stupid22
Flex cardJoined February 2026
Total earnings
−$100,702.49
1D
$2.5K
7D
$7.6K
30D
$5.8K
90D
$39.6K
Total volume
$18.48M
Predictions
347
Positions value
$751.6K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade−$109.7K
LP+$7.5K
Maker+$450.34
Yield+$1.1K
Taker+$17.22
Fees−$1.2K

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No 91.5¢207.7K shares
91.5¢→90.5¢
$190.0K
$207.7K
$187.9K
−$2.1K (-1.1%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
No 97.7¢134.0K shares
97.7¢→98.8¢
$130.9K
$134.0K
$132.3K
+$1.4K (+1.1%)

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 88.9¢108.5K shares
88.9¢→91.5¢
$96.5K
$108.5K
$99.3K
+$2.8K (+2.9%)

Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No 93.8¢100.6K shares
93.8¢→95.0¢
$94.5K
$100.6K
$95.7K
+$1.2K (+1.3%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No 96.5¢72.8K shares
96.5¢→93.8¢
$70.2K
$72.8K
$68.2K
−$2.0K (-2.8%)

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
No 90.8¢47.0K shares
90.8¢→93.5¢
$42.6K
$47.0K
$43.9K
+$1.3K (+3.0%)

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No 94¢19.9K shares
94¢→96.0¢
$18.7K
$19.9K
$19.1K
+$388.90 (+2.1%)

Trump out as President before 2027?
No 93¢20.0K shares
93¢→93.5¢
$18.6K
$20.0K
$18.7K
+$100.00 (+0.5%)

Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
Yes 93¢10.1K shares
93¢→93.5¢
$9.4K
$10.1K
$9.5K
+$50.59 (+0.5%)

Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 94.5¢9.5K shares
94.5¢→96.5¢
$8.9K
$9.5K
$9.1K
+$192.16 (+2.1%)

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 24?
Yes 99.9¢7.6K shares
99.9¢→100.0¢
$7.6K
$7.6K
$7.6K
+$4.14 (+0.1%)

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or below on July 25?
No 99.7¢6.4K shares
99.7¢→100.0¢
$6.4K
$6.4K
$6.4K
+$15.46 (+0.2%)

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 29.1¢11.2K shares
29.1¢→53.8¢
$3.3K
$11.2K
$6.0K
+$2.8K (+84.9%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?
No 99.4¢6.0K shares
99.4¢→99.8¢
$6.0K
$6.0K
$6.0K
+$26.10 (+0.4%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?
No 99.1¢4.0K shares
99.1¢→99.7¢
$4.0K
$4.0K
$4.0K
+$23.03 (+0.6%)

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
No 83¢5.0K shares
83¢→75.5¢
$4.2K
$5.0K
$3.8K
−$375.00 (-9.0%)

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 38.5¢11.1K shares
38.5¢→33.5¢
$4.3K
$11.1K
$3.7K
−$552.07 (-12.9%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?
No 99.6¢3.1K shares
99.6¢→99.7¢
$3.1K
$3.1K
$3.1K
+$3.11 (+0.1%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?
No 98.9¢3.0K shares
98.9¢→99.5¢
$3.0K
$3.0K
$3.0K
+$19.01 (+0.6%)

Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Yes 96¢2.3K shares
96¢→97.5¢
$2.2K
$2.3K
$2.2K
+$34.26 (+1.6%)

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes 45.3¢5.0K shares
45.3¢→43.5¢
$2.3K
$5.0K
$2.2K
−$89.29 (-3.9%)

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Yes 35¢5.0K shares
35¢→40.5¢
$1.8K
$5.0K
$2.0K
+$275.00 (+15.7%)

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 30.6¢6.0K shares
30.6¢→31.4¢
$1.8K
$6.0K
$1.9K
+$44.05 (+2.4%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 61¢3.0K shares
61¢→62.5¢
$1.8K
$3.0K
$1.9K
+$45.00 (+2.5%)

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
No 90.4¢1.6K shares
90.4¢→90.3¢
$1.4K
$1.6K
$1.4K
−$1.58 (-0.1%)

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 25?
No 99.9¢1.4K shares
99.9¢→100.0¢
$1.4K
$1.4K
$1.4K
+$0.69 (+0.1%)

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 25?
No 97.9¢1.4K shares
97.9¢→100.0¢
$1.3K
$1.4K
$1.4K
+$27.23 (+2.0%)

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 24?
Yes 99.9¢1.3K shares
99.9¢→100.0¢
$1.3K
$1.3K
$1.3K
+$0.63 (+0.1%)

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 26.2¢4.0K shares
26.2¢→25.5¢
$1.0K
$4.0K
$1.0K
−$29.99 (-2.9%)

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 24?
No 99.9¢1.0K shares
99.9¢→100.0¢
$999.00
$1.0K
$999.50
+$0.50 (+0.1%)

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 24?
No 99.9¢844 shares
99.9¢→100.0¢
$843.16
$844.02
$843.60
+$0.44 (+0.1%)

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 24?
No 99.9¢738.9 shares
99.9¢→100.0¢
$738.14
$738.88
$738.51
+$0.37 (+0.1%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 21.9¢3.0K shares
21.9¢→23.6¢
$657.00
$3.0K
$709.50
+$52.50 (+8.0%)

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 39°C or higher on July 25?
No 99.8¢692.4 shares
99.8¢→100.0¢
$691.24
$692.43
$692.08
+$0.85 (+0.1%)

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 35.9¢10.0K shares
35.9¢→6.5¢
$3.6K
$10.0K
$649.97
−$2.9K (-81.9%)

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on July 25?
No 99.7¢500 shares
99.7¢→100.0¢
$498.50
$500.00
$499.75
+$1.25 (+0.3%)

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 25?
No 99.9¢389 shares
99.9¢→100.0¢
$388.61
$389.00
$388.81
+$0.19 (+0.1%)

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 24?
No 99.9¢339.3 shares
99.9¢→100.0¢
$338.99
$339.33
$339.16
+$0.17 (+0.1%)

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 10.3¢3.0K shares
10.3¢→10.3¢
$309.00
$3.0K
$310.50
+$1.50 (+0.5%)

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No 90.0¢300 shares
90.0¢→91.5¢
$270.01
$300.01
$274.51
+$4.50 (+1.7%)

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
No 76.3¢231.3 shares
76.3¢→89.5¢
$176.36
$231.26
$206.98
+$30.62 (+17.4%)

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 24?
No 99.9¢200.1 shares
99.9¢→100.0¢
$199.90
$200.10
$200.00
+$0.10 (+0.0%)

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on July 24?
No 98.7¢200 shares
98.7¢→100.0¢
$197.30
$200.00
$199.90
+$2.60 (+1.3%)

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,500 in July?
No 98.5¢136.7 shares
98.5¢→99.9¢
$134.63
$136.68
$136.47
+$1.85 (+1.4%)

Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?
No 81.3¢135.2 shares
81.3¢→90.5¢
$110.01
$135.22
$122.37
+$12.37 (+11.2%)

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 25?
No 99.9¢100 shares
99.9¢→99.9¢
$99.90
$100.00
$99.85
−$0.05 (-0.1%)

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Yes 2.1¢5.0K shares
2.1¢→1.7¢
$107.48
$5.0K
$82.49
−$24.98 (-23.2%)

5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Yes 47.5¢200 shares
47.5¢→27.5¢
$95.00
$200.00
$55.00
−$40.00 (-42.1%)

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 25?
No 99.9¢35.1 shares
99.9¢→100.0¢
$35.03
$35.07
$35.05
+$0.02 (+0.0%)

China coup attempt before 2027?
No 94.7¢4.9 shares
94.7¢→96.5¢
$4.62
$4.88
$4.71
+$0.09 (+1.8%)

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
No 76¢5 shares
76¢→87.5¢
$3.81
$5.01
$4.38
+$0.58 (+15.1%)

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 93.5¢1.4 shares
93.5¢→96.4¢
$1.28
$1.37
$1.32
+$0.04 (+3.0%)

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 25?
No 75.7¢400 shares
75.7¢→0.1¢
$303.00
$400.00
$0.60
−$302.40 (-99.8%)

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 40.2¢1,000 shares
40.2¢→0¢
$401.99
$999.98
Lost

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Yes 39¢100 shares
39¢→0¢
$39.00
$100.00
Lost

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Yes 17.8¢1.1K shares
17.8¢→0¢
$196.00
$1.1K
Lost

Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
Yes 77¢894 shares
77¢→0¢
$688.38
$894.00
Lost

Will Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
Yes 1.2¢100 shares
1.2¢→0¢
$1.20
$99.99
Lost
