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failstober
Joined November 2025
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Polymarket
Check on Polymarket
Total earnings
$404,655.09
1D
−$2.3K
7D
−$499.40
30D
−$14.4K
90D
−$35.0K
Total volume
$40.21M
Predictions
943
Positions value
$102.0K
Performance
Performance over all time
1D
1W
1M
YTD
All
Trade
+$398.0K
LP
+$3,102.27
Maker
+$579.37
Yield
+$2,994.59
Taker
+$16.17
Positions
Activity
Comments
active
closed
Market
Avg → Now
Traded
To win
Value
Share
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 16.4¢
383.1K shares
Share
22.9¢
→
16.4¢
$87.7K
$383.1K
$62.6K
−$25.1K
(-28.6%)
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 84.6¢
8.0K shares
Share
75.6¢
→
84.6¢
$6.0K
$8.0K
$6.7K
+$718.49
(+12.0%)
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 31.3¢
19.0K shares
Share
39.6¢
→
31.3¢
$7.5K
$19.0K
$5.9K
−$1.6K
(-21.0%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No 96.3¢
4.9K shares
Share
61.4¢
→
96.3¢
$3.0K
$4.9K
$4.7K
+$1.7K
(+56.7%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 14.8¢
26.9K shares
Share
43.3¢
→
14.8¢
$11.6K
$26.9K
$4.0K
−$7.7K
(-65.7%)
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 1.6¢
240.6K shares
Share
1.8¢
→
1.6¢
$4.2K
$240.6K
$3.8K
−$382.00
(-9.0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 90.5¢
3.3K shares
Share
15¢
→
90.5¢
$499.95
$3.3K
$3.0K
+$2.5K
(+503.3%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 19.4¢
13.0K shares
Share
22.4¢
→
19.4¢
$2.9K
$13.0K
$2.5K
−$395.90
(-13.6%)
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 97.4¢
2.2K shares
Share
45¢
→
97.4¢
$999.89
$2.2K
$2.2K
+$1.2K
(+116.3%)
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 4.2¢
44.8K shares
Share
3.5¢
→
4.2¢
$1.6K
$44.8K
$1.9K
+$273.38
(+17.2%)
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 67.5¢
605.1 shares
Share
52.7¢
→
67.5¢
$318.93
$605.15
$408.47
+$89.54
(+28.1%)
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
No 33¢
1.1K shares
Share
13¢
→
33¢
$144.42
$1.1K
$366.61
+$222.19
(+153.8%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 13.7¢
2.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
13.7¢
$17.72
$2.7K
$362.57
+$344.85
(+1945.6%)
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 3.6¢
9.0K shares
Share
4.5¢
→
3.6¢
$407.98
$9.0K
$323.38
−$84.60
(-20.7%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 17.8¢
1.6K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
17.8¢
$10.68
$1.6K
$284.00
+$273.32
(+2560.0%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 25.1¢
1.1K shares
Share
0¢
→
25.1¢
$0.00
$1.1K
$278.31
+$278.31
(+0.0%)
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 6.1¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
6.1¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$226.37
+$201.61
(+814.1%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Yes 3.8¢
4.4K shares
Share
4¢
→
3.8¢
$177.76
$4.4K
$166.65
−$11.11
(-6.3%)
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 4.7¢
3.3K shares
Share
0¢
→
4.7¢
$0.00
$3.3K
$154.89
+$154.89
(+0.0%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 8.4¢
1.6K shares
Share
0.6¢
→
8.4¢
$10.20
$1.6K
$134.04
+$123.84
(+1213.7%)
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 4¢
3.3K shares
Share
0¢
→
4¢
$0.00
$3.3K
$133.24
+$133.24
(+0.0%)
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 3.1¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
3.1¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$116.90
+$92.13
(+372.1%)
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 2.9¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
2.9¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$109.47
+$84.71
(+342.1%)
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 2.5¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
2.5¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$90.92
+$66.16
(+267.2%)
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 1.9¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
1.9¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$72.36
+$47.60
(+192.2%)
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Yes 2.7¢
2.7K shares
Share
17¢
→
2.7¢
$453.63
$2.7K
$72.05
−$381.58
(-84.1%)
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 2.1¢
3.3K shares
Share
0¢
→
2.1¢
$0.00
$3.3K
$71.62
+$71.62
(+0.0%)
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 1.8¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
1.8¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$64.94
+$40.18
(+162.3%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Yes 6.5¢
950 shares
Share
17.4¢
→
6.5¢
$165.45
$950.00
$61.75
−$103.70
(-62.7%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Yes 1.8¢
3.3K shares
Share
12¢
→
1.8¢
$399.96
$3.3K
$61.66
−$338.30
(-84.6%)
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.8¢
3.3K shares
Share
0¢
→
1.8¢
$0.00
$3.3K
$58.29
+$58.29
(+0.0%)
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 1.4¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
1.4¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$51.95
+$27.19
(+109.8%)
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.6¢
3.3K shares
Share
0¢
→
1.6¢
$0.00
$3.3K
$51.63
+$51.63
(+0.0%)
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.4¢
3.3K shares
Share
0¢
→
1.4¢
$0.00
$3.3K
$44.97
+$44.97
(+0.0%)
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 1.1¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
1.1¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$42.68
+$17.91
(+72.3%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 90.8¢
46.7 shares
Share
81.2¢
→
90.8¢
$37.92
$46.70
$42.43
+$4.50
(+11.9%)
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 1.1¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
1.1¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$38.97
+$14.20
(+57.4%)
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.1¢
3.3K shares
Share
0¢
→
1.1¢
$0.00
$3.3K
$38.31
+$38.31
(+0.0%)
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.1¢
3.3K shares
Share
0¢
→
1.1¢
$0.00
$3.3K
$34.98
+$34.98
(+0.0%)
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.9¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
0.9¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$31.54
+$6.78
(+27.4%)
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.8¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
0.8¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$29.69
+$4.92
(+19.9%)
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.8¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
0.8¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$27.83
+$3.07
(+12.4%)
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.8¢
3.3K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.8¢
$0.00
$3.3K
$26.65
+$26.65
(+0.0%)
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.8¢
3.3K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.8¢
$0.00
$3.3K
$24.98
+$24.98
(+0.0%)
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 2.1¢
1.1K shares
Share
0¢
→
2.1¢
$0.00
$1.1K
$23.84
+$23.84
(+0.0%)
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢
3.3K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.7¢
$0.00
$3.3K
$23.32
+$23.32
(+0.0%)
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢
3.3K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.7¢
$0.00
$3.3K
$21.65
+$21.65
(+0.0%)
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢
3.3K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.7¢
$0.00
$3.3K
$21.65
+$21.65
(+0.0%)
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 1.4¢
1.6K shares
Share
0.6¢
→
1.4¢
$10.23
$1.6K
$21.60
+$11.37
(+111.1%)
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.5¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
0.5¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$20.41
−$4.35
(-17.6%)
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.5¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
0.5¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$18.56
−$6.21
(-25.1%)
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.5¢
3.3K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.5¢
$0.00
$3.3K
$18.32
+$18.32
(+0.0%)
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.4¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
0.4¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$16.70
−$8.06
(-32.6%)
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.4¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
0.4¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$16.70
−$8.06
(-32.6%)
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.4¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
0.4¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$16.70
−$8.06
(-32.6%)
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.4¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
0.4¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$16.70
−$8.06
(-32.6%)
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.5¢
1.1K shares
Share
0¢
→
1.5¢
$0.00
$1.1K
$16.11
+$16.11
(+0.0%)
Will Adam Hamilton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢
3.3K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.4¢
$0.00
$3.3K
$14.99
+$14.99
(+0.0%)
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢
3.3K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.4¢
$0.00
$3.3K
$14.99
+$14.99
(+0.0%)
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.4¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
0.4¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$12.99
−$11.78
(-47.5%)
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.3¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
0.3¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$9.28
−$15.49
(-62.5%)
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.3¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
0.3¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$9.28
−$15.49
(-62.5%)
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Yes 8.5¢
106 shares
Share
18¢
→
8.5¢
$19.08
$106.00
$9.01
−$10.07
(-52.8%)
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢
3.3K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.3¢
$0.00
$3.3K
$8.33
+$8.33
(+0.0%)
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢
3.3K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.3¢
$0.00
$3.3K
$8.33
+$8.33
(+0.0%)
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢
3.3K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.3¢
$0.00
$3.3K
$8.33
+$8.33
(+0.0%)
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢
3.3K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.3¢
$0.00
$3.3K
$8.33
+$8.33
(+0.0%)
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.3¢
2.6K shares
Share
0.6¢
→
0.3¢
$16.62
$2.6K
$6.50
−$10.12
(-60.9%)
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.5¢
1.1K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.5¢
$0.00
$1.1K
$6.11
+$6.11
(+0.0%)
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Yes 1.7¢
356.4 shares
Share
2.4¢
→
1.7¢
$8.55
$356.36
$5.88
−$2.67
(-31.3%)
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
0.1¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$5.57
−$19.20
(-77.5%)
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
0.1¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$5.57
−$19.20
(-77.5%)
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
0.1¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$5.57
−$19.20
(-77.5%)
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
0.1¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$5.57
−$19.20
(-77.5%)
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
0.1¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$5.57
−$19.20
(-77.5%)
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.1¢
3.3K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$3.3K
$5.00
+$5.00
(+0.0%)
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.1¢
3.3K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$3.3K
$5.00
+$5.00
(+0.0%)
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.1¢
3.3K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$3.3K
$5.00
+$5.00
(+0.0%)
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.1¢
3.3K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$3.3K
$5.00
+$5.00
(+0.0%)
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.1¢
3.3K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$3.3K
$5.00
+$5.00
(+0.0%)
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.1¢
3.3K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$3.3K
$5.00
+$5.00
(+0.0%)
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.1¢
3.3K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$3.3K
$5.00
+$5.00
(+0.0%)
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.1¢
3.3K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$3.3K
$5.00
+$5.00
(+0.0%)
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.1¢
3.3K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$3.3K
$5.00
+$5.00
(+0.0%)
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.1¢
3.3K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$3.3K
$5.00
+$5.00
(+0.0%)
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.1¢
3.3K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.1¢
$0.00
$3.3K
$3.33
+$3.33
(+0.0%)
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢
1.1K shares
Share
0¢
→
0.3¢
$0.00
$1.1K
$2.78
+$2.78
(+0.0%)
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 99.9¢
2 shares
Share
99.3¢
→
99.9¢
$1.99
$2.00
$2.00
+$0.01
(+0.6%)
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
0.1¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$1.86
−$22.91
(-92.5%)
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
0.1¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$1.86
−$22.91
(-92.5%)
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
0.1¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$1.86
−$22.91
(-92.5%)
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
0.1¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$1.86
−$22.91
(-92.5%)
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
0.1¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$1.86
−$22.91
(-92.5%)
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
0.1¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$1.86
−$22.91
(-92.5%)
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
0.1¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$1.86
−$22.91
(-92.5%)
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
0.1¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$1.86
−$22.91
(-92.5%)
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
0.1¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$1.86
−$22.91
(-92.5%)
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
0.1¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$1.86
−$22.91
(-92.5%)
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
0.1¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$1.86
−$22.91
(-92.5%)
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
3.7K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
0.1¢
$24.76
$3.7K
$1.86
−$22.91
(-92.5%)
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