Joined August 2025
Total earnings
−$89,000.00
1D
−$759.93
7D
$625.90
30D
−$21.0K
90D
−$59.8K
Total volume
$10.71M
Predictions
4,012
Positions value
$185.4K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade−$100.9K
LP+$11.1K
Maker+$2.0K
Yield+$250.47
Taker+$13.63
Fees−$1.7K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
No 97.5¢13.1K shares
97.5¢→98.8¢
$12.8K
$13.1K
$12.9K
+$160.09 (+1.3%)
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 90.1¢13.0K shares
90.1¢→91.5¢
$11.7K
$13.0K
$11.9K
+$174.77 (+1.5%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 98.9¢11.7K shares
98.9¢→99.3¢
$11.5K
$11.7K
$11.6K
+$42.66 (+0.4%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 70.8¢13.4K shares
70.8¢→55.5¢
$9.5K
$13.4K
$7.5K
−$2.1K (-21.7%)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No 92.9¢6.6K shares
92.9¢→93.8¢
$6.1K
$6.6K
$6.2K
+$55.77 (+0.9%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 85.8¢4.7K shares
85.8¢→84.5¢
$4.1K
$4.7K
$4.0K
−$63.25 (-1.6%)
Iran leadership change by July 31?
No 94.8¢3.6K shares
94.8¢→98.0¢
$3.4K
$3.6K
$3.5K
+$117.06 (+3.4%)
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No 90.6¢3.4K shares
90.6¢→91.5¢
$3.1K
$3.4K
$3.1K
+$31.24 (+1.0%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?
No 98.1¢3.0K shares
98.1¢→99.3¢
$3.0K
$3.0K
$3.0K
+$34.72 (+1.2%)
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
No 98.0¢2.9K shares
98.0¢→98.7¢
$2.8K
$2.9K
$2.8K
+$19.74 (+0.7%)
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?
No 98.0¢2.9K shares
98.0¢→97.5¢
$2.9K
$2.9K
$2.8K
−$17.51 (-0.6%)
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
No 95.6¢2.3K shares
95.6¢→97.4¢
$2.2K
$2.3K
$2.3K
+$42.64 (+1.9%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 80.9¢2.9K shares
80.9¢→78.1¢
$2.3K
$2.9K
$2.3K
−$80.39 (-3.4%)
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
No 86.9¢3.0K shares
86.9¢→72.4¢
$2.6K
$3.0K
$2.2K
−$437.48 (-16.7%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
No 95.8¢2.2K shares
95.8¢→95.3¢
$2.1K
$2.2K
$2.1K
−$11.42 (-0.5%)
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?
No 98.4¢2.0K shares
98.4¢→98.9¢
$2.0K
$2.0K
$2.0K
+$10.10 (+0.5%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?
No 90.1¢2.0K shares
90.1¢→90¢
$1.8K
$2.0K
$1.8K
−$1.35 (-0.1%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?
Yes 99.5¢1.7K shares
99.5¢→99.8¢
$1.7K
$1.7K
$1.7K
+$4.56 (+0.3%)
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
No 98.3¢1.7K shares
98.3¢→99.4¢
$1.7K
$1.7K
$1.7K
+$19.06 (+1.2%)
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Yes 89.4¢1.8K shares
89.4¢→92¢
$1.6K
$1.8K
$1.6K
+$45.89 (+2.9%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No 90.8¢1.8K shares
90.8¢→90.5¢
$1.6K
$1.8K
$1.6K
−$5.19 (-0.3%)
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by July 31, 2026?
No 94.9¢1.6K shares
94.9¢→98.0¢
$1.6K
$1.6K
$1.6K
+$51.47 (+3.3%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 76¢2.0K shares
76¢→76.5¢
$1.5K
$2.0K
$1.5K
+$10.00 (+0.7%)
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 83.3¢1.8K shares
83.3¢→85.5¢
$1.5K
$1.8K
$1.5K
+$38.76 (+2.6%)
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
No 89.1¢1.7K shares
89.1¢→90.3¢
$1.5K
$1.7K
$1.5K
+$19.27 (+1.3%)
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Yes 43.2¢3.5K shares
43.2¢→43.5¢
$1.5K
$3.5K
$1.5K
+$9.18 (+0.6%)
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?
No 96.2¢1.3K shares
96.2¢→96.0¢
$1.3K
$1.3K
$1.3K
−$3.42 (-0.3%)
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?
No 92.3¢1.3K shares
92.3¢→91¢
$1.2K
$1.3K
$1.2K
−$16.98 (-1.4%)
Trump out as President before 2027?
No 92.8¢1.2K shares
92.8¢→93.5¢
$1.1K
$1.2K
$1.2K
+$8.40 (+0.7%)
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?
No 96.2¢1.2K shares
96.2¢→96.2¢
$1.2K
$1.2K
$1.2K
−$0.10 (-0.0%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?
Yes 99.8¢1.1K shares
99.8¢→100.0¢
$1.1K
$1.1K
$1.1K
+$1.78 (+0.2%)
Iran leadership change by December 31?
No 77.8¢1.3K shares
77.8¢→76.5¢
$1.0K
$1.3K
$1.0K
−$17.52 (-1.7%)
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No 87.1¢1.1K shares
87.1¢→87.5¢
$923.10
$1.1K
$927.50
+$4.40 (+0.5%)
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
No 94¢1.0K shares
94¢→92.3¢
$940.00
$1.0K
$922.50
−$17.50 (-1.9%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?
No 95¢893.4 shares
95¢→98.3¢
$848.71
$893.38
$877.75
+$29.03 (+3.4%)
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
No 77.3¢960 shares
77.3¢→87.5¢
$742.00
$960.00
$840.00
+$98.00 (+13.2%)
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?
No 95.3¢856 shares
95.3¢→97.7¢
$816.15
$856.03
$835.91
+$19.76 (+2.4%)
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
No 67.0¢939.9 shares
67.0¢→88.5¢
$629.29
$939.88
$831.79
+$202.51 (+32.2%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
No 97.4¢835.1 shares
97.4¢→98.2¢
$813.14
$835.12
$819.67
+$6.53 (+0.8%)
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
No 98.9¢812 shares
98.9¢→99.3¢
$802.79
$812.01
$805.92
+$3.13 (+0.4%)
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
No 88.1¢870 shares
88.1¢→90.5¢
$766.54
$870.00
$787.35
+$20.81 (+2.7%)
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?
No 97.7¢805.1 shares
97.7¢→97.7¢
$786.57
$805.10
$786.58
+$0.01 (+0.0%)
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No 93.2¢841.9 shares
93.2¢→93.2¢
$784.86
$841.86
$784.19
−$0.66 (-0.1%)
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
No 95.8¢799.7 shares
95.8¢→97.9¢
$766.24
$799.71
$782.92
+$16.67 (+2.2%)
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
Yes 86.8¢820.1 shares
86.8¢→94.7¢
$712.15
$820.07
$776.61
+$64.46 (+9.1%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
No 95.9¢800 shares
95.9¢→96.7¢
$767.21
$800.01
$773.61
+$6.40 (+0.8%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
No 87.0¢878.8 shares
87.0¢→86.5¢
$764.89
$878.81
$760.17
−$4.72 (-0.6%)
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?
No 96.5¢754.2 shares
96.5¢→98.5¢
$728.23
$754.23
$742.91
+$14.68 (+2.0%)
Iran leadership change by August 31?
No 88¢799.7 shares
88¢→92.5¢
$703.72
$799.68
$739.71
+$35.99 (+5.1%)
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
No 90¢830 shares
90¢→88¢
$747.00
$830.00
$730.40
−$16.60 (-2.2%)
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?
Yes 87.6¢732.6 shares
87.6¢→97.2¢
$641.72
$732.55
$711.68
+$69.96 (+10.9%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
No 80.2¢816.2 shares
80.2¢→85.5¢
$654.28
$816.15
$697.81
+$43.53 (+6.7%)
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
No 52.9¢1.3K shares
52.9¢→53¢
$676.70
$1.3K
$678.40
+$1.70 (+0.3%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
No 87.6¢773.8 shares
87.6¢→87.5¢
$678.06
$773.75
$677.04
−$1.02 (-0.2%)
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
No 93.0¢681 shares
93.0¢→99.3¢
$633.04
$680.98
$676.21
+$43.17 (+6.8%)
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
No 87.4¢826.4 shares
87.4¢→80.4¢
$722.45
$826.42
$664.44
−$58.01 (-8.0%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
No 76.8¢769.3 shares
76.8¢→81.5¢
$590.78
$769.26
$626.87
+$36.08 (+6.1%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
No 94.9¢650 shares
94.9¢→95.5¢
$616.95
$650.00
$620.43
+$3.48 (+0.6%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 93.8¢880.5 shares
93.8¢→68.3¢
$826.34
$880.45
$601.35
−$224.99 (-27.2%)
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
No 95.4¢581 shares
95.4¢→96.5¢
$554.12
$581.00
$560.67
+$6.55 (+1.2%)
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?
No 77.3¢621.6 shares
77.3¢→90¢
$480.82
$621.64
$559.48
+$78.66 (+16.4%)
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
Yes 41.3¢1.7K shares
41.3¢→31.5¢
$713.85
$1.7K
$544.93
−$168.92 (-23.7%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?
No 93.7¢583.4 shares
93.7¢→92.5¢
$546.70
$583.37
$539.62
−$7.08 (-1.3%)
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?
No 90.9¢566.1 shares
90.9¢→94.5¢
$514.83
$566.12
$534.98
+$20.15 (+3.9%)
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
No 82.8¢668.4 shares
82.8¢→79.5¢
$553.36
$668.35
$531.34
−$22.02 (-4.0%)
Iran leadership change by September 30?
No 88.8¢600 shares
88.8¢→88¢
$532.99
$599.99
$527.99
−$5.00 (-0.9%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 84.9¢658.1 shares
84.9¢→78.5¢
$558.83
$658.12
$516.96
−$41.87 (-7.5%)
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
No 89.9¢577.4 shares
89.9¢→88.5¢
$519.17
$577.35
$510.95
−$8.22 (-1.6%)
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?
No 97.7¢511.8 shares
97.7¢→98.3¢
$499.81
$511.77
$503.07
+$3.25 (+0.7%)
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
No 98.0¢491 shares
98.0¢→99.5¢
$481.42
$490.98
$488.28
+$6.86 (+1.4%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in July?
No 96.7¢472 shares
96.7¢→99.9¢
$456.42
$472.00
$471.53
+$15.10 (+3.3%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
Yes 68.7¢800 shares
68.7¢→58.5¢
$549.58
$800.00
$468.00
−$81.58 (-14.8%)
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Yes 7.7¢6.8K shares
7.7¢→6.8¢
$521.04
$6.8K
$462.25
−$58.79 (-11.3%)
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
No 87.8¢511.7 shares
87.8¢→88.5¢
$449.35
$511.68
$452.84
+$3.49 (+0.8%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 28.0¢2.7K shares
28.0¢→16.5¢
$755.98
$2.7K
$445.49
−$310.49 (-41.1%)
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
No 91.4¢475.8 shares
91.4¢→93.5¢
$434.98
$475.79
$444.86
+$9.88 (+2.3%)
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?
No 82.9¢488.6 shares
82.9¢→91¢
$405.15
$488.56
$444.59
+$39.44 (+9.7%)
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 55.6¢775 shares
55.6¢→56.5¢
$431.18
$775.00
$437.80
+$6.61 (+1.5%)
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
No 96.8¢442.1 shares
96.8¢→98.8¢
$427.79
$442.10
$436.57
+$8.78 (+2.1%)
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
No 93.7¢446 shares
93.7¢→97.5¢
$417.73
$446.04
$435.11
+$17.39 (+4.2%)
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
No 93.0¢470 shares
93.0¢→92.5¢
$437.11
$470.01
$434.76
−$2.35 (-0.5%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 84.9¢541.9 shares
84.9¢→80.2¢
$459.85
$541.92
$434.35
−$25.50 (-5.5%)
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
No 86¢500 shares
86¢→86¢
$430.00
$500.00
$430.00
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?
No 98.9¢421.4 shares
98.9¢→99.1¢
$416.93
$421.36
$417.57
+$0.64 (+0.2%)
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?
No 84.1¢503.6 shares
84.1¢→82.5¢
$423.53
$503.63
$415.49
−$8.03 (-1.9%)
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
No 89.5¢450 shares
89.5¢→91.3¢
$402.72
$450.00
$410.63
+$7.91 (+2.0%)
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?
No 83.9¢449.3 shares
83.9¢→89¢
$377.11
$449.25
$399.84
+$22.72 (+6.0%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
Yes 98.4¢400 shares
98.4¢→99.6¢
$393.60
$400.00
$398.40
+$4.80 (+1.2%)
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
No 97.0¢400 shares
97.0¢→96.7¢
$388.19
$399.99
$386.59
−$1.60 (-0.4%)
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
No 91.3¢420 shares
91.3¢→89¢
$383.40
$420.00
$373.80
−$9.60 (-2.5%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
No 91.2¢390 shares
91.2¢→93.5¢
$355.67
$389.99
$364.64
+$8.97 (+2.5%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
No 54.0¢805 shares
54.0¢→44¢
$434.97
$805.00
$354.20
−$80.77 (-18.6%)
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Yes 40.0¢1.2K shares
40.0¢→29.0¢
$487.58
$1.2K
$353.79
−$133.79 (-27.4%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 58.8¢566 shares
58.8¢→62.5¢
$332.96
$566.00
$353.75
+$20.79 (+6.2%)
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in July?
No 71.5¢448.3 shares
71.5¢→78.5¢
$320.78
$448.33
$351.94
+$31.16 (+9.7%)
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
No 86.4¢391.1 shares
86.4¢→88.5¢
$337.95
$391.10
$346.12
+$8.17 (+2.4%)
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?
No 78¢393 shares
78¢→87.5¢
$306.55
$393.02
$343.89
+$37.34 (+12.2%)
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
No 91.3¢350.1 shares
91.3¢→97.0¢
$319.79
$350.15
$339.82
+$20.03 (+6.3%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 63.5¢510 shares
63.5¢→66.5¢
$323.99
$509.98
$339.14
+$15.15 (+4.7%)
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
No 90.3¢376.3 shares
90.3¢→90¢
$339.79
$376.31
$338.67
−$1.12 (-0.3%)