rocky42006
Flex cardJoined June 2025
Total earnings
$312.16
1D
−$418.64
7D
−$263.76
30D
−$2.1K
90D
$765.08
Total volume
$10.14M
Predictions
6,186
Positions value
$4.7K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade−$5.4K
LP+$3.9K
Maker+$2.2K
Fees−$350.77

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Yes 17.2¢1.2K shares
17.2¢→73¢
$215.12
$1.2K
$911.79
+$696.67 (+323.9%)
Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?
No 24.6¢990.1 shares
24.6¢→31¢
$243.29
$990.14
$306.94
+$63.66 (+26.2%)

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in July?
No 48.6¢344.9 shares
48.6¢→81.2¢
$167.62
$344.89
$279.88
+$112.26 (+67.0%)

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in July?
No 52.8¢454.3 shares
52.8¢→56.1¢
$239.96
$454.26
$255.07
+$15.11 (+6.3%)

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 27?
No 90.5¢185 shares
90.5¢→96.5¢
$167.53
$185.00
$178.53
+$11.00 (+6.6%)

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No 95.0¢175.8 shares
95.0¢→95.7¢
$167.01
$175.81
$168.16
+$1.15 (+0.7%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes 61¢300 shares
61¢→54.5¢
$183.00
$300.00
$163.50
−$19.50 (-10.7%)

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Yes 60¢300 shares
60¢→54.5¢
$180.00
$300.00
$163.50
−$16.50 (-9.2%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No 90¢171.7 shares
90¢→91.5¢
$154.49
$171.66
$157.07
+$2.57 (+1.7%)
Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?
No 58.0¢203.6 shares
58.0¢→63¢
$118.11
$203.64
$128.29
+$10.18 (+8.6%)
Will the Republican Party win the ID-01 House seat?
Yes 94.9¢120.4 shares
94.9¢→94.0¢
$114.27
$120.41
$113.25
−$1.02 (-0.9%)

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
Yes 36¢245.1 shares
36¢→41¢
$88.24
$245.10
$100.49
+$12.25 (+13.9%)

Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Yes 36¢299.5 shares
36¢→33.5¢
$107.82
$299.46
$100.32
−$7.50 (-7.0%)

KBO: NC Dinos vs. LG Twins
NC Dinos 45¢184.7 shares
45¢→53.5¢
$83.10
$184.66
$98.79
+$15.70 (+18.9%)

Valorant: G2 Gozen vs Karmine Corp GC - Map 1 Winner
Karmine Corp GC 35.5¢245.8 shares
35.5¢→36¢
$87.31
$245.84
$88.50
+$1.19 (+1.4%)

Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
No 85.9¢154 shares
85.9¢→53.5¢
$132.29
$154.01
$82.40
−$49.90 (-37.7%)

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Yes 26¢243.9 shares
26¢→32¢
$63.44
$243.92
$78.05
+$14.61 (+23.0%)

Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
No 59.8¢117.1 shares
59.8¢→66.5¢
$70.04
$117.06
$77.85
+$7.81 (+11.1%)

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 27?
No 68.1¢104.5 shares
68.1¢→70.5¢
$71.16
$104.53
$73.69
+$2.53 (+3.6%)

Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?
No 43.7¢150.3 shares
43.7¢→44¢
$65.67
$150.30
$66.13
+$0.46 (+0.7%)

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
Yes 12¢826.2 shares
12¢→8¢
$99.14
$826.20
$66.10
−$33.05 (-33.3%)

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
No 13.5¢359 shares
13.5¢→17.3¢
$48.45
$358.96
$62.24
+$13.80 (+28.5%)

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
Yes 81.8¢71.4 shares
81.8¢→82.7¢
$58.38
$71.39
$59.00
+$0.63 (+1.1%)

Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31?
Yes 31.8¢112 shares
31.8¢→45.5¢
$35.62
$111.97
$50.95
+$15.33 (+43.0%)

FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 2.5
Over 53¢80 shares
53¢→56.5¢
$42.40
$80.00
$45.19
+$2.79 (+6.6%)

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
Yes 59.6¢74.6 shares
59.6¢→60.5¢
$44.49
$74.61
$45.14
+$0.65 (+1.5%)

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 27?
Yes 30.1¢142 shares
30.1¢→29.5¢
$42.80
$142.00
$41.89
−$0.91 (-2.1%)
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?
No 57.8¢94.1 shares
57.8¢→43¢
$54.36
$94.10
$40.46
−$13.90 (-25.6%)

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 26?
No 68.7¢60.5 shares
68.7¢→64¢
$41.59
$60.52
$38.73
−$2.86 (-6.9%)

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 27?
No 81.9¢55.2 shares
81.9¢→70¢
$45.23
$55.22
$38.65
−$6.58 (-14.5%)

Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?
Yes 3.9¢677.4 shares
3.9¢→5.7¢
$26.29
$677.38
$38.27
+$11.98 (+45.6%)

Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Yes 1.5¢1.2K shares
1.5¢→3.0¢
$18.57
$1.2K
$37.47
+$18.90 (+101.7%)

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
Yes 8¢300 shares
8¢→12¢
$24.00
$300.00
$36.00
+$12.00 (+50.0%)

Valorant: G2 Gozen vs Karmine Corp GC - Map 2 Winner
Karmine Corp GC 35¢122 shares
35¢→26.5¢
$42.70
$122.00
$32.33
−$10.37 (-24.3%)

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 26?
No 14.2¢230 shares
14.2¢→12¢
$32.74
$229.95
$27.59
−$5.14 (-15.7%)

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 26?
No 75.4¢46.2 shares
75.4¢→59.5¢
$34.81
$46.18
$27.47
−$7.34 (-21.1%)

Will Marriott (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?
No 22.8¢98 shares
22.8¢→25¢
$22.39
$98.00
$24.50
+$2.11 (+9.4%)

Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?
Yes 0.4¢623.5 shares
0.4¢→3.4¢
$2.39
$623.48
$21.20
+$18.81 (+787.5%)

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?
Yes 23.3¢355.9 shares
23.3¢→5¢
$82.77
$355.91
$17.80
−$64.98 (-78.5%)

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 26?
Yes 37.7¢43.6 shares
37.7¢→40.5¢
$16.44
$43.63
$17.67
+$1.23 (+7.5%)

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 26?
Yes 27.7¢93 shares
27.7¢→19¢
$25.80
$92.99
$17.67
−$8.14 (-31.5%)

Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?
Yes 7.1¢232.8 shares
7.1¢→7.3¢
$16.54
$232.79
$17.11
+$0.57 (+3.5%)

Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?
Yes 3.7¢1.2K shares
3.7¢→1.4¢
$46.53
$1.2K
$16.86
−$29.67 (-63.8%)

Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $75B and $100B at market close on IPO day?
Yes 4.8¢209.2 shares
4.8¢→8¢
$9.97
$209.21
$16.74
+$6.76 (+67.8%)

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
Yes 31.0¢50.1 shares
31.0¢→32.5¢
$15.52
$50.07
$16.27
+$0.75 (+4.9%)

Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Yes 2.2¢570 shares
2.2¢→2.9¢
$12.54
$570.00
$16.25
+$3.71 (+29.5%)

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 in July?
Yes 6.2¢299.5 shares
6.2¢→5.1¢
$18.53
$299.46
$15.42
−$3.11 (-16.8%)
Will Team Yandex Win the Shortest Game at EWC 2026?
No 8.4¢133.4 shares
8.4¢→9.8¢
$11.22
$133.41
$13.07
+$1.86 (+16.5%)

Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series?
Yes 2.5¢465.8 shares
2.5¢→2.8¢
$11.52
$465.85
$12.81
+$1.29 (+11.2%)

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 27?
Yes 6¢118 shares
6¢→10.5¢
$7.08
$118.00
$12.39
+$5.31 (+75.0%)

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
Yes 40.0¢127.2 shares
40.0¢→9.5¢
$50.86
$127.23
$12.09
−$38.78 (-76.2%)

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C or higher on July 26?
No 70¢11.5 shares
70¢→99.7¢
$8.05
$11.50
$11.46
+$3.41 (+42.4%)

Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?
Yes 4.7¢299.6 shares
4.7¢→3.8¢
$14.06
$299.63
$11.39
−$2.67 (-19.0%)

Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
No 66.8¢99.4 shares
66.8¢→10¢
$66.41
$99.41
$9.94
−$56.47 (-85.0%)

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 26?
Yes 34.2¢57.2 shares
34.2¢→15.6¢
$19.53
$57.15
$8.92
−$10.62 (-54.4%)

Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?
Yes 2.5¢1.0K shares
2.5¢→0.8¢
$26.04
$1.0K
$7.65
−$18.39 (-70.6%)

Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?
Yes 31.9¢53.3 shares
31.9¢→13.5¢
$17.02
$53.29
$7.19
−$9.82 (-57.7%)

Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?
Yes 0.7¢1.2K shares
0.7¢→0.5¢
$9.28
$1.2K
$6.83
−$2.45 (-26.5%)

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 27?
Yes 21.8¢21.2 shares
21.8¢→30¢
$4.63
$21.23
$6.37
+$1.74 (+37.5%)

Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Yes 8.3¢45.9 shares
8.3¢→13.1¢
$3.83
$45.87
$5.99
+$2.16 (+56.3%)

Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?
Yes 1.1¢1.2K shares
1.1¢→0.4¢
$13.71
$1.2K
$5.61
−$8.10 (-59.1%)

Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2026 World Series?
Yes 0.6¢1.2K shares
0.6¢→0.4¢
$7.50
$1.2K
$4.37
−$3.12 (-41.7%)

Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?
Yes 0.7¢1.2K shares
0.7¢→0.4¢
$9.21
$1.2K
$4.37
−$4.84 (-52.5%)

Will Perplexity’s market cap be greater than $100B at market close on IPO day?
Yes 5.0¢82 shares
5.0¢→5.1¢
$4.06
$82.00
$4.17
+$0.11 (+2.7%)
Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July?
Yes 18.9¢10.9 shares
18.9¢→32¢
$2.07
$10.91
$3.49
+$1.43 (+69.1%)

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 26?
Yes 12.4¢77.2 shares
12.4¢→4.5¢
$9.57
$77.20
$3.47
−$6.09 (-63.7%)

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 26?
No 82¢4.1 shares
82¢→81¢
$3.33
$4.06
$3.28
−$0.04 (-1.2%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes 2.7¢132.2 shares
2.7¢→2.3¢
$3.56
$132.23
$3.04
−$0.52 (-14.5%)

Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day?
Yes 4.0¢65.5 shares
4.0¢→4.5¢
$2.59
$65.51
$2.95
+$0.36 (+13.7%)

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?
Yes 62¢3.9 shares
62¢→75.5¢
$2.42
$3.90
$2.94
+$0.53 (+21.8%)

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in July?
Yes 13.9¢15 shares
13.9¢→18.9¢
$2.09
$15.00
$2.83
+$0.74 (+35.6%)

Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?
Yes 2.7¢92.9 shares
2.7¢→2.9¢
$2.49
$92.89
$2.65
+$0.16 (+6.2%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No 36¢5.4 shares
36¢→45.5¢
$1.96
$5.44
$2.47
+$0.52 (+26.4%)

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 26?
Yes 4.3¢145 shares
4.3¢→1.6¢
$6.21
$145.00
$2.32
−$3.89 (-62.7%)

Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?
Yes 0.6¢475.7 shares
0.6¢→0.4¢
$2.68
$475.74
$2.14
−$0.54 (-20.2%)

Amazon 2026 capex above $220B?
No 36¢3.3 shares
36¢→64¢
$1.20
$3.34
$2.14
+$0.94 (+77.8%)

Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
No 85¢2 shares
85¢→99.2¢
$1.73
$2.04
$2.02
+$0.29 (+16.6%)

Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?
Yes 1.3¢1.2K shares
1.3¢→0.1¢
$15.90
$1.2K
$1.87
−$14.03 (-88.2%)

Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?
Yes 0.5¢1.2K shares
0.5¢→0.1¢
$5.89
$1.2K
$1.87
−$4.02 (-68.2%)

US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Yes 4.1¢58.5 shares
4.1¢→3.2¢
$2.42
$58.54
$1.87
−$0.55 (-22.6%)

Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Yes 3.6¢39.9 shares
3.6¢→4¢
$1.45
$39.85
$1.59
+$0.15 (+10.1%)

Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
No 11.9¢13.8 shares
11.9¢→11.5¢
$1.65
$13.81
$1.59
−$0.06 (-3.7%)

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 27?
Yes 11¢27.7 shares
11¢→5.5¢
$3.05
$27.73
$1.53
−$1.53 (-50.0%)
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?
No 76¢2 shares
76¢→69.5¢
$1.52
$2.00
$1.39
−$0.13 (-8.6%)

Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Yes 19¢3 shares
19¢→44.5¢
$0.58
$3.05
$1.36
+$0.78 (+134.2%)

Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?
Yes 25.7¢4 shares
25.7¢→26¢
$1.04
$4.03
$1.05
+$0.01 (+1.2%)

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?
No 35¢4.2 shares
35¢→24.5¢
$1.48
$4.23
$1.04
−$0.44 (-30.0%)

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 26?
No 39.2¢38 shares
39.2¢→2.5¢
$14.90
$38.00
$0.95
−$13.95 (-93.6%)

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 26?
Yes 31.8¢69 shares
31.8¢→0.9¢
$21.94
$69.00
$0.66
−$21.28 (-97.0%)

Will the Athletics win the 2026 World Series?
Yes 0.7¢1.2K shares
0.7¢→0.1¢
$8.68
$1.2K
$0.62
−$8.05 (-92.8%)
Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?
No 14.1¢201 shares
14.1¢→0.3¢
$28.46
$201.00
$0.60
−$27.85 (-97.9%)

Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?
Yes 5.3¢97.4 shares
5.3¢→0.5¢
$5.22
$97.42
$0.54
−$4.68 (-89.7%)

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 27?
Yes 30¢1.4 shares
30¢→35¢
$0.43
$1.43
$0.50
+$0.07 (+16.6%)

Amazon 2026 capex above $180B?
No 10¢14.2 shares
10¢→1.9¢
$1.42
$14.18
$0.28
−$1.14 (-80.5%)

Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?
Yes 2.1¢96.9 shares
2.1¢→0.3¢
$2.01
$96.93
$0.24
−$1.77 (-87.9%)

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 27?
Yes 8¢2.2 shares
8¢→9.5¢
$0.17
$2.17
$0.21
+$0.03 (+18.7%)

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C or higher on July 26?
Yes 36¢19.6 shares
36¢→0.4¢
$7.05
$19.59
$0.07
−$6.99 (-99.0%)

Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series?
Yes 1.7¢121.8 shares
1.7¢→0.1¢
$2.07
$121.82
$0.06
−$2.01 (-97.1%)

Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?
No 0.3¢78.2 shares
0.3¢→0.1¢
$0.23
$78.23
$0.04
−$0.20 (-83.3%)

Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
Yes 5.4¢16.4 shares
5.4¢→0.1¢
$0.89
$16.45
$0.02
−$0.87 (-97.2%)
