QuietRiskisWrong
Flex cardJoined February 2026
Total earnings
$559,635.80
1D
$52.2K
7D
$44.9K
30D
−$107.0K
90D
−$108.9K
Total volume
$11.45M
Predictions
340
Positions value
$798.5K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$553.0K
LP+$132.52
Maker+$27.38
Taker+$21.80
Fees−$5.5K

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 72.2¢889.6K shares
72.2¢→76.5¢
$642.3K
$889.6K
$680.6K
+$38.3K (+6.0%)

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
No 87.0¢33.4K shares
87.0¢→93.5¢
$29.1K
$33.4K
$31.3K
+$2.2K (+7.4%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
No 91.6¢33.4K shares
91.6¢→77.8¢
$30.6K
$33.4K
$26.0K
−$4.6K (-15.1%)

Cuban regime falls in 2026?
No 76.9¢26.3K shares
76.9¢→83.5¢
$20.2K
$26.3K
$21.9K
+$1.7K (+8.6%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?
Yes 95.0¢10.0K shares
95.0¢→97.8¢
$9.5K
$10.0K
$9.8K
+$275.70 (+2.9%)

Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
No 66.8¢13.0K shares
66.8¢→73¢
$8.7K
$13.0K
$9.5K
+$801.83 (+9.2%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
No 79.9¢8.8K shares
79.9¢→82¢
$7.0K
$8.8K
$7.2K
+$180.45 (+2.6%)

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
Yes 90.6¢4.1K shares
90.6¢→96.1¢
$3.7K
$4.1K
$4.0K
+$225.23 (+6.0%)

Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
No 72.3¢3.6K shares
72.3¢→81.5¢
$2.6K
$3.6K
$2.9K
+$329.66 (+12.7%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?
Yes 90.9¢1.6K shares
90.9¢→92¢
$1.5K
$1.6K
$1.5K
+$18.37 (+1.3%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 71.3¢1.9K shares
71.3¢→77.5¢
$1.4K
$1.9K
$1.5K
+$118.21 (+8.7%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
Yes 66.0¢931.8 shares
66.0¢→58.5¢
$615.00
$931.82
$545.11
−$69.89 (-11.4%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?
Yes 92.0¢495.7 shares
92.0¢→94.5¢
$456.00
$495.65
$468.39
+$12.39 (+2.7%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?
Yes 85.0¢511.8 shares
85.0¢→91¢
$435.00
$511.76
$465.71
+$30.71 (+7.1%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
No 69.0¢476.8 shares
69.0¢→73.5¢
$329.00
$476.81
$350.46
+$21.46 (+6.5%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Yes 57.8¢514.1 shares
57.8¢→55.5¢
$297.00
$514.07
$285.31
−$11.69 (-3.9%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
Yes 63.0¢254 shares
63.0¢→89.5¢
$160.00
$253.97
$227.30
+$67.30 (+42.1%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?
Yes 93.5¢42.8 shares
93.5¢→94.7¢
$40.00
$42.80
$40.53
+$0.53 (+1.3%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes 68.3¢58.5 shares
68.3¢→66¢
$40.00
$58.52
$38.62
−$1.38 (-3.4%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
No 78.7¢56.3K shares
78.7¢→0¢
$44.3K
$56.3K
Lost

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
No 85.8¢2.7K shares
85.8¢→0¢
$2.3K
$2.7K
Lost

Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-02?
Yes 84.9¢471 shares
84.9¢→0¢
$400.00
$470.95
Lost

Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes 0.9¢1.1K shares
0.9¢→0¢
$10.00
$1.1K
Lost

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
No 63.1¢790.4 shares
63.1¢→0¢
$498.75
$790.35
Lost

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
No 3.4¢792.7K shares
3.4¢→0¢
$26.8K
$792.7K
Lost

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
Yes 69.0¢11.9K shares
69.0¢→0¢
$8.2K
$11.9K
Lost

76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5
Over 92.0¢4.6K shares
92.0¢→0¢
$4.3K
$4.6K
Lost
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?
No 72.3¢2.5K shares
72.3¢→0¢
$1.8K
$2.5K
Lost

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
No 88.1¢5.6K shares
88.1¢→0¢
$5.0K
$5.6K
Lost

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants
Pittsburgh Pirates 88.0¢10.4K shares
88.0¢→0¢
$9.1K
$10.4K
Lost

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Yes 85.3¢17.5K shares
85.3¢→0¢
$14.9K
$17.5K
Lost

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Yes 82.7¢11.5K shares
82.7¢→0¢
$9.5K
$11.5K
Lost

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?
Yes 58.2¢3.2K shares
58.2¢→0¢
$1.9K
$3.2K
Lost

Iran closes its airspace by July 31?
No 63.3¢289.1 shares
63.3¢→0¢
$183.00
$289.08
Lost

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
Yes 78.6¢13.2K shares
78.6¢→0¢
$10.4K
$13.2K
Lost

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
No 85.7¢4.6K shares
85.7¢→0¢
$3.9K
$4.6K
Lost
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?
No 68.2¢482.2 shares
68.2¢→0¢
$329.00
$482.18
Lost

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
Yes 54.9¢16.3K shares
54.9¢→0¢
$8.9K
$16.3K
Lost

Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds 93.0¢21.0K shares
93.0¢→0¢
$19.5K
$21.0K
Lost

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
No 34.5¢60.7K shares
34.5¢→0¢
$20.9K
$60.7K
Lost

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
No 80.4¢20.8K shares
80.4¢→0¢
$16.7K
$20.8K
Lost
