theo5
Joined December 2021
Total earnings
$1,153,412.41
1D
$4.0K
7D
−$2.2K
30D
$22.1K
90D
$68.1K
Total volume
$103.81M
Predictions
1,005
Positions value
$149.8K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$1.09M
LP+$66.8K
Maker+$1.0K
Yield+$119.63
Taker+$86.96
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes 44.2¢82.2K shares
44.2¢→50¢
$36.3K
$82.2K
$41.1K
+$4.8K (+13.1%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Yes 35.4¢80.3K shares
35.4¢→38.5¢
$28.5K
$80.3K
$30.9K
+$2.4K (+8.6%)
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
No 90.5¢28.9K shares
90.5¢→97¢
$26.2K
$28.9K
$28.0K
+$1.9K (+7.1%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
Yes 46.0¢15.4K shares
46.0¢→62.5¢
$7.1K
$15.4K
$9.6K
+$2.5K (+35.9%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?
Yes 18.6¢23.9K shares
18.6¢→35.5¢
$4.4K
$23.9K
$8.5K
+$4.1K (+91.2%)
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
No 93.3¢6.0K shares
93.3¢→99.0¢
$5.6K
$6.0K
$5.9K
+$341.00 (+6.1%)
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes 29.9¢24.8K shares
29.9¢→17.1¢
$7.4K
$24.8K
$4.2K
−$3.2K (-43.1%)
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
No 11.0¢9.6K shares
11.0¢→35¢
$1.1K
$9.6K
$3.4K
+$2.3K (+217.0%)
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
No 11.6¢9.7K shares
11.6¢→32.5¢
$1.1K
$9.7K
$3.2K
+$2.0K (+181.0%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Yes 10.7¢18.1K shares
10.7¢→15¢
$1.9K
$18.1K
$2.7K
+$782.86 (+40.5%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
No 48.2¢7.1K shares
48.2¢→34.5¢
$3.4K
$7.1K
$2.4K
−$968.16 (-28.4%)
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 3.9¢77.7K shares
3.9¢→1.4¢
$3.0K
$77.7K
$1.0K
−$2.0K (-65.5%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
Yes 21¢3.7K shares
21¢→27.5¢
$777.00
$3.7K
$1.0K
+$240.50 (+31.0%)
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Yes 22.3¢5.6K shares
22.3¢→17.5¢
$1.2K
$5.6K
$979.90
−$266.81 (-21.4%)
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Yes 18¢5.8K shares
18¢→16.5¢
$1.0K
$5.8K
$957.00
−$87.00 (-8.3%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
Yes 12¢5.2K shares
12¢→13.5¢
$621.39
$5.2K
$699.06
+$77.67 (+12.5%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
Yes 23.7¢2.6K shares
23.7¢→26¢
$604.89
$2.6K
$664.35
+$59.45 (+9.8%)
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes 21.2¢3.9K shares
21.2¢→15.5¢
$831.75
$3.9K
$607.02
−$224.74 (-27.0%)
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.3¢24.5K shares
0.3¢→2.1¢
$73.62
$24.5K
$525.12
+$451.51 (+613.3%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes 20.5¢2.9K shares
20.5¢→17.5¢
$603.28
$2.9K
$514.09
−$89.19 (-14.8%)
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
No 2.0¢3.5K shares
2.0¢→11¢
$71.43
$3.5K
$386.30
+$314.87 (+440.8%)
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
OpenAI 25¢2.6K shares
25¢→10.5¢
$657.07
$2.6K
$275.90
−$381.17 (-58.0%)
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Yes 11.3¢2.9K shares
11.3¢→8.5¢
$325.33
$2.9K
$242.19
−$83.14 (-25.6%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?
No 12¢1.2K shares
12¢→19.5¢
$144.00
$1.2K
$234.00
+$90.00 (+62.5%)
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?
Yes 73.6¢600 shares
73.6¢→33¢
$441.55
$600.00
$198.00
−$243.55 (-55.2%)
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Yes 4.5¢7.8K shares
4.5¢→2.4¢
$354.66
$7.8K
$183.06
−$171.61 (-48.4%)
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 1.8¢18.8K shares
1.8¢→0.9¢
$340.33
$18.8K
$178.46
−$161.87 (-47.6%)
Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?
No 20.6¢500.8 shares
20.6¢→28.5¢
$103.40
$500.78
$142.67
+$39.27 (+38.0%)
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Yes 5.1¢3.2K shares
5.1¢→4.5¢
$162.34
$3.2K
$140.80
−$21.54 (-13.3%)
Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?
Yes 14.6¢617.6 shares
14.6¢→17.5¢
$90.48
$617.63
$108.39
+$17.91 (+19.8%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Yes 27.5¢394.5 shares
27.5¢→24.5¢
$108.31
$394.52
$96.66
−$11.65 (-10.8%)
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?
No 22¢500 shares
22¢→18.5¢
$110.00
$500.00
$92.50
−$17.50 (-15.9%)
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Yes 41¢500 shares
41¢→17.5¢
$205.00
$500.00
$87.50
−$117.50 (-57.3%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
Yes 5¢1.9K shares
5¢→3.7¢
$94.94
$1.9K
$70.26
−$24.69 (-26.0%)
Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?
Yes 7.4¢695.5 shares
7.4¢→10.1¢
$51.48
$695.53
$70.25
+$18.76 (+36.4%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
Yes 6¢1.0K shares
6¢→5.8¢
$61.81
$1.0K
$59.75
−$2.06 (-3.3%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?
Yes 8¢690 shares
8¢→7.0¢
$55.20
$690.00
$48.58
−$6.62 (-12.0%)
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Yes 1.2¢2.4K shares
1.2¢→1.3¢
$30.09
$2.4K
$31.78
+$1.69 (+5.6%)
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
No 11.1¢2.0K shares
11.1¢→1.1¢
$222.01
$2.0K
$23.00
−$199.00 (-89.6%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
Yes 3.2¢655.4 shares
3.2¢→2.1¢
$20.81
$655.39
$13.76
−$7.05 (-33.9%)
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 5.0¢807.8 shares
5.0¢→1.5¢
$40.13
$807.80
$12.12
−$28.01 (-69.8%)
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
OpenAI 10.1¢161.2 shares
10.1¢→6.1¢
$16.28
$161.20
$9.83
−$6.45 (-39.6%)
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Yes 0.2¢1.6K shares
0.2¢→0.6¢
$3.20
$1.6K
$9.61
+$6.41 (+200.0%)
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Yes 0.3¢3.0K shares
0.3¢→0.2¢
$8.41
$3.0K
$6.08
−$2.33 (-27.7%)
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Yes 0.2¢1.9K shares
0.2¢→0.3¢
$3.72
$1.9K
$5.59
+$1.86 (+50.0%)
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Yes 0.3¢1.8K shares
0.3¢→0.3¢
$5.02
$1.8K
$4.58
−$0.44 (-8.8%)
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
Yes 0.8¢823.9 shares
0.8¢→0.5¢
$6.42
$823.92
$4.53
−$1.89 (-29.4%)
Will AfD win the most seats in 0 German state elections in September 2026?
Yes 0.3¢20 shares
0.3¢→0.5¢
$0.06
$20.00
$0.11
+$0.05 (+83.2%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 3.2¢636.9 shares
3.2¢→0¢
$20.38
$636.94
Lost
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Yes 37.5¢400 shares
37.5¢→0¢
$150.03
$400.03
Lost
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
No 27.0¢1.4K shares
27.0¢→0¢
$377.76
$1.4K
Lost
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?
Yes 9.7¢6.0K shares
9.7¢→0¢
$580.22
$6.0K
Lost
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 2.8¢677.6 shares
2.8¢→0¢
$18.97
$677.63
Lost
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?
No 12¢5.0K shares
12¢→0¢
$600.00
$5.0K
Lost
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 5.3¢57.3K shares
5.3¢→0¢
$3.0K
$57.3K
Lost
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 5.7¢500 shares
5.7¢→0¢
$28.72
$500.00
Lost
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 40.0¢687.2 shares
40.0¢→0¢
$275.11
$687.20
Lost
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Yes 9.1¢17.0K shares
9.1¢→0¢
$1.5K
$17.0K
Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
No 42.3¢1.5K shares
42.3¢→0¢
$614.64
$1.5K
Lost
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 5.3¢85.0K shares
5.3¢→0¢
$4.5K
$85.0K
Lost
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Yes 0.7¢5.4K shares
0.7¢→0¢
$37.58
$5.4K
Lost