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Normal-Goose
Joined September 2022
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Polymarket
Check on Polymarket
Total earnings
$43,370.26
1D
−$1.5K
7D
−$1.7K
30D
−$2.6K
90D
$1.9K
Total volume
$11.93M
Predictions
30,039
Positions value
$12.8K
Performance
Performance over all time
1D
1W
1M
YTD
All
Trade
+$40.1K
LP
+$3.77
Maker
+$97.41
Yield
+$52.62
Referral
+$4,425.79
Fees
−$1,264.32
Standings
Overall
#4,424
of 3.3M wallets
Volume
#2,379
of 3.3M wallets
Profit
#4,652
of 3.3M wallets
LP Rewards
#79,870
of 189k earners
Maker Rebates
#20,711
of 161k earners
Referrals
#349
of 10k earners
Yield
#3,698
of 352k earners
Fees Paid
#20,166
of 1.5M payers
Positions
Activity
Comments
active
closed
Market
Avg → Now
Traded
To win
Value
Share
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 88.5¢
2.3K shares
Share
27.5¢
→
88.5¢
$642.39
$2.3K
$2.1K
+$1.4K
(+221.8%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 92.5¢
1.3K shares
Share
37.6¢
→
92.5¢
$474.08
$1.3K
$1.2K
+$692.34
(+146.0%)
Celonis IPO before 2027?
No 92.6¢
820 shares
Share
64.1¢
→
92.6¢
$525.67
$820.00
$759.32
+$233.65
(+44.4%)
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Yes 99.6¢
630 shares
Share
3.9¢
→
99.6¢
$24.85
$630.00
$627.48
+$602.63
(+2424.8%)
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
No 94.5¢
632.2 shares
Share
34.1¢
→
94.5¢
$215.80
$632.24
$597.47
+$381.67
(+176.9%)
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
No 95.5¢
602 shares
Share
69.2¢
→
95.5¢
$416.67
$602.00
$574.91
+$158.24
(+38.0%)
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
No 99.8¢
488 shares
Share
52.1¢
→
99.8¢
$254.08
$488.00
$486.78
+$232.70
(+91.6%)
Will there be between 90m and 95m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?
No 99.8¢
486 shares
Share
94.1¢
→
99.8¢
$457.16
$486.00
$485.03
+$27.87
(+6.1%)
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?
No 82.5¢
466 shares
Share
62.6¢
→
82.5¢
$291.87
$466.00
$384.45
+$92.58
(+31.7%)
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Yes 21¢
1.6K shares
Share
37.6¢
→
21¢
$587.38
$1.6K
$327.60
−$259.78
(-44.2%)
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
No 85.2¢
366 shares
Share
91.8¢
→
85.2¢
$336.16
$366.00
$311.65
−$24.52
(-7.3%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-08 House seat?
No 99.3¢
275 shares
Share
87.8¢
→
99.3¢
$241.50
$275.00
$272.94
+$31.44
(+13.0%)
Will the Republican Party win the CA-29 House seat?
No 98.2¢
255 shares
Share
92¢
→
98.2¢
$234.60
$255.00
$250.28
+$15.68
(+6.7%)
Will the Republican Party win the CA-07 House seat?
No 99.4¢
239 shares
Share
91.2¢
→
99.4¢
$217.88
$239.00
$237.45
+$19.57
(+9.0%)
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-05 House seat?
No 94.2¢
245 shares
Share
92¢
→
94.2¢
$225.40
$245.00
$230.79
+$5.39
(+2.4%)
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?
Yes 100.0¢
203 shares
Share
47.4¢
→
100.0¢
$96.31
$202.96
$202.86
+$106.55
(+110.6%)
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?
No 100.0¢
200.8 shares
Share
86.9¢
→
100.0¢
$174.61
$200.85
$200.75
+$26.13
(+15.0%)
Will GCR appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
No 97.2¢
205 shares
Share
80.1¢
→
97.2¢
$164.20
$205.00
$199.16
+$34.96
(+21.3%)
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?
Yes 96.0¢
195 shares
Share
59.0¢
→
96.0¢
$114.98
$195.00
$187.10
+$72.12
(+62.7%)
Will there be between 100m and 105m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?
No 98.3¢
180.7 shares
Share
92.1¢
→
98.3¢
$166.51
$180.74
$177.58
+$11.07
(+6.6%)
Will Alex Pereira be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
No 98.8¢
150 shares
Share
46.0¢
→
98.8¢
$69.04
$150.00
$148.20
+$79.16
(+114.7%)
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?
Yes 89¢
164 shares
Share
65.3¢
→
89¢
$107.18
$164.00
$145.96
+$38.78
(+36.2%)
Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027?
No 92.5¢
151 shares
Share
81.5¢
→
92.5¢
$123.10
$151.00
$139.68
+$16.58
(+13.5%)
Will Arthur Hayes appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
No 92.8¢
149 shares
Share
72.1¢
→
92.8¢
$107.42
$149.00
$138.35
+$30.93
(+28.8%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat?
Yes 99.9¢
118 shares
Share
66.3¢
→
99.9¢
$78.18
$118.00
$117.82
+$39.65
(+50.7%)
Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?
Yes 96.5¢
120 shares
Share
58.3¢
→
96.5¢
$70.00
$120.00
$115.80
+$45.80
(+65.4%)
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat?
Yes 99.6¢
100 shares
Share
89¢
→
99.6¢
$89.00
$100.00
$99.55
+$10.55
(+11.9%)
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
No 13.8¢
686 shares
Share
41.5¢
→
13.8¢
$285.09
$686.00
$94.33
−$190.76
(-66.9%)
Rippling IPO before 2027?
No 96.0¢
95 shares
Share
79.4¢
→
96.0¢
$75.42
$95.00
$91.15
+$15.74
(+20.9%)
Will there be between 85m and 90m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?
No 99.5¢
76.4 shares
Share
94.1¢
→
99.5¢
$71.94
$76.44
$76.02
+$4.08
(+5.7%)
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?
Yes 97.0¢
76 shares
Share
69¢
→
97.0¢
$52.44
$76.00
$73.76
+$21.32
(+40.7%)
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?
Yes 24.9¢
295 shares
Share
84¢
→
24.9¢
$247.80
$295.00
$73.31
−$174.49
(-70.4%)
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes 13.9¢
474 shares
Share
44.0¢
→
13.9¢
$208.42
$474.00
$65.65
−$142.77
(-68.5%)
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?
Yes 87¢
72 shares
Share
69¢
→
87¢
$49.68
$72.00
$62.64
+$12.96
(+26.1%)
Will Jiří Procházka be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
No 99.5¢
62 shares
Share
62¢
→
99.5¢
$38.44
$62.00
$61.66
+$23.22
(+60.4%)
Will Russell Vought leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 77¢
80 shares
Share
72¢
→
77¢
$57.60
$80.00
$61.60
+$4.00
(+6.9%)
Will Joe Burrow win the 2026 NFL MVP?
No 83.0¢
74 shares
Share
70.7¢
→
83.0¢
$52.35
$74.00
$61.46
+$9.11
(+17.4%)
Will the Republican Party win the UT-02 House seat?
Yes 98.9¢
60 shares
Share
72.4¢
→
98.9¢
$43.45
$60.00
$59.34
+$15.89
(+36.6%)
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
No 90.6¢
64 shares
Share
71.6¢
→
90.6¢
$45.85
$64.00
$58.02
+$12.17
(+26.5%)
Vanta IPO before 2027?
No 97.0¢
59 shares
Share
78.9¢
→
97.0¢
$46.56
$59.00
$57.20
+$10.64
(+22.9%)
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Yes 42.5¢
132 shares
Share
39.7¢
→
42.5¢
$52.47
$132.04
$56.12
+$3.64
(+6.9%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?
No 97.4¢
56 shares
Share
77¢
→
97.4¢
$43.12
$56.00
$54.54
+$11.42
(+26.5%)
Will Ansem appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
No 76.7¢
69 shares
Share
56.6¢
→
76.7¢
$39.09
$69.00
$52.92
+$13.83
(+35.4%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat?
No 98.8¢
53 shares
Share
80¢
→
98.8¢
$42.40
$53.00
$52.36
+$9.96
(+23.5%)
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
Yes 32.5¢
154.5 shares
Share
30.9¢
→
32.5¢
$47.71
$154.52
$50.22
+$2.51
(+5.3%)
Will Trump Airport become law this year?
No 96.5¢
50 shares
Share
73.6¢
→
96.5¢
$36.79
$50.00
$48.28
+$11.49
(+31.2%)
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Yes 2.1¢
2.2K shares
Share
36.8¢
→
2.1¢
$816.42
$2.2K
$45.45
−$770.97
(-94.4%)
Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?
Yes 43.0¢
104 shares
Share
81.0¢
→
43.0¢
$84.20
$104.00
$44.77
−$39.43
(-46.8%)
Will Martin Shkreli appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
No 80¢
51 shares
Share
76.1¢
→
80¢
$38.82
$51.00
$40.80
+$1.98
(+5.1%)
Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2026 NFC West?
No 99.8¢
37 shares
Share
87¢
→
99.8¢
$32.19
$37.00
$36.93
+$4.74
(+14.7%)
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Yes 99.6¢
37 shares
Share
46.3¢
→
99.6¢
$17.12
$37.00
$36.85
+$19.73
(+115.3%)
Will Finland recognize Palestine before 2027?
No 94¢
38 shares
Share
79.7¢
→
94¢
$30.30
$38.00
$35.72
+$5.42
(+17.9%)
Will the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat?
Yes 99.0¢
36 shares
Share
61.1¢
→
99.0¢
$21.99
$36.00
$35.62
+$13.64
(+62.0%)
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?
Yes 5.5¢
566.5 shares
Share
11.9¢
→
5.5¢
$67.68
$566.49
$31.44
−$36.24
(-53.5%)
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?
No 96.2¢
32 shares
Share
72.5¢
→
96.2¢
$23.21
$32.00
$30.78
+$7.57
(+32.6%)
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden before 2027?
No 96.2¢
31 shares
Share
79.0¢
→
96.2¢
$24.48
$31.00
$29.82
+$5.34
(+21.8%)
Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel?
Yes 71.5¢
36 shares
Share
44¢
→
71.5¢
$15.84
$36.00
$25.74
+$9.90
(+62.5%)
Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year?
No 91.3¢
27 shares
Share
66.8¢
→
91.3¢
$18.04
$27.00
$24.65
+$6.61
(+36.6%)
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?
Yes 98.3¢
25 shares
Share
58.3¢
→
98.3¢
$14.58
$25.00
$24.58
+$9.99
(+68.5%)
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
Yes 3.8¢
650 shares
Share
20.0¢
→
3.8¢
$129.90
$649.99
$24.37
−$105.53
(-81.2%)
Will Jesse Pollak appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
No 93.5¢
23 shares
Share
60¢
→
93.5¢
$13.80
$23.00
$21.51
+$7.71
(+55.8%)
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?
No 96.8¢
21 shares
Share
74.3¢
→
96.8¢
$15.61
$21.00
$20.33
+$4.72
(+30.2%)
Will the Republican Party win the NY-03 House seat?
No 99.8¢
20 shares
Share
69¢
→
99.8¢
$13.80
$20.00
$19.96
+$6.16
(+44.6%)
Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?
No 79.5¢
25 shares
Share
56.0¢
→
79.5¢
$14.00
$25.00
$19.88
+$5.88
(+42.0%)
Will Doja Cat have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
No 92.8¢
21 shares
Share
77.0¢
→
92.8¢
$16.17
$21.00
$19.49
+$3.32
(+20.5%)
Will there be between 95m and 100m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?
No 99.3¢
16.6 shares
Share
94.9¢
→
99.3¢
$15.73
$16.57
$16.45
+$0.72
(+4.6%)
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?
Yes 6.5¢
240 shares
Share
58.1¢
→
6.5¢
$139.37
$240.00
$15.60
−$123.77
(-88.8%)
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams before 2027?
No 96.9¢
15 shares
Share
72.7¢
→
96.9¢
$10.90
$15.00
$14.53
+$3.63
(+33.3%)
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?
Yes 15¢
95 shares
Share
87¢
→
15¢
$82.65
$95.00
$14.25
−$68.40
(-82.8%)
Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
No 89.8¢
14 shares
Share
79¢
→
89.8¢
$11.05
$13.99
$12.56
+$1.50
(+13.6%)
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?
Yes 96.3¢
13 shares
Share
70.4¢
→
96.3¢
$9.16
$13.00
$12.52
+$3.36
(+36.7%)
Will Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
No 96.0¢
13 shares
Share
72.0¢
→
96.0¢
$9.35
$13.00
$12.47
+$3.12
(+33.3%)
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?
No 99.9¢
12 shares
Share
77¢
→
99.9¢
$9.24
$12.00
$11.98
+$2.74
(+29.7%)
Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?
Yes 95.3¢
12 shares
Share
81.5¢
→
95.3¢
$9.78
$12.00
$11.43
+$1.65
(+16.9%)
Will the Democratic Party win the UT-02 House seat?
No 98.8¢
10.7 shares
Share
64.9¢
→
98.8¢
$6.93
$10.67
$10.54
+$3.61
(+52.1%)
Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?
Yes 1.1¢
959 shares
Share
76.5¢
→
1.1¢
$733.46
$959.00
$10.07
−$723.39
(-98.6%)
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
No 96.2¢
10 shares
Share
63.9¢
→
96.2¢
$6.39
$10.00
$9.62
+$3.23
(+50.5%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?
No 23.8¢
39 shares
Share
88¢
→
23.8¢
$34.32
$39.00
$9.30
−$25.02
(-72.9%)
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat?
Yes 99.2¢
9 shares
Share
48.3¢
→
99.2¢
$4.34
$9.00
$8.93
+$4.58
(+105.6%)
Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat?
Yes 98.7¢
9 shares
Share
80¢
→
98.7¢
$7.20
$9.00
$8.88
+$1.68
(+23.3%)
Will the SELF DRIVE Act become law this year?
No 96.5¢
9 shares
Share
67¢
→
96.5¢
$6.03
$9.00
$8.68
+$2.65
(+44.0%)
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat?
No 8.3¢
100 shares
Share
89¢
→
8.3¢
$89.00
$100.00
$8.35
−$80.65
(-90.6%)
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
Yes 2.2¢
376 shares
Share
64.3¢
→
2.2¢
$241.74
$376.00
$8.27
−$233.46
(-96.6%)
Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
No 4.8¢
173 shares
Share
65¢
→
4.8¢
$112.45
$173.00
$8.22
−$104.23
(-92.7%)
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?
Yes 3.4¢
223 shares
Share
55.2¢
→
3.4¢
$123.11
$223.00
$7.47
−$115.64
(-93.9%)
Will there be less than 85m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?
No 99.9¢
7.3 shares
Share
94.5¢
→
99.9¢
$6.86
$7.26
$7.25
+$0.39
(+5.7%)
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?
Yes 2.9¢
239 shares
Share
39.2¢
→
2.9¢
$93.60
$239.00
$6.93
−$86.67
(-92.6%)
Will Movsar Evloev be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
No 98.2¢
7 shares
Share
72¢
→
98.2¢
$5.04
$7.00
$6.87
+$1.83
(+36.4%)
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
No 6.5¢
105 shares
Share
87.5¢
→
6.5¢
$91.88
$105.00
$6.83
−$85.05
(-92.6%)
Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?
Yes 55.0¢
11 shares
Share
11¢
→
55.0¢
$1.21
$11.00
$6.05
+$4.84
(+400.0%)
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?
No 98.4¢
6 shares
Share
80¢
→
98.4¢
$4.80
$6.00
$5.90
+$1.10
(+22.9%)
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
No 3¢
180 shares
Share
67.4¢
→
3¢
$121.30
$180.00
$5.40
−$115.90
(-95.5%)
Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?
Yes 98.3¢
5 shares
Share
83¢
→
98.3¢
$4.15
$5.00
$4.91
+$0.76
(+18.4%)
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?
No 96.5¢
5 shares
Share
54¢
→
96.5¢
$2.70
$5.00
$4.83
+$2.13
(+78.8%)
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027?
No 96.3¢
5 shares
Share
79¢
→
96.3¢
$3.95
$5.00
$4.81
+$0.86
(+21.8%)
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?
Yes 3.8¢
125 shares
Share
8.6¢
→
3.8¢
$10.69
$125.00
$4.75
−$5.94
(-55.6%)
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?
No 93.1¢
5 shares
Share
70¢
→
93.1¢
$3.50
$5.00
$4.66
+$1.16
(+33.0%)
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
Yes 2.3¢
201 shares
Share
26.2¢
→
2.3¢
$52.69
$201.00
$4.52
−$48.17
(-91.4%)
Will the Democratic Party win the OK-05 House seat?
No 99.7¢
4 shares
Share
88¢
→
99.7¢
$3.52
$4.00
$3.99
+$0.47
(+13.3%)
Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?
No 99.4¢
4 shares
Share
19¢
→
99.4¢
$0.76
$4.00
$3.97
+$3.21
(+422.9%)
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