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PolyScalping

rocky42006

Joined June 2025

Total earnings

−$3,198.98
1D
$146.65
7D
−$2.9K
30D
−$3.4K
90D
−$2.8K
Total volume
$10.86M
Predictions
7,698
Positions value
$5.3K
Performance
−$12.3K
+$6,431.70
+$3,161.65
−$449.81
Overall
#3,233,115
of 3.3M wallets
Volume
#2,602
of 3.3M wallets
Profit
#3,231,925
of 3.3M wallets
LP Rewards
#902
of 189k earners
Maker Rebates
#2,094
of 161k earners
Fees Paid
#45,046
of 1.5M payers
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Yes 85.5¢1.2K shares
$1.1K
+$852.80 (+396.4%)
Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?
No 99.0¢473.1 shares
$468.13
+$270.77 (+137.2%)
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by December 31, 2026?
No 32.5¢1.1K shares
$342.01
+$178.11 (+108.7%)
Keith Rabois Combo: Republicans win 5 (TX, IA, KS, AK, MI, OH)
No 99.7¢271.7 shares
$270.90
+$18.89 (+7.5%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?
No 30¢756.1 shares
$226.84
−$64.45 (-22.1%)
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?
No 65.5¢320.3 shares
$209.82
+$31.41 (+17.6%)
Next Israeli government formed by June 30, 2027?
No 24.5¢780.2 shares
$191.15
−$100.89 (-34.5%)
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?
No 22.5¢846.2 shares
$190.39
−$77.69 (-29.0%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 50%-55%?
Yes 38¢299.9 shares
$113.96
+$16.77 (+17.3%)
Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?
Yes 29.5¢300 shares
$88.50
−$4.50 (-4.8%)
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?
No 10.5¢816.6 shares
$85.75
−$97.49 (-53.2%)
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
No 30.5¢275.4 shares
$84.00
−$12.01 (-12.5%)
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?
No 82.5¢99.6 shares
$82.15
+$28.38 (+52.8%)
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
No 100¢80.2 shares
Won
$80.20
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
Bears 100¢80 shares
Won
$80.00
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026?
No 91.5¢87.1 shares
$79.71
+$0.44 (+0.5%)
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?
Yes 56.5¢139.1 shares
$78.57
+$20.17 (+34.5%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on November 4?
No 43¢182.5 shares
$78.47
−$5.47 (-6.5%)
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
Yes 95.3¢80 shares
$76.28
+$1.48 (+2.0%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on November 2?
No 100¢72.6 shares
Won
$72.64
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?
No 69¢105.2 shares
$72.59
+$10.43 (+16.8%)
Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?
No 26.5¢270 shares
$71.55
+$1.35 (+1.9%)
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
Yes 8.5¢826.2 shares
$70.23
−$28.92 (-29.2%)
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
No 65.5¢101.6 shares
$66.55
+$3.75 (+6.0%)
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,500,000 and 13,000,000?
Yes 26¢244.6 shares
$63.59
−$31.79 (-33.3%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on November 4?
No 90.0¢58.7 shares
$52.84
+$26.99 (+104.4%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on November 2?
No 100¢52.6 shares
Won
$52.62
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?
Down 100¢50.9 shares
Won
$50.95
Will "The One About Matthew Perry: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
No 100¢50.4 shares
Won
$50.42
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on November 3?
No 100¢50 shares
Won
$50.00
Will Saquon Barkley have 699.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
No 45¢110.4 shares
$49.69
+$30.36 (+157.1%)
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Yes 3.8¢1.2K shares
$46.07
+$27.50 (+148.0%)
Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by June 30, 2027?
No 9.5¢436 shares
$41.42
−$91.71 (-68.9%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 3?
No 100¢40.6 shares
Won
$40.62
Will England win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
No 81.5¢49.7 shares
$40.48
+$1.24 (+3.2%)
Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 27¢148 shares
$39.96
−$2.96 (-6.9%)
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
Yes 12¢298.8 shares
$35.86
−$47.81 (-57.1%)
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?
Yes 12.5¢274 shares
$34.25
+$11.01 (+47.4%)
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Yes 5.9¢570 shares
$33.35
+$20.81 (+165.9%)
Will Delcy Rodríguez win the next Venezuelan presidential election?
Yes 10.5¢300 shares
$31.49
−$17.85 (-36.2%)
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Yes 11¢243.9 shares
$26.83
−$36.61 (-57.7%)
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes 31¢78 shares
$24.18
−$5.46 (-18.4%)
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?
Yes 37.1¢62.8 shares
$23.29
−$0.76 (-3.2%)
Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027?
No 44.5¢51.2 shares
$22.78
+$2.63 (+13.0%)
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 16¢142.1 shares
$22.73
+$5.52 (+32.1%)
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2026?
Yes 8¢280.2 shares
$22.42
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?
Yes 8.0¢279.1 shares
$22.19
−$33.17 (-59.9%)
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?
No 53¢37.3 shares
$19.77
+$3.47 (+21.3%)
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
No 93.3¢20.3 shares
$18.95
+$0.13 (+0.7%)
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Yes 47¢34 shares
$15.98
−$5.78 (-26.6%)
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
No 4.7¢307 shares
$14.28
−$3.24 (-18.5%)
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?
No 100¢12.4 shares
Won
$12.36
Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?
Yes 33.5¢34.6 shares
$11.59
−$1.20 (-9.4%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on November 3?
Yes 100¢11.2 shares
Won
$11.17
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
Yes 8.1¢129.6 shares
$10.49
−$6.07 (-36.6%)
Plague case in US by December 31?
Yes 3.5¢302 shares
$10.42
−$25.61 (-71.1%)
Air Force vs. Army: O/U 47.5
Under 58.0¢15.8 shares
$9.16
+$0.32 (+3.6%)
Anthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026?
Yes 2.6¢300 shares
$7.80
−$1.80 (-18.8%)
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026?
Yes 2.5¢299.2 shares
$7.48
−$13.47 (-64.3%)
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
No 6.8¢99.4 shares
$6.76
−$59.65 (-89.8%)
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?
Yes 10¢53.3 shares
$5.33
−$11.69 (-68.7%)
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 30 and December 6, 2026?
Yes 1.8¢286 shares
$5.01
−$13.01 (-72.2%)
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
Yes 1.5¢300 shares
$4.35
−$46.95 (-91.5%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 3?
No 100¢4.3 shares
Won
$4.27
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
Yes 5.3¢79.7 shares
$4.26
−$2.82 (-39.8%)
Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026?
No 13.5¢31.3 shares
$4.22
−$10.26 (-70.8%)
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Yes 2.1¢165.2 shares
$3.55
−$2.50 (-41.3%)
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
Yes 92¢3.3 shares
$3.06
+$0.57 (+22.7%)
Heat vs. Lakers
Lakers 100¢3 shares
Won
$3.00
Will the Democrats win the Arizona Secretary of State race in 2026?
No 1.1¢252.7 shares
$2.65
−$25.72 (-90.6%)
Will Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections?
Yes 97.3¢2.7 shares
$2.63
+$1.98 (+305.4%)
Will Andy Beshear be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Yes 4.0¢63.6 shares
$2.58
−$0.15 (-5.6%)
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $75B and $100B at market close on IPO day?
Yes 4.6¢55 shares
$2.53
−$0.09 (-3.5%)
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Yes 72.5¢3 shares
$2.21
+$1.63 (+281.6%)
Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
No 100¢2 shares
Won
$2.04
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on November 3?
No 100¢1.9 shares
Won
$1.88
Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?
No 74.4¢2.5 shares
$1.83
+$0.28 (+18.0%)
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
No 1.1¢129.6 shares
$1.49
−$0.17 (-10.3%)
Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election?
No 46.5¢2.9 shares
$1.34
+$0.23 (+20.8%)
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hakeem Jeffries by October 31, 2026?
No 94¢1.1 shares
$1.02
+$0.84 (+487.5%)
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
No 94.7¢1 shares
$0.95
+$0.02 (+2.5%)
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by December 31, 2026?
Yes 67.5¢1.3 shares
$0.90
−$0.06 (-6.3%)
Will Perplexity’s market cap be greater than $100B at market close on IPO day?
Yes 2.7¢32 shares
$0.86
−$0.72 (-45.5%)
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?
Yes 13¢6.3 shares
$0.81
+$0.31 (+62.5%)
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
Yes 69.5¢1 shares
$0.70
+$0.25 (+54.4%)
Amazon 2026 capex above $220B?
No 17.5¢3.3 shares
$0.59
−$0.62 (-51.4%)
Amazon 2026 capex above $180B?
No 4¢14.2 shares
$0.57
−$0.85 (-60.0%)
Will England win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
Yes 18.5¢2.4 shares
$0.45
+$0.02 (+4.2%)
Will Gemini Carbon be released between December 14 and December 20, 2026?
Yes 0.1¢120.1 shares
$0.12
−$20.53 (-99.4%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election by 55% or more?
No 3.1¢3.3 shares
$0.11
−$2.74 (-96.3%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on November 4?
No 0.1¢1 shares
$0.00
−$0.72 (-99.9%)
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Yes 0¢4 shares
Lost
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?
No 0¢10.8 shares
Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on November 2?
Yes 0¢26.9 shares
Lost
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on November 3?
Yes 0¢73 shares
Lost
Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
No 0¢125.6 shares
Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on November 2?
No 0¢70.6 shares
Lost
Heat vs. Lakers
Heat 0¢3 shares
Lost
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on November 3?
Yes 0¢49 shares
Lost
Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
No 0¢195.1 shares
Lost