ImJustKen

Joined January 2022

Flex cardPolymarket

Total earnings

$4,528,442.30

1D

$40.8K

7D

$143.1K

30D

−$59.7K

90D

$383.4K

Total volume

$493.79M

Predictions

9,768

Positions value

$723.0K

PerformancePerformance over all time

Trade+$3.32M

LP+$1.20M

Maker+$4.3K

Yield+$2.8K

Taker+$289.43

Fees−$5.9K

of 3.1M wallets

of 3.1M wallets

of 3.1M wallets

of 179k earners

of 142k earners

of 336k earners

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 73.7¢158.2K shares

73.7¢→84.5¢

+$17.0K (+14.6%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?

Yes 44.9¢75.1K shares

44.9¢→83.5¢

+$29.0K (+85.8%)

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

No 47.2¢52.4K shares

47.2¢→88.5¢

+$21.6K (+87.3%)

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 4.9¢45.0K shares

+$34.8K (+1563.4%)

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

No 80.5¢30.0K shares

80.5¢→96.2¢

+$4.7K (+19.4%)

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

No 90.1¢30.9K shares

90.1¢→92.5¢

+$747.14 (+2.7%)

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

No 45.4¢33.0K shares

45.4¢→83.5¢

+$12.6K (+83.9%)

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 3.8¢296.6K shares

+$3.0K (+26.5%)

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

No 32.7¢28.8K shares

32.7¢→40.9¢

+$2.4K (+25.1%)

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

No 74.5¢14.9K shares

74.5¢→74.5¢

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

No 66.5¢12.2K shares

66.5¢→82.5¢

+$1.9K (+24.0%)

Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 34.2¢25.6K shares

34.2¢→37.5¢

+$841.46 (+9.6%)

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 18.2¢45.8K shares

18.2¢→20.9¢

+$1.3K (+15.4%)

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 3.5¢61.5K shares

+$6.9K (+323.1%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 81.0¢9.4K shares

81.0¢→94.5¢

+$1.3K (+16.7%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 43.2¢16.2K shares

43.2¢→54.5¢

+$1.8K (+26.3%)

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Yes 49.0¢13.9K shares

49.0¢→62.5¢

+$1.9K (+27.5%)

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 9.6¢61.6K shares

+$2.2K (+36.6%)

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

No 39.3¢8.1K shares

39.3¢→97.4¢

+$4.7K (+148.0%)

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 20.1¢117.4K shares

−$16.0K (-67.7%)

Iran Nuke before 2027?

No 85.7¢7.7K shares

85.7¢→94.3¢

+$661.75 (+10.1%)

Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?

No 36.7¢10.4K shares

+$2.8K (+74.5%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?

Yes 65¢7.5K shares

+$1.6K (+33.1%)

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 85.1¢7.5K shares

−$82.50 (-1.3%)

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.7¢590.2K shares

+$885.31 (+21.4%)

Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

No 68.7¢6.4K shares

68.7¢→71.5¢

+$177.72 (+4.0%)

Stripe IPO before 2027?

No 83.4¢4.2K shares

83.4¢→98.8¢

+$640.52 (+18.5%)

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?

Yes 39.8¢10.0K shares

+$120.26 (+3.0%)

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 9¢50.0K shares

−$750.00 (-16.7%)

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 90.4¢4.0K shares

90.4¢→91.5¢

+$44.62 (+1.2%)

No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027

Yes 11.9¢14.6K shares

+$1.9K (+109.4%)

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

No 7.0¢49.5K shares

−$18.11 (-0.5%)

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.6¢63.8K shares

+$2.3K (+221.4%)

Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?

No 77¢4.2K shares

+$63.10 (+1.9%)

New pandemic in 2026?

No 83.7¢3.4K shares

83.7¢→93.5¢

+$331.08 (+11.7%)

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 5.2¢34.4K shares

+$1.4K (+75.6%)

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.5¢270.6K shares

−$1.0K (-24.4%)

Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

No 50¢6.0K shares

+$30.02 (+1.0%)

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

Yes 87¢5.3K shares

−$1.6K (-35.1%)

Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?

Yes 38.8¢5.4K shares

38.8¢→53.5¢

+$800.37 (+37.8%)

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.8¢15.8K shares

+$2.8K (+2236.2%)

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

No 84.5¢3.1K shares

84.5¢→92.7¢

+$255.03 (+9.7%)

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.6¢101.4K shares

−$91.07 (-3.4%)

Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?

No 89.6¢2.8K shares

+$94.03 (+3.8%)

No one announced as next James Bond?

No 79.5¢3.1K shares

79.5¢→79.2¢

−$10.11 (-0.4%)

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

No 74.1¢2.6K shares

74.1¢→95.6¢

+$549.25 (+29.0%)

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

No 89.8¢2.5K shares

89.8¢→97.7¢

+$194.94 (+8.8%)

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?

No 83.0¢2.6K shares

83.0¢→93.5¢

+$268.28 (+12.7%)

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

No 27.3¢2.6K shares

27.3¢→90.8¢

+$1.6K (+232.7%)

Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?

Yes 87.6¢2.5K shares

+$134.18 (+6.2%)

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Yes 43¢7.5K shares

−$937.50 (-29.1%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Yes 22¢10.0K shares

+$49.85 (+2.3%)

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

No 67.1¢2.6K shares

67.1¢→84.5¢

+$445.39 (+26.0%)

Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?

Yes 91.2¢2.0K shares

+$76.07 (+4.1%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?

Yes 60¢2.0K shares

+$604.63 (+49.2%)

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?

Yes 36.5¢2.0K shares

+$1.1K (+154.9%)

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

No 81.8¢3.2K shares

81.8¢→56.0¢

−$829.38 (-31.5%)

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.6¢70.1K shares

+$1.3K (+291.6%)

Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?

Yes 91.3¢1.8K shares

+$68.98 (+4.1%)

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Yes 9.0¢33.4K shares

−$1.3K (-41.8%)

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

No 82.5¢1.9K shares

82.5¢→90.5¢

+$153.45 (+9.6%)

Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026?

Yes 93.6¢1.8K shares

93.6¢→93.9¢

Tim Walz in jail by December 31?

No 92¢1.7K shares

+$42.46 (+2.7%)

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

No 89.3¢1.7K shares

89.3¢→91.5¢

+$35.66 (+2.4%)

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

No 91¢1.6K shares

+$93.30 (+6.6%)

Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?

No 90.2¢1.7K shares

90.2¢→89.5¢

−$11.66 (-0.8%)

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?

No 83¢1.6K shares

+$194.37 (+15.1%)

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 25.8¢15.5K shares

−$2.5K (-63.1%)

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?

No 88¢1.5K shares

+$150.75 (+11.4%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?

Yes 55.0¢1.7K shares

55.0¢→87.5¢

+$544.19 (+59.1%)

Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?

No 89.9¢1.7K shares

89.9¢→86.8¢

−$51.84 (-3.5%)

Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?

No 82.9¢1.6K shares

82.9¢→92.5¢

+$149.13 (+11.6%)

Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?

Yes 91.1¢1.7K shares

91.1¢→85.5¢

−$92.06 (-6.1%)

Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

No 89¢1.6K shares

+$23.33 (+1.7%)

Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?

No 84¢1.6K shares

+$85.52 (+6.5%)

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?

Yes 67.2¢1.7K shares

67.2¢→81.5¢

+$239.68 (+21.2%)

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

No 85¢1.5K shares

+$81.04 (+6.5%)

Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

No 70.7¢1.7K shares

70.7¢→79.5¢

+$147.08 (+12.5%)

Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Yes 70.7¢1.7K shares

70.7¢→78.5¢

+$130.43 (+11.1%)

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

No 76¢1.6K shares

+$116.62 (+9.9%)

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?

Yes 7.4¢123.1K shares

−$7.8K (-85.8%)

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 66.2¢1.5K shares

66.2¢→83.5¢

+$265.44 (+26.2%)

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Yes 78.0¢2.2K shares

78.0¢→56.0¢

−$488.39 (-28.2%)

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

No 56.7¢1.9K shares

56.7¢→63.5¢

+$130.73 (+11.9%)

Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?

No 87.1¢1.4K shares

87.1¢→85.2¢

−$27.84 (-2.2%)

Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?

No 72.6¢1.7K shares

72.6¢→71.5¢

−$18.43 (-1.5%)

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.7¢89.2K shares

+$469.65 (+72.8%)

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?

No 93¢1.6K shares

−$341.32 (-23.6%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

No 40¢2.0K shares

+$305.26 (+38.7%)

Tom Lee charged by December 31?

No 87.1¢1.1K shares

87.1¢→94.5¢

+$83.78 (+8.5%)

Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?

No 61.0¢1.3K shares

+$269.81 (+34.5%)

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Yes 70.3¢1.7K shares

70.3¢→60.5¢

−$163.72 (-14.0%)

Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?

Yes 92.0¢1.1K shares

92.0¢→93.2¢

+$12.05 (+1.2%)

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

No 57.6¢2.8K shares

−$622.26 (-39.2%)

Will the Democrats win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?

No 92.6¢1.0K shares

92.6¢→91.2¢

−$14.42 (-1.5%)

Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?

Yes 93.1¢1.0K shares

93.1¢→91.5¢

−$17.06 (-1.8%)

Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?

No 89.0¢1.1K shares

89.0¢→88.9¢

−$0.81 (-0.1%)

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

No 89¢1.0K shares

+$45.10 (+5.1%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 57.7¢1.3K shares

57.7¢→73.5¢

+$200.63 (+27.4%)

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?

Yes 26.5¢5.0K shares

26.5¢→18.5¢

−$399.99 (-30.2%)