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zxcursed121
Joined December 2025
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Polymarket
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Total earnings
$101,101.67
1D
−$26.39
7D
−$34.35
30D
−$251.01
90D
$9.8K
Total volume
$31.21M
Predictions
112,888
Positions value
$237.51
Performance
Performance over all time
1D
1W
1M
YTD
All
Trade
+$69.8K
LP
+$58.51
Maker
+$31.3K
Yield
+$0.69
Positions
Activity
Comments
active
closed
Market
Avg → Now
Traded
To win
Value
Share
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?
No 89.5¢
10 shares
Share
12¢
→
89.5¢
$1.20
$10.00
$8.95
+$7.75
(+645.8%)
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?
No 72.5¢
10 shares
Share
31.5¢
→
72.5¢
$3.15
$10.00
$7.25
+$4.10
(+130.2%)
Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?
Yes 94.5¢
6.5 shares
Share
95¢
→
94.5¢
$6.15
$6.47
$6.12
−$0.03
(-0.5%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
No 47¢
10.3 shares
Share
52.5¢
→
47¢
$5.38
$10.25
$4.82
−$0.56
(-10.4%)
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 46.4¢
10 shares
Share
49¢
→
46.4¢
$4.90
$10.00
$4.64
−$0.27
(-5.4%)
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?
No 94.2¢
4.9 shares
Share
80.4¢
→
94.2¢
$3.93
$4.89
$4.60
+$0.67
(+17.1%)
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?
No 93.5¢
4.6 shares
Share
75.0¢
→
93.5¢
$3.46
$4.61
$4.31
+$0.85
(+24.7%)
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?
No 96.5¢
4.3 shares
Share
57.6¢
→
96.5¢
$2.45
$4.25
$4.10
+$1.65
(+67.5%)
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
Yes 79.5¢
5 shares
Share
2¢
→
79.5¢
$0.10
$4.99
$3.97
+$3.87
(+3874.9%)
Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?
No 97.9¢
4 shares
Share
74.9¢
→
97.9¢
$2.99
$3.99
$3.91
+$0.92
(+30.8%)
Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?
No 85¢
4.3 shares
Share
77.7¢
→
85¢
$3.38
$4.35
$3.70
+$0.32
(+9.4%)
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Yes 23.5¢
15 shares
Share
30.2¢
→
23.5¢
$4.53
$15.00
$3.53
−$1.01
(-22.2%)
Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?
No 92¢
3.8 shares
Share
72.5¢
→
92¢
$2.75
$3.80
$3.49
+$0.74
(+26.9%)
Will the Democrats win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Yes 97.1¢
3.5 shares
Share
56.0¢
→
97.1¢
$1.94
$3.46
$3.36
+$1.42
(+73.4%)
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
No 60.1¢
5.5 shares
Share
96.2¢
→
60.1¢
$5.30
$5.51
$3.31
−$1.99
(-37.6%)
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
No 97.2¢
3.3 shares
Share
95.3¢
→
97.2¢
$3.16
$3.32
$3.23
+$0.06
(+1.9%)
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027?
No 79.5¢
4 shares
Share
57.0¢
→
79.5¢
$2.28
$4.00
$3.18
+$0.90
(+39.5%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
No 78.5¢
4 shares
Share
71.6¢
→
78.5¢
$2.85
$3.98
$3.12
+$0.28
(+9.7%)
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
No 95.0¢
3.2 shares
Share
90.3¢
→
95.0¢
$2.85
$3.16
$3.00
+$0.15
(+5.2%)
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No 61.5¢
4.8 shares
Share
55.4¢
→
61.5¢
$2.66
$4.80
$2.95
+$0.29
(+11.0%)
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 96.6¢
3 shares
Share
96.1¢
→
96.6¢
$2.90
$3.02
$2.92
+$0.02
(+0.5%)
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No 66¢
4.4 shares
Share
42.9¢
→
66¢
$1.88
$4.39
$2.90
+$1.01
(+53.9%)
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?
Yes 80.5¢
3.5 shares
Share
42.5¢
→
80.5¢
$1.49
$3.50
$2.82
+$1.33
(+89.4%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?
Yes 22¢
12.7 shares
Share
23.8¢
→
22¢
$3.01
$12.67
$2.79
−$0.22
(-7.4%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?
Yes 70.5¢
3.9 shares
Share
70¢
→
70.5¢
$2.76
$3.94
$2.78
+$0.02
(+0.7%)
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?
No 59.5¢
4.4 shares
Share
54¢
→
59.5¢
$2.38
$4.41
$2.63
+$0.24
(+10.2%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 20%-25%?
Yes 52.5¢
5 shares
Share
34¢
→
52.5¢
$1.70
$5.00
$2.63
+$0.93
(+54.4%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
Yes 59¢
4.4 shares
Share
39¢
→
59¢
$1.72
$4.40
$2.60
+$0.88
(+51.3%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?
No 100.0¢
2.5 shares
Share
76¢
→
100.0¢
$1.89
$2.48
$2.48
+$0.59
(+31.5%)
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
No 81¢
2.9 shares
Share
73.1¢
→
81¢
$2.09
$2.87
$2.32
+$0.23
(+10.8%)
Will Tori launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Yes 57.5¢
4 shares
Share
34.4¢
→
57.5¢
$1.38
$4.00
$2.30
+$0.92
(+67.0%)
Will the median home value in the US be less than $403,000 on December 31?
No 87.1¢
2.6 shares
Share
79¢
→
87.1¢
$2.09
$2.64
$2.30
+$0.21
(+10.3%)
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?
No 46.5¢
4.9 shares
Share
24.9¢
→
46.5¢
$1.21
$4.86
$2.26
+$1.05
(+86.3%)
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No 87.5¢
2.6 shares
Share
69.3¢
→
87.5¢
$1.79
$2.58
$2.26
+$0.47
(+26.2%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
No 80.5¢
2.8 shares
Share
67.5¢
→
80.5¢
$1.86
$2.75
$2.22
+$0.36
(+19.3%)
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
No 87.5¢
2.5 shares
Share
72.1¢
→
87.5¢
$1.81
$2.51
$2.19
+$0.39
(+21.4%)
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?
No 54¢
4 shares
Share
46¢
→
54¢
$1.84
$4.00
$2.16
+$0.32
(+17.4%)
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
No 97.6¢
2.2 shares
Share
94.7¢
→
97.6¢
$2.05
$2.16
$2.11
+$0.06
(+3.1%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 88.5¢
2.3 shares
Share
30.0¢
→
88.5¢
$0.70
$2.34
$2.07
+$1.37
(+195.0%)
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?
Yes 19.5¢
10 shares
Share
25.0¢
→
19.5¢
$2.50
$10.00
$1.95
−$0.55
(-22.0%)
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
No 82.0¢
2.3 shares
Share
60.4¢
→
82.0¢
$1.42
$2.35
$1.92
+$0.51
(+35.8%)
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?
No 63¢
3 shares
Share
36¢
→
63¢
$1.09
$3.02
$1.90
+$0.82
(+75.0%)
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
Yes 45¢
4.1 shares
Share
38.1¢
→
45¢
$1.57
$4.13
$1.86
+$0.29
(+18.2%)
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 45¢
4 shares
Share
28.8¢
→
45¢
$1.15
$4.00
$1.80
+$0.65
(+56.1%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 55%-60%?
Yes 17.8¢
10 shares
Share
13¢
→
17.8¢
$1.30
$10.00
$1.79
+$0.49
(+37.3%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?
Yes 51.5¢
3.4 shares
Share
51.5¢
→
51.5¢
$1.77
$3.43
$1.77
−$0.00
(-0.0%)
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
Yes 16.5¢
10.5 shares
Share
32.5¢
→
16.5¢
$3.42
$10.51
$1.73
−$1.68
(-49.2%)
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
No 97.1¢
1.7 shares
Share
93.5¢
→
97.1¢
$1.59
$1.70
$1.65
+$0.06
(+3.9%)
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?
No 43.5¢
3.8 shares
Share
49¢
→
43.5¢
$1.84
$3.76
$1.64
−$0.21
(-11.2%)
Will Antonio Martín del Campo win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?
Yes 56.0¢
2.8 shares
Share
44¢
→
56.0¢
$1.23
$2.80
$1.57
+$0.34
(+27.3%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Yes 36¢
4.1 shares
Share
45.2¢
→
36¢
$1.87
$4.14
$1.49
−$0.38
(-20.4%)
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?
No 33.5¢
4.4 shares
Share
35.3¢
→
33.5¢
$1.56
$4.41
$1.48
−$0.08
(-5.0%)
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
Yes 73.8¢
2 shares
Share
53.9¢
→
73.8¢
$1.08
$2.00
$1.48
+$0.40
(+36.9%)
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?
No 88.5¢
1.7 shares
Share
46¢
→
88.5¢
$0.76
$1.65
$1.46
+$0.70
(+92.4%)
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?
Yes 50¢
2.9 shares
Share
51¢
→
50¢
$1.47
$2.89
$1.45
−$0.03
(-2.0%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 85% or more?
Yes 9.3¢
15 shares
Share
8.2¢
→
9.3¢
$1.23
$15.00
$1.40
+$0.18
(+14.3%)
Will Xavier Becerra win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?
Yes 46.5¢
3 shares
Share
20.5¢
→
46.5¢
$0.62
$3.00
$1.40
+$0.78
(+126.8%)
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-08 House Election?
No 27.6¢
5 shares
Share
1.1¢
→
27.6¢
$0.06
$5.00
$1.38
+$1.32
(+2404.5%)
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?
No 100.0¢
1.3 shares
Share
42¢
→
100.0¢
$0.56
$1.34
$1.34
+$0.78
(+137.9%)
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No 94.5¢
1.3 shares
Share
85.1¢
→
94.5¢
$1.15
$1.35
$1.28
+$0.13
(+11.1%)
Viktor Orbán arrested by...?
Yes 12.7¢
10 shares
Share
24.9¢
→
12.7¢
$2.49
$10.00
$1.27
−$1.22
(-49.0%)
Will Detroit Lions win the 2026 NFC North?
Yes 27¢
4.4 shares
Share
37¢
→
27¢
$1.61
$4.35
$1.17
−$0.44
(-27.0%)
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North?
No 61¢
1.9 shares
Share
85¢
→
61¢
$1.62
$1.91
$1.16
−$0.46
(-28.2%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3%-6%?
Yes 11.5¢
10 shares
Share
20¢
→
11.5¢
$2.00
$10.00
$1.15
−$0.85
(-42.5%)
Will LAB reach $22 before 2027?
No 96.5¢
1.2 shares
Share
61¢
→
96.5¢
$0.73
$1.19
$1.15
+$0.42
(+58.2%)
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the December meeting?
No 38¢
3 shares
Share
41.8¢
→
38¢
$1.25
$3.00
$1.14
−$0.11
(-9.0%)
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?
Yes 56.5¢
2 shares
Share
29.0¢
→
56.5¢
$0.58
$2.00
$1.13
+$0.55
(+94.8%)
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
No 64.5¢
1.7 shares
Share
53¢
→
64.5¢
$0.91
$1.72
$1.11
+$0.20
(+21.7%)
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
No 37.5¢
2.9 shares
Share
51.3¢
→
37.5¢
$1.51
$2.94
$1.10
−$0.41
(-26.9%)
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?
Yes 22¢
5 shares
Share
45.5¢
→
22¢
$2.27
$4.99
$1.10
−$1.17
(-51.6%)
Will the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?
No 23¢
4.6 shares
Share
12.5¢
→
23¢
$0.57
$4.58
$1.05
+$0.48
(+84.2%)
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Yes 10.5¢
10 shares
Share
11.7¢
→
10.5¢
$1.17
$10.00
$1.05
−$0.12
(-10.0%)
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?
No 52.5¢
2 shares
Share
52¢
→
52.5¢
$1.04
$2.00
$1.05
+$0.01
(+1.0%)
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 2.5
Under 57.5¢
1.8 shares
Share
42.3¢
→
57.5¢
$0.76
$1.79
$1.03
+$0.27
(+35.9%)
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?
No 94¢
1.1 shares
Share
91.9¢
→
94¢
$0.98
$1.07
$1.01
+$0.02
(+2.3%)
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
No 66.5¢
1.5 shares
Share
40¢
→
66.5¢
$0.60
$1.51
$1.00
+$0.40
(+66.2%)
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
No 40¢
2.5 shares
Share
80.3¢
→
40¢
$2.00
$2.49
$1.00
−$1.00
(-50.2%)
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
Yes 49.5¢
2 shares
Share
56.0¢
→
49.5¢
$1.12
$2.00
$0.99
−$0.13
(-11.6%)
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Yes 23¢
4.3 shares
Share
55.0¢
→
23¢
$2.35
$4.27
$0.98
−$1.37
(-58.2%)
Will John Healey be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?
Yes 9.5¢
10 shares
Share
27.0¢
→
9.5¢
$2.70
$10.00
$0.95
−$1.75
(-64.8%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?
Yes 53¢
1.8 shares
Share
53¢
→
53¢
$0.93
$1.76
$0.93
+$0.00
(+0.0%)
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027?
Yes 53.5¢
1.7 shares
Share
56.0¢
→
53.5¢
$0.97
$1.73
$0.93
−$0.04
(-4.5%)
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?
Yes 26.5¢
3.4 shares
Share
30¢
→
26.5¢
$1.02
$3.39
$0.90
−$0.12
(-11.7%)
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
Yes 29.0¢
3.1 shares
Share
48¢
→
29.0¢
$1.48
$3.08
$0.89
−$0.58
(-39.6%)
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?
No 21¢
4.2 shares
Share
24¢
→
21¢
$1.01
$4.21
$0.88
−$0.13
(-12.5%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-07 House election by 0%-3%?
Yes 22¢
4 shares
Share
21¢
→
22¢
$0.84
$3.98
$0.88
+$0.04
(+4.8%)
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Yucatán Congress election?
Yes 22¢
3.9 shares
Share
21¢
→
22¢
$0.82
$3.90
$0.86
+$0.04
(+4.8%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 55% or more?
Yes 40.7¢
2 shares
Share
9¢
→
40.7¢
$0.18
$2.00
$0.81
+$0.63
(+352.2%)
Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?
No 22.5¢
3.6 shares
Share
13¢
→
22.5¢
$0.46
$3.56
$0.80
+$0.34
(+73.1%)
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 23.9¢
3.3 shares
Share
17.8¢
→
23.9¢
$0.60
$3.34
$0.80
+$0.20
(+34.4%)
US imports Russian diesel by December 31?
Yes 18¢
4.4 shares
Share
61.8¢
→
18¢
$2.74
$4.43
$0.80
−$1.94
(-70.9%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Yes 9.5¢
8.4 shares
Share
16.4¢
→
9.5¢
$1.38
$8.38
$0.80
−$0.58
(-42.3%)
Will China’s CPI increase by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?
Yes 8.0¢
10 shares
Share
13.1¢
→
8.0¢
$1.31
$10.00
$0.80
−$0.52
(-39.3%)
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 4.9¢
16.2 shares
Share
11.8¢
→
4.9¢
$1.91
$16.22
$0.79
−$1.13
(-58.9%)
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Yes 18¢
4.3 shares
Share
13.4¢
→
18¢
$0.58
$4.34
$0.78
+$0.20
(+34.7%)
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?
Yes 5¢
15.3 shares
Share
14.6¢
→
5¢
$2.23
$15.25
$0.76
−$1.47
(-65.8%)
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
Yes 26.5¢
2.9 shares
Share
32.3¢
→
26.5¢
$0.93
$2.87
$0.76
−$0.17
(-17.9%)
Will "Chains of Love" from Wuthering Heights be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 3.8¢
20 shares
Share
3¢
→
3.8¢
$0.60
$20.00
$0.75
+$0.15
(+25.0%)
Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?
No 36¢
2 shares
Share
17¢
→
36¢
$0.35
$2.05
$0.74
+$0.39
(+111.8%)
Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
Yes 22¢
3.3 shares
Share
15¢
→
22¢
$0.49
$3.28
$0.72
+$0.23
(+46.7%)
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