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KimchiCapital
KimchiCapital
Joined December 2025
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Polymarket
Check on Polymarket
Total earnings
$44,995.05
1D
$449.90
7D
$1.9K
30D
$11.0K
90D
$26.4K
Total volume
$905.9K
Predictions
1,580
Positions value
$50.7K
Performance
Performance over all time
1D
1W
1M
YTD
All
Trade
+$46.1K
LP
+$967.86
Maker
+$53.10
Yield
+$132.98
Taker
+$102.74
Fees
−$2,372.96
Standings
Overall
#4,734
of 3.3M wallets
Volume
#25,265
of 3.3M wallets
Profit
#4,600
of 3.3M wallets
LP Rewards
#3,812
of 189k earners
Maker Rebates
#28,832
of 161k earners
Taker Rebates
#10,802
of 72k earners
Yield
#2,082
of 352k earners
Fees Paid
#11,838
of 1.5M payers
Positions
Activity
Comments
active
closed
Market
Avg → Now
Traded
To win
Value
Share
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 84.6¢
6.6K shares
Share
50¢
→
84.6¢
$3.3K
$6.6K
$5.6K
+$2.3K
(+69.2%)
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Yes 77¢
3.3K shares
Share
77.8¢
→
77¢
$2.6K
$3.3K
$2.6K
−$27.60
(-1.1%)
Will Democrats win Latino voters in the Texas Senate election?
Yes 99.4¢
2.5K shares
Share
85.3¢
→
99.4¢
$2.1K
$2.5K
$2.4K
+$344.28
(+16.4%)
Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms?
Yes 98.5¢
2.4K shares
Share
85.0¢
→
98.5¢
$2.0K
$2.4K
$2.4K
+$325.07
(+15.9%)
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 67¢
3.5K shares
Share
58.0¢
→
67¢
$2.0K
$3.5K
$2.3K
+$309.09
(+15.4%)
Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026?
No 78.5¢
1.8K shares
Share
71.3¢
→
78.5¢
$1.3K
$1.8K
$1.4K
+$128.41
(+10.2%)
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?
Yes 62.5¢
2.1K shares
Share
38.6¢
→
62.5¢
$826.43
$2.1K
$1.3K
+$510.15
(+61.7%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes 80.5¢
1.6K shares
Share
74.9¢
→
80.5¢
$1.2K
$1.6K
$1.3K
+$88.15
(+7.5%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Yes 63¢
1.9K shares
Share
64.4¢
→
63¢
$1.2K
$1.9K
$1.2K
−$26.16
(-2.2%)
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?
Yes 70.0¢
1.6K shares
Share
33.1¢
→
70.0¢
$545.37
$1.6K
$1.2K
+$608.81
(+111.6%)
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?
No 86¢
1.2K shares
Share
80.3¢
→
86¢
$990.06
$1.2K
$1.1K
+$70.59
(+7.1%)
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?
Yes 87.5¢
1.2K shares
Share
76.9¢
→
87.5¢
$918.48
$1.2K
$1.0K
+$126.50
(+13.8%)
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.5T?
Yes 82.4¢
1.3K shares
Share
79.4¢
→
82.4¢
$998.99
$1.3K
$1.0K
+$37.46
(+3.7%)
Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day?
Yes 85.5¢
1.2K shares
Share
77.8¢
→
85.5¢
$934.33
$1.2K
$1.0K
+$92.06
(+9.9%)
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 15.4¢
6.6K shares
Share
50¢
→
15.4¢
$3.3K
$6.6K
$1.0K
−$2.3K
(-69.2%)
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
No 70.2¢
1.4K shares
Share
56.7¢
→
70.2¢
$822.31
$1.4K
$1.0K
+$195.58
(+23.8%)
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?
Yes 98.0¢
930.6 shares
Share
87.1¢
→
98.0¢
$810.64
$930.62
$911.54
+$100.90
(+12.4%)
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?
Yes 93.5¢
913.1 shares
Share
82.1¢
→
93.5¢
$750.04
$913.13
$853.78
+$103.73
(+13.8%)
Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of November 2?
Yes 87.5¢
930 shares
Share
47.1¢
→
87.5¢
$437.78
$930.01
$813.76
+$375.98
(+85.9%)
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?
Yes 95.3¢
763.7 shares
Share
79¢
→
95.3¢
$603.30
$763.67
$727.40
+$124.10
(+20.6%)
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?
Yes 72.5¢
1.0K shares
Share
88.7¢
→
72.5¢
$886.90
$1.0K
$725.50
−$161.40
(-18.2%)
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 14?
Yes 96.8¢
738 shares
Share
93¢
→
96.8¢
$686.34
$738.00
$714.38
+$28.04
(+4.1%)
Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price?
Yes 85¢
836 shares
Share
80.8¢
→
85¢
$675.74
$836.01
$710.61
+$34.87
(+5.2%)
Will Katherine Clark be the next House Majority Leader?
Yes 93.5¢
681.4 shares
Share
86.8¢
→
93.5¢
$591.83
$681.44
$637.15
+$45.32
(+7.7%)
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be between 900,000 and 1,000,000?
No 98.3¢
636.3 shares
Share
85.0¢
→
98.3¢
$540.88
$636.33
$625.51
+$84.63
(+15.6%)
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $75 by June 30, 2027?
No 96.9¢
604.6 shares
Share
87.2¢
→
96.9¢
$527.28
$604.60
$585.56
+$58.28
(+11.1%)
Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?
No 57.0¢
928.9 shares
Share
48.4¢
→
57.0¢
$450.12
$928.93
$529.03
+$78.90
(+17.5%)
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?
No 95.0¢
548.2 shares
Share
83.4¢
→
95.0¢
$457.43
$548.22
$520.54
+$63.11
(+13.8%)
Will Democrats win young men in the midterms?
Yes 96.4¢
528.2 shares
Share
88.5¢
→
96.4¢
$467.73
$528.22
$509.20
+$41.47
(+8.9%)
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be 11,200,000 or more?
No 94¢
518.3 shares
Share
85.2¢
→
94¢
$441.61
$518.30
$487.20
+$45.59
(+10.3%)
Will Jim Jordan run for Republican House Leader?
Yes 81.5¢
576.5 shares
Share
64.5¢
→
81.5¢
$372.13
$576.54
$469.88
+$97.75
(+26.3%)
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.25T?
No 87.5¢
532.9 shares
Share
78.1¢
→
87.5¢
$416.28
$532.88
$466.27
+$49.99
(+12.0%)
Will Twice release a song in 2026?
Yes 73.6¢
631 shares
Share
68.7¢
→
73.6¢
$433.27
$630.98
$464.09
+$30.81
(+7.1%)
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $60 by June 30, 2027?
No 89.5¢
500 shares
Share
83.6¢
→
89.5¢
$418.00
$500.00
$447.50
+$29.50
(+7.1%)
Will SB Energy not IPO before January 2027?
Yes 86.1¢
470.3 shares
Share
62.5¢
→
86.1¢
$294.15
$470.28
$404.68
+$110.53
(+37.6%)
Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?
Yes 84.5¢
475.5 shares
Share
57.1¢
→
84.5¢
$271.54
$475.51
$401.81
+$130.27
(+48.0%)
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
Yes 94.0¢
418.1 shares
Share
44.7¢
→
94.0¢
$186.73
$418.09
$393.21
+$206.48
(+110.6%)
Will Republicans win 16–17% of the Black vote?
No 97.3¢
387 shares
Share
90.4¢
→
97.3¢
$350.03
$387.00
$376.55
+$26.52
(+7.6%)
Will Republicans win white voters in the Texas Senate election?
Yes 97.7¢
368.5 shares
Share
92.2¢
→
97.7¢
$339.93
$368.53
$360.05
+$20.13
(+5.9%)
Will Republicans win Latino voters in the Texas Senate election?
No 99.3¢
361.8 shares
Share
76.7¢
→
99.3¢
$277.35
$361.76
$359.23
+$81.88
(+29.5%)
Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?
No 47¢
762.7 shares
Share
21.6¢
→
47¢
$164.36
$762.67
$358.45
+$194.10
(+118.1%)
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026?
Yes 95.7¢
340.3 shares
Share
68.5¢
→
95.7¢
$233.14
$340.34
$325.54
+$92.39
(+39.6%)
Will OpenRouter process at least 775T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22?
Yes 92¢
349.9 shares
Share
44.7¢
→
92¢
$156.28
$349.86
$321.87
+$165.60
(+106.0%)
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?
Yes 17.5¢
1.6K shares
Share
33¢
→
17.5¢
$544.55
$1.6K
$288.75
−$255.80
(-47.0%)
Will Democrats win white women in the midterms?
Yes 94.5¢
300 shares
Share
91.1¢
→
94.5¢
$273.29
$300.00
$283.50
+$10.21
(+3.7%)
Muse Charm released by December 31, 2026?
Yes 87¢
321.7 shares
Share
63.6¢
→
87¢
$204.74
$321.73
$279.91
+$75.17
(+36.7%)
Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?
No 78.5¢
356.2 shares
Share
84.6¢
→
78.5¢
$301.48
$356.20
$279.44
−$22.04
(-7.3%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?
No 87¢
319.4 shares
Share
48.3¢
→
87¢
$154.29
$319.41
$277.89
+$123.59
(+80.1%)
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?
No 85¢
320 shares
Share
71.3¢
→
85¢
$228.20
$320.00
$272.00
+$43.80
(+19.2%)
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?
No 50.5¢
442.9 shares
Share
59.4¢
→
50.5¢
$263.00
$442.86
$223.64
−$39.36
(-15.0%)
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
Yes 23.5¢
949.8 shares
Share
54.8¢
→
23.5¢
$520.52
$949.81
$223.21
−$297.32
(-57.1%)
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 9,200,000 and 9,600,000?
No 92.5¢
235.7 shares
Share
93.0¢
→
92.5¢
$219.16
$235.69
$218.13
−$1.02
(-0.5%)
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?
Yes 71.5¢
300 shares
Share
69¢
→
71.5¢
$207.00
$300.00
$214.50
+$7.50
(+3.6%)
Muse Charm released by December 15, 2026?
Yes 80.5¢
246.7 shares
Share
41.5¢
→
80.5¢
$102.32
$246.72
$198.61
+$96.29
(+94.1%)
Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026?
Yes 22.5¢
839 shares
Share
27.5¢
→
22.5¢
$230.90
$839.00
$188.78
−$42.12
(-18.2%)
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?
Yes 89¢
200 shares
Share
70¢
→
89¢
$140.00
$200.00
$178.00
+$38.00
(+27.1%)
Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
Yes 92.5¢
190.2 shares
Share
45.4¢
→
92.5¢
$86.32
$190.19
$175.93
+$89.60
(+103.8%)
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?
Yes 86¢
200 shares
Share
0.5¢
→
86¢
$1.10
$200.00
$172.00
+$170.90
(+15566.3%)
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Yes 84.5¢
190 shares
Share
57.6¢
→
84.5¢
$109.46
$189.99
$160.54
+$51.08
(+46.7%)
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be 5,100,000 or more?
No 97.3¢
160 shares
Share
88.8¢
→
97.3¢
$142.08
$160.00
$155.68
+$13.60
(+9.6%)
Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?
Yes 97.0¢
160 shares
Share
94.0¢
→
97.0¢
$150.39
$159.99
$155.11
+$4.72
(+3.1%)
Will Mike Johnson be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?
No 85.5¢
180 shares
Share
74.9¢
→
85.5¢
$134.80
$180.00
$153.90
+$19.10
(+14.2%)
Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 30, 2026?
Yes 95.5¢
160 shares
Share
76.2¢
→
95.5¢
$122.00
$160.00
$152.88
+$30.88
(+25.3%)
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?
No 84¢
165.3 shares
Share
69.7¢
→
84¢
$115.26
$165.32
$138.86
+$23.60
(+20.5%)
Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?
No 59¢
226.7 shares
Share
28.9¢
→
59¢
$65.45
$226.65
$133.72
+$68.27
(+104.3%)
Gemini Carbon released by November 30, 2026?
Yes 96.5¢
137.5 shares
Share
83.6¢
→
96.5¢
$114.90
$137.50
$132.76
+$17.86
(+15.5%)
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland be between 1,850,000 and 2,000,000?
No 94¢
140 shares
Share
82¢
→
94¢
$114.80
$140.00
$131.60
+$16.80
(+14.6%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Yes 39.4¢
327.9 shares
Share
81.9¢
→
39.4¢
$268.62
$327.90
$129.03
−$139.59
(-52.0%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?
No 86.5¢
140 shares
Share
29.0¢
→
86.5¢
$40.60
$140.00
$121.10
+$80.50
(+198.3%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?
No 85.5¢
140 shares
Share
27.7¢
→
85.5¢
$38.80
$140.00
$119.70
+$80.90
(+208.5%)
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 30 and December 6, 2026?
No 96.4¢
122 shares
Share
76.3¢
→
96.4¢
$93.11
$121.99
$117.54
+$24.43
(+26.2%)
Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
Yes 63.5¢
181 shares
Share
52.7¢
→
63.5¢
$95.47
$181.01
$114.94
+$19.47
(+20.4%)
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026?
Yes 79.5¢
138.8 shares
Share
78¢
→
79.5¢
$108.25
$138.78
$110.33
+$2.08
(+1.9%)
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?
No 69.5¢
157.1 shares
Share
35.7¢
→
69.5¢
$56.05
$157.09
$109.18
+$53.13
(+94.8%)
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?
No 41.1¢
258 shares
Share
28.0¢
→
41.1¢
$72.28
$258.02
$106.05
+$33.77
(+46.7%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Yes 70.5¢
150 shares
Share
56.3¢
→
70.5¢
$84.50
$150.00
$105.75
+$21.25
(+25.1%)
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,200,000 and 4,350,000?
No 98.5¢
106.1 shares
Share
91.0¢
→
98.5¢
$96.61
$106.10
$104.46
+$7.84
(+8.1%)
Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of November 2?
No 97.0¢
106 shares
Share
88.5¢
→
97.0¢
$93.82
$106.00
$102.87
+$9.05
(+9.6%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No 85.5¢
120 shares
Share
79¢
→
85.5¢
$94.80
$120.00
$102.60
+$7.80
(+8.2%)
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026?
Yes 31¢
323.1 shares
Share
57.6¢
→
31¢
$186.22
$323.07
$100.15
−$86.07
(-46.2%)
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Yes 28.5¢
336.8 shares
Share
32.3¢
→
28.5¢
$108.94
$336.82
$95.99
−$12.95
(-11.9%)
Will Democrats win older women in the midterms?
Yes 95¢
99.4 shares
Share
82.0¢
→
95¢
$81.48
$99.36
$94.39
+$12.92
(+15.9%)
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?
Yes 74.5¢
120 shares
Share
54.8¢
→
74.5¢
$65.80
$120.00
$89.40
+$23.60
(+35.9%)
Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026?
Yes 19.5¢
456.4 shares
Share
11.0¢
→
19.5¢
$50.06
$456.43
$89.00
+$38.95
(+77.8%)
Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by December 31, 2026?
Yes 89¢
98.5 shares
Share
74.4¢
→
89¢
$73.28
$98.51
$87.67
+$14.39
(+19.6%)
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?
Yes 45.5¢
189.5 shares
Share
79¢
→
45.5¢
$149.67
$189.46
$86.20
−$63.47
(-42.4%)
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms run 0 to 3 points behind Jon Ossoff?
No 99¢
82.5 shares
Share
83.0¢
→
99¢
$68.49
$82.52
$81.69
+$13.20
(+19.3%)
Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?
No 61.5¢
132.6 shares
Share
31.4¢
→
61.5¢
$41.63
$132.59
$81.54
+$39.91
(+95.9%)
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T?
Yes 57.0¢
126.3 shares
Share
72.8¢
→
57.0¢
$92.02
$126.34
$72.01
−$20.01
(-21.7%)
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Yes 44¢
162.1 shares
Share
14.5¢
→
44¢
$23.48
$162.13
$71.34
+$47.86
(+203.8%)
Moonshot publishes Kimi K3.1 Pro weights by November 4?
Yes 94¢
73 shares
Share
78.3¢
→
94¢
$57.14
$73.00
$68.62
+$11.48
(+20.1%)
Closer Senate Race: South Dakota or New Mexico?
South Dakota 51¢
132.7 shares
Share
80.0¢
→
51¢
$106.09
$132.66
$67.66
−$38.44
(-36.2%)
Will the Maine 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
Yes 48.5¢
122 shares
Share
48.1¢
→
48.5¢
$58.73
$122.00
$59.17
+$0.44
(+0.7%)
Will Republicans win 1 Senate and Governor election in states won by Kamala?
No 95¢
60 shares
Share
80.9¢
→
95¢
$48.54
$60.00
$57.00
+$8.46
(+17.4%)
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by November 30, 2026?
Yes 23.4¢
230.3 shares
Share
16.7¢
→
23.4¢
$38.36
$230.30
$53.89
+$15.53
(+40.5%)
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.75T?
No 89.6¢
60 shares
Share
81¢
→
89.6¢
$48.60
$60.00
$53.79
+$5.19
(+10.7%)
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?
Yes 44.5¢
114.8 shares
Share
68.4¢
→
44.5¢
$78.53
$114.82
$51.09
−$27.44
(-34.9%)
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S?
Yes 12¢
412.2 shares
Share
22.7¢
→
12¢
$93.50
$412.23
$49.47
−$44.04
(-47.1%)
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by December 31?
No 91.5¢
53.5 shares
Share
52.5¢
→
91.5¢
$28.12
$53.51
$48.96
+$20.84
(+74.1%)
Muse Charm released by November 15, 2026?
No 85.5¢
55 shares
Share
78.1¢
→
85.5¢
$42.96
$55.01
$47.03
+$4.08
(+9.5%)
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