
+$2.3K (+39.2%)
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Yes 73.2¢13.2K shares
73.2¢→56.5¢
$9.7K
$13.2K
$7.5K
−$2.2K (-22.9%)
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?
No 75¢7.8K shares
75¢→70.5¢
$5.8K
$7.8K
$5.5K
−$349.97 (-6.0%)
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
No 91.2¢5.1K shares
91.2¢→95.5¢
$4.7K
$5.1K
$4.9K
+$220.73 (+4.7%)
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
Yes 63.5¢7.0K shares
63.5¢→48.5¢
$4.4K
$7.0K
$3.4K
−$1.0K (-23.6%)
Iran Nuke before 2027?
No 88.1¢3.2K shares
88.1¢→94.3¢
$2.8K
$3.2K
$3.0K
+$200.31 (+7.1%)
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
No 52.0¢5.1K shares
52.0¢→56.0¢
$2.6K
$5.1K
$2.8K
+$204.22 (+7.8%)
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
No 52.8¢3.9K shares
52.8¢→64.5¢
$2.0K
$3.9K
$2.5K
+$451.45 (+22.1%)
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?
Yes 98.2¢2.5K shares
98.2¢→99.9¢
$2.4K
$2.5K
$2.5K
+$41.92 (+1.7%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 17.5¢20.0K shares
17.5¢→11.7¢
$3.5K
$20.0K
$2.3K
−$1.2K (-33.6%)
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No 92.6¢2.3K shares
92.6¢→96.3¢
$2.1K
$2.3K
$2.2K
+$84.47 (+3.9%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?
Yes 12.1¢20.6K shares
12.1¢→10.5¢
$2.5K
$20.6K
$2.2K
−$324.92 (-13.1%)
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Yes 25.1¢8.0K shares
25.1¢→27¢
$2.0K
$8.0K
$2.2K
+$154.00 (+7.7%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Yes 44.2¢6.1K shares
44.2¢→35¢
$2.7K
$6.1K
$2.1K
−$563.60 (-20.9%)
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?
No 91.6¢2.2K shares
91.6¢→94.5¢
$2.0K
$2.2K
$2.1K
+$63.17 (+3.1%)
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 71¢3.0K shares
71¢→67¢
$2.1K
$3.0K
$2.0K
−$120.00 (-5.6%)
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?
No 91.0¢2.0K shares
91.0¢→97.4¢
$1.8K
$2.0K
$1.9K
+$127.60 (+7.0%)
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
No 60.9¢2.4K shares
60.9¢→71.5¢
$1.4K
$2.4K
$1.7K
+$250.60 (+17.3%)
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No 31¢2.0K shares
31¢→83.5¢
$620.00
$2.0K
$1.7K
+$1.1K (+169.4%)
Trump goes to space in 2026?
No 95.5¢1.7K shares
95.5¢→98.4¢
$1.6K
$1.7K
$1.6K
+$48.29 (+3.0%)
NATO dissolves before 2027?
No 93.0¢1.6K shares
93.0¢→97.6¢
$1.5K
$1.6K
$1.6K
+$73.88 (+4.9%)
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Yes 29.6¢5.8K shares
29.6¢→24.5¢
$1.7K
$5.8K
$1.4K
−$292.70 (-17.1%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Yes 13¢7.0K shares
13¢→13.5¢
$910.00
$7.0K
$945.00
+$35.00 (+3.8%)
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?
No 90¢1.0K shares
90¢→92.5¢
$900.00
$1.0K
$925.00
+$25.00 (+2.8%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 8¢10.0K shares
8¢→9.2¢
$800.00
$10.0K
$915.00
+$115.00 (+14.4%)
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?
Yes 13.0¢4.7K shares
13.0¢→19¢
$612.61
$4.7K
$896.29
+$283.68 (+46.3%)
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
No 82¢1.0K shares
82¢→89¢
$820.00
$1.0K
$890.00
+$70.00 (+8.5%)
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
No 91¢901 shares
91¢→90.5¢
$819.91
$901.00
$815.41
−$4.51 (-0.5%)
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
No 75.3¢1.0K shares
75.3¢→78¢
$753.29
$1.0K
$780.01
+$26.73 (+3.5%)
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
No 90.2¢777 shares
90.2¢→96.5¢
$700.85
$777.00
$750.19
+$49.34 (+7.0%)
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
No 91.0¢775.1 shares
91.0¢→96.7¢
$705.62
$775.13
$749.16
+$43.54 (+6.2%)
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
No 96.2¢755 shares
96.2¢→97.9¢
$726.04
$754.97
$738.74
+$12.70 (+1.7%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
No 20.4¢2.4K shares
20.4¢→29.0¢
$494.14
$2.4K
$701.80
+$207.66 (+42.0%)
Will Elon register any party before 2027?
No 82.3¢724.9 shares
82.3¢→96.4¢
$596.67
$724.92
$698.82
+$102.15 (+17.1%)
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.8¢77.8K shares
0.8¢→0.9¢
$622.21
$77.8K
$661.10
+$38.89 (+6.2%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?
Yes 4.2¢15.0K shares
4.2¢→4.3¢
$629.98
$15.0K
$637.50
+$7.51 (+1.2%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
Yes 39.9¢2.0K shares
39.9¢→28.6¢
$789.40
$2.0K
$566.21
−$223.18 (-28.3%)
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
No 93.2¢549.6 shares
93.2¢→97.4¢
$512.52
$549.65
$535.08
+$22.56 (+4.4%)
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?
No 59.5¢671.7 shares
59.5¢→77.5¢
$399.64
$671.66
$520.54
+$120.90 (+30.3%)
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 2.7¢20.4K shares
2.7¢→2.5¢
$560.77
$20.4K
$519.27
−$41.50 (-7.4%)
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
No 95.0¢527.2 shares
95.0¢→97.7¢
$500.80
$527.21
$514.82
+$14.02 (+2.8%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
No 74.2¢600 shares
74.2¢→82.5¢
$445.00
$600.00
$495.00
+$50.00 (+11.2%)
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 2.9¢9.0K shares
2.9¢→4.5¢
$258.52
$9.0K
$398.83
+$140.31 (+54.3%)
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?
No 57.0¢449.6 shares
57.0¢→85.5¢
$256.28
$449.61
$384.42
+$128.14 (+50.0%)
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Yes 19.0¢1.6K shares
19.0¢→24¢
$303.01
$1.6K
$382.20
+$79.19 (+26.1%)
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
Yes 74.5¢505.6 shares
74.5¢→68.5¢
$376.91
$505.62
$346.35
−$30.56 (-8.1%)
Will Trump say "Police Officer" during remarks in Las Vegas?
Yes 99.4¢304.8 shares
99.4¢→100.0¢
$302.99
$304.82
$304.67
+$1.68 (+0.6%)
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Yes 16.3¢3.5K shares
16.3¢→8.5¢
$568.14
$3.5K
$295.54
−$272.60 (-48.0%)
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 1.1¢29.8K shares
1.1¢→0.9¢
$327.40
$29.8K
$282.76
−$44.65 (-13.6%)
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?
No 81.3¢324.4 shares
81.3¢→87¢
$263.72
$324.38
$282.21
+$18.49 (+7.0%)
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?
Yes 4.4¢3.4K shares
4.4¢→7.7¢
$148.85
$3.4K
$261.88
+$113.03 (+75.9%)
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Yes 15.9¢2.2K shares
15.9¢→11.5¢
$349.85
$2.2K
$252.41
−$97.45 (-27.9%)
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
Yes 21.7¢1.2K shares
21.7¢→20.5¢
$251.02
$1.2K
$236.65
−$14.37 (-5.7%)
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
Yes 51.5¢608.7 shares
51.5¢→38¢
$313.55
$608.70
$231.30
−$82.24 (-26.2%)
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Yes 42.6¢1.0K shares
42.6¢→21¢
$425.78
$1.0K
$210.00
−$215.78 (-50.7%)
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Yes 32.0¢1.0K shares
32.0¢→18.5¢
$320.00
$1.0K
$185.00
−$135.00 (-42.2%)
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
Yes 18.7¢1.6K shares
18.7¢→11.5¢
$299.00
$1.6K
$184.00
−$115.00 (-38.5%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?
Yes 3.0¢5.5K shares
3.0¢→2.6¢
$165.12
$5.5K
$144.69
−$20.43 (-12.4%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9?
Yes 1.7¢10.5K shares
1.7¢→1.2¢
$180.87
$10.5K
$126.58
−$54.29 (-30.0%)
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Yes 85.2¢128.6 shares
85.2¢→93.0¢
$109.52
$128.55
$119.62
+$10.09 (+9.2%)
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
Yes 26.5¢995.9 shares
26.5¢→12¢
$263.80
$995.91
$119.51
−$144.29 (-54.7%)
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Yes 17.7¢2.0K shares
17.7¢→5.5¢
$359.89
$2.0K
$111.80
−$248.09 (-68.9%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Yes 16.9¢2.0K shares
16.9¢→5.5¢
$337.16
$2.0K
$110.01
−$227.16 (-67.4%)
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?
Yes 77¢295 shares
77¢→37¢
$227.14
$294.99
$109.15
−$118.00 (-51.9%)
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 1.4¢6.8K shares
1.4¢→1.6¢
$95.04
$6.8K
$105.22
+$10.18 (+10.7%)
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?
Yes 46.9¢392 shares
46.9¢→26¢
$183.90
$392.00
$101.92
−$81.98 (-44.6%)
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes 61¢120.7 shares
61¢→62.5¢
$73.63
$120.70
$75.44
+$1.81 (+2.5%)
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?
No 64.8¢75.6 shares
64.8¢→89.5¢
$49.02
$75.61
$67.67
+$18.66 (+38.1%)
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Yes 19¢1.0K shares
19¢→6.5¢
$190.00
$1.0K
$65.00
−$125.00 (-65.8%)
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?
Yes 8.8¢1.3K shares
8.8¢→4.5¢
$117.66
$1.3K
$59.27
−$58.38 (-49.6%)
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
Yes 11.1¢1.3K shares
11.1¢→4.5¢
$144.00
$1.3K
$58.50
−$85.50 (-59.4%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes 22¢200 shares
22¢→22.5¢
$44.00
$200.00
$45.00
+$1.00 (+2.3%)
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Yes 31.8¢249.3 shares
31.8¢→15.5¢
$79.28
$249.29
$38.64
−$40.64 (-51.3%)
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?
No 31.2¢99 shares
31.2¢→32.5¢
$30.92
$99.02
$32.18
+$1.26 (+4.1%)
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
No 62¢33.5 shares
62¢→95.6¢
$20.78
$33.52
$32.04
+$11.26 (+54.2%)
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Yes 94.3¢28.8 shares
94.3¢→99.8¢
$27.11
$28.75
$28.68
+$1.56 (+5.8%)
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?
Yes 23.6¢500 shares
23.6¢→5.3¢
$117.99
$499.99
$26.75
−$91.25 (-77.3%)
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
No 88.2¢25.4 shares
88.2¢→99.5¢
$22.41
$25.40
$25.27
+$2.86 (+12.8%)
Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 10, 2026?
No 28.0¢27.7 shares
28.0¢→89¢
$7.77
$27.74
$24.69
+$16.92 (+217.9%)
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Yes 45.2¢229 shares
45.2¢→10.2¢
$103.49
$228.98
$23.24
−$80.25 (-77.5%)
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?
Yes 6.2¢1.3K shares
6.2¢→1.6¢
$82.95
$1.3K
$21.51
−$61.44 (-74.1%)
Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?
No 57.0¢19.2 shares
57.0¢→81¢
$10.94
$19.19
$15.54
+$4.61 (+42.1%)
Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 24, 2026?
No 20¢20 shares
20¢→65¢
$4.01
$20.03
$13.02
+$9.01 (+225.0%)
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?
Yes 24¢81 shares
24¢→15.5¢
$19.45
$81.04
$12.56
−$6.89 (-35.4%)
Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9?
Yes 69.9¢168.2 shares
69.9¢→6.5¢
$117.59
$168.18
$10.93
−$106.66 (-90.7%)
Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 6, 2026?
No 25¢6.9 shares
25¢→77.6¢
$1.73
$6.91
$5.36
+$3.63 (+210.4%)
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
No 80.0¢5 shares
80.0¢→93.5¢
$4.00
$5.00
$4.68
+$0.68 (+16.9%)
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Yes 20¢66.6 shares
20¢→6.5¢
$13.31
$66.56
$4.33
−$8.99 (-67.5%)
Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?
Yes 7.2¢13.4 shares
7.2¢→5.5¢
$0.96
$13.37
$0.74
−$0.22 (-22.8%)
Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin August 4-10?
No 60¢2.5 shares
60¢→22.5¢
$1.50
$2.50
$0.56
−$0.94 (-62.5%)
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Yes 8.9¢9.3 shares
8.9¢→4.0¢
$0.83
$9.33
$0.38
−$0.45 (-54.5%)
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2026-08-01?
Yes 7.0¢607.1 shares
7.0¢→0¢
$42.72
$607.09
Lost
Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena win on 2026-08-01?
Yes 3.0¢9.1K shares
3.0¢→0¢
$271.25
$9.1K
Lost
Will Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas?
No 14.8¢126.7 shares
14.8¢→0¢
$18.74
$126.67
Lost
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?
Yes 40.2¢70.5 shares
40.2¢→0¢
$28.36
$70.49
Lost