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taut-dogwood
Joined March 2023
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Polymarket
Check on Polymarket
Total earnings
$48,990.11
1D
$628.45
7D
$656.07
30D
−$176.43
90D
$1.5K
Total volume
$2.92M
Predictions
602
Positions value
$44.4K
Performance
Performance over all time
1D
1W
1M
YTD
All
Trade
+$48.2K
LP
+$702.90
Maker
+$59.49
Yield
+$0.39
Positions
Activity
Comments
active
closed
Market
Avg → Now
Traded
To win
Value
Share
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 97.5¢
27.5K shares
Share
96.5¢
→
97.5¢
$26.5K
$27.5K
$26.8K
+$292.66
(+1.1%)
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
No 97.6¢
9.5K shares
Share
97.1¢
→
97.6¢
$9.2K
$9.5K
$9.2K
+$44.89
(+0.5%)
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?
No 100.0¢
2.4K shares
Share
99.5¢
→
100.0¢
$2.4K
$2.4K
$2.4K
+$9.80
(+0.4%)
Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?
No 97.0¢
1.8K shares
Share
97.1¢
→
97.0¢
$1.7K
$1.8K
$1.7K
−$1.34
(-0.1%)
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?
No 100.0¢
837 shares
Share
99.7¢
→
100.0¢
$834.49
$837.00
$836.58
+$2.09
(+0.3%)
Will the Bank of Russia announce a 50+ bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?
No 99¢
677.3 shares
Share
96.0¢
→
99¢
$650.58
$677.32
$670.54
+$19.96
(+3.1%)
Will USD/CAD hit 1.55 (High) in 2026?
No 97.1¢
476.7 shares
Share
94.5¢
→
97.1¢
$450.54
$476.72
$462.90
+$12.35
(+2.7%)
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Yes 98.9¢
432 shares
Share
97.2¢
→
98.9¢
$420.08
$431.99
$427.02
+$6.94
(+1.7%)
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
No 98.3¢
228.5 shares
Share
93.6¢
→
98.3¢
$213.87
$228.51
$224.62
+$10.76
(+5.0%)
Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?
No 99.0¢
207.4 shares
Share
97.2¢
→
99.0¢
$201.60
$207.42
$205.24
+$3.64
(+1.8%)
Will USD/CAD hit 1.60 (High) in 2026?
No 97.3¢
206 shares
Share
94.6¢
→
97.3¢
$194.89
$205.99
$200.43
+$5.54
(+2.8%)
Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?
No 99.2¢
197.2 shares
Share
98.7¢
→
99.2¢
$194.61
$197.15
$195.47
+$0.87
(+0.4%)
Will Algeria join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
No 97.9¢
180.1 shares
Share
93.6¢
→
97.9¢
$168.57
$180.08
$176.30
+$7.73
(+4.6%)
Will the Bank of Korea cut by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?
No 99.4¢
164 shares
Share
99.1¢
→
99.4¢
$162.52
$164.00
$162.93
+$0.42
(+0.3%)
Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?
No 99.6¢
151.1 shares
Share
99.3¢
→
99.6¢
$149.96
$151.05
$150.37
+$0.41
(+0.3%)
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
No 98.5¢
142.4 shares
Share
97.3¢
→
98.5¢
$138.50
$142.38
$140.24
+$1.74
(+1.3%)
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
No 98.2¢
133.6 shares
Share
97.1¢
→
98.2¢
$129.72
$133.64
$131.23
+$1.52
(+1.2%)
Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?
No 99.7¢
100 shares
Share
99.6¢
→
99.7¢
$99.60
$100.00
$99.70
+$0.10
(+0.1%)
Will USD/CAD hit 1.70 (High) in 2026?
No 97.3¢
73.7 shares
Share
94.7¢
→
97.3¢
$69.77
$73.66
$71.64
+$1.87
(+2.7%)
Will USD/CAD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?
No 92.5¢
55 shares
Share
96¢
→
92.5¢
$52.80
$55.00
$50.88
−$1.93
(-3.6%)
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?
No 98.4¢
30 shares
Share
96.5¢
→
98.4¢
$28.95
$30.00
$29.52
+$0.57
(+2.0%)
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
No 99.3¢
26 shares
Share
97.8¢
→
99.3¢
$25.45
$26.02
$25.84
+$0.39
(+1.5%)
Will USD/CAD hit 1.20 (Low) in 2026?
No 89¢
5 shares
Share
94.0¢
→
89¢
$4.69
$4.99
$4.44
−$0.25
(-5.3%)
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?
Yes 0¢
271.7 shares
Share
98.3¢
→
0¢
$267.11
$271.66
Lost
Will no one dissent the June Fed decision?
No 0¢
20 shares
Share
77¢
→
0¢
$15.40
$20.00
Lost
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?
Yes 0¢
764.7 shares
Share
92.8¢
→
0¢
$709.81
$764.73
Lost
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